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2027 battle: Rivers crisis escalates as top APC govs back Fubara

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Moves by the Minister of the Federal Capital Territory, Nyesom Wike, to scuttle the 2027 re-election bid of his successor, Rivers State Governor Siminalayi Fubara, appear to have suffered a setback as several All Progressives Congress governors rallied behind the embattled Fubara.

Multiple sources in the APC confirmed to The PUNCH on Monday that the renewed hostilities between Wike and Fubara were ignited by some top APC governors’ decision to back Fubara’s second term bid, a development the FCT minister found galling and is bitterly opposed to.

The latest development was further compounded by the APC leadership’s endorsement of Fubara, who appeared to have endeared himself to the party’s top echelons, many of whom have been praising his projects across the state.

Trouble reportedly started when forces loyal to Wike attempted to back the erstwhile National Secretary of the Peoples Democratic Party, Samuel Anyanwu, as the next governor of Imo State without consulting Governor Hope Uzodimma.

The move reportedly infuriated Uzodimma, who is also the Chairman of the APC governors. Following the development, some APC governors reportedly began to mobilise other colleagues against the FCT minister.

“The plan is to weaken the FCT minister in his home state and reduce his influence and political power. This was further compounded by the fact that Wike is reportedly not favoured by some powerful members of the Tinubu administration. So, some APC governors mobilised their colleagues to support Fubara, and the result is what is playing out in the form of the renewed hostilities between the two men,” a senior APC official told The PUNCH on Monday night.

Another insider disclosed that Fubara had been emboldened by the promised backing of the APC governors for his re-election bid, hence his readiness to challenge the FCT minister’s political strength in the state.

Meanwhile, the APC National Secretary, Ajibola Basiru, and Wike on Monday traded words over Rivers politics and the minister’s insistence that he would not support Fubara for a second term.

Basiru, in a statement, asked the ex-Rivers State governor to resign his ministerial position and focus on what he described as his obsession with Rivers State politics.

He said he was unfazed by what he termed veiled threats from the minister, insisting that his political background had prepared him to withstand intimidation.

Basiru had, in an exclusive interview with Sunday PUNCH, declared support for Fubara amid ongoing confrontations between him and Wike.

The APC scribe also cautioned the South-South Chairman of the APC, Victor Giadom, against derogatory remarks about Fubara or any other governor, stating that members of the National Working Committee of the party should not take sides in political crisis.

Giadom had said Fubara could not succeed in the state without Wike’s support.

While noting that Wike is the only dominant political figure in Gokana LG where he hails from, Giadom described the minister as a “dependable leader”, adding that his influence in the LG remained unchallenged and essential for any political inroad or success in the area.

“I guarantee, on behalf of my brothers, that the Gokana people are for Wike and Tinubu, and nobody will challenge Wike’s influence in Gokana.

“Gokana is a ‘no-go area’ for anybody, even the so-called Governor, for him to win anything in Gokana, he must pass through Wike,” the APC chieftain stated, a position that irritated Basiru, who, in a statement, berated Giadom for belittling Fubara.

Basiru, while speaking late last year, during the inauguration of the newly completed Permanent Secretaries’ Quarters at Elimgbu community in Obio-Akpor Local Government Area, called on the people of Rivers State to rally behind the ruling party and support President Bola Tinubu and Governor Fubara in the 2027 general elections.

Basiru also praised Fubara for what he described as commendable governance strides and quality project delivery.

However, Wike, during his “thank-you” visit to Oyigbo Local Government Area of Rivers State on Monday, warned Basiru to steer clear of the state’s politics.

“Let me warn those who come to Rivers State, because you have heard that we have N600bn, you come here, you collect, and you open your mouth to talk anyhow.

“I say it here, take this message to your National Secretary, leave Rivers State alone. Go and ask those who have done it before. Please don’t take our support for Mr President for granted. You have to be careful with the statements you make.

“Today, you are enjoying in Osun, you don’t know those who did the work. You are opening your mouth to talk about Rivers State. Anything you see, take it.

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“Go and ask other people what has happened to them before. If your hand burns, no be me burn am o (I’m not the now who burnt them). This state is a no-go area. Take the one you have taken, stop making unnecessary comments.”

Responding to Wike’s comments in a statement he personally signed on Monday, Basiru said the minister lacked the authority to interfere in the affairs of the ruling party, stressing that Wike was not a member of the APC.

Basiru maintained that contrary to Wike’s impression, he had the authority to oversee affairs of the APC across the country as the national secretary of the party.

He said, “From my record, he isn’t a member of APC. I don’t see which authority or temerity he has to be dabbling in APC affairs.

“I am the National Secretary of APC, and I don’t see any basis for him to be making comments about my activities either in Rivers State or in any part of Nigeria.

“As the National Secretary of the party, my activities aren’t confined to Osun State, contrary to his wrong impression.

“I am the head of the National Secretariat of the APC. So, he has no locus whatsoever to engage me in any political activity that concerns the APC until he joins the party.”

Basiru also dismissed allegations linking him to an alleged interest in Rivers State funds, describing the claims as baseless and inconsistent with his personal record.

“I take strong exception to his allusion that I am interested in the N600bn allocations of Rivers State. My records of service are those of integrity and commitment to service. I am not an opportunist, and I have never shied away from taking principled positions on any matter, no matter whose ox is gored.

“I am one of the young Nigerians who confronted military dictatorship. I can’t be bullied by anybody, no matter how highly placed. My records as National Secretary are above board, and I can’t be queried by somebody who isn’t a member of APC.’’

The prospect of Fubara seeking a second term has remained contentious following the political crisis in the state, which was triggered by a rift between the governor and Wike, his predecessor.

Following the intervention of Tinubu, a resolution was reportedly reached and signed by both parties. It was widely reported that a key aspect of the agreement was that Fubara would not seek re-election in 2027.

However, Basiru appeared to offer renewed hope to the governor, whom he described as one of the latest entrants into the APC.

Sequel to the political disagreements with Wike, Fubara officially left the PDP and joined the ruling APC on December 9, a move widely seen as a major political realignment ahead of the 2027 general elections.

The defection came shortly after several key members of the Rivers State House of Assembly also defected to the APC. Fubara’s switch effectively ended his long-standing ties with the PDP and positioned him as the APC’s leading figure in Rivers State.

In response, Wike has spent the past week criticising Fubara, accusing him of failing to honour agreements and questioning his prospects for re-election.

The FCT minister also claimed that Fubara lacked the support of the APC, insisting that he is being misled and would not win re-election as governor of the oil-rich state in 2027.

Backing the minister, APC National Vice Chairman for the South-South Zone, Victor Giadom, expressed support for Wike, stating that Fubara must contend with the former governor to secure re-election.

Basiru  admonished Wike against causing confusion in the ruling party, saying, “Finally, my advice to Nyesom Wike is that he cannot be in the Federal Executive Council of an APC government and be causing confusion within any organ or structure of the party at any level, using the leverage of that same office. The honourable thing to do is to resign his appointment as minister.’’

The APC scribe stated that Wike’s alleged efforts to destabilise the ruling party in Rivers State would not be tolerated, adding that he cannot bring the practices of the PDP into the APC.

Basiru added that he would not be intimidated by Wike’s empty threats.

“As to his veiled threat against me, let me remind Wike that he is not God and may be overplaying his political card. My faith is in God, and I will not succumb to cheap threats such as the one from Wike. I am one of the young Nigerians who confronted military rule, fighting for democracy, when the likes of Wike were nowhere in sight.

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“Let me also remind Nyesom Wike that his support for President Bola Ahmed Tinubu does not automatically make him a member of the APC. Millions of non-APC Nigerians also support Mr President, and his own is no different. His attempt to destabilise our party in Rivers State will not be tolerated, and he cannot bring the spirit of PDP into the APC.”

Reacting to the spat between Basiru and Wike, the Coalition for United Political Party National Secretary, Peter Ameh, praised the APC National Secretary for his boldness, claiming that Wike was undermining governance in both Rivers State and Nigeria as a whole.

Ameh stated, “He has been used by the APC in destroying his own party. Now he is no longer needed because the full gamut and structure of the party is now in the APC. So, what do they need him for? He is no longer needed. He has completed his assignment. The only thing he needs to do now is to join the APC and start taking instructions from the leader of the party, who is Fubara. He has to know that, based on the APC structure and their manifesto, the governor is the leader of the party.

“I do not cry or shed tears for either Fubara or for Wike. I think it is the game of President Tinubu, which he has played from day one, to make sure that he has two groups of people campaigning for him in River State, and to the detriment of the River State people who are supposed to be beneficiaries of good governance.’’

Defending Wike, Dr Chidi Lloyd, a former Chairman of Emuoha LGA, Rivers State, said Basiru couldn’t demand Wike’s resignation, saying it was the President who appointed him.

“He wasn’t the one who appointed the minister of the FCT, and cannot ask him to resign. I wish he could have said so before the 2023 elections. I wonder how many votes he gave to the All Progressives Congress in the State of Osun. You know, people forget easily. When they come to collect dollars, they forget where we are coming from.

‘’So, it’s normal, but I don’t want to believe that such a statement emanated from him. But it could be dollars because for you to get the attention of the Governor of Rivers State, you must abuse Nyesom Wike. And he forgets how the person he is talking to now, who has become his friend overnight, emerged as governor.”

Also, Chimelem Wodi, an ally of the minister, dismissed the APC scribe’s statement, arguing that only the President could ask Wike to resign.

“He has no right to say what he has said because he is not even active in his party. So, he has no such powers and I think he is trying to incur the wrath of Rivers’ people and well-meaning citizens of the state who collectively backed the FCT minister to represent them.

“Again, the FCT minister has not committed any crime, or whatsoever that will make Mr President disqualify him. Mr President has on several occasions said the FCT minister is a good man and a performer. Today, if you are talking about the best minister so far in terms of performance, Wike has done very well. So, I think the APC secretary is just a busybody,” he noted.

In a related  development, the Rivers State deputy governor, Prof. Ngozi Odu and  the Secretary to the Rivers State Government, Dr Benibo Anabraba, have resigned their  membership of the Peoples Democratic Party.

Odu formally registered as a member of the APC in her ward in Ogba/Egbema/Ndoni Local Government Area of the state.

She completed her e-registration at Akabuka, Ward 8, Unit 11 on Sunday and thereafter, undertook the tour of the six zones of the LGA to sensitise the people on the ongoing APC e-registration exercise.

This was contained in a statement issued in Port Harcourt on Monday by the Head of Press Unit, office of the deputy governor, Owupele Benebo.

Anabraba’s resignation was contained in a letter dated January 5, 2026, and addressed to the Chairman of Ward 1, PDP in Akuku-Toru Local Government Area of Rivers State.

The letter was submitted through the party’s ward office at Bob-Manuel’s Compound, Abonnema, the council headquarters in Rivers State.

The SSG said his decision to withdraw from the PDP was purely personal, even as he expressed gratitude to the PDP for the political leverage and opportunities he enjoyed during his period of membership.

Meanwhile, former Ambassador to South Korea and Coordinator, Renewed Hope Ambassadors in Rivers State, Desmond Akawor, has said that the development of Oyigbo Local Government Area in Rivers State has been stalled under Governor Fubara.

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Akawor stated this on Monday during the FCT minister’s visit to Oyigbo LGA.

He said that the people of the area elected Governor Fubara with the belief that he would continue from where Wike stopped in developing the area.

“Permit me to speak frankly. If these things are not said now, they may never be said. We elected Governor Siminalayi Fubara with the expectation that Oyigbo would benefit meaningfully from development.

“Your Excellency, development in Oyigbo has stalled. We have not moved an inch forward. The only tangible benefit Oyigbo has received is a commissioner’s slot, which was given to me. Beyond that, nothing substantial has come to our people, “ Akawor stated.

Speaking on the N600 billion in the state treasury, he warned that Oyigbo must not be excluded from the utilisation of the funds.

Rivers elders

Prominent Niger Delta activist and member of the Rivers State Elders Forum, Ann Kio-Briggs, took a swipe at Wike over his recent comments against Fubara.

Kio-Briggs described Wike’s vow not to allow Fubara to seek reelection in 2027 as both a threat to Rivers State and the people and therefore unacceptable.

She said, “Let me put it like this, Nyesom Wike is a former Governor of Rivers State. He is a son of Rivers State. Wike is the Minister of the Federal Capital and a member of the Peoples’ Democratic Party. Nobody can claim that any one individual has 100 per cent support in any state in Nigeria, in any place in the world.

“You cannot have 100 per cent support even when you put a gun to somebody’s head, the support is not 100 per cent.

“The minister is not the owner of Rivers State. He doesn’t own Rivers State, and he doesn’t own the people of Rivers State. At least, given this preamble, nobody can claim that the present governor is not the Governor of Rivers State; nobody can claim how many people can vote for him or cannot vote for him. But as of today, the Governor of Rivers State, Sir Siminalayi Fubara, has the majority of votes of the people of Rivers State.”

On the FCT minister’s moves to stop Fubara from contesting the 2027 polls, Kio-Briggs added, “It’s almost like a threat that Siminalayi Fubara is not going to come back; it’s actually a threat to Rivers State itself, and it is also a threat to the people of Rivers State themselves, and it is not acceptable.

“It is unfair to the people of Rivers State who are being put through this because of political ambition. The people of Rivers State that I know and that I’m in touch with as of today, the majority of the people are in support of the present Governor of Rivers State, Sir Siminalayi Fubara.

“And what I know is that what the Rivers people want is peace. We want peace in our state, and the people of Rivers State want to be allowed to choose a man or woman of their choice, and if at the end of the day Sir Siminalayi Fubara is the choice of the people, it is only if God allows anybody that they can overturn that choice of the people.

“But I think that any true son or daughter of Rivers State should want peace and tranquillity in our state, no matter the political party you belong to.”

A former Lagos APC spokesman, Joe Igbokwe, expressed concern over the altercation between Wike and Basiru, urging for unity within the party.

In a Facebook post on Monday, Igbokwe wrote, “The altercations between Hon Minister FCT, Nyesom Wike, and the National Secretary APC Nigeria , Ajibola Basiru, is totally uncalled for and unnecessary. It is a needless distraction.

“If, out of annoyance, you remove your cap and throw it away, a madman will pick and use it forever. This misunderstanding is totally uncalled for. Let it cease to exist now. We have a job to do. All hands should be on deck. Wike is a strong man in this government; you ignore him at your own peril. Wike is a huge pillar and an asset in the APC. He has been an LGA chairman, a minister, a former governor and FCT Minister. He is a big pillar in this government. He has a lot to bring to the table.”

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Nigeria @66: No ambition worth setting Nigeria ablaze, Bamidele warns politicians

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The Senate Leader, Senator Opeyemi Bamidele, has warned politicians against inflammatory rhetoric and other actions that could threaten Nigeria’s peace ahead of the 2027 general elections.

Bamidele, who is also the Chairman of the South-West Caucus in the National Assembly, urged political parties and their candidates to conduct their campaigns peacefully and in accordance with the Electoral Act, 2026 and the 1999 Constitution, as amended.

The Ekiti lawmaker spoke in a statement issued in Abuja on Thursday to commemorate Nigeria’s 66th Independence Anniversary.

He acknowledged the right of political actors to exercise their political rights, but said such rights must be exercised within the confines of the law.

Bamidele warned that political freedom did not extend to hate speech, inflammatory comments or actions capable of triggering political unrest and ethno-religious violence before, during and after the elections.

He said, “The exercise of political rights at this defining moment should be guided by the rules of the electoral contest and not by the rules of the jungle. While every aspiration is legitimate in a democracy, it should be pursued with decorum, patriotism and utmost restraint.

“No ambition is worth setting the nation ablaze. As we mark our 66th anniversary of political freedom and prepare for the 2027 elections, political parties and their candidates must conduct their activities within the ambit of the law.

“Nigeria is our collective heritage. She is greater than the political ambition of any party or candidate. Our activities must be conducted to preserve our collective heritage and not destroy what we have sustainably built.

“As political parties and their candidates campaign across the states of the federation and unveil their agenda for the future of our fatherland, such an agenda must align with the wishes and aspirations of our founding fathers.”

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The Senate Leader’s warning comes as political parties and their candidates intensify preparations for the 2027 elections, with campaigns expected to dominate the political space in the months ahead.

The electioneering period has also been accompanied by reports of intimidation and the activities of political thugs in some parts of the country, raising concerns over the conduct of the elections.

Bamidele therefore urged political actors to prioritise national unity and democratic stability over personal and partisan ambitions.

He said Nigeria’s 66 years of independence should remind political leaders of the need to protect the country’s unity and democratic institutions as they seek electoral mandates.

Source: punchng.com

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Wike reveals he’ll resign if Tinubu loses FCT, Rivers in 2027, read details

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The Minister of the Federal Capital Territory, Mr Nyesom Wike, has declared that he will step down from his cabinet position if President Bola Tinubu fails to secure victory in both the FCT and Rivers State in the 2027 presidential election.

Speaking during an engagement with leadership and members of the Apo Mechanics and Traders Association in Abuja, Wike stated that his continued tenure as a cabinet minister is directly tied to his ability to deliver political results for the President in his primary areas of influence.

In a statement issued on Wednesday by the Senior Special Assistant on Public Communication and Social Media to the minister, Lere Olayinka, Wike said that should the ruling party lose in the FCT and Rivers State at the presidential poll scheduled for January 16, 2027, he will formally tender his resignation the very next day.

“If I cannot deliver where I work, then I’m not worthy to be here,” Wike said, emphasising that his political mandate required concrete electoral success.

“If I lose FCT, I’m not supposed to be FCT Minister.

By January 17, 2027, I will announce my resignation as FCT Minister should the President lose in Rivers State and the FCT,” he added.

Outlining his political strategy for the territory, Wike revealed that the administration was building a multi-party coalition to secure victory across various elective offices in the FCT.

He explicitly endorsed candidates across legislative tiers while reiterating total support for the President’s re-election bid.

“Let us be clear on direction: for the Presidency, it is Bola Ahmed Tinubu! For the Senate, Philip Aduda is a man of the people, unlike those who only appear on television. The two House of Representatives candidates we are supporting are also here. They are former Area Council chairmen.

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“In the FCT, we are running a unified coalition across parties to deliver results.

“If I cannot deliver FCT as minister, then I am not qualified to hold this office. We have a firm agreement, and today is the final affirmation,” Wike said.

Source: punchng.com

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Gombe 2027: Pantami, Mailantarki, Garry enter fresh PDP ticket battle

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CHIMA AZUBUIKE examines the political dynamics surrounding the fresh Gombe State governorship primary holding Tuesday (today), which pits former minister Isa Pantami against Khamisu Mailantarki and Usman Garry

Today, former Minister of Communications and Digital Economy, Prof. Isa Pantami; businessman and politician Khamisu Mailantarki; and Usman Garry will again hit the field to battle for the Peoples Democratic Party governorship ticket in Gombe State for the 2027 election. The fresh governorship primary election complies with an order by the Federal High Court sitting in Gombe. The court, in a judgment on September 24, nullified the May 26 primary that produced Pantami, directing the PDP to conduct another exercise within 30 days, in compliance with its Constitution, guidelines and relevant electoral laws.

The judgment delivered by Justice Amina Mohammed followed a suit filed by Usman Garry, a PDP governorship aspirant, who challenged the process through which Pantami emerged as the party’s candidate. Garry objected to the affirmation of Pantami as the standard-bearer of the Abdulrahman Mohammed-led faction and eventually filed a suit against the former minister. Garry had asked the court to set aside Pantami’s emergence because the PDP did not conduct a valid governorship primary in accordance with its rules and applicable electoral laws.

The Federal High Court nullified the process that produced Pantami and ordered the PDP to conduct a fresh primary. The court found problems with the process that produced Pantami and directed the party to repeat the exercise in accordance with its guidelines and applicable electoral laws.

Before joining the PDP, the former minister had sought the governorship ticket of the All Progressives Congress. When the APC settled on Jamilu Gwamna as its consensus candidate, Pantami withdrew from the contest and subsequently moved to the PDP. His arrival immediately altered the calculations within the opposition party.

Pantami’s impending movement to the PDP circulated while Mailantarki, Saleh Abdulkadir, Garry and Monica Kaltho were preparing for the party’s governorship contest.

Pantami will again slug it out with other aspirants, Mailantarki and Garry, who reject the former minister’s entry into the governorship ticket race.

Between Pantami, Mailantarki, and Garry

Pantami enters Tuesday’s contest as a politician whose national profile gives the primary a significance beyond the ordinary competition for a party ticket. A former Director-General of the National Information Technology Development Agency and former minister, Pantami boasts supporters who argue that his experience, networks and resources make him capable of mounting a serious challenge against the APC candidate, Gwamna.

Mohammed Kudu, a PDP chieftain, dismissed the capacity of some of the other aspirants to confront the governing party, describing Mailantarki, Saleh Abdulkadir and Garry as weak to confront the APC candidate.

Kudu said, “Who among Khamisu Mailantarki, Saleh Abdulkadir, Garry Usman has what it takes to challenge the APC? We recognise that Jamilu Gwamna is grassroots; hence, the only person that can face him, man to man, is Malam (Ali Pantami). He has made money as former Minister of Communications and Digital Economy, and as former Director-General of NITDA and as a visiting lecturer. Maybe Saleh Abdulkadir, who seems genuine, but you know he is not as wealthy as he used to be.”

He added, “He (Ali Pantami) has the capacity to defeat Gwamna of APC in a fair contest because he has international connections and he has built enough capital in both human and other resources that translate into wealth. All that will count in the build-up to the election.”

Kudu’s comments reflect one side of the political argument surrounding the PDP contest: that the party needs a candidate with sufficient political, financial and organisational resources to confront the APC.

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But that argument is contested by opponents of Pantami’s emergence.

For them, the issue is not simply whether Pantami possesses the resources or profile to contest the 2027 election. They question the circumstances surrounding his entry into the PDP and his rapid movement from APC aspirant to PDP governorship candidate.

Dr Maryam Abubakar, a policy analyst, described what she called the “unprecedented desperation” surrounding Pantami’s political journey.

She said, “How can you once say politics is dirty, only for late President Muhammadu Buhari to appoint you from NITDA to cabinet minister, and you suddenly forget your sermons where you lashed politics and politicians.”

Abubakar also questioned Pantami’s relationship with the APC before his defection.

She said the former minister, despite developing an interest in politics, failed to support the governing party sufficiently.

“Even when his interest began to manifest, he refused to empower the party members or support the party to achieve its mandate in the state. Instead, we started hearing rumours that Malam (Ali Pantami) was funding African Democratic Congress in Gombe but refused to identify with them publicly because of court cases ADC faced and alleged possible witch-hunt by the anti-graft body,” she added.

“How can you contest this week in APC and next week become a PDP candidate? It’s the height of desperation. As a technocrat and Islamic scholar, we expected a new order in the way of doing things, not doing things like regular politicians who lack ideals and purpose. What was baffling was allowing yourself to be a product of a corrupt process.”

So, the PDP held the May 26 primary amid misgivings. The decision to challenge the primary was therefore not unexpected.

Gombe’s political landscape is shaped by local structures and established political networks, while national visibility and access to influential political actors can also affect a candidate’s campaign.

The PDP’s choice will therefore be watched beyond the immediate party contest.

The Gombe PDP primary has consequently evolved from an ordinary intra-party contest into a test of how political ambition, party organisation and electoral law intersect.

Today’s exercise is, therefore, a bid to correct issues of the past. The PDP is now conducting a new nomination process, creating a fresh opportunity for all three cleared aspirants.

Although Saleh Abdulkadir was prominent in the initial contest and was mentioned among those who challenged Pantami’s emergence, the PDP’s current list of cleared aspirants for Tuesday’s primary comprises Pantami, Mailantarki and Garry.

That means the field has narrowed considerably from the wider contest that preceded the May primary.

Abdulkadir’s absence from the fresh contest further concentrates the battle among three political camps.

For the PDP, this may make the primary easier to organise, but it does not necessarily make the political dispute less complicated.

The principal disagreement remains over the process that brought Pantami into the party’s nomination race and the question of whether the fresh exercise can finally settle the matter.

For Pantami, it provides the opportunity to seek a new mandate from the party after his first nomination was nullified.

For Mailantarki and Garry, it offers the opportunity to challenge Pantami through a fresh process in which they have been cleared to participate.

And for the PDP, it presents another opportunity to conduct a process that can withstand judicial scrutiny.

Circumventing legalities

The legal questions surrounding Tuesday’s contest became complicated on September 24 when the Supreme Court restored provisions of the Electoral Act 2026 dealing with party membership registers and the nomination of candidates. The apex court upheld the validity of Sections 77(5), 77(6), 77(7) and 84(2), reversing the earlier Court of Appeal position that had voided the provisions.

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Section 77(5) requires that persons eligible to vote at party primaries must have their names contained in the membership register submitted to the Independent National Electoral Commission within the prescribed period.

The controversy followed the timing of Pantami’s movement from the APC to the PDP.

According to the account supplied by Gombe public affairs commentator, Chika Udenkwo, Pantami left the APC on May 19, while the APC primary was held on May 21 and the PDP primary took place on May 26.

Udenkwo therefore argues that the key question is not simply whether Pantami defected from the APC before the PDP primary.

The more precise question, he says, is whether Pantami’s name appeared in the PDP membership register submitted to INEC within the statutory period applicable to the May 26 primary.

He said, “Pantami left the APC on May 19. The APC primary followed on May 21. And on May 26, Pantami emerged from the PDP primary.”

He added, “The question now is not simply whether he had left the APC before joining the PDP. The more precise question is this: Was Pantami’s name contained in the PDP membership register submitted to INEC within the statutory period applicable to the May 26 primary?”

According to Udenkwo, if May 26 is used as the reference date, the 21-day period would take the relevant deadline back to May 5.

“That makes the documentary evidence critical. Was Pantami already a PDP member by that date? Was his name on the register submitted to INEC? When exactly was that register submitted? And was the same register actually used for the May 26 primary?” he asked.

Those questions, however, must be distinguished from the legal effect of the September 24 Supreme Court judgment itself.

The Supreme Court’s ruling restored the provisions; it did not, by itself, pronounce on Pantami’s individual eligibility for Tuesday’s Gombe primary.

As today’s fresh primary holds, one of the questions includes whether the party has complied with the applicable requirements for the new primary, including membership records, notice, screening, participation and its own guidelines.

The membership-register question could nevertheless become significant if a litigant argues that an aspirant or delegate was not properly qualified under the restored provisions.

On the contention, Udenkwo argued, “A victory on Tuesday would give Pantami a fresh nomination, not a reliance on the May 26 exercise that has already been nullified.

“But that victory would still have to survive any subsequent legal challenge—one based on compliance with the Electoral Act, the PDP Constitution, the court’s order, and the applicable membership register.”

He added, “In other words: winning the primary and establishing the legal validity of the nomination are related—but distinct—questions. That reasoning also applies to Mailantarki and Garry.

“If either defeats Pantami, the resulting nomination would equally be subject to the statutory and party requirements governing the fresh primary.”

For Mailantarki and Garry, Tuesday’s contest is an opportunity to reset a process that both have spent months challenging.

Their opposition to Pantami’s emergence was not limited to political statements. Their objections eventually formed part of the litigation that produced the Federal High Court’s order for a fresh primary.

The two now have to shift from challenging the previous process to competing within the new one. That presents a different political calculation.

Instead of asking the court to remove Pantami from a ticket already produced by the party, they must now persuade delegates or eligible party members to choose either of them over the former minister.

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The question therefore becomes whether the legal challenge has translated into political momentum.

Mailantarki’s position has also been affected by the withdrawal of Kaltho, who had initially been part of the challenge before later aligning with Pantami.

Kaltho’s movement altered the political arithmetic around the opposition to Pantami, leaving Mailantarki, Garry and Abdulkadir among the figures challenging the earlier emergence.

Whether that change will have an effect on Tuesday’s voting remains a political question to be answered by the primary.

A primary under scrutiny

The September 29 exercise is also taking place under a level of scrutiny that the May primary did not successfully withstand.

The Supreme Court, in its judgment, restored statutory provisions concerning party membership registers and nomination procedures.

Political observers are consequently watching not only the outcome but the process.

Tuesday’s primary presents a credibility test for the PDP.

The party has already experienced the consequences of an internal nomination process that ended in litigation.

The Federal High Court’s order provides the party with an opportunity to correct the procedural issues that led to the nullification of the earlier exercise.

Udenkwo said, “The question becomes whether the PDP has complied with the requirements applicable to this fresh primary: the membership register, notice, screening, delegate participation, and the party’s own constitution and guidelines.”

He added, “And here, the Supreme Court’s ruling makes the membership register particularly significant. The law does not merely require a party to maintain a register. It requires that register to be submitted to INEC within the prescribed period—and it restricts participation in the primary to persons whose names appear in it.”

Today, the PDP will have to be able to demonstrate compliance with the court order and the applicable electoral framework.

The scrutiny will extend to the eligibility of delegates, the party’s register and the conduct of the exercise.

Udenkwo said, “The Supreme Court has now made the statutory validity of Sections 77 and 84 clear. What it has not done is determine the factual circumstances of every candidate or every primary conducted before its judgment.”

“That leaves room for litigation—where an aspirant believes a party failed to comply with the membership-register requirements or other statutory conditions,” he added.

For now, however, the PDP’s immediate responsibility is to conduct the fresh exercise ordered by the Federal High Court.

For Pantami, Tuesday offers a second opportunity to secure the party’s ticket through a fresh primary. For Mailantarki and Garry, it offers a second opportunity to challenge him directly rather than through the previous process. For the PDP, it offers the chance to close a chapter that has already generated substantial internal disagreement and legal action.

But whether Tuesday finally closes that chapter will depend not only on who wins, but on how the party conducts the exercise.

The 2027 question

Tuesday’s primary cannot be viewed entirely in isolation from the wider 2027 contest.

The APC has already positioned Jamilu Gwamna as its candidate.

The contest is therefore framed along the line of having a candidate that can challenge the APC in the general election.

For Kudu, Pantami’s national profile and network give him the capacity to confront Gwamna.

But the argument also exposes one of the central issues before PDP delegates: whether the choice of candidate should be determined primarily by political experience, organisational structure, personal resources, grassroots networks, national connections or some combination of these factors.

Source: punchng.com

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