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Banks: Bad loans rise after CBN ends forbearance

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Bad loans in Nigeria’s banking sector rose to 8.03 per cent in January 2026, seven months after the Central Bank of Nigeria moved to end regulatory forbearance granted to banks on some credit exposures and single obligor limit breaches.

The figure, contained in the CBN’s January 2026 Economic Report, showed that the industry’s non-performing loans ratio rose by 0.52 percentage point from 7.51 per cent in December 2025.

It also remained above the CBN’s prudential threshold of five per cent, indicating a further deterioration in asset quality across the banking industry despite the apex bank’s insistence that the sector remained resilient.

The report said, “Following the bank’s loan reclassification after the withdrawal of forbearance, the non-performing loans ratio rose by 0.52 percentage point to 8.03 per cent compared with the level in the preceding period and was above the 5.00 per cent prudential threshold.”

The development came after the CBN, in June 2025, directed banks still benefiting from regulatory forbearance on credit exposures or single obligor limit waivers to suspend dividend payments, defer bonuses to directors and senior management, and halt fresh investments in foreign subsidiaries or offshore ventures.

The regulator said the measure was aimed at strengthening capital buffers, improving balance sheet resilience, and forcing affected banks to retain earnings while exiting temporary regulatory reliefs.

In a separate transition measure, the apex bank also moved to terminate COVID-19-related regulatory forbearance and waivers on single obligor limits effective June 30, 2025, requiring banks to align affected credit exposures with existing prudential guidelines.

Regulatory forbearance had allowed banks to restructure loans affected by the pandemic without immediately classifying them as non-performing. With the withdrawal of the measure, a number of previously restructured facilities have now crystallised as bad loans, pushing the industry ratio above the regulatory ceiling.

The latest NPL reading suggests that the clean-up is beginning to expose weaker loans that had previously been cushioned by regulatory reliefs. Once those loans were reclassified, banks had to recognise more credit weakness on their books, pushing the industry’s bad loan ratio further above the regulatory limit.

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In its macroeconomic outlook report, the CBN warned that a “significant rise in non-performing loans could impair asset quality and weaken banks’ balance sheets, thereby posing systemic risk,” showing the importance of monitoring credit risk and sustaining prudential discipline.

It also recommended deepening “the operational integration of the GSI framework across all financial institutions to enhance loan recovery efficiency and credit discipline.”

The CBN also recommended strengthening credit discipline and reducing non-performing loans by fully integrating the Global Standing Instruction framework to boost loan recovery efficiency.

Earlier, in February 2025, the apex bank ordered bank directors with non-performing insider-related loans to step down immediately. Insider loans refer to loans granted by a bank to its own executives, directors, employees, major shareholders, or related parties.

According to the CBN, the decision aims to strengthen corporate governance and improve risk management in the banking sector. To minimise financial risks, the apex bank instructed banks to recover debts through collateral enforcement and seize the shareholdings of affected directors.

“Directors with non-performing insider-related facilities are required to step down immediately from the board, while the bank should commence immediate remediation of the loans through the recovery of the collateral, including the shareholdings of the affected directors,” the circular read.

More recently, the CBN directed banks to deny certain banking services and additional credit facilities to large borrowers with non-performing loans as part of measures to strengthen credit discipline in the banking sector. The directive was contained in a letter dated March 12, 2026, and signed by the Director of Banking Supervision, Dr. Muhammad Abdullahi.

Under the directive, borrowers whose loan facilities have been classified as non-performing and recorded in the Credit Risk Management System or any licensed private credit bureau will no longer be eligible to obtain additional credit from banks.

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The apex bank said the measure was designed to reduce risks posed by large borrowers whose defaults could threaten financial system stability. “Effective immediately, all financial institutions shall: Restrict further credit access: Any large-ticket obligor with a non-performing facility recorded in the CRMS and/or any licensed private credit bureau shall not be granted additional credit facilities.

“For the purpose of this restriction, credit facilities include loans and other forms of direct credit. In addition, such obligors shall not be granted banking facilities or contingent liabilities such as bankers’ confirmations, letters of credit, performance bonds, or advance payment guarantees,” the bank said.

The CBN explained that the restrictions apply to borrowers classified as large-ticket obligors under the prudential guidelines for deposit money banks. According to the regulator, such borrowers include individuals or companies whose combined exposure across banks exceeds the Single Obligor Limit or whose financial obligations could significantly affect a bank’s capital adequacy ratio.

The bank also directed financial institutions to obtain additional realisable collateral from affected borrowers to adequately secure existing loan exposures. It said the determination of affected borrowers would rely on information captured in the Credit Risk Management System and reports from licensed private credit bureaus.

However, the CBN maintained that the wider banking system remained stable. The report showed that the industry’s liquidity ratio improved to 63.38 per cent in January from 57.22 per cent in December, staying well above the 30 per cent prudential minimum.

The capital adequacy ratio stood at 12.05 per cent, lower than 12.35 per cent in December, but still above the 10 per cent regulatory minimum. According to the CBN, “The Nigerian banking industry remained resilient, with most financial soundness indicators staying within prudential regulatory thresholds, affirming financial stability and institutional soundness.”

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The figures indicate a mixed picture for the banking sector. Liquidity remains strong, and capital levels are still above the minimum benchmark, but the rise in bad loans points to pressure from legacy exposures, currency devaluation, high interest rates, and tighter regulatory classification.

The worsening asset quality in the banking sector also drew concern from members of the CBN’s Monetary Policy Committee during its February 2026 meeting, with policymakers warning that rising bad loans could threaten financial stability despite broader improvements in macroeconomic conditions.

The CBN’s Deputy Governor for Economic Policy, Dr Muhammad Abdullahi, said increasing non-performing loans had emerged as a key risk to the financial system and could undermine the effectiveness of monetary policy transmission if left unchecked. “Additionally, rising NPLs could pose financial stability risks, and the broader macroeconomy needs to rebalance growth and stability objectives,” Abdullahi said.

The deputy governor noted that the challenge was occurring alongside persistent excess liquidity in the banking system, warning that both factors could weaken the impact of monetary policy measures and limit the efficient flow of credit to productive sectors of the economy.

Echoing similar concerns, MPC member and corporate governance expert Aku Odinkemelu said the increase in bad loans required closer regulatory scrutiny. “The increase in Non-Performing Loans within the banking system… underscores the need for heightened supervisory vigilance to safeguard asset quality and ensure effective credit transmission,” Odinkemelu said.

The comments suggest that while the banking sector remains broadly resilient, regulators are increasingly focused on the quality of loan assets as the industry adjusts to stricter prudential rules following the withdrawal of regulatory forbearance.

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Tax revenue hits N27tn after 113% surge – Report

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Nigeria’s tax collections have surged by 113 per cent in less than three years, rising from N12.3tn in 2023 to N27.1tn as of July 2026, the Nigeria Revenue Service has said.

The revenue authority attributed the sharp increase to the digitisation of the tax system, the enactment of four new tax reform laws, the transformation of the revenue service and an executive order aimed at closing loopholes in the tax system.

The NRS, in an internal report on the state of the Nigerian economy obtained by The PUNCH on Sunday, insisted that the country was moving from a period of severe macroeconomic distress towards a more stable and resilient economy following the implementation of a series of difficult reforms by the President Bola Tinubu administration.

“Tax collections more than doubled from N12.3tn in 2023 to N27.1tn as of July 2026 with the “digitisation of tax systems, four new tax reform laws, the transformation of the revenue service and an executive order that closed loopholes in the system.

“The Nigerian economy has moved decisively from acute macroeconomic distress toward a more stable and increasingly resilient footing,” the revenue service said.

The NRS attributed the development to what it described as Tinubu’s economic management acumen and determination to implement reforms under his administration’s Renewed Hope Agenda.

According to the report, the administration inherited four major economic distortions which had continued to undermine government revenue and economic growth.

It identified the challenges as “a fiscally unsustainable fuel subsidy regime, an opaque forex system that discouraged investment, a non-performing oil sector, and a tax base ‘far below its potential’.”

The revenue authority said the initial impact of the reforms created significant economic difficulties but maintained that the country’s major economic indicators had subsequently begun to improve.

It cited falling inflation, a turnaround in the balance of payments, increased crude oil production, the emergence of Nigeria as a net exporter of petroleum products and the more than doubling of tax collections as evidence of the recovery.

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The report also highlighted an increase in the minimum wage, saying it had doubled between 2023 and 2026.

It further cited estimates by the United Nations Children’s Fund showing that the number of out-of-school children had declined from 20 million to 18.3 million following government policies and incentives.

The NRS said the government’s naira-for-crude arrangement with the Dangote Petroleum Refinery and other domestic refineries had contributed to a major shift in Nigeria’s petroleum trade position.

According to the report, the arrangement had helped Nigeria move from being a net importer of petroleum products to becoming a net exporter after decades of dependence on imports.

It noted that Ghana had recently decided to pursue a similar policy in its petroleum sector. The report also said crude oil production had increased from about 1.2 million-1.3 million barrels per day in 2023 to 1.73 million barrels per day by July 2026.

It said the latest output was equivalent to 104 per cent of Nigeria’s OPEC quota. The increase in production is significant for government revenue because crude oil remains the country’s largest source of foreign exchange and a major contributor to public finances.

The NRS also pointed to developments in the capital market as another indication of improving economic confidence. It said the market capitalisation of the Nigerian Exchange had risen from N30.36tn in 2023 to N161tn in 2026, describing the increase as a source of wealth creation for millions of Nigerians who invest in the stock market.

The report attributed the market rally partly to improved macroeconomic credibility, the recapitalisation of banks and a growing pool of domestic institutional investment.

Nigeria’s external reserves also rose sharply during the period under review. According to the NRS report, reserves increased from an unrestricted $3.99bn in 2023 to $51.9bn as of July 2026, which it described as a 17-year high.

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The country’s balance of payments also moved from a $3.34bn deficit to a $2.38bn surplus in the first quarter of 2026, the report stated. Nigeria’s trade position similarly recorded a significant improvement, moving from a marginal surplus of N44.7bn to N7.55tn in the first quarter of 2026.

The composition of exports also showed some changes, with exports of other oil products, excluding crude, rising by 51 per cent year-on-year to N6.78tn during the first quarter.

The revenue service said improved investor confidence was also reflected in capital importation. Annual capital importation rose from $3.9bn in 2023 to $23.22bn in 2025, while inflows reached $10.37bn in the first quarter of 2026 alone.

The report said foreign portfolio investment had been particularly strong, while foreign direct investment had also improved. The increase in capital inflows, according to the NRS, reflected stronger investor confidence as economic reforms reshaped the operating environment.

The revenue service further highlighted the expansion of the compressed natural gas programme as part of the government’s response to the removal of the petrol subsidy.

According to the report, Nigeria had no large-scale CNG programme three years ago and depended heavily on imported petrol and diesel. By 2026, however, more than 100,000 vehicles had reportedly been converted to CNG, with more than $2bn in investment mobilised and over 10,000 jobs created.

The NRS estimated that CNG could reduce running costs by between 40 and 60 per cent compared with petrol. It said some commercial drivers had seen their monthly fuel bills fall from about N50,000 to N18,000 after converting their vehicles.

On agriculture and food security, it recalled that the administration declared a state of emergency on food security in July 2023 and subsequently introduced measures including the release of strategic grain reserves, the establishment of a N100bn National Agricultural Development Fund, fertiliser distribution and an agricultural mechanisation programme.

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Federal agricultural allocation rose from N228.4bn in 2023 to N826.5bn in the 2025 budget, according to the report. The NRS said food prices had fallen by about 50 per cent by March 2026, citing the Ministry of Agriculture.

However, it acknowledged that agriculture would require several planting seasons before increased government support could translate fully into higher production.

On public debt, the NRS acknowledged that Nigeria’s total debt stock had increased substantially, from N87.4tn in 2023 to N159.28tn in late 2025. However, it argued that the more important measure was the country’s debt relative to the size of its economy.

According to the report, the debt-to-GDP ratio declined from 38 per cent in 2023 to 35.5 per cent in 2025 and 32.3 per cent in 2026. The revenue service described the decline as the first sustained reduction in the ratio in more than a decade.

It also said debt servicing as a proportion of government revenue had declined from 68 per cent to an International Monetary Fund-projected 53 per cent.

The NRS said the combination of higher tax collections, increased oil production, stronger capital inflows, rising reserves and improved trade and balance of payments positions pointed to an economy that was gradually emerging from the severe pressures that followed the government’s early reforms.

The report nevertheless acknowledged that the gains came after what it described as “painful” adjustments and stressed that continued implementation of the reforms would be required to consolidate the recovery.

Source: punchng.com

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NLC demands N500k minimum wage, says current N70k minimum wage is no longer sustainable

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The Nigeria Labour Congress (NLC) says it will soon begin negotiations with the Federal Government for a new national minimum wage, insisting that the current N70,000 wage is no longer sustainable.

Speaking at the Rights of Workers Summit in Birnin Kebbi on Thursday, NLC President Joe Ajaero, represented by Deputy President Audu Titus Amba, said workers should prepare for fresh negotiations.

He argued that the current minimum wage could no longer meet workers’ basic needs amid rising inflation and the increasing cost of living.

“Anything less than N500,000 cannot cater for workers. The current minimum wage is due for review, and we will soon begin negotiations with the government,” he said.

Also speaking, Trade Union Congress (TUC) President Festus Osifo, represented by Secretary-General Nuhu Toro, said worsening economic conditions had eroded workers’ purchasing power.

He cited rising food prices, transport fares, rent and inflation as factors making the current wage inadequate.

President Tinubu signed the current national minimum wage bill into law on July 29, 2024, raising it from N30,000 to N70,000 per month. The legislation followed negotiations with organized labor and included a provision to review the wage structure every three years.

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Ondo artisans beg FG for inclusion in empowerment programmes

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Artisans and skilled workers in Ondo State have appealed to the Federal Government to include them in various empowerment programmes under President Bola Tinubu’s Renewed Hope Agenda.

The artisans, under the aegis of the Artisan Defender and Empowerment Foundation, said over 25,000 members of the group had been neglected despite their support for the re-election of the President.

This was contained in a statement issued on Friday by the Chairman and General Secretary of the association, Engr. Ogundipe James and Adebayo Olugbenga, respectively.

According to the statement, the group was founded and registered with the Federal Government to promote the interests of Niger Delta artisans and skilled workers, adding that its members needed government support through empowerment initiatives.

The statement read, “It was evident, the neglect of the welfare and empowerment of over 25,000 artisans that this organisation controls, for which we are advocating better welfare, skills and vocational training, empowerment, workshops and recognition of political strength and weight the coalition commands in the voting structure.

“The deteriorating situation of artisan welfare, particularly in Ondo State, is why the body is seeking immediate attention, mostly empowerment and skills upgrading from the primary concerned government agencies—the Federal Ministry of Trade and Investment, Directorate of the Office of Humanitarian Affairs and Poverty Reduction, Small and Medium Enterprises Development Agency of Nigeria, Presidential Amnesty Programme, among others.

“The neglect of this very important organisation, which plays a vital role in employment and the growth of the national economy, will cause disagreement and affect political support that comes from this coalition group.”

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The statement urged the concerned Federal Government agencies to consider the proposals earlier submitted by the group to enhance the support of its members for the President’s administration.

The group stated, “We call on the agencies mentioned above, demanding immediate attention to the proposals that have earlier been sent to this parastatal.

“This is a public warning and general awareness that failure to listen to Niger Delta Artisan Forum’s demands will lead to a national protest and have huge political support consequences for the continuation of the Renewed Hope Agenda of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu come the 2027 election, if attention is not immediately given to the demands.”

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