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2027 battle: Rivers crisis escalates as top APC govs back Fubara

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Moves by the Minister of the Federal Capital Territory, Nyesom Wike, to scuttle the 2027 re-election bid of his successor, Rivers State Governor Siminalayi Fubara, appear to have suffered a setback as several All Progressives Congress governors rallied behind the embattled Fubara.

Multiple sources in the APC confirmed to The PUNCH on Monday that the renewed hostilities between Wike and Fubara were ignited by some top APC governors’ decision to back Fubara’s second term bid, a development the FCT minister found galling and is bitterly opposed to.

The latest development was further compounded by the APC leadership’s endorsement of Fubara, who appeared to have endeared himself to the party’s top echelons, many of whom have been praising his projects across the state.

Trouble reportedly started when forces loyal to Wike attempted to back the erstwhile National Secretary of the Peoples Democratic Party, Samuel Anyanwu, as the next governor of Imo State without consulting Governor Hope Uzodimma.

The move reportedly infuriated Uzodimma, who is also the Chairman of the APC governors. Following the development, some APC governors reportedly began to mobilise other colleagues against the FCT minister.

“The plan is to weaken the FCT minister in his home state and reduce his influence and political power. This was further compounded by the fact that Wike is reportedly not favoured by some powerful members of the Tinubu administration. So, some APC governors mobilised their colleagues to support Fubara, and the result is what is playing out in the form of the renewed hostilities between the two men,” a senior APC official told The PUNCH on Monday night.

Another insider disclosed that Fubara had been emboldened by the promised backing of the APC governors for his re-election bid, hence his readiness to challenge the FCT minister’s political strength in the state.

Meanwhile, the APC National Secretary, Ajibola Basiru, and Wike on Monday traded words over Rivers politics and the minister’s insistence that he would not support Fubara for a second term.

Basiru, in a statement, asked the ex-Rivers State governor to resign his ministerial position and focus on what he described as his obsession with Rivers State politics.

He said he was unfazed by what he termed veiled threats from the minister, insisting that his political background had prepared him to withstand intimidation.

Basiru had, in an exclusive interview with Sunday PUNCH, declared support for Fubara amid ongoing confrontations between him and Wike.

The APC scribe also cautioned the South-South Chairman of the APC, Victor Giadom, against derogatory remarks about Fubara or any other governor, stating that members of the National Working Committee of the party should not take sides in political crisis.

Giadom had said Fubara could not succeed in the state without Wike’s support.

While noting that Wike is the only dominant political figure in Gokana LG where he hails from, Giadom described the minister as a “dependable leader”, adding that his influence in the LG remained unchallenged and essential for any political inroad or success in the area.

“I guarantee, on behalf of my brothers, that the Gokana people are for Wike and Tinubu, and nobody will challenge Wike’s influence in Gokana.

“Gokana is a ‘no-go area’ for anybody, even the so-called Governor, for him to win anything in Gokana, he must pass through Wike,” the APC chieftain stated, a position that irritated Basiru, who, in a statement, berated Giadom for belittling Fubara.

Basiru, while speaking late last year, during the inauguration of the newly completed Permanent Secretaries’ Quarters at Elimgbu community in Obio-Akpor Local Government Area, called on the people of Rivers State to rally behind the ruling party and support President Bola Tinubu and Governor Fubara in the 2027 general elections.

Basiru also praised Fubara for what he described as commendable governance strides and quality project delivery.

However, Wike, during his “thank-you” visit to Oyigbo Local Government Area of Rivers State on Monday, warned Basiru to steer clear of the state’s politics.

“Let me warn those who come to Rivers State, because you have heard that we have N600bn, you come here, you collect, and you open your mouth to talk anyhow.

“I say it here, take this message to your National Secretary, leave Rivers State alone. Go and ask those who have done it before. Please don’t take our support for Mr President for granted. You have to be careful with the statements you make.

“Today, you are enjoying in Osun, you don’t know those who did the work. You are opening your mouth to talk about Rivers State. Anything you see, take it.

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“Go and ask other people what has happened to them before. If your hand burns, no be me burn am o (I’m not the now who burnt them). This state is a no-go area. Take the one you have taken, stop making unnecessary comments.”

Responding to Wike’s comments in a statement he personally signed on Monday, Basiru said the minister lacked the authority to interfere in the affairs of the ruling party, stressing that Wike was not a member of the APC.

Basiru maintained that contrary to Wike’s impression, he had the authority to oversee affairs of the APC across the country as the national secretary of the party.

He said, “From my record, he isn’t a member of APC. I don’t see which authority or temerity he has to be dabbling in APC affairs.

“I am the National Secretary of APC, and I don’t see any basis for him to be making comments about my activities either in Rivers State or in any part of Nigeria.

“As the National Secretary of the party, my activities aren’t confined to Osun State, contrary to his wrong impression.

“I am the head of the National Secretariat of the APC. So, he has no locus whatsoever to engage me in any political activity that concerns the APC until he joins the party.”

Basiru also dismissed allegations linking him to an alleged interest in Rivers State funds, describing the claims as baseless and inconsistent with his personal record.

“I take strong exception to his allusion that I am interested in the N600bn allocations of Rivers State. My records of service are those of integrity and commitment to service. I am not an opportunist, and I have never shied away from taking principled positions on any matter, no matter whose ox is gored.

“I am one of the young Nigerians who confronted military dictatorship. I can’t be bullied by anybody, no matter how highly placed. My records as National Secretary are above board, and I can’t be queried by somebody who isn’t a member of APC.’’

The prospect of Fubara seeking a second term has remained contentious following the political crisis in the state, which was triggered by a rift between the governor and Wike, his predecessor.

Following the intervention of Tinubu, a resolution was reportedly reached and signed by both parties. It was widely reported that a key aspect of the agreement was that Fubara would not seek re-election in 2027.

However, Basiru appeared to offer renewed hope to the governor, whom he described as one of the latest entrants into the APC.

Sequel to the political disagreements with Wike, Fubara officially left the PDP and joined the ruling APC on December 9, a move widely seen as a major political realignment ahead of the 2027 general elections.

The defection came shortly after several key members of the Rivers State House of Assembly also defected to the APC. Fubara’s switch effectively ended his long-standing ties with the PDP and positioned him as the APC’s leading figure in Rivers State.

In response, Wike has spent the past week criticising Fubara, accusing him of failing to honour agreements and questioning his prospects for re-election.

The FCT minister also claimed that Fubara lacked the support of the APC, insisting that he is being misled and would not win re-election as governor of the oil-rich state in 2027.

Backing the minister, APC National Vice Chairman for the South-South Zone, Victor Giadom, expressed support for Wike, stating that Fubara must contend with the former governor to secure re-election.

Basiru  admonished Wike against causing confusion in the ruling party, saying, “Finally, my advice to Nyesom Wike is that he cannot be in the Federal Executive Council of an APC government and be causing confusion within any organ or structure of the party at any level, using the leverage of that same office. The honourable thing to do is to resign his appointment as minister.’’

The APC scribe stated that Wike’s alleged efforts to destabilise the ruling party in Rivers State would not be tolerated, adding that he cannot bring the practices of the PDP into the APC.

Basiru added that he would not be intimidated by Wike’s empty threats.

“As to his veiled threat against me, let me remind Wike that he is not God and may be overplaying his political card. My faith is in God, and I will not succumb to cheap threats such as the one from Wike. I am one of the young Nigerians who confronted military rule, fighting for democracy, when the likes of Wike were nowhere in sight.

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“Let me also remind Nyesom Wike that his support for President Bola Ahmed Tinubu does not automatically make him a member of the APC. Millions of non-APC Nigerians also support Mr President, and his own is no different. His attempt to destabilise our party in Rivers State will not be tolerated, and he cannot bring the spirit of PDP into the APC.”

Reacting to the spat between Basiru and Wike, the Coalition for United Political Party National Secretary, Peter Ameh, praised the APC National Secretary for his boldness, claiming that Wike was undermining governance in both Rivers State and Nigeria as a whole.

Ameh stated, “He has been used by the APC in destroying his own party. Now he is no longer needed because the full gamut and structure of the party is now in the APC. So, what do they need him for? He is no longer needed. He has completed his assignment. The only thing he needs to do now is to join the APC and start taking instructions from the leader of the party, who is Fubara. He has to know that, based on the APC structure and their manifesto, the governor is the leader of the party.

“I do not cry or shed tears for either Fubara or for Wike. I think it is the game of President Tinubu, which he has played from day one, to make sure that he has two groups of people campaigning for him in River State, and to the detriment of the River State people who are supposed to be beneficiaries of good governance.’’

Defending Wike, Dr Chidi Lloyd, a former Chairman of Emuoha LGA, Rivers State, said Basiru couldn’t demand Wike’s resignation, saying it was the President who appointed him.

“He wasn’t the one who appointed the minister of the FCT, and cannot ask him to resign. I wish he could have said so before the 2023 elections. I wonder how many votes he gave to the All Progressives Congress in the State of Osun. You know, people forget easily. When they come to collect dollars, they forget where we are coming from.

‘’So, it’s normal, but I don’t want to believe that such a statement emanated from him. But it could be dollars because for you to get the attention of the Governor of Rivers State, you must abuse Nyesom Wike. And he forgets how the person he is talking to now, who has become his friend overnight, emerged as governor.”

Also, Chimelem Wodi, an ally of the minister, dismissed the APC scribe’s statement, arguing that only the President could ask Wike to resign.

“He has no right to say what he has said because he is not even active in his party. So, he has no such powers and I think he is trying to incur the wrath of Rivers’ people and well-meaning citizens of the state who collectively backed the FCT minister to represent them.

“Again, the FCT minister has not committed any crime, or whatsoever that will make Mr President disqualify him. Mr President has on several occasions said the FCT minister is a good man and a performer. Today, if you are talking about the best minister so far in terms of performance, Wike has done very well. So, I think the APC secretary is just a busybody,” he noted.

In a related  development, the Rivers State deputy governor, Prof. Ngozi Odu and  the Secretary to the Rivers State Government, Dr Benibo Anabraba, have resigned their  membership of the Peoples Democratic Party.

Odu formally registered as a member of the APC in her ward in Ogba/Egbema/Ndoni Local Government Area of the state.

She completed her e-registration at Akabuka, Ward 8, Unit 11 on Sunday and thereafter, undertook the tour of the six zones of the LGA to sensitise the people on the ongoing APC e-registration exercise.

This was contained in a statement issued in Port Harcourt on Monday by the Head of Press Unit, office of the deputy governor, Owupele Benebo.

Anabraba’s resignation was contained in a letter dated January 5, 2026, and addressed to the Chairman of Ward 1, PDP in Akuku-Toru Local Government Area of Rivers State.

The letter was submitted through the party’s ward office at Bob-Manuel’s Compound, Abonnema, the council headquarters in Rivers State.

The SSG said his decision to withdraw from the PDP was purely personal, even as he expressed gratitude to the PDP for the political leverage and opportunities he enjoyed during his period of membership.

Meanwhile, former Ambassador to South Korea and Coordinator, Renewed Hope Ambassadors in Rivers State, Desmond Akawor, has said that the development of Oyigbo Local Government Area in Rivers State has been stalled under Governor Fubara.

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Akawor stated this on Monday during the FCT minister’s visit to Oyigbo LGA.

He said that the people of the area elected Governor Fubara with the belief that he would continue from where Wike stopped in developing the area.

“Permit me to speak frankly. If these things are not said now, they may never be said. We elected Governor Siminalayi Fubara with the expectation that Oyigbo would benefit meaningfully from development.

“Your Excellency, development in Oyigbo has stalled. We have not moved an inch forward. The only tangible benefit Oyigbo has received is a commissioner’s slot, which was given to me. Beyond that, nothing substantial has come to our people, “ Akawor stated.

Speaking on the N600 billion in the state treasury, he warned that Oyigbo must not be excluded from the utilisation of the funds.

Rivers elders

Prominent Niger Delta activist and member of the Rivers State Elders Forum, Ann Kio-Briggs, took a swipe at Wike over his recent comments against Fubara.

Kio-Briggs described Wike’s vow not to allow Fubara to seek reelection in 2027 as both a threat to Rivers State and the people and therefore unacceptable.

She said, “Let me put it like this, Nyesom Wike is a former Governor of Rivers State. He is a son of Rivers State. Wike is the Minister of the Federal Capital and a member of the Peoples’ Democratic Party. Nobody can claim that any one individual has 100 per cent support in any state in Nigeria, in any place in the world.

“You cannot have 100 per cent support even when you put a gun to somebody’s head, the support is not 100 per cent.

“The minister is not the owner of Rivers State. He doesn’t own Rivers State, and he doesn’t own the people of Rivers State. At least, given this preamble, nobody can claim that the present governor is not the Governor of Rivers State; nobody can claim how many people can vote for him or cannot vote for him. But as of today, the Governor of Rivers State, Sir Siminalayi Fubara, has the majority of votes of the people of Rivers State.”

On the FCT minister’s moves to stop Fubara from contesting the 2027 polls, Kio-Briggs added, “It’s almost like a threat that Siminalayi Fubara is not going to come back; it’s actually a threat to Rivers State itself, and it is also a threat to the people of Rivers State themselves, and it is not acceptable.

“It is unfair to the people of Rivers State who are being put through this because of political ambition. The people of Rivers State that I know and that I’m in touch with as of today, the majority of the people are in support of the present Governor of Rivers State, Sir Siminalayi Fubara.

“And what I know is that what the Rivers people want is peace. We want peace in our state, and the people of Rivers State want to be allowed to choose a man or woman of their choice, and if at the end of the day Sir Siminalayi Fubara is the choice of the people, it is only if God allows anybody that they can overturn that choice of the people.

“But I think that any true son or daughter of Rivers State should want peace and tranquillity in our state, no matter the political party you belong to.”

A former Lagos APC spokesman, Joe Igbokwe, expressed concern over the altercation between Wike and Basiru, urging for unity within the party.

In a Facebook post on Monday, Igbokwe wrote, “The altercations between Hon Minister FCT, Nyesom Wike, and the National Secretary APC Nigeria , Ajibola Basiru, is totally uncalled for and unnecessary. It is a needless distraction.

“If, out of annoyance, you remove your cap and throw it away, a madman will pick and use it forever. This misunderstanding is totally uncalled for. Let it cease to exist now. We have a job to do. All hands should be on deck. Wike is a strong man in this government; you ignore him at your own peril. Wike is a huge pillar and an asset in the APC. He has been an LGA chairman, a minister, a former governor and FCT Minister. He is a big pillar in this government. He has a lot to bring to the table.”

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Management reveals why OAU declined venue for Peter Obi lecture

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The management of the Obafemi Awolowo University, Ile-Ife, Osun State, on Sunday, explained why it declined approval of the proposed venue for an event, where the Labour Party presidential candidate in the 2023 general elections, Mr Peter Obi, was scheduled to deliver a lecture in the institution.

The clarification follows an alarm by Obi over what he described as a disturbing pattern of cancelled university engagements across Nigeria, warning that intellectual freedom in the country’s institutions of higher learning was increasingly under threat.

Providing details of the events that eventually led to the refusal to approve the request for the venue of the proposed event, OAU management, in a statement made available by the Public Relations Officer of the university, Abiodun Olarewaju, explained that the organisers of the lecture did not provide details of the calibre of the guest until Friday, just a day before the scheduled programme.

The OAU management further said the short notice made it impossible for it to carry out proper security and logistical arrangements necessary whenever high-calibre personalities are visiting the university.

“The general public is hereby informed that a particular group within the Students’ body extended an invitation to the former presidential candidate and two-term governor of Anambra State to deliver a lecture within the University premises.

“It is important to note that events involving high-profile personalities of such standing require adequate prior notification to the university authorities because it will enable the institution to make necessary logistical and security arrangements, including proper liaison with relevant security agencies such as the Nigeria Police and the Department of State Services (DSS), to ensure the safety of the guests, members of the university community and the general public.

“Consequently, given the short notice and the attendant inability to complete these critical arrangements, the university authorities could not approve the use of Oduduwa Hall for the event as requested by the organisers,” the statement signed by Olarewaju read.

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Insisting that the decision was taken purely in the interest of safety, orderliness and adherence to established protocols governing the use of university facilities, the management further said: “It is not, in any way, a reflection of disregard for the person or status of His Excellency, Peter Obi, whom the university holds in high esteem.”

The PUNCH reports that Obi, in a statement released on Saturday via X.com, said he was scheduled to deliver a keynote lecture at OAU, Ile-Ife, at 9 am, before proceeding to Ibadan for an opposition party’s political summit billed to commence at noon, when he received word that the event had been called off.

The former Anambra State governor said the development was far from an isolated occurrence, disclosing that similar cancellations had taken place on more than 10 separate occasions.

“While such occurrences may be dismissed in isolation, it is important to state clearly that this has now happened more than 10 times.

“This is no longer incidental; it points to a troubling pattern that should concern all well-meaning Nigerians,” he said.

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Jigawa PDP vows to contest all seats in 2027, dismisses defection rumours

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The Jigawa State chapter of the Peoples Democratic Party has said it will field candidates for all elective positions in the 2027 general elections, dismissing speculations of possible defections within its ranks.

The assurance comes amid growing political activity and rumours that the party’s 2023 governorship candidate, Mustafa Lamido, may defect to the ruling All Progressives Congress ahead of the next election cycle.

State Chairman of the party, Prof. Babandi Gumel, gave the assurance on Sunday while addressing a joint meeting of the State Working Committee and Local Government Chairmen at the PDP Secretariat in Dutse.

“The party will field candidates in all the elective positions during the forthcoming 2027 general elections,” Gumel said.

He dismissed claims that the party could collapse into another political platform, attributing the rumours to political opponents.

Gumel described the speculation as “the handiwork of political starters who have nothing to show in the area of provision of democratic dividends to the people in Jigawa State.”

He maintained that the PDP remains united and focused on reclaiming power in the state.

According to him, the party’s record in governance under former Governor Sule Lamido remains unmatched in Jigawa.

“PDP under the guidance, leadership and tutelage of Dr Sule Lamido is second to none to all parties in Jigawa when the issue of development of the state is being discussed,” he said.

The chairman also urged local government party leaders to intensify the ongoing electronic registration of members across the state.

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He charged them to “work assiduously round the clock to ensure all members are registered” to enable participation in the party’s primaries.

Gumel further announced the constitution of a 13-member committee to oversee the sale of nomination forms and screening of aspirants.

He directed interested aspirants to contact the committee at the party’s secretariat in Dutse.

The PDP, he added, is repositioning itself to compete strongly and win elections at all levels in 2027, despite ongoing political speculations.

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Read how power struggles threaten Ondo APC’s unity ahead of primaries

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The race to 2027 has begun, but within the Ondo APC, it is already turning into a battle of survival. Behind official assurances of unity lies a widening struggle for control, influence, and party tickets that could shape the state’s political direction long before the general election, writes PETER DADA

The Independent National Electoral Commission has scheduled political parties’ primaries for the 2027 general elections to hold between April 23 and May 30, 2026. The commission also directed parties to submit their digital membership registers at least 21 days before their respective primary dates—a process already underway.

In line with Section 84(2) of the Electoral Act 2026, political parties are required to adopt either direct primaries or the consensus method in selecting candidates for elective positions. This means all parties participating in the 2027 general elections must choose their flagbearers through one of the two approved modes.

Preparations have since gathered momentum, with aspirants declaring interest in presidential, governorship, National Assembly and state assembly contests. However, in Ondo State and seven other states with off-cycle governorship elections, only presidential, National Assembly and state assembly polls will be conducted.

In the Sunshine State, the All Progressives Congress remains the dominant political force, bolstered by a wave of defections from other parties. This dominance has fueled intense competition among aspirants, driven by the widespread belief that securing the party’s ticket significantly boosts chances of victory in the general election.

Despite this advantage, internal divisions persist within the party. Factions loyal to Governor Lucky Aiyedatiwa, Minister of Interior Olubunmi Tunji-Ojo, and supporters of the late former governor Rotimi Akeredolu continue to jostle for influence. However, none of the groups has openly opposed the re-election bid of President Bola Tinubu, indicating a shared front at the national level despite underlying state-level tensions.

With political parties required to adopt either the consensus or direct primary mode, there are growing concerns among some aspirants that neither option may favour those outside the governor’s camp. As a result, several contenders—particularly serving members of the National and State Assemblies—have reportedly taken their battle to Abuja, seeking automatic tickets from the All Progressives Congress leadership, amid fears that the state-controlled process may work against them.

Apart from Jimoh Ibrahim, who has since secured a diplomatic appointment, other incumbent federal lawmakers from Ondo State are said to be intensifying lobbying efforts at the Presidential Villa and the party’s National Secretariat in a bid to secure endorsement over the state leadership.

Sources within the party also revealed that some aspirants, who are not current legislators, are being pushed forward by influential power brokers in Abuja, in some cases against the preference of Governor Lucky Aiyedatiwa. The governor, it was gathered, is under increasing pressure to accommodate these interests despite having his own preferred candidates, particularly in the Ondo South Senatorial District.

The situation has reportedly heightened tensions within the party. At a recent APC stakeholders’ meeting held in Ore, Odigbo Local Government Area, supporters of various aspirants stormed the venue, apparently poised to resist any attempt by the governor to publicly endorse a preferred candidate. The meeting, which was presided over by Aiyedatiwa, could have degenerated into violence, but the governor refrained from naming any candidate.

Meanwhile, the Ondo South senatorial seat remains vacant following Ibrahim’s diplomatic appointment, with political actors awaiting the Independent National Electoral Commission to announce a date for a by-election.

A party source said the struggle over candidacy has become a major burden on the governor, noting that competing interests from Abuja have complicated his efforts to manage expectations.

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The source said, “The issue of candidacy in the forthcoming primary has become a burden on the governor, although he has his own preferred candidates but some aspirants are being given to him by order from Abuja, he has no option than to accept them. This certainly nullifies whoever he had promised automatic ticket. One thing that is sure is that many of those national and state assembly members may not get the party ticket, as many were cede to him (governor), being the party leader in the state , that’s why all of them are rushing to Abuja if they can get the ticket.

“Second thing is that some of the aggrieved members and aspirants are ready planning to leave the party or involve in anti-party activities if the choosing of the candidate is based on personal vendetta rather than popularity of the aspirants at their respective senatorial districts or federal constituencies.”

However, concerns persist that some of the governor’s preferred aspirants lack widespread support among party members and constituents in their respective senatorial districts and federal constituencies. Analysts warn that imposing unpopular candidates could prove costly for the All Progressives Congress in the general election, especially as some well-known aspirants have reportedly vowed to contest and win, with or without the party’s ticket.

Findings further indicate that the lingering disunity within the party has led Governor Lucky Aiyedatiwa to sideline certain members perceived as political adversaries. Those most affected are loyalists of the Minister of Interior, Olubunmi Tunji-Ojo, as well as supporters of the late former governor, Rotimi Akeredolu. Aspirants within these camps are said to be mobilising for a showdown, holding frequent strategy meetings across Ondo State.

There are also growing fears of a turbulent post-primary period, with observers warning that unresolved grievances could undermine the party’s chances in the general election. Historically, internal crises within the APC have created openings for opposition parties in the state.

Last week’s meetings between Bola Tinubu, the leadership of the National Assembly, and APC governors on the forthcoming primaries—where governors were empowered to oversee the process in their respective states—appear to have dealt a major blow to the ambitions of many anti-Aiyedatiwa APC members in Ondo State. National Assembly members who had relied on securing automatic tickets from Abuja have also been visibly disappointed. This development has disrupted several political calculations and permutations ahead of the primaries.

A reliable party source indicated that the situation has become less complex for Governor Aiyedatiwa. Although some aspirants were allegedly imposed on him by powerful interests in Abuja, he may still find ways to support his preferred candidates during the primaries, regardless of the mode of the exercise. However, this development carries the risk of deepening divisions within the party, as aggrieved aspirants and members of the anti-Aiyedatiwa faction may resort to anti-party activities during the general election unless decisive reconciliation efforts are undertaken by the governor and party leadership. To avert this, Governor Aiyedatiwa and the new party chairman, Mr. Kolawole Babatunde, need to initiate genuine reconciliation moves.

The source further revealed that the governor has preferred candidates, particularly in the Ondo South Senatorial District—his home district—whom he intends to support for party tickets. However, upon learning of this, some aspirants from the district, along with hundreds of their supporters, reportedly stormed the APC stakeholders’ meeting held on Sunday, April 19, in Ore, Odigbo Local Government Area. The meeting, presided over by the governor, nearly turned violent as protesters warned against the endorsement of any aspirant as the governor’s preferred candidate ahead of the primaries. Tensions were only defused when the governor refrained from naming any candidate.

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Meanwhile, the Ondo South senatorial seat remains vacant following the diplomatic appointment of its former occupant, Jimoh Ibrahim. Political contenders are now awaiting the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) to announce a date for the bye-election.

According to the source:

“The issue of candidacy in the forthcoming primaries has become a burden for the governor. While he has his preferred candidates, others are being imposed on him from Abuja, leaving him with little choice but to accommodate them. The meeting convened by President Tinubu with governors and National Assembly members has further strengthened the governors’ influence over the primaries. This effectively nullifies any prior promises of automatic tickets to federal lawmakers, meaning many current legislators may not secure party nominations.

“Another implication is that aggrieved aspirants and party members are already considering defecting or engaging in anti-party activities if candidate selection is perceived to be driven by personal interests rather than popularity within their constituencies.”

There are also concerns that some of the governor’s preferred aspirants lack widespread support among party members and constituents. Imposing such candidates could undermine the party’s chances in the general election, especially as some popular but sidelined aspirants have reportedly vowed to contest—and potentially win—even without the APC ticket.

Further findings suggest that internal divisions within the party have intensified, with the governor allegedly sidelining members perceived as political opponents. Those most affected are individuals loyal to certain ministers and to the late Rotimi Akeredolu. Aspirants within this group are reportedly preparing for a political showdown, holding frequent strategy meetings across the state.

Many observers fear that the Ondo APC may face a turbulent post-primary crisis. Without effective conflict resolution, the party risks entering the general election deeply divided, which could significantly weaken its chances at the polls.

A similar scenario played out ahead of the 2019 general elections, when aggrieved party members defected or engaged in anti-party activities, leading to electoral losses in some senatorial districts and federal constituencies. Many believe a repeat is possible, as some disaffected aspirants are already exploring alternative political options.

Despite these concerns, Governor Aiyedatiwa sought to calm tensions at a recent stakeholders’ meeting by avoiding any public endorsement of candidates. Instead, he appealed for unity and party loyalty, urging aspirants to prioritise collective interest over personal ambition.

He further encouraged members to remain committed regardless of the outcome of the primaries, stressing that political success often requires patience and perseverance.

He said, “I am aware that many of you have individual ambitions — whether for the State House of Assembly or the National Assembly—but there is a paramount collective goal, and that is the re-election of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu in 2027. I therefore urge you to remain loyal and committed to the party, whether you win or not. There is always a time for everyone. Only one person can emerge at a time.

“There was a time I contested for the House of Representatives and did not get it. I also contested for the Senate; although I won the primary election conducted in the state, the party’s national leadership later granted an automatic ticket to the incumbent. Yet, I did not leave the party. In 2016, I was shortlisted for the deputy governorship ticket but was not eventually selected. Still, I remained a committed member. Today, I am the governor. So, there is time for everyone.”

In the same vein, the Director of Media and Publicity of the APC in Ondo State, Steve Otaloro, downplayed fears of a post-primary crisis, assuring that whichever mode is adopted for the forthcoming primaries will be credible and widely accepted.

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According to him, the party has established internal mechanisms to ensure a smooth and transparent process.

“The mode of primary for the APC in Ondo State will ultimately be decided through the party’s internal processes, in line with constitutional provisions and guidelines. What is critical is not necessarily the method adopted—whether direct primary or consensus—but the credibility of the process,” he said.

Otaloro stressed that both options are constitutionally recognised and must be implemented in a transparent, inclusive, and fair manner to all aspirants.

“Once the process is open and credible, it will naturally command acceptance among stakeholders and party faithful, thereby reducing the likelihood of rancour. The APC in Ondo State has the institutional capacity and leadership maturity to manage this effectively,” he added.

“Our collective priority is to ensure unity, uphold democratic principles, and strengthen the party ahead of the forthcoming electoral engagements.”

However, a group within the party, the Progressive Network for Tinubu, has warned against the imposition of unpopular candidates, insisting that the consensus option must reflect the will of the people.

The group’s Director-General, Olumide Obadele, said internal selection processes must prioritise popularity and grassroots support to avoid electoral setbacks.

“I believe strongly that the consensus approach, if properly applied, should produce the most popular candidate. Imposing an unpopular candidate could weaken the party’s chances at the polls,” he said, warning that voters are increasingly driven by popularity rather than financial influence.

He expressed confidence, however, that party leaders would not undermine the process by imposing candidates lacking public support.

“I can tell you, for free, that the consensus approach is the best approach we can use in politics. The indirect approach, for me, is too expensive. If you don’t have the funds or deep pockets, you cannot pursue it.

“But with the consensus idea, the most popular candidate emerges. Nobody will put forward an unpopular candidate because that would lead to failure in the election. It is a game of popularity. In the past, someone who was not popular but had deep pockets could succeed. But now, it is a game of popularity.”

Also weighing in, political scientist Muyiwa Aloba urged Governor Aiyedatiwa to tread carefully in managing the party’s internal tensions.

Aloba noted that while internal disputes were common in political parties, effective conflict management remained critical to electoral success.

“The only problem human beings have is that people don’t learn from history. What is happening now in Ondo APC is not new. Similar issues occurred during the administration of Rotimi Akeredolu, and poor crisis management contributed to the party’s losses in the 2019 elections,” he said.

He advised the governor to adopt an inclusive approach, accommodate diverse interests within the party, and prioritise unity ahead of the 2027 general elections.

“Conflicts are part of politics, but how they are managed will determine the party’s success,” he added.

“I will only advise the governor to learn from history, I will advise him, as a leader of the party in the state, to forget the past, accommodate and manage every interest and groups in the party if he wants the party to win well in the next year general election.”

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