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Net reserves jump 772% to $34.8bn in two years

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The Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria, Olayemi Cardoso, has said Nigeria’s net foreign exchange reserves rose sharply to $34.80bn at the end of 2025, representing a 772 per cent increase from $3.99bn recorded at the end of 2023, and signalling what he described as a significant strengthening in the country’s external buffers.

In a press statement issued by the CBN on Monday, the apex bank said the improvement in both gross and net reserves reflected “stronger external sector fundamentals and sustained policy reforms.”

Gross reserves refer to the total stock of foreign assets held by the Central Bank of Nigeria, including foreign currencies, gold, and other external assets. Net reserves, however, strip out short-term liabilities and obligations, providing a clearer picture of the portion of reserves that is readily available to defend the naira and meet external commitments.

Cardoso had earlier disclosed at the post-Monetary Policy Committee briefing on February 24, 2026, that Nigeria’s gross external reserves stood at $50.45bn as of February 16, 2026. Providing further clarity over the weekend, he said the net foreign exchange reserves as of the end of December 2025 rose to $34.80bn.

The press statement read, “The Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria, Mr Olayemi Cardoso, has stated that Nigeria’s gross and net foreign reserves showed significant improvement at the end of 2025, reflecting stronger external sector fundamentals and sustained policy reforms.

“Following his disclosure at the post-Monetary Policy Committee press briefing on Tuesday, February 24, 2026, where he said the country’s gross external reserves stood at $50.45bn as of February 16, 2026, Mr Cardoso, at the weekend, said the net foreign exchange reserves, as of the end of December 2025, rose to $34.80bn.”

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According to the CBN governor, the figures “emphasised the benefits of increased transparency and credibility in foreign exchange management, boosting investor confidence, attracting stronger FX inflows, and improving reserve management practices aimed at preserving capital, ensuring liquidity, and supporting long-term sustainability.”

He noted in the statement that the improvement represents “a substantial strengthening in both the level and quality of Nigeria’s external buffers over the past three years.”

The statement disclosed that net reserves increased sharply from $3.99bn at the end of 2023 to $34.80bn at the close of 2025, which the governor described as a fundamental improvement in reserve quality. He added that the 2025 net reserve position alone exceeded the total gross reserves recorded at the end of 2023, which stood at $33.22bn.

Cardoso further stated that net reserves rose from $23.11bn at the end of 2024 to $34.80bn at the end of 2025. Over the same period, gross external reserves increased to $45.71bn from $40.19bn, representing a rise of $5.52bn.

He said the expansion highlighted Nigeria’s enhanced capacity “to meet external obligations, support exchange rate stability and reinforce overall macroeconomic resilience.”

Describing the end-2025 reserve position as a strong validation of the bank’s ongoing reforms and external sector adjustments, Cardoso reaffirmed the commitment of the Central Bank of Nigeria to maintaining adequate reserve buffers.

He stated that the apex bank would continue “supporting orderly foreign exchange market operations, enhancing confidence in Nigeria’s external position and sustaining macroeconomic stability in line with its statutory mandate.”

The PUNCH earlier reported that the CBN governor disclosed that Nigeria’s gross external reserves hit the highest level in 13 years by mid-February 2026.

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Speaking during the Monetary Policy Committee briefing in Abuja last week, Cardoso said the reserve build-up was supported by favourable trade developments, a healthy current account surplus, rising non-oil exports, and increased diaspora remittances.

He attributed the gains to improved market confidence. “Underpinning all this, quite frankly, is market confidence. Without market confidence, no matter what you do, you’ll find you will significantly sub-optimise,” Cardoso said.

He added that the CBN had engaged widely with international investors, made commitments, and ensured policy consistency to engender positive market sentiment.

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Revenue boom: World Bank faults states’ spending priorities, read full details

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The World Bank has criticised the spending priorities of Nigerian state governments, warning that increased revenues following recent economic reforms have not translated into proportionate investments in education, healthcare and social protection.

The global lender observed that although states had increased spending on essential public services, investments in transport infrastructure had grown considerably faster, even in states with poor human development indicators.

A Senior Economist at the World Bank Nigeria Office, Gloria Joseph-Raji, raised the concerns on Tuesday in Abuja during the launch of BudgIT’s 2026 State of States Report, themed ‘From Allocation to Impact: Rethinking State Spending Priorities.’

She said, “Spending on education, health, and social protection has also risen substantially, but it has not kept pace with the rapid growth in transport infrastructure spending, even in states with weaker human capital outcomes.”

Joseph-Raji explained that the bank’s October Nigeria Development Update, which examined budget implementation reports from all 36 states, found that governments had expanded transport infrastructure and reduced their debt burdens, particularly domestic debt, following increased fiscal allocations.

She attributed the revenue growth to petrol subsidy removal, exchange rate unification and improvements in tax administration since 2023, alongside federal intervention funds and the settlement of longstanding obligations to states.

According to her, the additional resources have enabled states to meet salary obligations and created opportunities for improved public service delivery.

However, she warned that excessive dependence on Federation Account allocations continued to expose state finances to fluctuations in federally shared revenue.

“In 2025, federation transfers accounted for more than three-quarters of revenue in all but a handful of states,” she said.

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She disclosed that federation transfers accounted for 73 per cent of aggregate state revenues between 2021 and 2025, excluding Lagos, while internally generated revenue was sufficient to cover recurrent expenditure in only two states.

Joseph-Raji noted that states received 26.72 per cent of net Federation Account revenues and now received 55 per cent of Value Added Tax revenue under the revised sharing formula.

Meanwhile, BudgIT’s Country Director, Vahyala Kwaga, disclosed that aggregate revenue across the 34 states covered in its comparative analysis rose from N4.99tn in 2022 to N15.53tn in 2025, representing an increase of N10.54tn.

He said FAAC allocations increased by more than 232 per cent, from N3.43tn to N11.38tn during the period.

Despite the revenue growth, Kwaga disclosed that the states had spent only N8.60tn, representing 24.4 per cent of their combined N35.22tn approved budgets, by June 2026.

“We must also examine how effectively they deploy the resources available to them, what they prioritise and whether their spending is delivering the outcomes that citizens need,” he said.

He explained that BudgIT had revised its assessment methodology to place greater emphasis on spending in education, healthcare, agriculture, water and sanitation, alongside revenue performance and debt sustainability.

Presenting the report, BudgIT’s Head of Research and Policy Advisory, Adejoke Akinbode, disclosed that total debt across the 35 states assessed increased by 10.41 per cent, from N10.57tn in 2024 to N11.67tn in 2025.

She identified Lagos as the most indebted state, with N2.9tn, while Osun spent N100.17bn servicing debt, equivalent to 28.6 per cent of its revenue.

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Akinbode said Lagos ranked first in overall fiscal sustainability, followed by Enugu, Bayelsa, Delta and Kebbi, while Cross River ranked last. Rivers was excluded because of inadequate fiscal data.

She urged states to reduce administrative costs, strengthen revenue collection and link borrowing to productive investments.

In her keynote address, an economist and lecturer at Amadeus University, Abia State, Dr Iboro Nelson, argued that rising government revenues had failed to compensate households for the economic hardship associated with recent reforms.

She disclosed that states collectively budgeted N1.32tn for healthcare in 2024 but spent N816.64bn, while education expenditure stood at N1.61tn against N2.41tn budgeted.

According to her, average annual spending per resident amounted to N3,483 on healthcare and N6,981 on education, equivalent to approximately N290 and N582 monthly, respectively.

“This is actually not fiscal space, but fiscal illusion,” she said.

Nelson blamed weak budget implementation, unrealistic expenditure projections, overlapping projects and excessive recurrent costs for the limited developmental impact of rising allocations.

Also speaking, a Programme Manager at the Ford Foundation’s West Africa Office, Joy Ehinor-Esezobor, urged governments to measure fiscal success by improvements in citizens’ lives rather than revenue growth or rankings.

“The ultimate measure of success should not simply be a better fiscal ranking, but better services and improved living conditions,” she said.

The programme is seeking to establish a framework for developing Nigeria’s underutilised small hydropower resources through private investment and public-private partnerships.

Source: punchng.com

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Otti woos US investors to Abia

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Governor Alex Otti of Abia State has concluded plans to bring investors, business leaders, policymakers, development partners, diplomatic representatives and entrepreneurs to the state to explore investment opportunities and strengthen commercial relations between Africa and the United States.

In a statement he signed and issued to newsmen on Sunday, the Chief of Staff to the Governor, Pastor Caleb Ajagba, disclosed that the Abia State Government had unveiled plans to attract American and other international investors to the state through the 2026 edition of the African Diaspora Conference and Expo, AFRICANDO, scheduled for this month.

Ajagba said, “AFRICANDO is a platform for translating international economic engagement into concrete investments and commercial partnerships. The state government is working with the organisers to ensure that the conference goes beyond speeches and networking to facilitate transactions, business agreements and sustainable investment.”

According to him, the 2026 edition, with the theme, “Deepening U.S.–Africa Commercial Ties in the Era of AfCFTA,” would connect investment opportunities in Abia and other African markets with American capital, technology, expertise and international distribution networks.

He added, “The African Continental Free Trade Area, AfCFTA, presents opportunities for African businesses to expand beyond their domestic markets, while international partnerships could help them improve production capacity and competitiveness.

“Abia is strategically positioned to benefit from the initiative because of its manufacturing and entrepreneurial base, particularly in Aba, which is known for indigenous manufacturing, commerce and craftsmanship.”

Ajagba added that Otti’s administration “is investing in infrastructure, strengthening public institutions and improving the business environment to position the state as a destination for private investment.”

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He explained that international delegates and prospective investors would be encouraged not only to attend conference sessions but also to visit strategic economic locations, manufacturing clusters, enterprises and government-backed projects to assess investment opportunities firsthand.

He said the approach was intended to give participants a practical understanding of the state’s economic potential and create opportunities for direct engagement with local businesses and relevant government agencies.

“AFRICANDO 2026 is not exclusively an Abia event. It is an international economic platform being hosted in Abia State,” he continued.

He listed agriculture and agro-processing, manufacturing, consumer goods, energy, financial services, healthcare, transportation and logistics, science and technology, artificial intelligence and emerging technologies among the sectors expected to receive attention.

A major feature of the conference, he said, would be a structured Deal Room and Investment Marketplace, where investment-ready projects from Abia and participating businesses would be presented to prospective investors.

Source: punchng.com

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Personal loans hit new high N1.99tn

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Nigerians’ outstanding personal loans increased by an estimated N58.5bn in the second quarter of 2026, reaching N1.99tn at the end of June, as households faced persistent inflationary pressures and high borrowing costs.

An analysis by The PUNCH of the Central Bank of Nigeria’s Second Quarter 2026 Economic Report showed that personal loans rose by 3.03 per cent from approximately N1.93tn recorded at the end of March.

The development came as total consumer credit increased by 3.26 per cent to N3.17tn from N3.07tn in the preceding quarter, representing an increase of about N100bn within three months.

The CBN stated, “Consumer credit outstanding increased by 3.26 per cent to N3.17tn, from N3.07tn in the preceding quarter. The increase reflected growth in both retail and personal loans, which rose by 4.10 per cent and 3.03 per cent, respectively.”

According to the report, personal loans accounted for 62.87 per cent of total consumer credit, while retail loans constituted the remaining 37.13 per cent.

This means that nearly N63 out of every N100 owed by consumers to financial institutions was classified as personal borrowing, highlighting its dominance in the consumer credit market.

Retail loans also increased by approximately N46.5bn to N1.18tn at the end of June, compared with an estimated N1.13tn in March, representing quarterly growth of 4.10 per cent.

Although retail loans recorded a faster percentage increase, personal loans contributed more to the outstanding stock of consumer credit.

The increase in personal borrowing occurred amid renewed inflationary pressures, which continued to affect household purchasing power.

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The CBN reported that headline inflation rose to 15.91 per cent in June 2026 from 15.38 per cent in March, reflecting increases in the prices of essential goods and services.

The report attributed the development largely to higher energy and commodity prices associated with geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which increased production and transportation costs.

These conditions placed additional pressure on household expenditure, particularly for consumers whose incomes had not increased sufficiently to offset rising prices.

However, the report did not establish whether the increase in personal loans was driven primarily by household financial difficulties, consumption needs or improved access to credit.

The growth in consumer borrowing also occurred despite elevated lending rates in the banking sector.

 

 

According to the CBN, the average prime lending rate declined marginally to 19.01 per cent in Q2 from 19.37 per cent in the preceding quarter.

In contrast, the maximum lending rate increased slightly to 34.37 per cent from 34.34 per cent, indicating that borrowing remained expensive for some categories of bank customers.

Although these rates reflect broader banking sector lending conditions rather than specific personal loan charges, they provide an indication of the financing environment confronting borrowers.

A recent report ‘Enhancing Financial Inclusion & Advancement’ noted that four in every 10 Nigerians borrowing from formal financial institutions now take loans mainly for consumption and coping needs, as rising financial pressures increasingly push credit away from productive activities.

The ‘2026 Access to Financial Services in Nigeria Survey’ revealed that 40.8 per cent of formal borrowers used loans for coping and consumption, up sharply from 31.7 per cent in 2023.

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The 9.1 percentage-point increase made coping and consumption the largest purpose of formal credit, overtaking productive enterprise borrowing, which fell from 40.2 per cent to 34.3 per cent during the same period.

Borrowing for household assets also declined from 25.2 per cent to 23.4 per cent. The report warned, “Coping/consumption purposes rose from 31.7 per cent to 40.8 per cent; productive purpose fell from 40.2 per cent to 34.3 per cent. We need to ensure that credit builds productive capacity and does not produce distress.”

Formal credit use increased from six per cent of adults in 2023 to 10 per cent in 2026, with about 11.9 million Nigerians borrowing from regulated providers. When informal sources were included, 36 per cent of adults had access to some form of credit.

Credit use among informally employed Nigerians tripled from five per cent to 15 per cent, while borrowing among people aged 18 to 35 rose from four per cent to 10 per cent. Business owners recorded an increase from four per cent to 10 per cent, while farmers rose from two per cent to six per cent.

Source: punchng.com

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