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Crude row deepens as refiners reject 11m-barrel local supply

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The Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission has disclosed that 11 crude oil cargoes offered to local refiners in a month were not taken up despite their repeated complaints about crude shortages.

The Chief Executive of NUPRC, Gbenga Komolafe, who was represented by an official of the commission, Boma Atiyegoba, made this known during a panel session at the Crude Oil Refinery-Owners Association of Nigeria summit held recently in Lagos.

According to Komolafe, while refiners had consistently raised concerns about the non-availability of feedstock for local processing, the commission’s records showed that crude oil was being made available under the Domestic Crude Supply Obligation.

The PUNCH recalls that the 650,000-capacity Dangote refinery has consistently decried the lack of enough crude supply to its plants. Officials of the refinery said the plant was increasingly depending on the United States to get feedstock.

In the same vein, owners of crude modular refineries repeatedly complained of crude shortages, asking the Federal Government to implement the domestic crude supply obligation as enshrined in the Petroleum Industry Act.

However, Komolafe disagreed with the claims, saying there were different reasons why refiners could not take crude from oil producers monthly.

Using April as a reference, he said 48 barrels were made available for exports, out of which 21 were reserved for local refining, but only 10 were lifted by refiners.

“I will use April to make a reference in terms of the DCSO and availability of crude to the refiners. If you look at our database, in April, we have about 48 cargoes that are available for Nigeria export. Of those 48 cargoes, 21 of them were reserved for DCSO. In the month of April, there were 48 crude cargoes; 21 of the cargoes were for DCSO, which amounts to 21 million barrels of oil. Of the 21 that were offered for DCSO, only 10 of them were taken; 11 of them did not fall through,” he said.

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Explaining the reasons for the unclaimed cargoes, Komolafe said the matter was largely commercial and technical, not that the oil was not available.

“That’s why we mention the issue of willing buyer, willing seller. It is a business; you go and discuss your pricing, and the commission has decided not to interfere in the commercial pricing of your business with the operators, because we don’t want to be seen to be fixing the prices. At the point of discussion, let the willing seller, willing buyer clause come in; and you know, crude oil is an international commodity, so there are a lot of factors and indices that go into the pricing,” he said.

Komolafe disclosed that eight of the cargoes were rejected due to pricing differences and crude grade preferences among the refiners.

“We have 11 cargoes that were not taken. Out of those 11, eight of them were as a result of pricing differences, while about three of them were as a result of specifications. I can tell you that the refiners also conduct what they call refining economics, and they have preferred blends in their minds that give them yields of a particular product. Even if the government makes this product available, if they don’t need that particular grade, they will not go to buy it, but that does not mean the government is not making that product available. So, in April, 21 cargoes were offered, and 10 were taken; eight of them were not taken for price discrepancies, and three were not taken due to specification. The commission is making these products available,” he said.

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Also speaking during the panel session, the Executive Secretary of the African Refiners and Distributors Association, Anibor Kragha, said Nigeria’s refinery operators needed to expand the range of crude blends they could process to improve domestic refining performance.

While saying the country needs to produce more to meet its OPEC quota, he advised that there should be enough crude for export and local refining.

“Our refiners are spoilt in that, they only process one or two blends of crude. You should actually have a crude slate that your refinery can take. I know that requires a lot of money, but that’s the way to go, because ultimately, the goal is for Nigeria to get technical allowables to maximise production. Fight for your OPEC quota, but also try to increase production and refine domestically as much as you can and export as much as you can,” he said.

Vice-Chairman of the Crude Oil Refinery-Owners Association of Nigeria, Mrs Dolapo Okulaja, however, faulted the commission’s position, saying most local refiners were not getting enough crude to operate efficiently despite the legal provisions under the Petroleum Industry Act.

“We need clarity as to how much we will be getting in crude oil because there seems to be an imbalance between what we are producing and what we want to give for local refining. What are you doing about giving local refineries the amount of crude that they need to be operational? I cannot set up a 20,000-barrel refinery, and I’m only getting 10,000 or 5,000 barrels per day. How do I pay back my investors?” she asked.

Okulaja said that though the law emphasised domestic crude supply, most refiners don’t get the crude they need.

“We know we have the laws in the PIA, but the reality is that most refiners are not getting the quantity of crude they need in order to operate efficiently. If I need 300,000 barrels a month and you’re only giving me 30,000, the differential is too much for the refiner to bear,” she said.

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She also rejected suggestions that Nigerian refiners were pampered by the operators.

“We are not spoilt; we are very hard-working, and we are pushing because it doesn’t make sense to export all our crude, and that’s why refiners are in the business to add value by refining our crude because there is no value added to exporting the crude. I can only blend what’s in my area; I cannot go and look for other blends because that will cost me money in transporting it to my refinery. We can only have more modular refineries spread across Nigeria where the different Bonny Light blends are,” she said.

Okulaja added that the lack of infrastructure was another major obstacle to local refining.

“Infrastructure is a problem. We cannot be delivering crude oil to refineries in tanks. There must be pipeline infrastructure, and that requires public-private collaboration,” she said.

Meanwhile, CORAN President, Momoh Oyarekhua, argued that the PIA, though designed to support local refining, had further complicated crude supply arrangements through conflicting clauses.

The PIA, in the wisdom of the people that actually drafted it, felt the domestic crude obligation must be supported. But we, in the refinery sector, still feel there is a clog in the wheel of that aspect of the PIA that is supposed to enable the refinery.

“You cannot have an obligation and also put a condition, which is the willing buyer, willing seller clause,” he said.

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Kwara strengthens partnership to boost mechanised farming

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The Kwara State Government has strengthened its partnership with the All Farmers Association of Nigeria and other agricultural stakeholders to advance mechanised farming, environmental sustainability and women inclusion across the state.

The renewed commitment was reaffirmed during a courtesy visit by the leadership of the Kwara State chapter of AFAN to the Kwara State Agro-Climatic Resilience in Semi-Arid Landscapes in Ilorin.

This was contained in a statement issued on Tuesday by the Communication Officer of KWACReSAL, Okanlawon Taiwo, a copy of which was made available to The PUNCH in Ilorin.

Speaking during the meeting, the State Project Coordinator of KWACReSAL, Shamsideen Aregbe, assured farmers of the state government’s continued support toward improving food production, mechanised agriculture and climate resilience.

He said, “Tractorisation remains a critical component of modern agriculture. Access to farming equipment is essential for increasing productivity and addressing food security challenges across the state.”

He explained that the tractor support initiative introduced last year followed a World Bank-backed intervention and presidential directive aimed at supporting farmers with mechanised farming equipment.

Aregbe acknowledged concerns raised about operational challenges affecting some tractors, assuring stakeholders that efforts were ongoing to determine the condition and operational status of the equipment to enable effective utilisation by farmers.

“We must sustain engagement with farming communities, particularly in addressing challenges relating to flooding, agricultural logistics and food security,” he added.

The project coordinator also stressed the need for gender equality and inclusion in agricultural interventions across the state.

“The inclusion of women is not negotiable. We must continue to encourage and support women to actively participate in agricultural programmes and leadership processes,” he stated.

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Earlier, the Chairman of AFAN in Kwara State, Shuaib Ajibola, commended KWACReSAL for its interventions in the agricultural sector, reaffirming the association’s readiness to collaborate on programmes aimed at improving farmers’ welfare and environmental sustainability.

Ajibola disclosed that the association planned to commence an agricultural expo and stakeholder engagement programme across the state following its recent inauguration activities to reconnect with farmers and strengthen agricultural outreach.

“Previous editions of the interventions covered the 16 local government areas of the state and involved stakeholders from different agricultural sectors,” he said.

The AFAN chairman also raised concerns over land use disputes and other agrarian issues affecting farmlands, noting that the development had created anxiety among some farming communities regarding land ownership and rights.

“There is a need for sustained stakeholder dialogue and engagement to resolve disputes and ensure peaceful farming activities across communities,” Ajibola added.

Also speaking, the Project Coordinator of AFAM, AbdulRahman Babatunde, applauded KWACReSAL for its support to farmers, especially in the area of agricultural inputs and mechanised farming.

“ACReSAL provided 100 per cent agricultural inputs to participating farmers last year, and beneficiaries across communities can testify to the positive impact of the intervention,” Babatunde said.

He disclosed that farming activities for the current planting season had already commenced, with farmers actively registering, hiring tractors and preparing their farmlands.

In her remarks, the AFAM Women Leader, Sherifat Ibrahim, advocated increased empowerment and technical training for women in rural communities to enable them to actively participate in mechanised farming.

“There is a need for gender-friendly operational systems and practical training that will make tractor handling easier and more accessible for women and young learners involved in agricultural programmes,” she said.

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Meanwhile, the Environmental Safeguards Officer of KWACReSAL, Mr Abubakar Mohammed, reaffirmed the project’s commitment to gender equality, women’s inclusion and effective grievance management across all project activities.

The renewed collaboration comes amid growing efforts by the Kwara state government to improve food production and strengthen climate-smart agriculture through partnerships with farmer associations, development agencies and international organisations.

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See Full List of Top 10 World’s Largest Economies in 2026

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The United States is projected to remain the world’s largest economy in 2026 with a gross domestic product estimated at $32.1 trillion, according to new global economic forecasts obtained from Focus Economics on Wednesday.

The U.S. continues to lead global output through dominance in technology, finance, healthcare, and advanced manufacturing. Growth in artificial intelligence, healthcare innovation, and high-value industries has further widened its lead over other major economies in recent years.

The top 10 world economies ranked in numbers

1. United States — $32.1 trillion
The United States remains the world’s largest economy, accounting for over a quarter of global output in nominal terms. Its economy is highly diversified, with Silicon Valley driving global leadership in AI, biotech, and software, while Wall Street anchors the financial sector.

2. China — $20.2 trillion
China is the world’s second-largest economy, driven by manufacturing, exports, and large-scale industrial production. It remains the leading global producer of electronics, machinery, and textiles, though it faces structural challenges, including a shrinking population and high debt levels.

3. Germany — $5.4 trillion
Germany remains Europe’s largest economy, supported by a strong industrial base and the Mittelstand network of medium-sized manufacturing firms that form the backbone of its export strength.

4. India — $4.5 trillion
India continues its rapid economic rise, driven largely by services and information technology. Its economy has more than doubled over the past decade, supported by a young population and expanding domestic demand.

5. Japan — $4.4 trillion
Japan remains a global manufacturing powerhouse in robotics, automobiles, and electronics, although long-term growth is constrained by an aging population and structural economic stagnation.

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6. United Kingdom — $4.2 trillion
The United Kingdom is a major service-based economy, with strengths in finance, insurance, and real estate, anchored by the City of London.

7. France — $3.6 trillion
France has a diversified economy led by luxury goods, aerospace, agriculture, and manufacturing, with global brands such as Airbus and LVMH playing major roles.

8. Italy — $2.7 trillion
Italy combines a strong services sector with manufacturing strengths in fashion, machinery, and automobiles, driven largely by its industrial northern regions.

9. Russia — $2.5 trillion
Russia remains heavily dependent on oil and gas exports, with energy revenues playing a central role in its economy despite ongoing sanctions and geopolitical pressures.

10. Canada — $2.4 trillion
Canada rounds out the top 10, supported by natural resources such as oil, forestry, and mining, alongside a strong services and financial sector.

Economists say the global economy is increasingly being shaped by technology, demographics, energy transitions, and geopolitical tensions, all of which will influence how these rankings evolve in the coming years.

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Nigeria misses OPEC oil production quota again

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Again, Nigeria has missed its crude oil production quota set by the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries after averaging 1.49 million barrels per day in April, below the 1.5 mbpd benchmark.

Figures from the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission showed that the country produced an average of 1,488,540 barrels of crude daily in April, representing about 99 per cent of the OPEC quota. When condensates were added, total daily production rose to 1.66mbpd

Last month, the NUPRC said oil production now averaged 1.8mbpd. However, data released on Tuesday was at variance with the report. The latest data mean Nigeria remained below its OPEC allocation for the ninth straight month since July 2025.

The NUPRC document showed that combined crude oil and condensate production peaked at 1.85 mbpd during the month, while the lowest output stood at 1.46 mbpd. The PUNCH reports that the April figures are an appreciable improvement compared to March, when oil output was 1.55mbpd.

Nigeria’s oil production has struggled for years due to crude theft, pipeline vandalism, ageing infrastructure, and underinvestment in the upstream sector. Although output improved marginally in April compared to March, it was still insufficient to meet the country’s OPEC target, underscoring persistent challenges in ramping up production despite government efforts to boost volumes.

The PUNCH reports that Nigeria’s crude production in March was 1.38 mbpd. While there was a 69,000 bpd increase from the 1.31 mbpd recorded in February, the figure is still 117,000 bpd below the OPEC quota.

The figures for February indicated a month-on-month decline of 146,000 barrels per day, widening the country’s shortfall from its OPEC production allocation. This is the eighth consecutive month the country has failed to meet the OPEC quota since July 2025.

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Recall that although Nigeria recorded a marginal improvement in January, when production rose from 1.422 mbpd in December 2025 to 1.46 mbpd, the rebound was short-lived as output fell significantly in February 2026.

Earlier data from NUPRC had also shown that crude oil production weakened at the end of 2025. Production declined from 1.436 mbpd in November 2025 to 1.422 mbpd in December, before recovering slightly in January.

In 2025, Nigeria’s crude oil production fell below its OPEC quota in nine months of the year, meeting or slightly exceeding the target only in January, June, and July.

Nigeria opened 2025 strongly, producing 1.54 mbpd in January, about 38,700 barrels per day above its OPEC allocation. However, production slipped below the quota in February at 1.47 mbpd and weakened further in March to 1.40 mbpd, marking one of the widest shortfalls during the year.

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