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15% fuel tariff: PETROAN asks NNPC to reopen refineries before Dec

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The Petroleum Products Retail Outlets Owners Association of Nigeria has urged the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited to fast-track the reopening of the country’s refineries before December to avert a possible fuel scarcity and price hike during the festive season.

The association made the call while commending President Bola Tinubu’s approval of a 15 per cent import duty on petrol and diesel, saying the move could stimulate local refining and strengthen the downstream oil market if properly managed.

The National President of PETROAN, Dr Billy Harry, issued the appeal in Port Harcourt during a courtesy visit to the Pro-Chancellor and Chairman of the Governing Council of the Ignatius Ajuru University of Education, Dr Chinyere Igwe.

Harry described the policy as a bold step toward protecting domestic refineries, stabilising the market, and promoting energy security.

He, however, warned that if the measure was poorly implemented, it could cripple fuel importation and render many importers jobless, a situation he said would lead to fuel scarcity.

“NNPC must complete its partnership agreements quickly and start production at Nigeria’s refineries before December to avert any form of fuel scarcity or price hike during the Yuletide season,” he said.

The Port Harcourt, Warri and Kaduna refineries have been dormant for years despite efforts to revive them.

But the NNPC Group Chief Executive Officer, Bayo Ojulari, has expressed strong optimism that the facilities would work again, even after major stakeholders advised that the plants be sold off.

Speaking on the new tariff, Harry cautioned that failure to enforce fair regulation could wipe out importers who have long served as a check on profiteering.

“Importers of petroleum products, which were a price-check mechanism against profiteering, will be out of business if not properly managed. We call on regulatory agencies, especially the NMDPRA, to be on red alert against monopoly. If local refineries are not properly regulated, monopoly could harm the market,” he said in a statement on Friday.

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The PETROAN president said while the tariff would boost local refining capacity and promote energy security, the government must ensure a level playing field for all operators.

He urged fuel importers to look inwards and begin to patronise local refineries rather than depend solely on foreign supplies.

Harry also called on the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited to make crude oil available to domestic refineries, warning that the success of the new policy depends on adequate feedstock supply.

He disclosed that PETROAN would collaborate with the Ignatius Ajuru University of Education to expose students to practical aspects of petroleum marketing and energy management. The group, he said, would accept students for industrial training and excursions to filling stations, depots and refineries.

The PUNCH reported earlier that the Federal Government’s decision to impose a 15 per cent import duty on petrol and diesel is part of efforts to encourage local refining.

Oil marketers had warned that the measure could push petrol prices above N1,000 per litre if local refineries fail to supply enough fuel into the local market.

According to The PUNCH, industry operators cautioned that unless Nigeria’s four state-owned refineries and private facilities such as Dangote Refinery come fully on stream, the duty could lead to fresh supply gaps and higher pump prices nationwide.

Harry maintained that despite potential short-term challenges, the long-term benefits of the policy, such as increased local refining, job creation, a stronger naira and improved energy security, outweigh its disadvantages.

“We believe this policy will ultimately boost the local economy and attract investors. But it must be implemented carefully to avoid hardship,” the PETROAN president said.

The association reiterated its support for the Tinubu administration’s reforms but urged close supervision to ensure the 15 per cent tariff strengthens, rather than destabilises, Nigeria’s downstream petroleum sector.

“This policy will boost local refining, promote economic growth, create more job opportunities, and create a level playing field for domestic refineries. The benefits of this policy include increased local refining capacity, reduced dependence on imported fuel, improved price stability, enhanced energy security, a boost to the local economy, benefits to foreign reserves, benefits to the naira gaining strength, and attracting investors.

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“The potential disadvantages include potential price increases, loss of jobs on the side of importing firms, and short-term challenges. The benefits of this policy will outweigh the potential disadvantages. Regulatory agencies such as the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority should be on red alert against monopoly. If local refineries are not properly regulated, it could lead to a monopoly that might harm the market,” he was quoted.

Meanwhile, the Presidency on Friday confirmed that the approved 15 per cent import tariff on petrol and diesel, describing the policy as a strategic step to stimulate local refining and strengthen Nigeria’s energy independence.

According to a statement by the Special Adviser to the President on Media and Public Communications, Sunday Dare, on his official X handle on Friday, the new policy is “a bridge, not a burden,” aimed at transforming Nigeria’s petroleum landscape and securing long-term economic stability.

He described the policy as a strategic measure to end Nigeria’s dependence on imported fuel and accelerate the country’s path to energy self-sufficiency.

“It’s no longer news that President Tinubu has approved a 15 per cent import duty on petrol and diesel, a bold and strategic move aimed at reshaping Nigeria’s energy landscape,” Dare wrote.

He explained that for years, Nigeria had depended heavily on imported fuel despite being one of the world’s leading crude oil producers, a situation that drained foreign exchange, hindered job creation, and stifled local refining investments.

“For years, the nation has depended heavily on imported fuel despite being a leading crude oil producer, draining foreign exchange and exporting jobs that should have been created at home. This new policy is designed to reverse that trend by encouraging local refining, boosting domestic capacity, and ensuring that Nigeria’s oil wealth translates directly into national prosperity,” the statement added.

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Dare said the policy seeks to make imported products less competitive while tilting the market in favour of locally refined fuel from the Dangote Refinery, Port Harcourt Refinery, and modular plants under construction across the country.

“By making imported fuel less competitive, the government is tilting the market in favour of local refineries such as Dangote and other modular plants, laying the groundwork for a self-sustaining and resilient energy sector,” he stated.

He added that as domestic refining ramps up, supply will strengthen, and pump prices are expected to stabilise over time. The policy, according to him, will also stimulate industrial activity, create jobs, and attract fresh investments into the downstream petroleum value chain.

“As local refining ramps up and supply strengthens, prices are expected to moderate while jobs, investment, and industrial activity expand. This policy is therefore not a burden, but a bridge, from dependence to independence, from vulnerability to strength,” Dare said.

The presidential aide’s comment marks a departure from the position of petroleum marketers, who have warned that the pump price of Premium Motor Spirit, popularly known as petrol, could rise above N1,000 per litre following President Tinubu’s approval of a 15 per cent ad-valorem import tariff on fuel imports.

The new policy, which takes effect after a 30-day transition period expected to end on 21 November 2025, is part of the government’s strategy to protect local refiners and reduce the influx of cheaper imported products that threaten domestic refining investments.

PUNCH Online reports that the latest data from the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority indicate that petrol imports still accounted for about 69 per cent of the country’s total fuel demand over the 15 months between August 2024 and 10 October 2025.

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Nigerian states’ revenues rise 93%, but education spending drops — World Bank

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The World Bank says Nigeria’s 36 states recorded a 93 per cent increase in revenues between 2023 and 2025 but education received a declining share of the sector’s expenditure.

The bank disclosed this in its latest Nigeria Development Update, which examined how increased public revenues have influenced spending priorities across the federation.

The report was made available to the News Agency of Nigeria by the World Bank in Washington D.C.

According to the report, states’ aggregate revenues rose by approximately 93 per cent in real terms, while expenditure increased by 92 per cent during the period.

The report attributed the improvement partly to exchange-rate reforms, petrol subsidy removal, stronger revenue administration and increased allocations from the federation account.

It said states also benefited from refunds, settlement of longstanding federal obligations, intervention funds, and stronger Value Added Tax collections.

However, education’s share of total state expenditure declined from 14.9 per cent in 2021 to 12.1 per cent in 2025, according to the report.

Health expenditure remained broadly stable at approximately seven per cent, while social protection’s share increased from 1.4 per cent to 4.4 per cent.

The bank said capital expenditure increased significantly, accounting for 61 per cent of state spending, compared with 46 per cent previously.

Transport infrastructure recorded the largest increase, alongside substantial spending on housing, agriculture and other economic investments.

The report quoted Mathew Verghis, the World Bank Country Director for Nigeria, as saying that increased revenues provided the opportunity to improve infrastructure, education, healthcare, and water services.

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He said greater spending efficiency, accountability and improved service delivery were essential to ensuring that additional public resources benefited Nigerians.

The bank acknowledged improvements in states’ fiscal reporting, transparency and internally generated revenue.

It, however, stressed that stronger investment in human capital was necessary to translate economic reforms into sustainable employment and improved living standards.

The report also projected average economic growth of 4.4 per cent between 2026 and 2028, subject to sustained reforms and improved service delivery.

It urged federal and state authorities to ensure that increased public revenues translated into tangible improvements in Nigerians’ welfare.

NAN

Source: punchng.com

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Nigeria promotes investment without building production capacity – UNILAG don

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A professor of Comparative Political Economy at the University of Lagos, Adelaja Odukoya, has asserted that Nigeria’s economic policies promote investment without sufficiently strengthening domestic production.

Odukoya argued that the contradiction had weakened the country’s productive foundations, with policies encouraging investment and entrepreneurship while failing to create the technological capacity, productive employment and processing industries needed to drive sustainable development.

Odukoya spoke at the maiden edition of the Adeleke University Toyin Falola Annual Lecture, held on Thursday at the Performing Arts Theatre, Adeleke University, Ede.

The lecture had as its theme, “History, Power and Accumulation: Reimagining Africa in the Globally Disorderly Order.”

Odukoya identified several contradictions in the way the Nigerian state manages economic activity.

He said, “The state promotes investment without creating conditions for technological transfer. It encourages entrepreneurship without generating sufficient productive employment.

“It expands primary-product exports while leaving processing capacity undeveloped. It constructs infrastructure without establishing strong linkages with domestic production.”

According to him, the contradictions explain why increased economic activity and accumulation do not necessarily translate into development.

“Accumulation is not synonymous with development,” Odukoya stated.

He argued that genuine development should be measured by the expansion of productive, technological, institutional and human capabilities.

“A country could attract investment, export minerals and agricultural commodities and record economic activity while still failing to build the domestic industries and technological capabilities required for long-term development,” he said.

His argument was echoed by Prof Toyin Falola, who said Africa’s vast natural resources would continue to reinforce dependency unless governments developed the industrial, technological and institutional capacity to transform them into productive power.

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Falola said Africa’s resource problem was not simply one of historical exploitation, but also the continent’s failure to convert its resource endowments into power.

“The issue, however, is not just to repeat the history of exploitation. It is more important to know how Africa turns its great resources into power,” Falola said.

He argued that Africa could not afford to remain a spectator as global economic and geopolitical arrangements continued to change, stressing that resource ownership without the capacity to add value would not guarantee influence.

Falola said the continent required a combination of knowledge, government policy and industrial capacity to change its economic position.

“There must be universities that generate new knowledge; there must be governments that translate this knowledge into policies; there must be industries that add value to the continent’s natural resources,” he said.

He added that Africa needed more than improved infrastructure and stronger economies if it wanted to exercise greater influence in the global system.

“The future of the continent will require more than just better infrastructure, improved economies, and more effective political institutions,” Falola said.

Source: punchng.com

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Import waivers, insecurity end two-year agric trade surplus

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Import waivers meant to ease hunger and insecurity on farms have led to a deficit, ending a two-year run of surpluses, as Nigeria’s agricultural trade balance swung from a N740.27bn surplus in the first half of 2025 to a N56.13bn deficit in H1 2026, according to agriculture and trade experts.

Recent foreign trade data from the National Bureau of Statistics showed that agricultural exports fell by 33.28 per cent, or N985.14bn, to N1.98tn in H1 2026 from N2.96tn in H1 2025.

Agricultural imports fell by only 8.50 per cent, or N188.74bn, to N2.03tn from N2.22tn over the same period. The gap between the two movements produced a N796.40bn swing in the trade balance.

Nigeria recorded a N365.74bn deficit in H1 2023, when imports of N926.25bn far exceeded exports of N560.51bn. The balance then turned to a N194.92bn surplus in H1 2024 before it widened to N740.27bn in H1 2025.

In separate phone interviews with The PUNCH, Agribusiness experts, including the Chairman of the Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry’s Agricultural and Allied Group, Tunde Banjoko, explained that recent government policy led to the shift.

Banjoko said, “Some waivers were given for products like palm oil and rice, and the import tariffs were drastically reduced. It became more favourable for people to import than to patronise local producers.”

He said the waivers on food commodities hurt domestic producers, even though lower tariffs on tractors and manufacturing equipment helped them.

According to Banjoko, “The effect is that our imports will rise above our exports. Second, we will discourage local production. Thirdly, we will be reducing employment, because some factories will shut down if they are not able to compete.”

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Banjoko also said weak funding for processors compounds the problem. He said foreign direct investment flows mainly into the capital market rather than into production and processing, so local processors cannot scale.

He urged the Federal Government to speed up the Special Agro-Industrial Processing Zones programme. “We should speed up such projects where we can produce enough for our country and start exporting, not look for shortcuts by reducing prices,” Banjoko added.

Meanwhile, the Chief Executive Officer of the Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise, Dr Muda Yusuf, identified two major factors behind the deficit. He said the first was the Federal Government’s decision to allow some food imports to tackle runaway inflation.

Yusuf said, “The first is the decision of the government to allow for some food imports as a result of the challenges of food inflation, which at a point was getting almost completely out of hand.”

He added that insecurity worsened the supply gap and cut export capacity, stating, “Insecurity led many farmers to leave their farms. Many of them have ended up in IDP camps, and quite a number have completely abandoned farming.”

He added that farmers cannot export without output. Yusuf said, “You can only export when you have the output.”

Yusuf also said high input costs and falling produce prices have discouraged farming. He said, “Most of these inputs are imported, so the exchange rate situation has seriously affected the cost of inputs, and the prices of produce have gone down.”

He urged the Federal Government to cut the cost of fertiliser, agrochemicals, machinery and improved seedlings. He also called for a minimum guaranteed price for agricultural produce.

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Yusuf said, “The government can establish a threshold below which, if prices fall, it will give farmers some compensation. That is the way it is done in many other economies.”

Source: punchng.com

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