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Dropping Shettima won’t stop Tinubu’s 2027 victory — APC N’Central Forum chair

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The Chairman of the All Progressives Congress Forum in the North-Central, Saleh Zazzaga, speaks with IMOLEAYO OYEDEYI on the region’s political interest, opposition realignment against President Bola Tinubu’s re-election bid, internal party threats, and the future of Vice President Kashim Shettima ahead of 2027

Some opposition elements have claimed that Professor Nentawe Yilwatda’s emergence as the APC National Chairman threatens the credibility of the upcoming general election because he is a former Resident Electoral Commissioner. Isn’t this concern legitimate?

No, the man resigned from the position in 2022. He contested for the Plateau State governorship under the platform of All Progressives Congress and lost the election. But based on our calculations, he is the best to lead our party to victory in 2027. More so, you can’t predict the outcome of the next election based on our chairman’s past performance. This is because a lot of people play religion politics against him at the last election. But this won’t happen in 2027.

Recently, the All Nigeria Peoples Party bloc in the APC threatened to dump your party if President Bola Tinubu drops Vice President Kashim Shettima and fails to pick someone else from their bloc. What is your take on this?

There is no person or group of people that will pull out of the APC that will make President Tinubu lose the 2027 election. That will not even happen because he has a strong relationship with Shettima and the rest. The ANPP people are only trying to create a gap between the President and the VP. But even if that happens, the President will still have his lead in the 2027 election. We have a feeling that those who called the press conference are not even leaders of the ANPP bloc. So, we can’t take them seriously. More so, even if the President decides to change the VP, it’s for the interest of the APC. If you look at the last election, the President closely lost in Borno State. The President lost the entire North-East. So, if calculation will lead to changing the VP, nothing will happen.

Are you saying the ANPP leaders are being sponsored to cause issues between Tinubu and the VP?

Yes, exactly and they know their sponsors. They just want to create issues where there is none. This is because as we speak, there has been no official statement that President Tinubu is going to change Shettima. So those agitating should wait and see. If the President will change Shettima, he will just issue a statement that will convince everybody.

You said that going by calculations President Tinubu can decide to drop Shettima because in the last election, he did not win the North-East. Will that be a fair ground to drop the VP?

If calculation gives us that alternative to change Shettima, why not? At least, it is for the interest of winning the 2027 election. Mind you, we are not talking of regional interest. We are only calculating how to win the 2027 election. We will do our mathematics to know what is going to happen in the next election. If going with Shettima will give us victory, why should we change him? We will simply manage him and continue with him. But if we do our calculations and find that we are not going to win the 2027 election that way, we will have no alternative than to change him.

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Do you think Shettima has performed well enough to make the APC win his region in the next election should the President decide to run with him?

The VP has tried his best. It is just the ANPP people who are trying to strain his relationship with the President, all in a bid to gratify their own interests and those of the opposition parties. They are just trying to create problem between the two leaders.

Are you saying those people are likely being sponsored by the African Democratic Congress?

No, opposition parties. It might not be only the ADC because we do not take the party seriously. We believe that very soon the party (ADC) will scatter because it is being programmed to fulfill the interests of a particular person. So, if that person doesn’t have his way, some of the people will fall out and the party will not be the same.

Whose interests are you talking about?

The party is running for the interests of former Vice President Atiku Abubakar, from all indications. If you see the kind of people in the party, all of them are Atiku’s supporters. So, if they don’t give Atiku the presidential ticket, the party will crash. I’m very, very sure. You will just wait and see. Time shall tell.

The North Central seems to be agitating for the vice-presidential slot under President Bola Tinubu in 2027. How true is this?

No, I kicked against that. You know, we cannot just agitate for something of four years. If we are to bring something from the North Central, we need somebody that will spend eight years, not four years. Automatically, if they substitute Kashim Shettima with someone from North Central, the person is going to be there for only four years. I am against that agitation. Let Tinubu and Shettima finish their term with anybody from any region, not from North Central. If they are going to zone, let them zone the presidency to the North Central, not the vice presidency.

So you feel it is better they should zone the presidency to your region and not the vice presidency?

Yes, after Tinubu’s second term. This is because of all the regions, we (North-Central) and South-East, are the only ones that haven’t produced a president or vice president since the beginning of current democratic dispensation. And we have contributed a lot. In the last general election, we gave APC five governors (Nasarawa, Niger, Benue, Kogi, and Kwara). No other zone produced five governors for the APC in 2023. We gave President Bola Tinubu the third highest number of votes after South-West and North-West. Secondly, among all the zones, we had the highest number of governors, senators, Reps, and House of Assembly members.

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Recently, the New Nigeria People’s Party and the presidency have been locked in a verbal war over alleged marginalisation of northern Nigeria. Will you say President Tinubu’s administration has truly been fair to the North?

Yes, 100 per cent. This is because insecurity, whose rate used to be very high is 30 per cent now. The economy of the country is also developing every day. If not because of Tinubu, we don’t even know what would have happened in the country. So, I believe the President has really tried in the area of security. He has also sited some education and health infrastructure in the North. He has done a lot for us.

The North seems divided over President Tinubu’s re-election. Do you believe the President deserves a second term based on current state of the country?

If you look at the people leading the opposition coalition, you will see that it is only North Central that hasn’t brought anybody forward to contest against the president, because we believe in his leadership. We see the massive achievements. There used to be high rate of insecurity before, but it is over now.

But dozens were killed in Benue and Plateau in recent months?

You cannot stop all like that. But the President is trying. There is a lot of effort he is putting on the ground to end insecurity in our zone. So, we cannot challenge that. Before, our natives could not access their own farms. But now, some of them are already in their farms, due to his effort. So, we believe that with the current effort he is putting in place, in the next two years, insecurity will end in our region.

Since being adopted by opposition coalition, the African Democratic Congress has been gaining momentum across the country, attracting members in the Peoples Democratic Party and the APC. Don’t you think this may likely pose a significant threat to President Tinubu’s re-election?

No. They are going nowhere. They are an association of past politicians. They are not even recent politicians. They cannot go anywhere. All those people are power hungry. All of them have served in various capacities. We know how they play. So, the masses are not going to support them. The people still trust President Tinubu’s leadership.

Are you saying the coalition leaders do not have support base. What of Nasir El-Rufai, former Kaduna State governor?

Yes, if you call El-Rufai, can you name three or four more people?

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What about former Vice President Atiku Abubakar?

No. That person doesn’t have any value. When he was vice president of this country, there was no evidence in his village. We know all their records.

What about Peter Obi of the Labour Party and the Obidient Movement?

Peter Obi won’t get the kind of support he had in the last election because they are not going to make him their candidate. They will overpower him and won’t give him the ticket. Even if they give him the ticket, in the last election, how many votes did Obi have in Anambra State?

He had over 580,000 votes in Anambra State out of 624,612 total vote cast? So you don’t still think he is a force to reckon with?

No. Go and check again. The records are there. All I know is they are going nowhere.

What if ADC eventually picks Obi as its standard-bearer?

If they finally pick Obi, they know they are not going to win. All the northerners will not vote for him. None of them will support him. We know their politics.

But some of them voted for him in the last election. He won Nasarawa State and the Federal Capital Territory?

And which state again? You only mentioned one, but the North has 19 states.

Considering that segments of the PDP, and even parts of the APC are folding into the ADC, alongside the deepening alliances of Atiku and El-Rufai, don’t you think if Obi clinches the party’s ticket, he would pose a formidable challenge to Tinubu?

No. The politics of northern Nigeria is different. Immediately Obi becomes the candidate of ADC in the forthcoming election, just believe me, that is the end of the ADC movement.

Are you saying giving Obi the ticket would sink the ADC?

Yes, Obi or Atiku. If any of them gets the ADC ticket, that is the end of the party. Though Obi will win some votes, he is not going to win many states. I believe President Tinubu’s performance will overcome all of them.

Do you see governors from PDP and even APC eventually joining the ADC-led coalition as the 2027 presidential race hots up?

No, it’s not going to be possible. Instead of them joining ADC, they will rather come to APC. This is because the governors are in the best position to know President Tinubu’s achievements. So, they cannot go to any ADC. Instead, they will join the APC. Since the creation of this country, we’ve never had a president that touched the lives of the common man like Tinubu.

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Cameroon’s president Paul Biya set to get a vice president for the first time in his 43-year rule

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Cameroon’s president, Paul Biya, is set to get a vice president for the first time in his four-decade rule, following controversial constitutional changes backed by the parliament.

In a ‌joint session of the ruling party-dominated National Assembly and Senate, lawmakers voted 200 to 18 in favour, with four abstentions, to pass the bill.

The bill stipulates that the vice president will ​automatically assume the presidency if President Paul Biya dies, resigns, or becomes incapacitated.

Biya, ​93, has led the Central African country since 1982 and is the world’s oldest serving head of state. Public discussion about ​his health is banned.

According to the legislation, a copy of which was seen by ​Reuters, the vice president will be appointed and dismissed by the president, serving for the remainder of the president’s seven-year term.

However, the interim leader would be prohibited from initiating constitutional changes or ​running in a subsequent election.

Prior to the amendment, the constitution designated the leader of the Senate to briefly take over in case the sitting president d!es or is incapacitated. An election would then be held.

The Social Democratic Front (SDF) party, which has six representatives in parliament, boycotted the vote. It had pushed for a revision in favour of the vice-president being jointly elected with the president, rather than appointed.

The party also sought a constitutional provision that reflects the linguistic split between English and French-speaking regions. The SDF wanted the nation’s top two posts to be shared between Cameroon’s two communities, which was the position before 1972.

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“This constitutional reform could have been a moment of political courage, but it is nothing less than a missed historic opportunity,” SDF chairman Joshua Osih said.

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Opposition parties weigh election boycott ahead of 2027

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Opposition parties have started pushing for boycott of the 2027 general elections over alleged bias by the Independent National Electoral Commission and purported moves to make President Bola Tinubu the sole contender at the polls.

The Taminu Turaki-led faction of the Peoples Democratic Party and the National Chairman of the African Action Congress, Omoyele Sowore, urged political parties to boycott the elections.

The spokesperson for the African Democratic Congress, Bolaji Abdullahi, said the option would be considered by the party leadership.

In an interview with Sunday PUNCH, the National Publicity Secretary of the Turaki faction, Ini Ememobong, said the boycott was necessary to prevent opposition parties from legitimising a “compromised and predetermined” process.

He accused INEC and the All Progressives Congress of deliberately undermining opposition parties to pave the way for an uncontested victory.

INEC had derecognised the Senator David Mark-led National Working Committee of the ADC, a development that intensified leadership disputes and deepened divisions within opposition ranks.

Ememobong questioned the timing of INEC’s planned activities, including the clean-up of the voter register and monitoring of party records, warning that such measures could be used to deregister opposition parties.

He said, “All opposition parties are in a precarious situation. It is either we find a platform or collectively pull out and allow them to have their fun.

“The only thing that can be gleaned from INEC’s disposition is that it wants to foist a coronation, an uncontested election in 2027. The opposition must think outside the box. This regime is determined to impose itself on Nigerians whether they want it or not. We must adopt unconventional but legal strategies to apply pressure. If they don’t yield, we boycott early to save the nation unnecessary costs.

“Let us not allow them to embezzle over N800bn in the name of an election. If the President does not want to stand, we don’t need to spend the money. Let them organise a coronation, but we will not legitimise an illegitimate process. The faster we decide our course, the better. If PDP, ADC, and all critical politicians boycott, the President may rethink, or the election will proceed and the international community will respond.”

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Speaking on the boycott, Sowore said participation in an election lacking fairness would be pointless.

“Political parties met with INEC, and the position of every political party is that these guys are not planning an election. They are doing things so there is no room for any other party to compete,” he said.

He noted that opposition parties should start discussing a collective withdrawal if the situation did not improve.

“If we can’t have an atmosphere for a free, fair and credible election, why are we wasting time participating? If all the political parties are serious, we should be discussing a boycott now,” Sowore said.

Speaking with Sunday PUNCH, the ADC National Publicity Secretary, Abdullahi, said the party understood the reasons for the call.

“Boycotting the election is a position that will have to be considered by our party leadership, but we understand why they (Turaki faction) are making that demand. We are going to vacate the space for APC, but we are convinced that we will win this election regardless of what they (APC) do,” Abdullahi said.

Opposition in crisis

Major opposition parties are battling internal crises that critics say could weaken them ahead of the 2027 elections.

The PDP crisis, rooted in unresolved disputes from the 2023 presidential elections, has left the party split into two factions: one led by Taminu Turaki, backed by governors Seyi Makinde (Oyo) and Bala Mohammed (Bauchi), and another led by Abdulrahman Mohammed, who is loyal to the Minister of the Federal Capital Territory, Nyesom Wike.

The ADC has also been embroiled in a leadership dispute since 2025, after Senator David Mark assumed leadership of a new National Working Committee in July that year.

The conflict stems from disagreements over the tenure of former National Chairman Ralph Nwosu, which ended in August 2022.

While Nwosu participated in the 2025 transition, his deputy, Nafiu Gombe, insisted he should serve as acting National Chairman.

Rival factions subsequently laid claim to the party’s leadership, triggering multiple court cases before the Appeal Court and the Supreme Court, raising doubts about the party’s readiness for 2027.

The Labour Party is also caught in a protracted leadership crisis, marked by conflicting court rulings and rival petitions.

The situation reached a turning point when a Federal High Court in Abuja ordered INEC to recognise the Nenadi Usman-led caretaker committee as the legitimate leadership.

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Justice Peter Lifu, delivering the judgment, ruled that the tenure of the Julius Abure-led National Working Committee had expired, declaring the Usman-led committee “the only valid authority” pending a national convention.

While the Usman-led committee anchored its legitimacy on the ruling and prior judicial pronouncements, the Abure faction rejected the decision and has filed an appeal, arguing that “no court has the power to appoint leadership for any political party.”

The internal crisis in the NNPP has also deepened, with rival factions at the national and Kano State levels trading accusations of external interference.

At the federal level, the party is split between supporters of former presidential candidate and ex-Kano governor, Senator Rabiu Kwankwaso, and a faction led by founding member Boniface Aniebonam.

APC slams opposition parties

Reacting, the National Secretary of the APC, Senator Basiru Ajibola, questioned the credibility of the opposition.

He said, “Which opposition? Is it people who cannot even organise their party affairs creditably and within the law and acceptable democratic ethos? It is part of the democratic rights of any political party to participate or boycott elections. APC and our president cannot be gaslighted by baseless and mischievous allegations.”

Ajibola further described allegations against INEC as unfounded, saying they reflected lack of seriousness and preparedness for democratic contest within the ambit of existing laws.

He took a swipe at the opposition’s electoral performance, and noted that they had fared poorly in elections conducted since 2023, including the FCT election and recent bye-elections in Kano and Rivers.

NNPP rejects boycott, CSOs worry over calls

Meanwhile, the New Nigeria Peoples Party and civil society organisations have warned that a move to boycott elections could undermine the democratic process and push the country towards a one-party system.

The NNPP Publicity Secretary, Dipo Johnson, said despite growing concerns over INEC’s recent decisions, the party would not support withdrawing from the polls.

“The NNPP shares stronger views because it is becoming clear that what was whispered is now beginning to look like the truth—that INEC is trying to ensure that only the APC will stand for the elections. But we will advise them to try to win through democratic means. Already, a non-democratic method has started.

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“I don’t subscribe to boycotting the election, but I support something much harder than that because Tinubu and his party don’t even care if you boycott the election,” Johnson added.

A board member of Yiaga Africa, Professor Nnamdi Aduba, said concerns over the electoral process should be addressed, but the threat of a boycott may be exaggerated.

He criticised what he described as excessive judicial interference in political party affairs, noting that parties were voluntary organisations that should be allowed to operate independently.

“While the threat should be taken seriously and the government should keep its hands off, I think there is some grandstanding. It would be unhealthy if we begin to have a system dominated by a single candidate, and I don’t think that will happen.

He added, “The judiciary is handling issues in a way that risks giving the impression that the government is trying to weaken opposition parties. Political parties are voluntary organisations and the courts should only intervene in rare cases.”

Also speaking, the National President of the Centre for Anti-Corruption and Open Leadership, Debo Adeniran, said it was inaccurate to place the blame solely on the ruling party for the challenges facing opposition groups.

Adeniran noted that while a one-party state would be detrimental to Nigeria, there is no clear evidence that the country is heading in that direction.

“It is fashionable to say that the ruling party wants to frustrate the opposition, but even within parties like ADC, they know they made fundamental mistakes. It is not healthy for a country like Nigeria to gravitate towards a one-party state, but there is no sign that this is actually happening,” he said.

Adeniran attributed current difficulties largely to internal weaknesses within opposition parties and rejected calls for an election boycott.

“I don’t think anybody is undermining our democratic experiment, and there is no justification for any party to boycott the election,” he added.

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ADC crisis: Govs, lawmakers shelve defections

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There are indications that Oyo State Governor, Seyi Makinde, and his counterpart from Bauchi State, Governor Bala Mohammed, may no longer join the African Democratic Congress (ADC).

Credible sources close to Makinde and the ADC told Sunday PUNCH that the two governors had slowed down their consultations to move to the ADC following the de-recognition of the party’s leadership by the Independent National Electoral Commission.

Sunday PUNCH also gathered that INEC’s decision had cast doubt on the intentions of National Assembly members planning to join the party.

INEC on Wednesday removed the names of the NWC of ADC led by Mark from its official portal, citing a Court of Appeal order.

The electoral commission said it would maintain the status quo ante bellum pending the determination of a substantive suit before the Federal High Court in Abuja.

The decision followed a protracted leadership crisis within the ADC, with rival factions led by Nafiu Gombe and Mark laying claim to the party’s national structure.

According to the commission, the appellate court, in a judgment delivered on March 12, 2026, directed all parties to maintain the existing situation before the dispute arose and refrain from actions that could prejudice the outcome of the case.

But the Mark-led NWC rejected INEC’s decision and called for the dissolution of the electoral commission.

It also vowed to proceed with preparations for the proposed National Convention scheduled for Abuja, the Federal Capital Territory, on April 14.

There were reports that Makinde and Bala would join the ADC following the prolonged crisis in the Peoples Democratic Party.

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Bala, who is Chairman of the PDP Governors’ Forum, on Tuesday indicated plans to defect to the ADC.

The governor gave the hint after a closed-door meeting with a delegation of the ADC, led by a former Secretary to the Government of the Federation, Babachir Lawal, at the Presidential Lodge, Bauchi.

Bala stated that despite exhausting all avenues for reconciliation within the PDP at both national and state levels, no meaningful progress had been made.

The Bauchi governor described the ADC as a “preferred destination,” noting, however, that consultations and negotiations were ongoing to ensure a well-informed decision.

Ditto for Makinde, who had been meeting with chieftains of the party.

Speaking with Sunday PUNCH on condition of anonymity, an ally of Makinde, who is knowledgeable about the political activities of the governor, said he might not join the ADC again.

The source said, “I’m not sure Makinde will join the ADC again because ever since INEC’s derecognition of the ADC leadership, he has not been showing interest in further engagements with the ADC leaders.”

Reacting, the Special Adviser to Makinde on Media, Sulaimon Olanrewaju, dismissed claims that the governor was planning to dump the PDP.

Olanrenwaju, in an interview with Sunday PUNCH, equally denied claims that he was delaying his move to ADC due to uncertainty surrounding the party’s national leadership.

He said, “The information is mere rumors, nothing like that.”

Also, the Bauchi State chapter of the PDP said Bala had yet to join the ADC.

Responding to questions on why he had yet to defect to the ADC despite earlier indicating Thursday as a possible timeline, the state PDP Publicity Secretary, Dayyabu Chiroma, said, “All I can tell you is that we are still in the PDP, and we are stronger together.”

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He noted that although a committee had been set up to assess the party’s political future, no decision had been taken to leave the party.

“Yes, we have established a committee to make findings on our political future, but we are still in the PDP and have not moved to any other platform,” Chiroma said.

Uncertainty over lawmakers’ defection

Findings by Sunday PUNCH indicate growing uncertainty over the planned defection of some lawmakers, with several still undecided on their next move.

Originally expected to dump the PDP for the ADC, the lawmaker representing Darazo/Ganjuwa Federal Constituency of Bauchi State, Mansur Soro, told Sunday PUNCH that consultations were ongoing.

“We are still consulting and we’ll decide in the next one week,” he stated, when asked if his movement to the ADC remained sacrosanct despite INEC’s decision not to recognise the Mark-led NWC.

Similarly, Lagos lawmaker, Jesse Onuakalusi, whose defection from the Labour Party to the ADC was recently announced on the floor of the House, declined to state his next move if the crisis persists.

Asked what options he would explore, he responded tersely, “What do you mean by if the controversy is not resolved? I don’t want to talk about this issue for now.”

On his part, the lawmaker representing Idemili North/Idemili South Federal Constituency of Anambra State, Uchenna Okonkwo, downplayed the significance of INEC’s action, expressing confidence in a legal resolution.

“The Court of Appeal did not ask INEC to yank off anybody’s name. The court said the status quo should be maintained but the umpire chose to interpret it the way it deemed it.

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“As far as we are concerned, this is not cause for alarm as we are optimistic that the issue would be resolved.”

He added that regardless of the outcome, a former presidential candidate of the Labour Party, Mr Peter Obi, would lead the way for many LP defectors.

Okonkwo said, “It is unfortunate that people are not being allowed to exercise their democratic choice to decide where they want to be. Those who are celebrating today are reminded that the challenges we face as a people are party neutral. Poor power supply, cost of fuel and high living conditions affect all.”

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