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2027 Elections: PDP ticket zoning to South splits North

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The decision by the leadership of the Peoples Democratic Party to zone its 2027 presidential ticket to Southern Nigeria has pitted various northern groups in different camps, with many describing the development as undemocratic and contrary to the spirit of fair competition.

The National Executive Committee of the party, at its 102nd meeting on Monday, zoned the presidential ticket to the South, while retaining the current National Working Committee headed by Ambassador Umar Damagum.

Although, prominent northern figures in the PDP, including foundation members like former Information Minister, Prof Jerry Gana have been in the forefront urging the party to go south in its search of a candidate to vie against President Bola Tinubu of the All Progressives Congress; some northern stakeholders have warned of the danger of losing significant votes in a region known for its voting strength.

The National President of the Arewa Youth Consultative Forum, Yerima Shettima, on tuesday stated that the PDP’s decision to zone its ticket has raised many questions that require answers.

“By preemptively zoning the presidential ticket to the South, the PDP appears to be constraining fundamental rights, effectively sidelining potential candidates from the North who may possess the requisite qualifications and vision to lead the country. This decision not only diminishes the political strength of Northern voters but also risks alienating a significant portion of the electorate who may feel that their choices are being dictated by party machinations rather than genuine democratic processes.” This, he said, may give President Tinubu an easy ride against his potential opponents.

“As the APC prepares to nominate President Tinubu for re-election, the implications of the PDP’s zoning decision become even more pronounced. Tinubu, a seasoned politician with considerable influence and a well-established political network, is likely to leverage his incumbency and the support of the APC to solidify his position. In this context, the North may find itself in a unique position, one that could lead to a strategic consensus in favour of Tinubu rather than the PDP.

“The northern political landscape is characterised by a complex interplay of ethnic, religious, and regional interests. Historically, Northern leaders have often prioritised unity and consensus-building as a means of navigating Nigeria’s diverse political terrain. However, the PDP’s decision to zone the presidential ticket to the South could inadvertently galvanise northern political actors to consolidate their support around Tinubu.

“The North, recognising the potential risks of a divided political front, may opt to rally behind the incumbent, particularly if they perceive that the PDP’s choice is exclusionary and undermines their representation.

“The North’s support for Tinubu could be further reinforced by the perception that the PDP’s zoning strategy is not only politically motivated but also detrimental to the principles of democracy. In this light, Northern leaders may view their alignment with the APC as a means of safeguarding democratic ideals by promoting a candidate who, despite his Southern roots, has demonstrated an understanding of the complexities of Nigerian governance and has the potential to address the diverse needs of the nation,” he added.

Groups reject move

Leaders from the North Central zone, under the platform of the North Central Renaissance Movement, rejected the PDP’s zoning of its 2027 presidential ticket to the South.

Speaking at a press conference in Abuja on Tuesday, the chairperson of the movement, Professor K’tso Nghargbu, argued that in the spirit of fairness, the presidential ticket should have been zoned to the North Central, as it remains the only zone yet to produce either a President or Vice President in a democratic dispensation.

He said, “As leaders of the North Central, we reject the PDP decision that zoned its 2027 presidential ticket to the South.

“Some have taken to armed struggle and branded themselves as freedom fighters. But in the North Central, the nationalist movement has never gone down that path and will never descend so low as to inflict harm, injury, or pain on the Nigerian state. Ours will always remain an intellectual struggle.

“Yet, despite numerous appeals, especially to our major political parties, to recognise a zone that has been consistently shortchanged politically, the only zone since independence that has never produced a civilian President or Vice President, the neglect continues. As we speak, political parties in Nigeria still take us for granted, undermining and despising our demands, even when they are peaceful, even when these are backed by facts.

He noted that despite the region’s abundant human and natural resources, Nigeria’s major political parties continued to sideline the zone.

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He added, “Zoning is not just about North and South; within these blocs, fairness must extend to zones that have never been given the chance. And this is why we insist that any political party that fails to zone the 2027 presidency to the North, and more importantly to the North Central, risks losing millions of votes from our people.

“Our people, especially the younger generation, are tired of recycled and uninspiring leaders. They want fresh leadership rooted in fairness and inclusion. This is why our agitation goes beyond the simple North–South dichotomy. We are demanding equity within the Nigerian federation. It is not too much to ask that the North Central, a zone with solid credentials and undeniable contributions, be given the chance to prove itself in civilian leadership.”

Also, a coalition of northern youth groups under the umbrella of the Joint Action Committee of Northern Youth Associations described the move as “anti-democratic, unjust, and a monumental betrayal” of the region.

The group, at a press conference on Tuesday in Kaduna, warned the opposition party of grave political consequences if it failed to reverse the zoning arrangement.

Speaking at the briefing, JACON’s Director of Media and Public Affairs, Sani Yaya, said, “The Joint Action Committee of Northern Youth Associations has received with utter shock and profound dismay the anti-democratic and unjust decision by the PDP to zone its presidential candidacy for the 2027 elections exclusively to the Southern part of Nigeria.

“This decision is not only a grave affront to the principles of fairness and justice but also a monumental betrayal of the massive and unwavering support the North has given the PDP since the inception of the Fourth Republic. It is a reckless move that negates the very spirit of national unity and rotational equity, which the party claims to uphold.”

Similarly, political analysts believe the zoning debate could deepen internal cracks within the opposition party, especially as it struggles to rebuild following its defeat in the 2015 general elections.

A Kaduna-based analyst, Dr Ibrahim Ahmed, told The PUNCH that JACON’s position reflects a growing discontent among northern stakeholders who feel marginalised by the PDP.

“The North has always been a critical voting bloc for the PDP. If the party insists on zoning the ticket to the South, it risks losing its strongest electoral base,” he said. “But at the same time, the PDP leadership may argue that national unity requires a balance of power rotation.”

On its part, the Coalition of Northern Groups said the zoning was a deliberate attempt to shortchange the North of its democratic right.

CNG’s National Coordinator, Jamilu Charanchi, said “Even though it is a party affair and it is left for the party to decide, the reality is that it should be an open contest whereby every Nigerian has the right to contest for any seat in this country. I see no reason why the North should be exempted.

“In politics, it should be an open contest. When you zone both the National Chairman and the presidency to one region, it becomes a problem. The tradition has been that when the chairman comes from the North, the president emerges from the South, and vice versa. But restricting it this way will shortchange those with capacity, integrity and passion for the country,” he added.

CNG’s Chairman, Mohammed Deba, however, noted that political parties are at liberty to make their choices. “We believe all the parties should be free and fair to all. It’s a strategy for them (the PDP), having tried the north in 2023.”

ACF wades in

Joining the conversation, the Arewa Consultative Forum has said it is too early to conclude the issue of zoning as done by the PDP in its NEC meeting.

The Forum’s National Publicity Secretary, Prof Tukur Muhammad-Baba, while speaking in an interview with The PUNCH on Tuesday, said, “Things are unfolding; so it is a bit premature to take a position on the matter.

“At any rate, it is a bit premature to make calculations or reach conclusions on the matter since the necessary processes leading to the 2027 elections are yet to officially commence.

“As it is, the permutations for the 2027 elections are within the internal business of political parties. As it is known, the ACF does not take a stand on purely partisan political matters,” he said.

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Also speaking, former ACF’s Secretary General, Anthony Sani, said it was the politics of zoning that “Made it possible for Bola Tinubu to prevail over former Vice President Atiku Abubakar in the North in 2023, stressing that “It is perhaps that consideration that has informed the decision by PDP to zone its presidency to the South for 2027.”

Sani added, “If the presidency will be in the North in 2031, it means the North will vote for President Tinubu, who cannot be president beyond 2031. The North is therefore not left in the cold by waiting for its turn in 2031.”

Saraki, Dingyadi differ

Former Senate President, Bukola Saraki, threw his weight behind the move to have the South fly the PDP presidential flag in 2027.

Speaking through his Media Adviser, Yusuph Olaniyonu, the ex-Kwara State governor said, “As head of the party’s panel, Saraki played a major role in bringing back the peace and unity in the party today.

“Following Buhari’s eight years, it’s obvious that the South should also be given eight years. The party had also given the ticket to the North in 2019 and 2023, so it’s fair that it should go to the South (in 2027).

“If the party’s zoning committee, headed by Bayelsa State Governor (Duoye Diri), recommended that NWC positions occupied by northerners should remain as it is, while those occupied by southerners should also remain in the South, it means that the right thing to do is to zone the ticket to the South since the party chairman is automatically from the North.”

According to him, the position taken by the PDP would make it easier for members and those with the intent to join the party to know where they stand.

“With this, PDP is even more stable than the APC now. Go to Delta and Akwa Ibom States. Ask their governors who defected to the APC how comfortable they are now. APC is telling them, ‘You can’t just come and take the party ticket.’”

But another PDP chieftain, Yusuf Dingyadi, strongly criticised the party’s decision to zone the ticket to the South, warning that the move could weaken the PDP’s chances and alienate its northern supporters.

Dingyadi, who spoke to The PUNCH in Sokoto, described the resolution of the party’s NEC as “unfortunate” and ill-timed, saying the party should have focused on rebuilding unity and strengthening internal cohesion before taking a position on zoning.

“The PDP could have skipped the issue of political struggle and instead concentrated on unity, cohesion, and building a stronger platform before talking about positions. Rushing to zone out the presidency is uncalled for, ill-advised, and lacking wisdom,” Dingyadi said.

Dingyadi warned that the zoning decision may push many northern supporters to look for an alternative platform to pursue their political aspirations ahead of the 2027 elections.

He lamented that the PDP had veered off the vision of its founding fathers, saying the party had turned into “a commodity for the highest bidders.”

“The leadership of the party has become too weak to the point that governors dictate its future. The (Nyesom) Wike group, in particular, has been given too much power to decide the fate of the PDP before 2027,” he alleged.

MBF backs South

Meanwhile, the Middle Belt Forum came out in defence of the PDP’s decision to zone its 2027 presidential ticket to the South.

In an interview with The PUNCH in Jos on Tuesday, the National President of the Forum,  Dr Bitrus Pogu, said the PDP’s decision is fair and in line with the party’s zoning system.

“The PDP is just following its own laid down procedure agreed by its members who are also Northerners since 1999 that the presidency will rotate between the North and the South. So, all they have done is to keep to that agreement which they have in their party.

“Every party has its zoning system. PDP got it wrong in 2023, and at that time, going by their zoning formula, it should have gone to the South.

“The PDP’s interest, at the moment, lies in their ability to secure government and unite their people, especially the G-5 Governors who revolted in 2023. So, it is only proper and wise for them to zone the presidency to the South at this time, being part of their tradition and practice since 1999 when they formed government.”

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In its contribution, the Niger State chapter of the party has said that the decision to zone the presidential ticket of the party to the south is acceptable to the north.

The Niger North Zonal chairman of the party, Yahaya Ability, said, “That is what we agreed on, and I’m sure that the zones will respect that agreement. It is accepted by the entire chairmen of the states chapter because before we came out with this, the states chairmen forum- 36 of them, including the FCT, have agreed on this and the Board of Trustees also met and agreed on this. That is why I said it is the final resolution.

Nasarawa politicians

Ahead of the 2027 general elections, Christian politicians in Nasarawa State, under the aegis of the Christian Northern Nigeria Political Forum, have declared their support for a Southern candidate to emerge as President.

The state Coordinator of the CNNPF, Promise Ezekiel, disclosed this to our correspondent in Lafia, the Nasarawa State capital, while reacting to a decision by the People’s Democratic Party to zone its presidential ticket to the south.

He said, “Looking at the latest happening with the PDP zoning its presidential ticket to the South, and National Chairmanship to the North, brings back to mind the yearnings of the people, making sure that every other person is carried along. We want other regions to be given that opportunity to participate in politics.

“You will agree with me that in the past, we had the likes of Late President Umaru Musa Yar’Adua and Late President Muhammadu Buhari who had occupied the Presidency from the North.

“At the moment, President Bola Tinubu, who is from southern Nigeria, is occupying the office. So, as an organisation, we are pleased with that decision. We hope that the PDP will bring a candidate with fresh ideas to participate in the 2027 presidential election.

“Zoning the presidency to the South is a good omen. Since the office of the National Chairman of the party was zoned to the North, then we are fully in support that the South should be allowed to contest for the position in 2027.”

When contacted, the Nasarawa State PDP Chairman, Adamu Bako Ninga, aligned himself with the decision of NEC to zone the 2027 presidential ticket to the south.

He said, “I categorically say that I align myself with the decision of NEC, and even as a state, the PDP in Nasarawa aligns itself with the decision.

“After the considerations, the party set up a committee, and they followed the necessary procedures. The report of the committee was received yesterday, and the NEC agreed that the decision taken by the zoning committee should stand.”

“It is a fair judgment. The PDP is the party of the people, and we feel that it is the best decision for the party.”

Kwara, Yobe

The decision of the NEC of the party to zone the Presidency to the South is a balanced decision by the party hierarchy, Olusegun Adewara, PDP publicity Secretary in Kwara State, said.

Adewara said the position taken by the NEC was a “balanced decision,” stressing that “the North will not make any demand from the South because the NEC has also zoned the party’s chairmanship to the North. The decision was a joint one by the party’s top hierarchy.”

Similarly, former Speaker of Yobe State House of Assembly, Usman Sugum, believes the zoning of the Presidency to the South and the national party chairman and vice chairman positions may create a more competitive environment for other political parties in the 2027 general elections.

“This arrangement will provide healthier competition for other political parties,” Sugum explained. “Politics is all about healthy competition, and depending on the party’s internal calculations, this arrangement may work in their favour,” he said.

The PDP Publicity Secretary in the state, Salisu Baba, said the zoning arrangement was designed to work in the party’s favour in the 2027 general elections.

“The party is considering bringing former President Goodluck Jonathan from the South to complete his tenure,” Baba stated. “Politics is about winning, and the South should be given a chance to vie for the Presidency, considering former President Goodluck Jonathan’s performance in the country.”

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You’re enemies of democracy, PDP slams defecting Rivers lawmakers

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The Peoples Democratic Party(PDP) has condemned the defection of 17 Rivers State lawmakers to the All Progressives Congress, describing their action as reckless and an act of betrayal carried out at a critical moment for the state’s democracy.

PDP National Publicity Secretary, Ini Ememobong, in an interview with Saturday PUNCH, said the lawmakers had portrayed themselves as “enemies of democracy by abandoning the platform through which they were elected.”

He accused them of undermining the mandate of Rivers people and destabilising the legislature for partisan gain.

Seventeen members of the Rivers State House of Assembly, led by the Speaker, Martin Amaewhule, dumped the PDP for APC on Friday during a plenary, attributing the move to what he described as a “division” within the PDP.

He said, “Distinguished colleagues, APC is my new party. I will do all that is needed to be done towards ensuring that the party card of the APC is issued to me in no time. But as I speak today, I am a member of the APC. I am happy to be a member of APC so that we can join forces with Mr President. Mr President is doing so much for this country.

“As of today, even the national headquarters of the PDP is not functioning as a result of this division. There are two factions, and the constitution is clear that when there is a division in any political party, when the party is divided, members including Assembly members who no longer have hope can leave the party without any consequences.

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“That is why I had to make this clear, that the foundation for this defection is the constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria.”

However, Ememobong said there was nothing surprising about the development, noting that they simply moved from APC back to APC.

He stated, “This is a case of re-defection; they had previously defected then later denied it. The members of the Rivers State House of Assembly will go down in history as enemies of democracy and those who made a mockery of the legislature.

“So, the easiest way to describe their action is a defection from APC to APC.”

At the Friday plenary, the House expressed concern over Fubara’s delay in submitting the list of commissioners’ nominees for screening, with the Speaker calling it a breach of the constitution. The House adjourned plenary to the 26th of January, 2026.

A statement later issued by the media aide to the Speaker, Martins Wachukwu, said the House has reaffirmed its resolution to adopt the auditorium of the legislative quarters as its hallowed chamber.

The statement was titled, “Rivers Assembly Reaffirms Resolution on the Adoption of Assembly Quarters Auditorium as Chamber,” with a sub-title, “As 17 Members of the House Defect to the APC.”

“At its 39th Legislative Sitting of the 3rd Session of the Tenth Assembly, the Rivers State House of Assembly, on Friday, through a Motion, reaffirmed its earlier resolution made on the 14th of December, 2023, which adopted the auditorium at the State House of Assembly quarters as its hallowed Chamber to conduct legislative businesses,” it stated.

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Moving the motion for the reaffirmation, Deputy Majority Leader of the House, Linda Somiari-Stewart, averred that section 101 of the Constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria empowers the House to regulate its own procedures, including where to hold its sittings for the good governance of the state.

He prayed the House to resolve, among others, the reaffirmation of the current hallowed Chamber situated at the Assembly quarters as the legitimate and lawful Chamber for the conduct of legislative businesses for the life of the Tenth Assembly of the State.

According to the statement, members commented in support of the motion and urged the House to mandate the Clerk to continue to provide all administrative support to the House in the current hallowed Chamber.

Speaking on the motion, Amaewhule stated that what makes an Assembly is the people and not the building, calling on all relevant security agencies to continue to provide security for the Assembly quarters to enable the House perform its constitutional duties.

The statement added, “Still on Friday, 17 members of the House who were elected into the House under the umbrella of the Peoples’ Democratic Party, defected to the APC.

“The reason given for the defection, as individually affirmed, was predicated on the division in the party at the national level, which has made the future of the party hazy and nebulous.”

“Those who defected to the All Progressives Congress include the Speaker, Rt. Hon. Martin Chike Amaewhule; the Deputy Speaker, Rt. Hon. Dumle Maol; the Majority Leader, Hon. Major Jack; the Deputy Majority Leader, Hon. Linda Somiari-Stewart; the Chief Whip, Hon. Frankline Nwabuchi; and the Deputy Whip, Hon. Ofiks Kabang. Others are Hon. Peter Abbey, Hon. Smart Adoki, Hon. Igwe Aforji, Hon. Arnold Davids, Hon. Enemi George, Hon. Tekenari Granville, Hon. Christian Nwankwo, Hon. Gerald Oforji, Hon. Azeru Opara, Hon. Lolo Opuende, and Hon. Solomon Wami.”

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Defected Rivers lawmakers free to leave PDP, says Wike

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The Minister of the Federal Capital Territory, Nyesom Wike, has said the 16 defected members of the Rivers State House of Assembly are free to leave the Peoples Democratic Party, adding that his camp would continue to work with the remaining lawmakers still loyal to the party.

Wike stated this on Friday while addressing journalists after inspecting the ongoing construction of an interchange bridge connecting Maitama, Gishiri, Jahi, and Gwarimpa in Abuja.

PUNCH Online reports that 16 lawmakers, including Speaker Martins Amaewhule, announced their defection from the PDP to the ruling All Progressives Congress during a plenary session of the Rivers State House of Assembly on Friday.

Citing divisions in the PDP as the reason for the defection, Amaewhule said he was now a member of the APC and would “join hands with Mr President,” noting that the President “means well for the country.”

Reacting, Wike described the development as “unfortunate,” adding that the party’s internal crisis contributed to the lawmakers’ exit.

“Well, it’s unfortunate. I have always said that everybody has the right to make a choice. The party is fully factionalised. And the requirement of the Constitution is that when a party is factionalised, they are allowed to leave the party.

“You will see that it’s not everybody who has left. I believe 16 or 17 of them have left out of 27. We still have a good number, about 10, and we will continue to work together. They never told me, but they have a right,” he said.

The former Rivers State Governor also stated that he remained in the PDP, urging the party to put its house in order.

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“I’m still in the PDP. So those who have remained, we’ll continue to work together. And I have said to the party, put your house in order. Because at the end of the day, if you don’t put your house in order, it’s the party that will lose.

“And we still ask the party to work together to see how the remaining members will be a relevant opposition. But they chose not to. So for me, those who have left are free. But those who remain in the party, we will continue to work together,” he added.

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Malami’s 2027 gov bid reshapes Kebbi political landscape

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The entry of former Attorney General of the Federation and Minister of Justice, Abubakar Malami (SAN), into the 2027 Kebbi State governorship race, under the African Democratic Congress, has reshaped the political landscape in the North-West state, writes ANIMASAHUN SALMAN

Former Attorney General of the Federation and Minister of Justice, Abubakar Malami (SAN), has formally joined the 2027 governorship contest in Kebbi State, a move that immediately altered political calculations in the North-West state and triggered reactions from government officials, political analysts, and supporters.

Malami, who declared his ambition during an interview on DCL Hausa monitored in Birnin Kebbi, said he would be contesting on the platform of the African Democratic Congress, setting the stage for what many observers now describe as a potentially fierce and unpredictable race.

However, just a week later, the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission reportedly invited him as part of an ongoing investigation into the alleged $490m Abacha loot. The move introduced a major stumbling block to his political ambitions, fuelling speculation about whether the legal scrutiny could slow down his campaign or affect voter perception.

Not deterred, Malami wrote on his X handle: “This is to confirm that I have been invited by the EFCC. As a law-abiding and patriotic citizen, I hereby reaffirm my commitment to honour the invitation. I understand the spirit of accountability and transparency in public service – the principles that I both advocate and champion. Rooted in public service and in the spirit of transparency and accountability, I am committed to sharing with the Nigerian public the developments as they unfold.”

After honouring the EFCC invitation, the former minister wrote: “In line with my undertaking to keep Nigerians updated on my invitation by EFCC, I give glory to Allah for his divine intervention. The engagement was successful, and I was eventually released while on an appointment for further engagement as the truth relating to the fabricated allegations against me continues to unfold.”

Announcing his decision to contest the governorship, the former minister said his decision was driven by worsening insecurity, the collapse of agriculture, and what he called “policy failure” affecting thousands of households across Kebbi.

According to him, the state is in desperate need of “rebuilding,” and he believes he possesses the experience and network required to redirect its development.

“I have agreed to contest, and there is no retreat. God willing, we are going to win. When the time comes, you will see that the people of Kebbi are with us,” Malami declared.

His statement signals the beginning of a long political journey that could reshape the balance of power in a state long dominated by the ruling All Progressives Congress.

Malami’s choice of the ADC immediately attracted attention across the state. As one of the most influential figures in the APC during the late President Muhammadu Buhari administration, his defection to a new party signalled a deep political rift.

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Political analysts say this could fragment the ruling party’s support base, especially in Gwandu Emirate, where Malami’s influence has long been visible.

According to some political commentators, the former minister’s declaration could introduce a three-way contest between the APC, with incumbent Governor Nasir Idris seeking to maintain party dominance; the PDP, which has struggled to regain momentum in the state; and Malami’s ADC, which may draw support from disaffected voters, youth groups, and political blocs dissatisfied with the current administration.

The development also revives long-standing political rivalries dating back to the 2015 and 2019 election cycles, where Malami was instrumental in mobilising federal support for APC candidates.

His decision to break away is therefore seen by many as both a political rebuke of the present government and a calculated attempt to realign political power around his own camp.

Idris

In announcing his candidacy, Malami focused heavily on the state’s security situation, especially persistent banditry in Zuru Emirate, Danko/Wasagu, Fakai, and parts of Yauri, areas that once formed the backbone of Kebbi’s food production.

He lamented that rice mills that operated for two decades had shut down, blaming state and federal authorities for “negligence.”

“Banditry has pushed thousands away from their farmlands. Rice mills that operated for 20 years have closed because of bad policies favouring foreign companies,” he said.

Kebbi’s agricultural decline is already well documented. The state, once celebrated for its partnership with Lagos in the Lake Rice programme, has experienced reduced yields in rice, wheat, millet, and onions due to insecurity and migration from rural communities.

By focusing on these issues, Malami is attempting to position himself as the candidate with both national and local exposure to reverse the trends.

The Kebbi State Government, however, reacted sharply to Malami’s declaration, insisting that his ambition poses no threat to Governor Nasir Idris or the ruling party.

The Chief Press Secretary to the Governor, Ahmed Idris, said the declaration was neither new nor surprising and insisted that only voters would determine who leads the state.

“The floor is open for everyone to contest. Only the people of Kebbi will decide their governor. We have no reason to panic,” he said.

The governor’s Special Adviser on Communication and Strategy, Abdullah Idris Zuru, described the former minister’s announcement as “a product of desperation.”

In a detailed reaction, Zuru challenged Malami to present his track record for public scrutiny.

“Nobody is moved. Nobody sees him as a threat. Let him go back to the grassroots and tell the people what he has done. People now understand their rights. They will not be deceived by empty rhetoric,” he said.

Zuru argued that modern voters no longer follow politicians blindly and that candidates must demonstrate past contributions to local development before seeking the state’s highest office.

“If you want to be governor, show the people your antecedents. Were you a commissioner, a chairman, a philanthropist? What have you done to improve the well-being of Kebbi people?” he said.

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Malami’s supporters, however, insist the government’s reaction reflects insecurity rather than confidence.

A political associate of the former AGF, Dr Abdurrahman Ibrahim, said the declaration was not an act of desperation but a response to widespread calls across the state.

“People from all corners of Kebbi are calling him to contest. He has a track record. He has brought development. Politics is a game of numbers, and Malami has the numbers,” he said.

He said Malami’s decision to leave the APC was mainly due to what they described as “failed campaign promises” by the current administration.

According to him, the former minister initially supported the governor with the belief that he would deliver on his agenda.

“He believed the governor would prioritise the needs of the people. But after the election, the promises changed. People are suffering. Development has stalled. That is why Malami decided to challenge the status quo,” he said.

On government claims that Malami lacks grassroots presence, Dr Ibrahim insisted the opposite was the case.

“If you go to Kebbi, the people will tell you who is mass-oriented. Malami is strategic, highly educated, and capable of driving development. That is why the people want him.”

He described Malami as a realistic candidate with broad acceptance and the capacity to finance and manage a full-scale campaign under the ADC platform.

One of the striking elements of Malami’s declaration is his choice of platform. The ADC has little electoral history in Kebbi State and has never won a governorship election there.

Though Malami’s entry into the governorship race is seen by many as an act that would strengthen the party, the former AGF still faces major challenges, including absence of traditional party structures in rural communities, lack of grassroots mobilisers in key local government areas, limited presence in previous election cycles, strong APC machinery across the state, and historical loyalty to major parties.

The 2027 election cycle may, however, differ from past cycles due to the impact of insecurity, economic hardship, and rising political consciousness.

Early on Monday, the Government Girls Comprehensive Secondary School in Maga town, Danko Wasagu Local Government Area, was attacked by bandits, where the vice principal was killed and 25 girls abducted.

The current trend of insecurity in the state may give Malami a campaign wave to ride on.

Malami’s financial strength, national influence, and personal political network could also compensate for the ADC’s structural weaknesses.

A lecturer at a federal institution in the state, Dr Musa Bello, said Malami’s entry into a smaller party creates a complex race.

“He is banking on personality, not party structure. If he successfully draws major APC blocs, especially in Gwandu and Argungu, then ADC becomes a strong contender. But the burden of building a statewide structure is enormous,” he said.

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Political insiders confirm that Malami played a crucial role in supporting Governor Nasir Idris during the last election. At the time, the former AGF was one of the major forces behind the governor’s emergence.

Their fallout, therefore, marks one of the most significant political breakaways in Kebbi’s recent history.

Sources say the rift widened over policy direction, political appointments, and alleged failure to meet key governance expectations. However, the government insists it owes no explanation.

Malami’s supporters maintain that the governor abandoned core campaign promises, especially regarding security, agriculture, education, and civil service welfare.

This disagreement has now transformed into a full electoral confrontation, with residents expressing their opinions on the candidates.

In Zuru, farmers and traders welcome the former minister’s stance on insecurity, saying any candidate willing to address banditry deserves attention.

In Argungu, some residents recall federal assistance and appointments linked to Malami’s influence while in office.

In Birnin Kebbi, some civil servants express scepticism, saying they prefer candidates with extensive local administrative experience.

A rice miller in Bunza, who simply gave his name as Mohammed, said, “We need someone who understands our struggles. If Malami can bring peace and reopen farms, we will support him.”

However, a trader in Jega, who did not want his name published, offered a different view: “We hear big rhetoric from Abuja. We want someone who has been with us here, not someone who only comes during elections.”

These mixed sentiments reflect a state where voters are increasingly demanding accountability while remaining open to new political alternatives.

With Malami’s entry, the 2027 governorship race in Kebbi is no longer a two-horse contest. The election will now revolve around four key issues: security of lives and farmlands, agricultural revival and economic recovery, performance record of the incumbent administration, and credibility and grassroots acceptance of candidates.

Though the APC still maintains structural dominance, internal cracks and public criticism may weaken its voter base. The ADC is emerging as a new force, buoyed by Malami’s entry. The PDP, though quieter, hopes to benefit from vote splitting between the two major blocs, especially now that the state holds the position of national chairman of the PDP, Tanimu Turaki (SAN).

Malami’s entry has transformed what was expected to be a straightforward governorship succession into a turbulent contest, and in the months ahead, alliances, defections, and political negotiations are expected to further shape the race.

With the development, Kebbi’s 2027 race is now open, competitive, and unpredictable.

Some political watchers of the event in the state, however, suggest that how Malami navigates the legal entanglement with the EFCC probing will be critical in determining whether his political momentum can be sustained.

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