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Electricity subsidy may hit N2tn amid tariff freeze

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The Federal Government may spend about N2 trillion to subsidise electricity this year as it maintains its position against an immediate increase in electricity tariffs.

The Minister of Power, Joseph Tegbe, disclosed the government’s position on electricity tariffs at a media parley in Abuja on Monday while marking his first 100 days in office.

“There are no immediate plans to increase electricity tariffs. Our goal is to build a commercially viable power sector while protecting vulnerable consumers,” Tegbe said.

The minister’s position comes against the backdrop of the N1.93tn electricity subsidy incurred by the Federal Government in 2025, according to the Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission’s 2025 Annual Report.

NERC said the subsidy obligation represented 57.44 per cent of the total Nigerian Bulk Electricity Trading invoice during the year and averaged N160.69bn monthly.

The commission said the government incurred the subsidy because allowed electricity tariffs remained below cost-reflective levels, with the Federal Government covering the resulting gap.

“In the absence of cost-reflective tariffs, the government undertakes to cover the resultant gap (between the cost-reflective and allowed tariff) in the form of tariff subsidies.

“It is important to note that due to the absence of cost-reflective tariffs across all DisCos, the government incurred a subsidy obligation of N1.93tn (57.44 per cent of total NBET invoice) during the year,” the commission said.

With the government maintaining that there are no immediate plans to increase tariffs, the subsidy burden could remain around the N2tn level this year. The subsidy burden neared N2tn in 2024 and 2025 despite the Band A to E tariff categorisation introduced in 2024.

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Aside from Band A customers who pay the real cost of electricity, customers on other bands still enjoy government subsidies, which are now close to N2tn.

Earlier, electricity generation companies questioned the effectiveness of the Federal Government’s N4tn Presidential Power Sector Debt Reduction Programme, warning that fresh liabilities estimated at over N7tn could accumulate before the programme is fully implemented.

The power producers, under the aegis of the Association of Power Generation Companies, said that while they were not opposed to the Federal Government’s plan to raise bonds to settle outstanding obligations, the initiative would not provide a lasting solution to the liquidity crisis in the Nigerian Electricity Supply Industry because debts continue to accumulate monthly.

“Every month, the DisCos are not paying 100 per cent. NBET is not paying 100 per cent. The N4tn legacy debt is until December 2024. So, how about the accumulation for 2025? And what is already accumulated for 2026? So by the time you finish issuing this N4tn bond over seven years, by 2033, two times what you’re going to pay would have accumulated. So what is your plan?” the APGC Chief Executive, Joy Ogaji, asked the question.

Ogaji also called on the Federal Government to adopt a more sustainable approach to electricity subsidies, arguing that the current subsidy arrangement exists largely on paper because there is no corresponding budgetary provision.

“One of the sustainable ways is for the Federal Government to acknowledge the fact that they cannot subsidise the power market. Because you can see it’s only on paper that the government is subsidising power. It’s not in the budget.

“There is no monetary provision anywhere for subsidies, not even in the supplementary budget; it’s nowhere. It’s just being. You said you would pay. We have not seen it,” she stressed.

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The CEO proposed that the government should clearly define the level of subsidy it could afford and make budgetary provisions for it instead of maintaining a blanket subsidy policy that has contributed to mounting debts across the electricity value chain.

Speaking on Monday, the minister said the administration was working to address the sector’s long-standing debt, revenue leakages, metering gaps and infrastructure constraints.

He said his first 100 days, covering June 8 to September 16, had largely focused on diagnosing the problems across the electricity value chain, stabilising existing infrastructure and restoring market discipline.

According to him, gas supply to power plants was constrained by damaged pipelines and commercial conditions that discouraged investment, while ageing equipment, deferred maintenance and stalled projects prevented available capacity from reaching consumers.

He said the sector was also weakened by poor payment discipline, with generation companies receiving only 27 per cent of their bills.

“When President Bola Tinubu entrusted me with the responsibility of serving as Minister of Power, I made four promises to Nigerians. I promised a disciplined approach to solving the sector’s problems. I promised to pursue grid stability through structured, strategic reforms. I promised visible incremental improvements.

“Upon assuming office, the diagnosis we undertook at the onset revealed constraints at every segment of the electricity value chain. Gas supply to power stations was limited by damaged pipelines and commercial terms that discouraged investment.

“Our generation fleet was heavily dependent on thermal plants, with ageing equipment, deferred maintenance, stalled projects, and capacity unable to reach consumers. The sector diagnosis revealed payment of only 27 per cent of generation companies’ bills, undermining their ability to maintain plants and pay gas suppliers,” Tegbe stated.

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The minister said transmission infrastructure was similarly under pressure from vandalised towers and lines, overstretched equipment and frequent system tripping.

NERC explained in its 2025 report that, under the subsidy regime, the government covers the gap between the cost-reflective and allowed tariffs through tariff subsidies.

The regulator said the subsidy is applied to the generation cost payable by DisCos to NBET, while the portion of generation costs not covered by the DisCos is invoiced to the Federal Ministry of Finance for settlement.

It said the framework was introduced partly to prevent unpaid subsidy debts from accumulating on the balance sheets of DisCos and limiting their ability to raise finance for critical investments in their networks.

The N1.93tn subsidy obligation recorded in 2025 highlights the financial cost of keeping electricity tariffs below the cost of supplying power.

For 2026, the government’s decision not to immediately raise tariffs means it will continue to bear a significant portion of the cost of electricity while efforts are made to improve collections, infrastructure, gas supply and service delivery.

Source: punchng.com

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Otti woos US investors to Abia

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Governor Alex Otti of Abia State has concluded plans to bring investors, business leaders, policymakers, development partners, diplomatic representatives and entrepreneurs to the state to explore investment opportunities and strengthen commercial relations between Africa and the United States.

In a statement he signed and issued to newsmen on Sunday, the Chief of Staff to the Governor, Pastor Caleb Ajagba, disclosed that the Abia State Government had unveiled plans to attract American and other international investors to the state through the 2026 edition of the African Diaspora Conference and Expo, AFRICANDO, scheduled for this month.

Ajagba said, “AFRICANDO is a platform for translating international economic engagement into concrete investments and commercial partnerships. The state government is working with the organisers to ensure that the conference goes beyond speeches and networking to facilitate transactions, business agreements and sustainable investment.”

According to him, the 2026 edition, with the theme, “Deepening U.S.–Africa Commercial Ties in the Era of AfCFTA,” would connect investment opportunities in Abia and other African markets with American capital, technology, expertise and international distribution networks.

He added, “The African Continental Free Trade Area, AfCFTA, presents opportunities for African businesses to expand beyond their domestic markets, while international partnerships could help them improve production capacity and competitiveness.

“Abia is strategically positioned to benefit from the initiative because of its manufacturing and entrepreneurial base, particularly in Aba, which is known for indigenous manufacturing, commerce and craftsmanship.”

Ajagba added that Otti’s administration “is investing in infrastructure, strengthening public institutions and improving the business environment to position the state as a destination for private investment.”

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He explained that international delegates and prospective investors would be encouraged not only to attend conference sessions but also to visit strategic economic locations, manufacturing clusters, enterprises and government-backed projects to assess investment opportunities firsthand.

He said the approach was intended to give participants a practical understanding of the state’s economic potential and create opportunities for direct engagement with local businesses and relevant government agencies.

“AFRICANDO 2026 is not exclusively an Abia event. It is an international economic platform being hosted in Abia State,” he continued.

He listed agriculture and agro-processing, manufacturing, consumer goods, energy, financial services, healthcare, transportation and logistics, science and technology, artificial intelligence and emerging technologies among the sectors expected to receive attention.

A major feature of the conference, he said, would be a structured Deal Room and Investment Marketplace, where investment-ready projects from Abia and participating businesses would be presented to prospective investors.

Source: punchng.com

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Personal loans hit new high N1.99tn

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Nigerians’ outstanding personal loans increased by an estimated N58.5bn in the second quarter of 2026, reaching N1.99tn at the end of June, as households faced persistent inflationary pressures and high borrowing costs.

An analysis by The PUNCH of the Central Bank of Nigeria’s Second Quarter 2026 Economic Report showed that personal loans rose by 3.03 per cent from approximately N1.93tn recorded at the end of March.

The development came as total consumer credit increased by 3.26 per cent to N3.17tn from N3.07tn in the preceding quarter, representing an increase of about N100bn within three months.

The CBN stated, “Consumer credit outstanding increased by 3.26 per cent to N3.17tn, from N3.07tn in the preceding quarter. The increase reflected growth in both retail and personal loans, which rose by 4.10 per cent and 3.03 per cent, respectively.”

According to the report, personal loans accounted for 62.87 per cent of total consumer credit, while retail loans constituted the remaining 37.13 per cent.

This means that nearly N63 out of every N100 owed by consumers to financial institutions was classified as personal borrowing, highlighting its dominance in the consumer credit market.

Retail loans also increased by approximately N46.5bn to N1.18tn at the end of June, compared with an estimated N1.13tn in March, representing quarterly growth of 4.10 per cent.

Although retail loans recorded a faster percentage increase, personal loans contributed more to the outstanding stock of consumer credit.

The increase in personal borrowing occurred amid renewed inflationary pressures, which continued to affect household purchasing power.

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The CBN reported that headline inflation rose to 15.91 per cent in June 2026 from 15.38 per cent in March, reflecting increases in the prices of essential goods and services.

The report attributed the development largely to higher energy and commodity prices associated with geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which increased production and transportation costs.

These conditions placed additional pressure on household expenditure, particularly for consumers whose incomes had not increased sufficiently to offset rising prices.

However, the report did not establish whether the increase in personal loans was driven primarily by household financial difficulties, consumption needs or improved access to credit.

The growth in consumer borrowing also occurred despite elevated lending rates in the banking sector.

 

 

According to the CBN, the average prime lending rate declined marginally to 19.01 per cent in Q2 from 19.37 per cent in the preceding quarter.

In contrast, the maximum lending rate increased slightly to 34.37 per cent from 34.34 per cent, indicating that borrowing remained expensive for some categories of bank customers.

Although these rates reflect broader banking sector lending conditions rather than specific personal loan charges, they provide an indication of the financing environment confronting borrowers.

A recent report ‘Enhancing Financial Inclusion & Advancement’ noted that four in every 10 Nigerians borrowing from formal financial institutions now take loans mainly for consumption and coping needs, as rising financial pressures increasingly push credit away from productive activities.

The ‘2026 Access to Financial Services in Nigeria Survey’ revealed that 40.8 per cent of formal borrowers used loans for coping and consumption, up sharply from 31.7 per cent in 2023.

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The 9.1 percentage-point increase made coping and consumption the largest purpose of formal credit, overtaking productive enterprise borrowing, which fell from 40.2 per cent to 34.3 per cent during the same period.

Borrowing for household assets also declined from 25.2 per cent to 23.4 per cent. The report warned, “Coping/consumption purposes rose from 31.7 per cent to 40.8 per cent; productive purpose fell from 40.2 per cent to 34.3 per cent. We need to ensure that credit builds productive capacity and does not produce distress.”

Formal credit use increased from six per cent of adults in 2023 to 10 per cent in 2026, with about 11.9 million Nigerians borrowing from regulated providers. When informal sources were included, 36 per cent of adults had access to some form of credit.

Credit use among informally employed Nigerians tripled from five per cent to 15 per cent, while borrowing among people aged 18 to 35 rose from four per cent to 10 per cent. Business owners recorded an increase from four per cent to 10 per cent, while farmers rose from two per cent to six per cent.

Source: punchng.com

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FG saves N3.56tn despite borrowing, read full details

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The Federal Government and other tiers of government set aside a combined N3.56tn as savings from Federation Account revenue between January and September 2026, despite the Federal Government’s increasing reliance on borrowing to finance its budget deficit.

The amount represents a 95 per cent increase from the N1.83tn recorded in the corresponding period of 2025, raising questions about the country’s fiscal priorities amid mounting public debt and rising debt-servicing obligations.

A report by Agora Policy, titled Ten Insights from FAAC Disbursements for January-September 2026, analysed by The PUNCH on Friday, showed that savings and interventions accounted for N8.34tn of deductions from Federation Account revenue during the nine-month period.

The report put deductions for interventions at N4.78tn, making it the largest category, while savings accounted for N3.56tn. Together, the two categories represented 75.1 per cent of total deductions, compared with 39.9 per cent in the corresponding period of 2025.

The report read, “Interventions accounted for the largest deduction, at N4.78tn, followed by savings at N3.56tn. In nine months, refunds amounted to N1.21tn and collection costs to N1.09tn. Transfers, at N469.06bn, were the smallest category.”

The sharp increase in savings came against the backdrop of the Federal Government’s expanded borrowing plan for 2026. The government raised its borrowing target by N11.31tn to N29.20tn from the earlier N17.89tn projection, while the budget deficit stood at N31.46tn.

Under the 2026 budget, total expenditure is projected at N68.32tn against expected revenue of N36.87tn, leaving a substantial financing gap to be covered largely through borrowing.

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The Agora report, however, showed that total deductions from Federation Account revenue declined slightly by 3.5 per cent, from N11.50tn in the first nine months of 2025 to N11.10tn in the same period of 2026.

Their share of gross revenue also fell from 41.1 per cent to 35.3 per cent, allowing distributable revenue before augmentation to rise by 23.8 per cent to N20.36tn.

Gross Federation Account revenue increased by 12.6 per cent, from N27.95tn to N31.46tn, during the period.

According to the report, the N3.91tn increase in distributable revenue exceeded the N3.51tn growth in gross receipts because deductions declined by approximately N400bn.

It stated, “The modest fall in total deductions conceals a substantial change in their composition. Refunds fell by approximately N3.99tn, moving from the largest deduction category to the third-largest.

“Meanwhile, interventions and savings increased by approximately N3.75tn, from N4.59tn to N8.34tn. Together, interventions and savings accounted for 75.1 per cent of deductions in nine months in 2026, compared with 39.9 per cent in the corresponding period in 2025.”

A further breakdown showed refunds declined by 77 per cent, from N5.20tn in the first nine months of 2025 to N1.21tn in 2026.

Collection costs increased by four per cent to N1.09tn, while transfers fell by 29 per cent to N469.06bn.

The increase in savings and interventions raises questions about the relationship between the resources being set aside from Federation Account revenue and the government’s continued borrowing to finance expenditure.

However, the deductions cover the Federation Account and should not be interpreted as savings retained solely by the Federal Government. The revenue is shared among the Federal Government, states and local governments under the existing allocation arrangements.

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The Federal Government has defended its borrowing strategy, arguing that increased expenditure pressures have outpaced additional non-borrowed resources and that borrowing is necessary to finance infrastructure and other development priorities.

In its fiscal defence, the government has also pointed to rising personnel costs, debt-service obligations, electricity support and infrastructure commitments as major pressures on public finances.

A statement by the Presidency on its infrastructure investment strategy said borrowing was being redirected towards productive assets rather than short-term consumption. It also acknowledged the pressure of debt service, which stood at about 65 per cent of revenue in the first half of 2026.

Source: punchng.com

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