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Taraba, Plateau, Adamawa govs face defection dilemma as Tinubu’s Hurricane strikes

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Concerns are deepening that Nigeria may be drifting towards a one-party state as the once-dominant Peoples Democratic Party struggles to retain its few remaining strongholds following a wave of defections by its governors to the ruling All Progressives Congress.

Four PDP governors in the North are considering switching to the APC ahead of the 2027 elections.

The development has sparked fresh anxiety in the opposition party, further weakening the opposition’s structure across the North and raising questions about its future.

The PDP, which held the presidency for 16 straight years after the return to democracy in 1999, now governs just eight of Nigeria’s 36 states — Bauchi, Oyo, Adamawa, Osun, Plateau, Taraba, Zamfara and Rivers — its weakest position in the Fourth Republic.

With recent defections by some of its key governors, including Sheriff Oborevwori (Delta State), Umo Eno (Akwa Ibom State) and Peter Mbah (Enugu State), attention has turned to states such as Plateau, Taraba, Zamfara, and Adamawa, where speculations are mounting that their governors may soon cross over to the APC.

The steady loss of territory — fuelled by defections and political realignments — has emboldened the APC, which continues to attract high-profile converts ahead of the 2027 general elections.

In the past months, defections by governors and key party figures have reduced the PDP’s national presence, leaving the opposition battling internal divisions and leadership fatigue.

With the PDP now clinging to just eight states, political watchers warn that Nigeria’s democracy risks losing the balance of multiparty competition that has defined its Fourth Republic.

Analysts say the recent wave of defections — often driven by access to federal power rather than ideology — undermines opposition accountability and weakens institutional checks.

“The ruling APC’s growing dominance is not just about numbers,” said one political analyst. “It’s about perception — that opposition politics no longer pays in Nigeria.”

As the 2027 elections draw closer, the PDP faces the toughest test of its existence: whether it can hold its few remaining strongholds or watch them collapse, one by one, under the weight of political expediency.

‘Govs will defect’

The ruling APC hinted at imminent high-profile defections from the PDP and the Labour Party, with at least four governors reportedly in talks to join the party.

The APC National Vice Chairman (South-East), Dr. Ijeoma Arodiogbu, disclosed this in an exclusive interview with The PUNCH.

Arodiogbu stated that the governors of Plateau, Taraba, Rivers, and Abia (LP) states were among those being courted by the APC and could defect before the end of the year.

“It is a possibility that the Plateau governor will join us likewise his Taraba counterpart. We are also looking forward to receiving Rivers governor, (Siminalayi) Fubara, and Governor (Alex) Otti of Abia State in our midst.

“These are all high possibilities. We expect that to happen in the coming weeks before our congresses. Most of these defections are expected to happen before the end of this year. Once they happen, it will further confirm that the APC remains the dominant and most organised political platform in Nigeria,” Arodiogbu stated.

The APC chieftain explained that the party’s open-door policy and reform agenda had made it increasingly attractive to key political figures across the country.

“The truth is that the APC has become a home for all progressives,” he said.

“We are not just expanding in numbers but in quality leadership. Governors and other political leaders are beginning to see that this is the platform that offers stability and direction for Nigeria’s democracy.”

Arodiogbu said the leadership of the party had created an inclusive atmosphere that encouraged political participation and dialogue.

“The national chairman has made it clear that the APC is not closing its doors to anyone. We are reaching out to people of goodwill who believe in President Bola Tinubu’s Renewed Hope Agenda,” he said.

He further stressed that the anticipated defections would strengthen the APC ahead of the 2025 congresses and 2027 elections.

Kefas move ‘imminent’

In Taraba, strong indications emerged on Monday that Governor Agbu Kefas may soon abandon the PDP for the APC — a move that could end the PDP’s 26-year uninterrupted rule in the state.

Multiple sources within both parties with knowledge of the matter confirmed that talks were already at an advanced stage, with Kefas’ close allies reportedly reaching out to key APC powerbrokers in Abuja.

“It’s no longer speculation. Consultations are ongoing, and the governor is weighing the timing carefully,” a senior aide to the governor told The PUNCH.

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If the move materialises, analysts say it would mark one of the biggest political realignments in Taraba since 1999, giving the governor easier access to federal support for ongoing infrastructure and security projects.

An APC insider in Jalingo described the development as “a homecoming long overdue,” saying the governor’s leadership style and grassroots appeal would strengthen the ruling party’s base ahead of 2027.

“Kefas is a performer. His coming will only make our structure stronger,” the source said.

But within the PDP, unease is spreading. Party loyalists describe the rumoured defection as “a betrayal of mandate” that could decimate the opposition’s hold in the North-East.

“If Kefas moves, PDP will be finished in Taraba. He is the only one still holding the structure together,” a senior party member admitted.

Although the governor has yet to make a public statement, his close allies say his recent political body language — including increased visits to APC-controlled states and meetings with federal officials — has heightened speculation.

For now, Taraba waits, as its 26-year history of PDP dominance stands on the brink of collapse.

Fintiri in talks?

Governor Ahmadu Umaru Fintiri of Adamawa State has built a political reputation for thriving as an opposition figure. In 2007, he won his first major election under the now-defunct Action Congress, defeating a sitting member of the state House of Assembly from the then-ruling PDP.

Fintiri has since sustained that record, winning the governorship in 2019 and 2023 when the APC controlled the Federal Government under former President Muhammadu Buhari.

However, four months ago, the APC spokesperson in Adamawa, Mohammed Abdullahi, told The PUNCH that discussions were ongoing between the party and the governor.

“It is true there are fruitful discussions still ongoing with our great governor, Ahmadu Fintiri, over his return to his former house (APC),” Abdullahi said.

“I’m optimistic that the Adamawa State governor is coming back to the APC. Our discussions so far have been positive.”

But a PDP chieftain in the state dismissed the claim as “speculative and unrealistic.”

According to him, Fintiri remains the “compass of the PDP” and cannot contemplate abandoning the party “when the world is looking at him as one of the remaining hopes of democracy in Nigeria.”

“You know APC can build bridges where there are no rivers,” he added, “so I’m not surprised by their empty and claims.”

In May, speculations about a possible defection gained traction after Fintiri held a closed-door meeting with the National Security Adviser, Nuhu Ribadu, at the Government House, Yola.

Sources told The PUNCH that the meeting, which lasted over four hours, focused on persuading the governor to join the APC along with his cabinet members.

“The governor was offered the opportunity to produce his successor, nominate candidates for National Assembly seats, and choose between a ministerial or senatorial position in 2027,” an aide of Fintiri with knowledge of the matter, said.

Despite these overtures, Fintiri appears firmly rooted in the PDP — a position his aides insist will not change soon.

Mutfwang under pressure

In Plateau State, speculation that Governor Caleb Mutfwang might defect to the APC dominated headlines despite outright denial from both his aides and the state’s political observers.

However, on Saturday, Mutfwang admitted that he was under pressure to join the ruling party, declaring that he had no intention of leaving the party.

Party insiders asserted that top APC officials have been holding talks with the governor in a move to get him to move to the ruling party.

Speaking at an event in Jos, the governor, who is seeking re-election in 2027, said only God and the people who elected him had the authority to decide his political future.

“It’s true that there has been pressure on me,” Mutfwang said. “But I told them only two entities can authorise me to change my party — the God of heaven and you, the people.”

Turning to the audience, he asked, “Have you asked me to go anywhere?” The crowd responded with a thunderous “No.”

Plateau has long been regarded as the heartland of the PDP, having produced all but two governors from the party since 1999. For many residents, the PDP’s return to power in 2023, after eight years of “accidental” APC rule, was seen as a restoration of the state’s political identity.

“Plateau has PDP as its political inheritance. The governor is not moving anywhere,” said Grace Bulus, a resident of Jos.

While some analysts speculate that Mutfwang might seek alignment with President Bola Tinubu’s administration ahead of 2027, others argued that his political base and emotional ties to PDP figures like former governor Jonah Jang make a defection unlikely.

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On October 17, Plateau APC leaders publicly rejected any suggestion that the governor could be admitted into their fold.

At a stakeholders’ meeting attended by APC National Chairman Prof. Nentawe Yilwatda, former governors Simon Lalong and Joshua Dariye, and other chieftains, the party resolved to “strengthen internal cohesion” and dismissed talk of Mutfwang’s entry as “unfounded.”

They unanimously adopted a motion moved by former Deputy National Secretary, Festus Fuanter, opposing Mutfwang’s possible entry into the APC.

Fuanter stated, “I move the motion against accepting Plateau State Governor Caleb Mutfwang into the APC.”

In response, Mutfwang’s media aide, Gyang Bere, reaffirmed that the governor remained committed to the PDP, saying he had the capacity to win re-election “without switching parties.”

Following the party’s recently concluded state congress that produced new executives under Chief Raymond Dabo — chieftains say the development has consolidated the party base and internal stability.

“We are united and focused,” former governor Jang said after the congress, describing the outcome as “proof that the PDP remains strong in Plateau.”

Mutfwang splits APC

But in dramatic fashion, the North Central APC Forum rejected the resolution passed by leaders of the party in Plateau against accepting Governor Mutfwang to the party.

The forum, comprising stakeholders from APC chapters across the North Central states, said those resisting Mutfwang’s possible defection were acting out of selfish interest rather than for the good of the party.

In a statement on Tuesday, the forum’s chairman and a member of the APC Presidential Campaign Council in the 2023 elections, Alhaji Saleh Zazzaga, reaffirmed their call on Mutfwang to leave the PDP.

Zazzaga said, “It is not just about gathering to reject Governor Caleb Mutfwang. The real issue is who can win the governorship seat for the party. Among those so-called stakeholders that gathered to reject him, only a few are genuine, capable members.

“For instance, in the previous election, the APC governorship running mate lost his polling unit and ward to the PDP. He got 2,800 votes in his ward, while the PDP got 10,600. Yet, he is among those opposing Mutfwang joining the party.

“Are these people that relevant or trustworthy? They did not vote for Tinubu — they voted for Peter Obi — but are now rushing to Abuja for appointments. It was only the APC National Chairman, Professor Nentawe Yilwatda, who won his local government for President Tinubu,” the statement read.

The forum maintained that it was advocating for members who could add value to the party rather than those driven by personal gain.

“We are still calling on Governor Mutfwang to join the APC because of the crisis in the PDP. Those rejecting him cannot even win their polling units. We want to join hands to win Plateau State for Tinubu. It is not about personal interest now; only when you win elections can you talk about interests,” it added.

“Those rushing to Abuja for federal appointments should first present their polling unit results. We promise President Bola Tinubu that after the next election, we will publish the results from each polling unit so he will know who is who,” the statement said.

The Plateau APC had slammed Mutfwang after the governor said he was under pressure to join the APC but the North Central APC Forum maintained that his claim was true, saying some influential figures in the Presidential Villa were backing their calls for him to join the party.

“It is true that Governor Mutfwang has been under pressure to join the APC. We can confirm this because some influential figures in the Presidential Villa are behind our calls for him to do so. We will not relent until we convince him to take this step in the best interest of Plateau State and himself,” the forum stated.

Also, Arodiogbu downplayed any concerns about potential friction with the party’s hierarchy or the immediate past governor.

“The national chairman of the party is from Plateau State. And by all measures, he is the leader of the party nationwide,” he stated.

“So, we will be pleased to have Governor Mutfwang in the APC, and we believe he will bring a lot of good fortune. I really don’t foresee any problem coming from his defection.”

He added, “As I said the APC national chairman is a very democratic person and quite exposed politically. So, I believe it is a situation that we will be able to manage. I don’t think there is going to be any problem.”

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PDP members defect

In Zamfara, while the spokesperson to Governor Dauda Lawal on Media and Communications, Mustafa Kaura, dismissed reports suggesting his principal’s possible defection to the APC, recent political developments in the state have continued to fuel speculation that it may only be a matter of time before the governor joins the ruling party.

In the past week, 15 key officials of the PDP in the state, including close allies and supporters of the governor defected to the APC, a move seen by many as a sign of deeper cracks within the opposition party.

Those who left the PDP include former Youth Leader Sahad Dabo, former Treasurer Nasiru Anka, former Organising Secretaries Janaidu Kiyawa and Musa Halilu, former Zonal Organising Secretary Lawali Aliyu, Hajiya Rabi Bakura, Hajiya Amina Duniya, Bashar Kade, a former PDP aspirant for the Kaura Namoda South constituency, and Rilwanu Bello, an ex-councillorship aspirant, among others.

While handing over his PDP membership card, Dabo said he decided to leave because “the party favoured only the rich,” adding, “I am inspired by Senator Yari and (Bello) Matawalle’s leadership to join the winning party.”

Also speaking, Amina Duniya, who said she had spent 25 years in the PDP, urged APC leaders to uphold fairness and justice, pledging to mobilise more supporters for the ruling party.

The defectors were formally presented to the Minister of State for Defence, Bello Matawalle, by APC state chairman Tukur Danfulani, Senator Tijjani Yahaya, and Lawal Liman during a ceremony in Abuja last Thursday.

Addressing the gathering, Matawalle said, “The APC will continue to be more united and strong with the current strategy mapped out and its welfare packages being delivered to the people of the state.”

In his remarks, Danfulani welcomed the defectors, assuring them of full integration into the party’s structure. He maintained that the APC “remains open and fair to all those committed to its progress,” and dismissed reports of internal divisions.

“With our recent victory in the state by-election and the calibre of people joining us,” he said, “it is clear that the APC will reclaim Zamfara in 2027.”

However, Kaura insisted Governor Lawal would not dump the PDP.

“The Governor has said it times without number that he would not betray the electorate who voted him to power as Governor under the platform of the PDP. Some people have been spreading rumours that Governor Dauda is planning to dump his party the PDP and join the APC.

“There is no iota of truth in this; as such I want the PDP supporters to disregard this. Governor Dauda Lawal will remain in the PDP and has no intention of joining any other party. He is a true believer who believes in God and whatever God has destined to happen, must happen no matter the party he belongs to.”

Meanwhile, the Government House Gusau has issued a radio jingle in all the radio stations in the state informing residents that the governor would not join APC as widely speculated.

APC reaction

In its reaction, the Zamfara chapter of the APC denied reports that it was planning to receive Governor Lawal into the party.

The state APC Publicity Secretary, Alhaji Yusuf Idris, said the party would not accept Lawal even if he planned to join the ruling party.

He said, “The Zamfara State chapter of the APC has never approached the PDP or its governor in any way to join the APC.

“APC as a party in Zamfara has never been impressed by the dismal and decimating performance of Governor Dauda Lawal in the state.

“This disappointing position is certainly the stand of the electorate and many other politicians in the state, which was demonstrated at the August 16, 2025 Kaura Namoda South State House of Assembly bye-election where the APC overwhelmingly defeated the ruling PDP.

“This was quickly followed by the defection of the PDP candidate, along with his supporters to the APC.”

Idris stressed that the APC did not need Lawal’s patronage to win future elections, adding that, ‘’The PDP is already dead in Zamfara.”

 “We don’t need any unpopular person like Governor Lawal to join us in order to win an election going by the recent state assembly by-election in Kaura-namoda south where our party won with landslide victory.”

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David Umahi reveals Peter Obi can never be South-East’s best, read details

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The Minister of Works, David Umahi, has said Peter Obi “can never be the best” presidential candidate from the South-East, defending political leaders from the region who support President Bola Tinubu ahead of the 2027 presidential election.

Umahi made the remarks in a Friday interview with ARISE News , arguing that Obi failed to adequately consult political leaders in the region before his presidential bid in the 2023 election.

“Peter Obi is not the best of our finest in South East. He’s not the best, he can never be the best,” Umahi said.

Peter Obi
File: NDC presidential candidate, Peter Obi

The former Ebonyi State governor said a presidential aspirant seeking to represent the South-East should consult governors and other political stakeholders in the region before pursuing the ambition.

“You cannot play politics in South East without consulting people like us,” he said.

Umahi said he would have consulted political leaders in the region if he had sought the presidency, arguing that an ambition carrying the expectations of an entire region should not be pursued in isolation.

“If I were contesting, I would have consulted,” he said.

He maintained that the South-East had other qualified political figures who could aspire to the presidency and challenged the suggestion that Obi should automatically be regarded as the region’s strongest candidate because of his performance in the 2023 election.

Umahi also questioned the argument that the presidency should automatically go to Anambra State if the South-East had an opportunity to produce Nigeria’s president.

He noted that Nigeria’s first President, Nnamdi Azikiwe, came from the area now constituting Anambra State, arguing that other states in the region should also be considered.

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Umahi identified Ebonyi, Enugu, Abia and Imo as states that should have opportunities in any future discussions about producing a president from the South-East.

The minister’s comments came as he defended political leaders in the region who support Tinubu rather than Obi ahead of the 2027 presidential election.

Umahi argued that the South-East’s path to the presidency depended on political negotiation and alliances with other parts of the country rather than support for a particular candidate being treated as a test of loyalty to the region.

He also rejected criticism of South-East political figures backing Tinubu, saying it was wrong to portray them as betraying the region because of their political choices.

The minister maintained that the region needed to build alliances across Nigeria if it wanted to produce a president, insisting that no single politician should be treated as its only viable presidential option.

Recall that in September, PUNCH Online had earlier reported that Umahi, speaking in Benin City, challenged comparisons with Peter Obi, saying he saw no area in which the former Anambra governor was superior to him.

He also said the South-East would eventually produce Nigeria’s president but insisted that “it is not yet our turn.”

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2027: Atiku presses INEC to release 103m voters’ register

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Former Vice-President Atiku Abubakar has demanded the immediate publication of the preliminary voters’ register, warning that the failure of the Independent National Electoral Commission to display the list online could undermine confidence in the 2027 general election.

Atiku, in a statement on Thursday issued by the Director of Strategic Communication of the African Democratic Congress Presidential Campaign Council, Phrank Shaibu, said Nigerians were entitled to inspect the register, challenge questionable entries and correct omissions before the election.

“INEC has announced more than 103 million registered voters. Nigerians went to its portal to inspect the names and found an empty page. That is an outrage. A figure cannot answer an objection. A press announcement cannot tell a voter whether her name has been omitted. Show Nigerians the register,” he said.

The electoral umpire had announced a seven-day public scrutiny exercise from October 9 to 15, during which registered voters were expected to inspect the preliminary register and raise objections to false entries or report omitted names.

Atiku, however, said the commission’s failure to make the register available online violated the Electoral Act 2026 and raised questions about the credibility of the process.

“I cannot recall a more brazen invitation to distrust the voter register. INEC announced a seven-day exercise and then failed to make the register available on the portal provided for public scrutiny,” he said.

He cited Section 19(1) of the Electoral Act 2026, which requires the register to be displayed at registration areas and online, and urged INEC to publish the list by local government, area council and ward.

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The ADC presidential candidate in the 2027 election also demanded clarification over conflicting statements attributed to the commission’s chairman regarding the timing of the display.

“Worse still, INEC’s chairman reportedly said on October 5 that the public display had already been completed. Nigerians were subsequently told it would take place from October 9 to 15. Which statement is true? Where was the register published? For seven full days, or for no days at all?” he asked.

Atiku called on INEC to release the dates, links and access records relating to the alleged online publication.

He also raised concerns over the authentication of ballot papers, citing Section 63(2) of the Electoral Act 2026, which permits a returning officer to count a ballot paper without INEC’s official mark if satisfied that it came from a book supplied to the polling unit.

“What evidence will establish that origin? Who will verify it, and how will parties challenge a false claim?

“INEC must set out enforceable safeguards against counterfeit ballots, and the National Assembly must close any loophole that leaves the authenticity of a vote to an officer’s unsupported assurance,” he added.

The statement also said INEC had yet to respond to inquiries about the companies awarded contracts to print sensitive election materials.

Atiku said the ADC and its presidential candidate were stakeholders in the presidential election and had the right to demand information about the procedures that would determine its credibility.

Atiku said the President Bola Tinubu administration could not conceal the voters’ register and expect Nigerians to trust the electoral process.

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“You will not add an unseen voters’ register to their suffering and call it a route to another four years in office.

“You cannot hide their names from scrutiny and then ask them to trust the election conducted with that list. Nigerians have the right to inspect the register, challenge false entries and correct omissions. If that right is denied, we will challenge it in the open and through every lawful means available,” the statement further read.

He accused INEC’s conduct of creating room for manipulation by preventing voters from checking who had been added to or removed from the register and whether their own names remained on the list.

“That door must be shut now. Publish the register by local government, area council and ward. Explain the conflicting dates. Give voters the full opportunity the law provides to challenge false entries and restore omitted names,” he said.

Atiku also urged international partners, election observers and democratic institutions to press INEC to comply with the law before election day.

“Do not wait until election day to ask whether this contest is credible. Demand access to the voters’ register now. Ask how every ballot paper will be authenticated. Transparency before the vote is as essential as scrutiny of the results afterwards.

“The right to vote begins with the right to know that your name is on the list. INEC must stop hiding behind a blank screen. Publish the register. Open it to scrutiny. Answer the country,” he stressed.

Source: punchng.com

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Tinubu eyes North’s 56 million voters ahead of 2027 election

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President Bola Tinubu and leaders of the All Progressives Congress will on Saturday kick off the President’s re-election campaign in Kaduna State, as the ruling party intensifies efforts to secure support across the North, which accounts for 56.01 million of Nigeria’s 103.43 million registered voters.

With 31 state governors and other party chieftains expected at the campaign flag-off, the APC is banking on what its leaders describe as a growing consensus among northern stakeholders and voters to secure Tinubu’s re-election in 2027.

The party has also set an ambitious target of mobilising 40 million votes through grassroots engagement, particularly among women, with its leaders expressing confidence that Nigerians will support the President for a second term.

However, the opposition has challenged the APC’s optimism, arguing that economic hardship, rising living costs and persistent insecurity could undermine Tinubu’s re-election bid. The camp of former Vice-President Atiku Abubakar insists that Nigerians across regional and religious divides are prepared to vote out the ruling party.

The Kaduna rally is particularly significant given the North’s numerical strength in presidential elections and Tinubu’s loss in the state during the 2023 presidential poll.

Against this backdrop, party leaders and northern stakeholders, including Salihu Mustapha, a member of Arewa for Asiwaju and former APC National Vice Chairman for the North-East, said there was a consensus among stakeholders and voters in Kaduna State to support Tinubu’s re-election bid in 2027.

Similarly, APC chieftain and Head of the Presidential Campaign Council’s Stage Organisation and Management, Farouk Aliyu, expressed confidence that Tinubu would emerge victorious in the election.

However, the camp of former Vice-President Atiku Abubakar, the presidential candidate of the African Democratic Congress, dismissed Tinubu’s chances of winning a second term, insisting that northerners and other Nigerians were determined to vote the APC out of power.

Meanwhile, Oyo State Governor and presidential candidate of the Allied Peoples Movement, Seyi Makinde, has appealed to Nigerians to allow him to complete the South’s four-year presidential tenure.

According to the Independent National Electoral Commission, Nigeria has 103.43 million registered voters across the 36 states and the Federal Capital Territory.

Lagos has the highest number of registered voters, with 7.49 million, followed by Kano with 6.57 million and Kaduna with 4.66 million. Katsina has 3.88 million, Rivers 3.74 million, Oyo 3.59 million and Delta 3.53 million.

Other states include Benue, with 3.06 million registered voters; Ogun, 3.04 million; Bauchi, 3.01 million; Niger, 2.98 million; Anambra, 2.92 million; Plateau, 2.91 million; Edo, 2.87 million; Jigawa, 2.81 million; Borno, 2.77 million; Imo, 2.71 million; Sokoto, 2.63 million; Akwa Ibom, 2.57 million; Adamawa, 2.43 million; Osun, 2.33 million; Kebbi and Abia, 2.31 million each; Taraba, 2.25 million; Kogi, 2.23 million; Zamfara and Enugu, 2.22 million each; Nasarawa, 2.14 million; and Ondo, 2.12 million.

Cross River has 1.93 million registered voters, Kwara 1.92 million, Ebonyi 1.83 million, Gombe 1.77 million, Yobe 1.73 million, Bayelsa 1.20 million and Ekiti 1.06 million. The Federal Capital Territory has 1.73 million registered voters.

By geopolitical zone, the North-West has the highest number of registered voters, with 25.08 million, followed by the South-West with 19.61 million and the North-Central with 16.97 million. The South-South has 15.82 million voters, while the North-East and South-East have 13.97 million and 11.98 million, respectively.

INEC figures show that the three northern zones have a combined 56.01 million registered voters, representing 54.2 per cent of the national total of 103.43 million.

The North has historically played a pivotal role in determining the outcomes of Nigeria’s presidential elections, largely because of its sizeable voting population and turnout.

This was evident in the 2015 presidential election, when northern voters and political stakeholders contributed significantly to the defeat of then-President Goodluck Jonathan of the Peoples Democratic Party and the election of the late President Muhammadu Buhari of the All Progressives Congress.

The North’s electoral strength helps explain Tinubu’s decision to choose Kaduna as the starting point for his re-election campaign, despite losing the state in the 2023 presidential election. The President had earlier indicated plans to attend campaign rallies in only a few states.

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Ahead of Tinubu’s visit and the arrival of other APC leaders, residents of Barnawa in Kaduna South Local Government Area witnessed a heightened security presence. Operatives of the Nigerian Army, Department of State Services, Nigeria Police Force, Nigeria Security and Civil Defence Corps and the state vigilante group, alongside personnel of the Federal Road Safety Corps, patrolled major roads with sirens blaring.

The heavily armed security personnel moved through the neighbourhood ahead of Saturday’s campaign flag-off, underscoring the security preparations for the political gathering.

Beyond the security arrangements, the campaign preparations have brought into focus a broader contest over public confidence, governance and the APC’s electoral prospects in Kaduna State.

While the ruling party projects confidence, pledging to deliver more than two million votes for Tinubu and insisting that it has a strong political base in the state, opposition figures argue that insecurity, poverty, rising living costs and alleged failures in public services could undermine its electoral ambitions.

The PUNCH gathered on Thursday that the presidential advance team, responsible for security, protocol, medical services and media, had been dispatched to Kaduna ahead of the event.

A source familiar with the arrangements said the APC and its state chapters were handling the funding and logistics for other attendees.

“The team have left already. All of them — media, security, protocol, medical and others. It’s a big campaign, so everything needs to be done properly,” the official said.

Another official, who requested anonymity because he was not authorised to speak on the matter, said the party and state chapters were jointly handling much of the campaign financing.

“It is the party and the states that are handling much of the campaign finance. But they are all working together,” the official said.

The Presidential Campaign Council was inaugurated at the State House on October 14, with Tinubu as chairman, Vice-President Kashim Shettima and APC National Chairman, Yilwatda, as vice-chairmen, and Senator Abdulaziz Yari as Director-General.

According to the campaign schedule released on October 14, subsequent rallies are scheduled to hold in Calabar on November 2, Gombe on November 3, Lafia on November 4 and Ado-Ekiti on November 5. The campaign activities will continue through January 2027.

The Kaduna State Local Organising Committee, chaired by Deputy Governor Hadiza Balarabe, said it had inspected the venue, Kaduna Flagship Stadium. The Minister of Defence, General Christopher Musa (retd.), led a security inspection on Wednesday.

Former APC National Vice Chairman for the North-East, Salihu Mustapha, told The PUNCH that northern stakeholders were rallying behind Tinubu, citing political appointments and increased revenue allocations to state governments.

He also claimed that the administration had made progress in tackling insecurity in the North, arguing that the situation had improved compared with previous years, despite persistent security challenges.

Mustapha said, “He has done a lot for the North, and you can see it in the political activities in the region. Northern politics is largely based on stakeholder consensus, not just heightened hostility on social media. Northern voters are not necessarily active on social media. The system works in such a way that every community has leadership, and the leadership internally determines where the votes go. And there is a consensus among northern leaders and voters to re-elect President Tinubu.”

He added, “We have our sons and daughters appointed to various offices in this country. The appointments are not lopsided. It is virtually a 50-50 balance. He has ensured that all our governors get enough revenue to pay salaries and create opportunities. Thousands of students are enjoying the NELFUND student loan scheme, and security policies are being implemented across the northern states.

“No matter how we want to put it, we have been able to overcome certain levels of insecurity. Insecurity is dynamic, and its patterns keep changing. So, it will interest you to know that there is virtually a seamless consensus in the North supporting Asiwaju. You have seen campaign organisations such as Arewa for Asiwaju. Northern Nigeria has decided.”

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Mustapha maintained that northern political leaders and voters were backing Tinubu’s re-election bid, expressing confidence that the President would not suffer the same fate as former President Goodluck Jonathan, who lost the 2015 election.

He said, “You can compare 2015 with 2027 and the APC government with the PDP government. During former President Goodluck Ebele Jonathan’s administration, the political structure and individuals in the North were against him. The situation is different today, as the political structure and people of the North are behind President Bola Ahmed Tinubu.

“They support him and will vote to re-elect him in January 2027 because of the laudable achievements of his administration. The North is behind him, and there is no cause for alarm. President Tinubu will not suffer the same fate as Jonathan.”

Similarly, APC chieftain and Head of the Presidential Campaign Council’s Stage Organisation and Management, Farouk Aliyu, said the party was optimistic that northern voters would support Tinubu’s re-election bid in 2027.

He acknowledged that the contest would be challenging but said the APC would intensify efforts to persuade voters to support the President.

“We will campaign everywhere in the North for the President’s re-election because he deserves another term. The North and even the South will vote for him again. We will appeal to the people, show them what the government has done and ask for their patience. We will explain to them that the reforms were not introduced to harm them but to protect them. There will be no problem, by the grace of God. It will be tough, but it is not insurmountable,” Aliyu said.

He added, “There are voters who will be hostile supporters of other parties. It is not just the APC. It all depends on where you are strong and where you are not strong. That has nothing to do with the APC alone. It has to do with the party’s selection of voters.”

Also, the Co-Chair of the APC Presidential Campaign Council’s Directorate of Women Mobilisation, Dr Betta Edu, said Nigerians would begin to enjoy economic prosperity if Tinubu were re-elected for a second term in 2027.

Edu argued that the country had passed the difficult phase of economic reforms and was approaching a period of prosperity under the Tinubu administration.

She spoke in Kaduna on Thursday when she led members of the directorate on a courtesy visit to the state Deputy Governor, Dr Hadiza Balarabe, who chairs the local organising committee for the APC campaign flag-off.

“We have gone through the reform phase already. Now it is time for prosperity. We are already at the gate of prosperity once President Tinubu is re-elected,” Edu declared.

The former Minister of Humanitarian Affairs and Poverty Alleviation also said the directorate was targeting about 40 million votes for Tinubu and Vice-President Kashim Shettima in the 2027 presidential election.

She said achieving the target would require sustained grassroots mobilisation and direct engagement with women across the country, rather than relying solely on large crowds at political rallies.

“Our plan as the PCC mobilisation directorate is to see that we can mobilise at least close to 40 million votes for President Bola Ahmed Tinubu. And we cannot do this without getting down to the grassroots,” she said.

Edu explained that the directorate would engage women in markets, communities and households to understand their concerns and communicate the administration’s achievements.

She urged APC women leaders and supporters in Kaduna State to intensify peaceful, door-to-door campaigns, stressing the need to persuade voters without intimidation or coercion.

Responding, Balarabe assured the delegation that the Kaduna State Government and the campaign flag-off committee were working to ensure a successful event.

She said several planning and coordination meetings had been held, adding that Kaduna’s strategic position in northern Nigeria placed a responsibility on the state to demonstrate its organisational capacity.

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“We try as much as possible to take any assignment given to us seriously,” the deputy governor said.

However, the Special Adviser on Media to former Vice-President Atiku Abubakar, Paul Ibe, told The PUNCH that the level of hardship in the country had made Tinubu’s re-election bid untenable.

He argued that economic hardship affected Nigerians across regional and ethnic lines and would be a major factor in the 2027 election.

“There is a consensus on the level of suffering of the Nigerian people. This is not just about the North or the South. The issue is neither about North-Central, North-East and North-West nor is it about South-South, South-East and South-West. This election is a bread-and-butter issue: it is about the economy,” Ibe said.

“There is no petrol station in this country where there is disparity in the price of fuel sold to a Yoruba person, Hausa person or an Igbo person. There are no different prices in the market for goods sold to the hundreds of ethnic nationalities that make up Nigeria. Nigerians will express their frustration and the hopelessness of the situation at the ballot.”

Ibe added that the economic difficulties facing Nigerians cut across religious, regional and generational lines.

“The North and the South, Christians and Muslims and all shades of people, young and old are being affected by the suffering in the land. Even Nigerians who are not living on the shores of this country are wondering how those of us who do are coping with Tinubu’s handling of the nation’s affairs since he became President.

“We will be diminishing this argument if we limit it to either a North or South debate. Nigerians are feeling the pain, and they have resolved to vote out this government in 2027,” he said.

Meanwhile, the Minister of Health and Social Welfare, Prof. Muhammad Pate, has said there is no immediate need to cancel political campaigns, conferences or other large public gatherings following Nigeria’s confirmation of an imported Ebola case.

Pate, however, warned that the government would review the situation and consider appropriate restrictions if the outbreak worsened, stressing that any decisions would be based on scientific evidence and public health considerations.

The minister spoke on Thursday in Abuja during a press briefing on the government’s response to the case. He assured Nigerians that the patient was receiving treatment and showing encouraging signs of recovery.

Addressing the possibility of restricting political activities and public events, Pate said the government would not impose such measures without evidence that they were necessary.

“At this moment, there is no indication that requires us to alter the course of large gatherings that have been planned,” he said.

“But if the situation changes, we’ll make a determination; we’ll consult broadly with the right experts and make that determination.”

He also cautioned political leaders against politicising the outbreak, describing public health as a unifying concern that transcended political, religious and ethnic differences.

“If there is one issue that will unite Nigerians, it is health, because health has no political party, has no citizenship, has no nationality, has no tribe, no religion. It is a great unifier,” he said.

Group targets 10,000 supporters

Arewa for Asiwaju, a political support group backing President Bola Tinubu’s re-election bid, has set a target of mobilising 10,000 supporters from the 19 northern states and the Federal Capital Territory for the flag-off of his 2027 campaign in Kaduna State.

The group said the mobilisation was aimed at demonstrating its organisational strength and consolidating grassroots support for Tinubu’s second-term bid.

In a statement issued on Thursday, the group’s Head of Media Relations, Edwin Olofu, and Director-General, Mohammed Badaru, said the target reflected the movement’s determination to mobilise supporters across the North and the FCT.

Source: punchng.com

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