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Food imports soar 45% as local production falters

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Food and beverage imports increased to N677.3bn in the first half of 2025, a 44.48 per cent rise from N468.76bn in the same period of 2024, prompting renewed calls for stronger government support to enhance local industry capacity and reduce dependency on imports.

Data from the National Bureau of Statistics showed that while the value of primary food and beverage imports mainly for household consumption surged, the value of processed food and beverages consumed by households recorded a marginal 1.85 per cent decline, falling from N699.58bn in H1 2024 to N686.81bn in H1 2025.

Meanwhile, primary food and beverage imports mainly for industrial use grew in six months by 1.37 per cent from N969.22bn to N982.49bn, while processed imports for industrial use rose by 7.28 per cent from N984.16bn to N1.06tn in the same period.

This came as members of the Organised Private Sector who spoke to The PUNCH in separate phone interviews linked the surge in food imports to weak local production, insecurity, inconsistent agricultural policy, and consumer preference for imported products perceived to have better quality and availability.

Trust deficiency

The Chairman of the Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry, Agricultural and Allied Group, Tunde Banjoko, said the figures reflected a lack of trust in locally produced raw materials and food items.

“From this data, what one can simply infer is that people trust the quality and integrity of imported raw materials, foodstuff, and beverages for household consumption more than what is being produced locally,” he said.

Banjoko noted that factors such as price competitiveness, quality control, and availability played significant roles in shaping consumer preferences.

He added, “We are still battling with inadequate funding to do things properly the way they ought to be done. The quality of our seedlings, the use of chemicals, and our production processes are still affecting the overall output.”

The LCCI agric group chief added that the country’s poor storage systems and weak commodity boards had worsened the problem, leading to seasonal shortages of local produce.

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He advised the Federal Government to establish stronger funding mechanisms for agribusinesses and guarantee offtake systems through commodity boards to stabilise supply. “We need to get proper storage and make them available.

Commodity boards need a guarantee of offtake so that these products can be available, stored properly, and made available to the market when needed,” Banjoko stressed.

He maintained that the government must act to ensure businesses are scalable and interesting to local producers so that they can compete effectively. With the right policies, these numbers should begin to drop and ease pressure on foreign exchange,”

Insecurity crippling output

The President of the Association of Small Business Owners of Nigeria, Dr Femi Egbesola, explained that insecurity and low technological adoption in agriculture were among the main reasons Nigeria continued to rely on food imports.

Egbesola said, “Most of the farmers are no longer on the farms because of insecurity. Many farmlands have been deserted. That is where the primary products come from. It is when the farmers plant and harvest. That is when the manufacturers and other users can buy from them and use them as their inputs. This time, many of the farms are deserted.”

He noted that Nigeria’s agricultural productivity remained far below global standards due to the use of outdated tools and practices.

“For instance, what it takes to produce 10 tons of cassava in Nigeria requires about 30 acres of land, whereas in the Netherlands, the same 10 tons come from just three plots. That shows how far behind we are in technology use,” he said.

He urged the government to integrate technology into farming, upgrade peasant farmers, and invest in agricultural mechanisation to close the production gap.

“To Small and Medium-sized Enterprises, this wide gap presents investment opportunities. It’s a sign that there is strong business potential in local production if we can look inward and bridge these deficits,” Egbesola said.

The Director of the Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise, Dr Muda Yusuf, attributed the rise in food and beverage imports partly to government import waivers and increased demand for staple foods such as wheat-based products.

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“The biggest driver of food imports is in the wheat value chain; bread, pastries, and noodles, which are staple foods in Nigeria,” Yusuf explained.

He said the Federal Government’s 180-day waiver to import maize and brown rice in 2024 had influenced the 2025 figures, as many of those imports entered the country early this year. “Another factor is that the data are in naira terms, and with currency depreciation, the import values appear higher even if the physical quantities are not significantly more,” he added.

Yusuf advised the government to focus on improving agricultural value chains, supporting wheat alternatives, and reducing policy inconsistencies that discourage local investors.

Purchasing power

Meanwhile, the Director-General of the Nigerian Association of Small and Medium Enterprises, Eke Ubiji, lamented rising economic hardship. He cautioned that the rising import figures did not suggest that Nigerians’ purchasing power had improved.

“I strongly doubt that these numbers mean consumers’ purchasing power has increased. Many people have reduced what they buy because of inflation,” Ubiji said.

The NASME chief noted that the growth in imports may reflect industrial demand rather than increased household consumption, as consumers have increasingly turned to smaller, cheaper product sizes.

He said, “Even people who were not used to eating instant noodles before are now eating them because that’s what their money can afford. The economy has forced consumers to adjust downward.”

Ubiji criticised government claims of improvement in living conditions, noting that essential food items remained unaffordable for many Nigerians.

Stakeholders agreed that reversing Nigeria’s growing reliance on food and beverage imports required coordinated policy action across the agricultural, manufacturing, and trade sectors.

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They urged the Federal Government to tackle insecurity, strengthen value addition in local production, incentivise agribusiness investment, and improve access to finance for farmers and processors.

Banjoko summed it up: “If we can make local production sustainable and competitive through funding, technology, and storage infrastructure, Nigeria can reduce its import dependence and ease pressure on foreign exchange.”

Fight for food security

The Federal Government has long battled to ensure food security in Nigeria. Official statistics have identified food inflation as a major aggravator of core inflation. Nigerians have found it increasingly difficult to access food over the past five years owing to import restrictions of the former President Muhammadu Buhari administration and insecurity.

The inflationary trend began to soften with the President Bola Tinubu administration’s national emergency on food security, which freed up import restrictions for 150 days on selected food items, including rice. Notably, local farmers decried the policy as reversing gains made in building the country’s self-sufficiency.

Whereas the Federal Government has lauded its efforts in executing the temporary import duty waiver for bringing down food prices, the rebased Consumer Price Index has also deemphasised the weight of food baskets in the inflation calculation.

Present food inflation figures are dropping, according to NBS data. As of September 2025, the food inflation rate was 16.87 per cent on a year-on-year basis. It was 20.9 percentage points lower compared to the rate recorded in September 2024 (37.77 per cent).

Stakeholders have warned of lingering risks to food supply and affordability. The PUNCH earlier reported that Nigeria’s agricultural import bill soared to N2.22tn in the first half of 2025, signifying more imported food to meet the growing needs of the local population.

Yet, farmers, rice millers, and stakeholders argued that the Federal Government’s policies are undermining local production and worsening food insecurity.

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Tax revenue hits N27tn after 113% surge – Report

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Nigeria’s tax collections have surged by 113 per cent in less than three years, rising from N12.3tn in 2023 to N27.1tn as of July 2026, the Nigeria Revenue Service has said.

The revenue authority attributed the sharp increase to the digitisation of the tax system, the enactment of four new tax reform laws, the transformation of the revenue service and an executive order aimed at closing loopholes in the tax system.

The NRS, in an internal report on the state of the Nigerian economy obtained by The PUNCH on Sunday, insisted that the country was moving from a period of severe macroeconomic distress towards a more stable and resilient economy following the implementation of a series of difficult reforms by the President Bola Tinubu administration.

“Tax collections more than doubled from N12.3tn in 2023 to N27.1tn as of July 2026 with the “digitisation of tax systems, four new tax reform laws, the transformation of the revenue service and an executive order that closed loopholes in the system.

“The Nigerian economy has moved decisively from acute macroeconomic distress toward a more stable and increasingly resilient footing,” the revenue service said.

The NRS attributed the development to what it described as Tinubu’s economic management acumen and determination to implement reforms under his administration’s Renewed Hope Agenda.

According to the report, the administration inherited four major economic distortions which had continued to undermine government revenue and economic growth.

It identified the challenges as “a fiscally unsustainable fuel subsidy regime, an opaque forex system that discouraged investment, a non-performing oil sector, and a tax base ‘far below its potential’.”

The revenue authority said the initial impact of the reforms created significant economic difficulties but maintained that the country’s major economic indicators had subsequently begun to improve.

It cited falling inflation, a turnaround in the balance of payments, increased crude oil production, the emergence of Nigeria as a net exporter of petroleum products and the more than doubling of tax collections as evidence of the recovery.

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The report also highlighted an increase in the minimum wage, saying it had doubled between 2023 and 2026.

It further cited estimates by the United Nations Children’s Fund showing that the number of out-of-school children had declined from 20 million to 18.3 million following government policies and incentives.

The NRS said the government’s naira-for-crude arrangement with the Dangote Petroleum Refinery and other domestic refineries had contributed to a major shift in Nigeria’s petroleum trade position.

According to the report, the arrangement had helped Nigeria move from being a net importer of petroleum products to becoming a net exporter after decades of dependence on imports.

It noted that Ghana had recently decided to pursue a similar policy in its petroleum sector. The report also said crude oil production had increased from about 1.2 million-1.3 million barrels per day in 2023 to 1.73 million barrels per day by July 2026.

It said the latest output was equivalent to 104 per cent of Nigeria’s OPEC quota. The increase in production is significant for government revenue because crude oil remains the country’s largest source of foreign exchange and a major contributor to public finances.

The NRS also pointed to developments in the capital market as another indication of improving economic confidence. It said the market capitalisation of the Nigerian Exchange had risen from N30.36tn in 2023 to N161tn in 2026, describing the increase as a source of wealth creation for millions of Nigerians who invest in the stock market.

The report attributed the market rally partly to improved macroeconomic credibility, the recapitalisation of banks and a growing pool of domestic institutional investment.

Nigeria’s external reserves also rose sharply during the period under review. According to the NRS report, reserves increased from an unrestricted $3.99bn in 2023 to $51.9bn as of July 2026, which it described as a 17-year high.

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The country’s balance of payments also moved from a $3.34bn deficit to a $2.38bn surplus in the first quarter of 2026, the report stated. Nigeria’s trade position similarly recorded a significant improvement, moving from a marginal surplus of N44.7bn to N7.55tn in the first quarter of 2026.

The composition of exports also showed some changes, with exports of other oil products, excluding crude, rising by 51 per cent year-on-year to N6.78tn during the first quarter.

The revenue service said improved investor confidence was also reflected in capital importation. Annual capital importation rose from $3.9bn in 2023 to $23.22bn in 2025, while inflows reached $10.37bn in the first quarter of 2026 alone.

The report said foreign portfolio investment had been particularly strong, while foreign direct investment had also improved. The increase in capital inflows, according to the NRS, reflected stronger investor confidence as economic reforms reshaped the operating environment.

The revenue service further highlighted the expansion of the compressed natural gas programme as part of the government’s response to the removal of the petrol subsidy.

According to the report, Nigeria had no large-scale CNG programme three years ago and depended heavily on imported petrol and diesel. By 2026, however, more than 100,000 vehicles had reportedly been converted to CNG, with more than $2bn in investment mobilised and over 10,000 jobs created.

The NRS estimated that CNG could reduce running costs by between 40 and 60 per cent compared with petrol. It said some commercial drivers had seen their monthly fuel bills fall from about N50,000 to N18,000 after converting their vehicles.

On agriculture and food security, it recalled that the administration declared a state of emergency on food security in July 2023 and subsequently introduced measures including the release of strategic grain reserves, the establishment of a N100bn National Agricultural Development Fund, fertiliser distribution and an agricultural mechanisation programme.

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Federal agricultural allocation rose from N228.4bn in 2023 to N826.5bn in the 2025 budget, according to the report. The NRS said food prices had fallen by about 50 per cent by March 2026, citing the Ministry of Agriculture.

However, it acknowledged that agriculture would require several planting seasons before increased government support could translate fully into higher production.

On public debt, the NRS acknowledged that Nigeria’s total debt stock had increased substantially, from N87.4tn in 2023 to N159.28tn in late 2025. However, it argued that the more important measure was the country’s debt relative to the size of its economy.

According to the report, the debt-to-GDP ratio declined from 38 per cent in 2023 to 35.5 per cent in 2025 and 32.3 per cent in 2026. The revenue service described the decline as the first sustained reduction in the ratio in more than a decade.

It also said debt servicing as a proportion of government revenue had declined from 68 per cent to an International Monetary Fund-projected 53 per cent.

The NRS said the combination of higher tax collections, increased oil production, stronger capital inflows, rising reserves and improved trade and balance of payments positions pointed to an economy that was gradually emerging from the severe pressures that followed the government’s early reforms.

The report nevertheless acknowledged that the gains came after what it described as “painful” adjustments and stressed that continued implementation of the reforms would be required to consolidate the recovery.

Source: punchng.com

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NLC demands N500k minimum wage, says current N70k minimum wage is no longer sustainable

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The Nigeria Labour Congress (NLC) says it will soon begin negotiations with the Federal Government for a new national minimum wage, insisting that the current N70,000 wage is no longer sustainable.

Speaking at the Rights of Workers Summit in Birnin Kebbi on Thursday, NLC President Joe Ajaero, represented by Deputy President Audu Titus Amba, said workers should prepare for fresh negotiations.

He argued that the current minimum wage could no longer meet workers’ basic needs amid rising inflation and the increasing cost of living.

“Anything less than N500,000 cannot cater for workers. The current minimum wage is due for review, and we will soon begin negotiations with the government,” he said.

Also speaking, Trade Union Congress (TUC) President Festus Osifo, represented by Secretary-General Nuhu Toro, said worsening economic conditions had eroded workers’ purchasing power.

He cited rising food prices, transport fares, rent and inflation as factors making the current wage inadequate.

President Tinubu signed the current national minimum wage bill into law on July 29, 2024, raising it from N30,000 to N70,000 per month. The legislation followed negotiations with organized labor and included a provision to review the wage structure every three years.

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See also  Two-year refining milestone: Fuel import spending crashes 54% to $6.7bn
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Ondo artisans beg FG for inclusion in empowerment programmes

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Artisans and skilled workers in Ondo State have appealed to the Federal Government to include them in various empowerment programmes under President Bola Tinubu’s Renewed Hope Agenda.

The artisans, under the aegis of the Artisan Defender and Empowerment Foundation, said over 25,000 members of the group had been neglected despite their support for the re-election of the President.

This was contained in a statement issued on Friday by the Chairman and General Secretary of the association, Engr. Ogundipe James and Adebayo Olugbenga, respectively.

According to the statement, the group was founded and registered with the Federal Government to promote the interests of Niger Delta artisans and skilled workers, adding that its members needed government support through empowerment initiatives.

The statement read, “It was evident, the neglect of the welfare and empowerment of over 25,000 artisans that this organisation controls, for which we are advocating better welfare, skills and vocational training, empowerment, workshops and recognition of political strength and weight the coalition commands in the voting structure.

“The deteriorating situation of artisan welfare, particularly in Ondo State, is why the body is seeking immediate attention, mostly empowerment and skills upgrading from the primary concerned government agencies—the Federal Ministry of Trade and Investment, Directorate of the Office of Humanitarian Affairs and Poverty Reduction, Small and Medium Enterprises Development Agency of Nigeria, Presidential Amnesty Programme, among others.

“The neglect of this very important organisation, which plays a vital role in employment and the growth of the national economy, will cause disagreement and affect political support that comes from this coalition group.”

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The statement urged the concerned Federal Government agencies to consider the proposals earlier submitted by the group to enhance the support of its members for the President’s administration.

The group stated, “We call on the agencies mentioned above, demanding immediate attention to the proposals that have earlier been sent to this parastatal.

“This is a public warning and general awareness that failure to listen to Niger Delta Artisan Forum’s demands will lead to a national protest and have huge political support consequences for the continuation of the Renewed Hope Agenda of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu come the 2027 election, if attention is not immediately given to the demands.”

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