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Petrol exports hit N371bn amid heavy import reliance

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Nigeria exported Premium Motor Spirit, popularly known as petrol, worth N371.54bn in the second quarter of 2025, marking the first recorded shipment of the product after the Dangote Petroleum Refinery came online. The breakthrough follows the commencement of operations at the refinery, Africa’s largest single-train refining complex.

Data from the National Bureau of Statistics shows that petrol accounted for 1.63 per cent of Nigeria’s total exports in the quarter. This was a remarkable shift for a country long dependent on imports due to the chronic dormancy of state-owned refineries. No petrol exports were recorded in either the previous quarter or the same period in 2024.

Analysis of the trade figures revealed that only N85.83bn, representing 23.1 per cent of petrol exports, went to Africa. All of it was concentrated in West Africa, specifically within the Economic Community of West African States. The remaining 76.9 per cent was shipped to destinations outside the continent, suggesting that markets in Asia and the Middle East drove the refinery’s early sales.

Within Nigeria’s regional export mix, petrol represented 2.89 per cent of shipments to Africa, 4.36 per cent to West Africa, and 4.45 per cent to ECOWAS. Globally, it ranked as Nigeria’s ninth-largest export in Q2 2025, but within West Africa, it rose to fifth place and fourth within ECOWAS.

Petrol imports persist

Despite the milestone, Nigeria remained a net importer of petrol. Imports stood at N2.38tn in Q2 2025—down 45.56 per cent from N4.36tn in Q2 2024, but still nearly 6.4 times the value of exports. Compared to N1.76tn in Q1 2025, imports rose by 34.89 per cent quarter-on-quarter.

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Cumulatively, Nigeria imported N4.14tn worth of petrol in the first half of 2025, compared to N8.18tn in the same period of 2024, representing a 49.41 per cent decline. Analysts believe the increasing local refining output will gradually reduce the country’s dependence on foreign suppliers.

Alhaji Aliko Dangote, President of the Dangote Group, confirmed that the refinery exported about 1.35 billion litres of petrol between June and July 2025, equivalent to one million tonnes. Speaking at the recent Global Commodity Insights Conference on West African Refined Fuel Markets, organised by the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority in partnership with S&P Global, Dangote declared that Nigeria had become a net exporter of refined products.

“From June to date, we have exported about one million tonnes of PMS within just 50 days,” Dangote said, noting that the refinery also began shipping aviation fuel to Europe and Saudi Arabia.

S&P Global reported that gasoline exports from the refinery spiked to roughly 90,000 barrels per day in June 2025, reaching markets as far as Oman, Singapore, and Malaysia. However, production outages and maintenance on its catalytic cracking unit limited volumes in the early months.

Under a naira-for-crude deal with the government, the refinery is obliged to supply fixed volumes of refined products domestically. This is critical amid concerns that the refinery’s export drive could undermine local supply.

Dangote dismissed allegations of monopolising the downstream sector, arguing that his company was investing heavily to reduce Nigeria’s dependence on imports. “Too many people with the means to contribute prefer to criticise from the sidelines while investing abroad. Our focus is to build energy independence for Nigeria and Africa,” he said.

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The NMDPRA noted that Nigeria and other West African countries still import around 69 per cent of their petrol needs. According to the agency’s Chief Executive, Farouk Ahmed, an average of 2.05 million metric tonnes of petrol is traded monthly in the region, with the bulk sourced from overseas.

This underscores the challenge Nigeria faces: while Dangote’s refinery has changed the narrative by creating export flows, demand still outstrips supply locally.

Nigeria’s refined products are already finding traction in the United States, which imported about 630,000 barrels per day of petroleum in Q2 2025. Industry sources say the US is a promising destination given that Dangote’s fuel meets its quality specifications. Other major buyers of US imports in the quarter included the Netherlands, Canada, and India.

President Bola Tinubu has framed the refinery’s output as part of a wider African push to reshape global energy markets. Writing on his official X handle recently, Tinubu said, “Africa can no longer remain a price taker for its resources. It is time to establish credible, transparent benchmarks that reflect our realities and protect our economies.”

He added that Nigeria is working with regional partners to establish an integrated market that secures domestic energy access, rewards African production, and deepens cross-border prosperity.

The emergence of petrol exports represents a structural shift in Nigeria’s energy trade. For decades, petrol dominated import bills without appearing in the export ledger. With Dangote now shipping products globally, Nigeria is evolving into both a supplier to regional markets and a participant in the global refined products trade.

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Analysts say that as the refinery ramps up output, Nigeria’s foreign exchange earnings will improve, import dependence will ease, and the country’s position as West Africa’s energy hub will be strengthened.

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Lagos enforces 5% tax on gaming winnings

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The Lagos State Government has begun enforcing a five per cent withholding tax on gaming winnings from licensed gaming platforms operating within the state.

The Chief Executive Officer of the Lagos State Lotteries and Gaming Authority, Are Bashir, made this known in a public notice issued on Friday.

He stated that the policy, which takes immediate effect, applies to players’ net winnings and is to be deducted at the point of payout.

Bashir directed all licensed gaming operators in the state to comply immediately with the new tax framework in line with existing Nigerian tax laws and regulatory directives governing the gaming industry.

According to the notice, the five per cent deduction will be automatically withheld before winnings are paid to players and remitted to the Lagos State Internal Revenue Service as the statutory tax authority.

Bashir said the initiative is part of the state’s wider efforts to improve tax compliance, transparency and accountability in the fast-growing gaming sector.

“The measure forms part of Lagos’ broader drive to strengthen tax compliance, transparency, and accountability in the rapidly expanding gaming sector,” the notice read.

He said under the new arrangement, players are required to provide their National Identification Number (NIN) in line with Know Your Customer (KYC) regulations.

Bashir clarified that all deductions and remittances will be handled strictly by licensed gaming operators in accordance with regulatory requirements, adding that players will receive their winnings net of the statutory deduction, with proper records maintained to ensure transparency.

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He further noted that the withholding tax deducted will serve as a tax credit to the player.

“All licensed gaming operators in Lagos State have now been formally directed to commence the deductions with immediate effect,” the notice said.

Bashir reiterated that the policy is aimed at ensuring effective regulation of the gaming industry while aligning both operators and players with existing tax obligations in the state.

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Customs hand over seized N40.7m petrol to NMDPRA

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The Comptroller-General of Customs, Adewale Adeniyi, on Friday handed over 1,650 jerrycans of Premium Motor Spirit, worth N40.7 million, to the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority for further investigation.

Addressing journalists at the handover ceremony held at the Customs Training College in Ikeja, Adeniyi said the seized fuel was intercepted at various locations, including Badagry, Owode, Seme, and other axes within Lagos State.

Represented by the National Coordinator of Operation Whirlwind, Deputy Comptroller-General Abubakar Aliyu, Adeniyi said the contraband was intercepted over the past nine weeks.

“In the space of nine weeks, our operatives intensified surveillance and enforcement across critical border communities. A total of 1,650 jerrycans of 25 litres each were seized along notorious smuggling routes, including Adodo, Seme, Owode Apa, Ajilete, Idjaun, Ilaro, Badagry, Idiroko, and Imeko. The total duty-paid value of the PMS is N40.7 million,” Adeniyi said.

He added that three tankers used to transport the fuel were carrying 60,000, 45,000, and 49,000 litres respectively, totalling 154,000 litres of PMS.

According to Adeniyi, the interception was the result of intelligence-driven operations and the vigilance of Operation Whirlwind in safeguarding Nigeria’s economy and energy security.

He explained that the transportation and movement of petroleum products are governed by regulatory frameworks and standard operating procedures designed to prevent diversion, smuggling, hoarding, and economic sabotage.

“These items contravened the established Standard Operating Procedures of Operation Whirlwind,” Adeniyi said, emphasising that such violations undermine government policy, distort market stability, and deprive the nation of critical revenue.

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He warned that border corridors such as Owode, Seme, and Badagry remain sensitive economic arteries. “These routes have historically been exploited for illegal cross-border petroleum movement. Under our watch, there will be no safe haven for economic sabotage,” he said.

Adeniyi said the handover to NMDPRA reflects inter-agency collaboration. “While Customs enforces border control and anti-smuggling mandates, NMDPRA regulates distribution and ensures compliance with downstream laws. This collaboration ensures due process, transparency, and regulatory integrity,” he said.

Representing NMDPRA, Mrs. Grace Dauda said the agency ensures that petroleum products produced in Nigeria are consumed domestically. “It is unfortunate that some businessmen attempt to smuggle the product out of the country. The public must work together to stop economic sabotage,” she said.

Operation Whirlwind is a special tactical enforcement operation launched by the Nigeria Customs Service in 2024 to combat cross-border smuggling of petroleum products, particularly PMS, and other contraband that threaten Nigeria’s economic security. It was established in response to a surge in illegal fuel diversion across the country.

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Stocks drop, oil rises after Trump Iran threat

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Most Asia equities fell and oil prices rose on Friday after Donald Trump ratcheted up Middle East tensions by hinting at possible military strikes on Iran if it did not make a “meaningful deal” in nuclear talks.

The remarks fanned geopolitical concerns and cast a pall over a tentative rebound in markets following an AI-fuelled sell-off this month.

Traders are also looking ahead to the release of US data later in the day that will provide a fresh snapshot of the world’s top economy.

A slew of forecast-beating figures over the past few days have lifted optimism about the outlook but tempered expectations for more interest rate cuts.

The US president told the inaugural meeting of the “Board of Peace”, his initiative to secure stability in Gaza, that Tehran should make a deal.

“It’s proven to be over the years not easy to make a meaningful deal with Iran. We have to make a meaningful deal otherwise bad things happen,” he said, as he deployed warships, fighter jets and other military hardware to the region.

He warned that Washington “may have to take it a step further” without any agreement, adding: “You’re going to be finding out over the next probably 10 days.”

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu earlier warned: “If the ayatollahs make a mistake and attack us, they will receive a response they cannot even imagine.”

The threats come days after the United States and Iran held a second round of Omani-mediated talks in Geneva as Washington looks to prevent the country from getting a nuclear bomb, which Tehran says it is not pursuing.

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The prospect of a conflict in the crude-rich Middle East has sent oil prices surging this week, and they extended the gains Friday to sit at their highest levels since June.

Equity traders were also spooked.

Hong Kong fell as it reopened from a three-day break, while Tokyo, Sydney, Wellington and Bangkok were also down. However, Seoul continued to rally to a fresh record thanks to more tech buying, with Singapore, Manila and Mumbai also up.

City Index market analyst Matt Simpson said a strike was not certain.

“At its core, this looks like pressure and leverage rather than a prelude to invasion,” he wrote.

“The US is pairing military readiness with stalled nuclear negotiations, signalling it has credible strike options if talks fail. That doesn’t automatically translate into boots on the ground or a regime-change campaign.

“While military assets dominate headlines, diplomacy is still in motion. The fact talks are continuing at all suggests both sides are still probing for a diplomatic off-ramp before tensions harden further.”

Shares in Jakarta slipped even after Trump and Indonesian President Prabowo Subianto reached a trade deal after months of wrangling.

The accord sets a 19 percent tariff on Indonesian goods entering the United States. The Southeast Asian country had been threatened with a potential 32 percent levy before the pact.

Jakarta also agreed to $33 billion in purchases of US energy commodities, agricultural products and aviation-related goods, including Boeing aircraft.

– Key figures at around 0700 GMT –

Tokyo – Nikkei 225: DOWN 1.1 percent at 56,825.70 (close)

Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: DOWN 0.7 percent at 26,508.98

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Shanghai – Composite: Closed for holiday

West Texas Intermediate: UP 0.9 percent at $67.05 per barrel

Brent North Sea Crude: UP 0.9 percent at $72.27 per barrel

Euro/dollar: DOWN at $1.1756 from $1.1767 on Thursday

Pound/dollar: DOWN at $1.3448 from $1.3458

Euro/pound: DOWN at 87.42 pence from 87.43 pence

Dollar/yen: UP at 155.17 yen from 155.07 yen

New York – Dow: DOWN 0.5 percent at 49,395.16 (close)

London – FTSE 100: DOWN 0.6 percent at 10,627.04 (close)

AFP

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