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Tinubu shifts 15% fuel import duty to Q1 2026

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The Federal Government has approved the postponement of the implementation of the 15 per cent import duty on petrol and diesel until the first quarter of 2026, contrary to earlier notions that the suspension was indefinite.

The deferment, formally approved by President Bola Tinubu, was in response to a detailed request submitted by the Executive Chairman of the Federal Inland Revenue Service, Dr Zacch Adedeji, following extensive strategic consultations with key stakeholders to assess market readiness and ensure a smooth and orderly rollout of the 15 per cent import duty.

Adedeji made the request in a letter dated November 7, 2025, titled “Deferment of the Commencement of the Implementation of the Premium Motor Spirit (petrol) and Diesel Import Duty.”

The letter obtained exclusively by our correspondent on Thursday stressed the need to ensure that local refining infrastructure is fully prepared, technical and operational frameworks are properly aligned, and fuel supply disruptions are minimised before the levy takes effect.

The duty, originally approved on October 21, 2025, was aimed at boosting domestic refining capacity, stabilising downstream fuel prices, and promoting fair competition between imported and locally produced fuels.

Earlier on Thursday, the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority announced the suspension of the planned 15 per cent ad-valorem import duty on petrol and diesel, reversing an earlier policy move aimed at encouraging local refining and reducing dependence on fuel imports.

The policy suspension was confirmed to our correspondent by the Director, Public Affairs Department at the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority, George Ene-Ita, on Thursday, via a telephone conversation.

He explained that the planned tariff had been suspended, saying, “Well, you read it, that is what it means. It is no longer in view and not implementable at this time.”

He stated this while clarifying a press statement earlier issued by the agency. When asked if the decision had the approval of President Bola Tinubu, the official confirmed, “Yes, it is (with his approval).”

The NMDPRA is one of the major federal agencies assigned to enforce the tariff, ensuring compliance with the import duty structure. But a new letter confirming the deferment, sighted by The PUNCH, read that Tinubu, rather, approved the postponement of the implementation “for further review in the first quarter of 2026.”

The letter read, “The purpose of this memorandum is to apprise Your Excellency of the need for a deferment in the commencement schedule of the implementation of the previously approved fifteen per cent (15 per cent) import on Premium Motor Spirit and Diesel, sequel to additional strategic consultations on implementation readiness.

“Your Excellency may wish to recall that on 21st October 2025, via presidential PRES8197/HAGF/100/71/FIRS/40/88-2/NMDPRA/2, you graciously approved the introduction of fifteen per cent (15 per cent) ad-valorem import duty on Premium Motor Spirit (PMS and Diesel). The measure was conceived as a corrective policy tool to strengthen local refining capacity, stabilise downstream market prices, and promote competitive parity between imported and domestically produced fuels in line with the Renewed Hope Agenda for energy and fiscal sustainability.

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“Pursuant to the above approval, and in line with Your Excellency’s directive that all fiscal and market interventions must be reflective of the administration’s drive for efficiency and balance, a series of consultative meetings was held with critical stakeholders to review implementation timelines and operational readiness.

“Sequel to these engagements, and following a thorough assessment of market conditions and the agreed strategic implementation roadmap, it was collectively determined that it is necessary to allow for a smoother and more efficient rollout. This adjustment will provide adequate time for stakeholders to complete alignment on technical templates, public communication frameworks, and import scheduling, thereby minimising disruption to the supply chain and ensuring that the reform achieves its intended stabilising Impact.”

Adedeji explained that the deferment would also create a window for government agencies to monitor local refining performance in the first quarter of 2026 and align the tariff’s rollout with verified production data and consumer price trends.

According to the letter, the adjustment aims to ensure that when the levy eventually takes effect, it will be both economically sustainable and socially responsible, in line with President Tinubu’s directive that all fiscal measures must safeguard citizens’ welfare while maintaining market discipline.

In his recommendation, the FIRS boss urged the President to approve the deferment of the commencement of the 15 per cent import levy on Premium Motor Spirit and diesel until January 2026, pending further confirmation.

“Pursuant to the foregoing, Your Excellency is graciously invited to approve the deferment of the commencement of the 15 per cent import levy on Premium Motor Spirit and Diesel until January 2026, subject to Your Excellency’s confirmation. Respectfully submitted for Your Excellency’s consideration and further directives,” the letter requested.

President Tinubu, in his minute on the document, approved the request and directed that the implementation be deferred “for further review in the first quarter of 2026.”

Recall that last month, Tinubu’s approval of a 15 per cent import policy on PMS and diesel has stirred widespread concern across the oil and gas sector, with operators warning it could raise petrol prices, worsen inflation, and increase import costs, even as the government insists the policy aims to boost local refining and generate revenue.

The President’s approval was conveyed in a letter signed by his Private Secretary, Damilotun Aderemi, following a proposal submitted by the Executive Chairman of the Federal Inland Revenue Service, Zacch Adedeji.

The proposal sought the application of a 15 per cent duty on the cost, insurance, and freight value of imported petrol and diesel to align import costs with domestic market realities.

Adedeji, in his memo to the President, explained that the measure formed part of ongoing fiscal and energy reforms designed to strengthen the naira-based oil economy, ensure price stability, and accelerate the nation’s transition toward local refining capacity in line with the administration’s Renewed Hope Agenda for energy security and economic sustainability.

The duty, introduced as part of the Federal Government’s new tariff framework for petroleum products, was meant to support emerging local refineries such as the Dangote Petroleum Refinery and modular plants.

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However, the directive was met with mixed reactions, as stakeholders expressed concerns that the new tax could worsen inflation and push up pump prices at a time when Nigeria’s domestic refineries are yet to attain full operational capacity.

The suspension reflects the administration’s bid to strike a delicate balance between protecting consumers and promoting local production in Nigeria’s transitioning downstream oil market.

Marketers react

Reacting, oil marketers and industry experts have commended President Bola Tinubu for suspending the proposed 15 per cent import duty on petroleum products, describing the move as a timely intervention that averts a potential spike in fuel prices and inflation across the country.

Reacting to the development, the President of the Petroleum Products Retail Outlets Owners Association of Nigeria, Billy Gillis-Harry, said the suspension was a clear indication that the Federal Government was responsive to feedback and conscious of the economic realities facing Nigerians.

“I am sure you recall that you interviewed me and I told you that PETROAN could not give a categorical statement on the policy until a test run was done to determine its impact,” he said. “Now that the government has seen that the policy may negatively affect the Nigerian people, it has wisely suspended it. That is the essence of governance, testing, analysing, and acting in the best interest of citizens.”

Gillis-Harry stressed that while import duty was not inherently bad, imposing a 15 per cent tariff at this stage of Nigeria’s economic recovery would have been excessive. He added that the deferment reflected the administration’s sensitivity to market dynamics and its ongoing efforts to strengthen local refining capacity.

“Import duty is not a bad thing, but 15 per cent is a lot. We believe that, at the appropriate time, government policy to encourage local refining will make a whole lot of difference,” he noted. “We congratulate the President for realising in good time that a deferment of the 30-day test run was necessary. We have a listening President, an analytical leader who works tirelessly on the economy. At the right time, there will be a national conversation on how to support local refiners.”

Similarly, the National Publicity Secretary of the Independent Petroleum Marketers Association of Nigeria, Chinedu Ukadike, applauded the move, saying the decision would shield consumers from inflationary pressure and preserve market balance. “Yes, we are happy about it,” Ukadike told The PUNCH.

“IPMAN commends Mr President for the suspension of the tax because it would have indirectly fuelled inflation and distorted market forces. We thank him for this people-centred decision.”

In the same vein, an oil and gas expert and Chief Executive Officer of Petroleumprice.ng, Olatide Jeremiah, described the suspension as “a commendable and rational policy adjustment.”

“The 15 per cent tariff was outrageous and ill-timed. If implemented, it would have discouraged fuel imports at a time when Nigeria still lacks sufficient refining capacity to meet domestic demand,” he said.

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“Energy security requires a balanced mix of refining and importation. Even top economies like the USA, China, and Russia still import fuel but at minimal tariffs. Imposing 15 per cent here would have created unfair competition and driven up pump prices.”

Jeremiah added that the decision gives the Dangote Refinery and other upcoming local plants room to stabilise production before new fiscal measures are introduced.

A major oil marketer, who spoke on condition of anonymity, attributed the reversal to growing pushback within the industry and concerns about the potential political and economic fallout.

“Personally, I believe there was significant pushback from multiple quarters, even though some supported the duty,” the marketer explained.

“As highlighted by international contributors at the recent MEMAN webinar, value-added taxes on fuel globally hover around 2 per cent. Government’s initial proposal likely targeted higher revenue, but it came across as an attempt to protect local refiners, perhaps even a particular refinery.”

He continued, “In my view, the U-turn stemmed from three main factors: inadequate consultation within and outside government, the political implications of higher pump prices, and possible electoral considerations. The implication now is that fuel importation will continue until local refineries can meet domestic needs. This ensures adequate supply and prevents a monopoly in distribution.”

With the suspension now in effect, marketers expect a smoother transition period as local refineries ramp up production, when Nigeria is projected to achieve significant self-sufficiency in fuel supply.

Meanwhile, the NMDPRA has confirmed a robust domestic supply of petrol, diesel, and cooking gas, sourced from both local refineries and importation, to ensure timely replenishment of stocks at depots and retail stations nationwide.

The statement titled “NMDPRA ADVISES AGAINST PANIC BUYING OF ANY PETROLEUM PRODUCT” read, “The NMDPRA wishes to assure the general public that there is an adequate supply of petroleum products in the country, within the acceptable national sufficiency threshold, during this peak demand period,” the agency said.

It also warned against hoarding, panic buying, or arbitrary price increases, stressing that the downstream regulator would continue to monitor supply and distribution activities closely to prevent disruption in the market.

“The implementation of the 15 per cent ad-valorem import duty on imported Premium Motor Spirit (petrol) and Automotive Gas Oil (diesel) is no longer in view,” the statement added.

The Authority said it would continue to take proactive regulatory measures to guarantee energy security and ensure smooth supply and distribution of products across the country.

While appreciating the cooperation of stakeholders in the midstream and downstream value chain, the NMDPRA reiterated its commitment to ensuring a stable and transparent market that supports consumers and operators alike.

“The Authority will continue to closely monitor the supply situation and take appropriate regulatory measures to prevent disruption of supply and distribution of petroleum products across the country, especially during this peak demand period,” the statement concluded.

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Customs hand over seized N40.7m petrol to NMDPRA

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The Comptroller-General of Customs, Adewale Adeniyi, on Friday handed over 1,650 jerrycans of Premium Motor Spirit, worth N40.7 million, to the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority for further investigation.

Addressing journalists at the handover ceremony held at the Customs Training College in Ikeja, Adeniyi said the seized fuel was intercepted at various locations, including Badagry, Owode, Seme, and other axes within Lagos State.

Represented by the National Coordinator of Operation Whirlwind, Deputy Comptroller-General Abubakar Aliyu, Adeniyi said the contraband was intercepted over the past nine weeks.

“In the space of nine weeks, our operatives intensified surveillance and enforcement across critical border communities. A total of 1,650 jerrycans of 25 litres each were seized along notorious smuggling routes, including Adodo, Seme, Owode Apa, Ajilete, Idjaun, Ilaro, Badagry, Idiroko, and Imeko. The total duty-paid value of the PMS is N40.7 million,” Adeniyi said.

He added that three tankers used to transport the fuel were carrying 60,000, 45,000, and 49,000 litres respectively, totalling 154,000 litres of PMS.

According to Adeniyi, the interception was the result of intelligence-driven operations and the vigilance of Operation Whirlwind in safeguarding Nigeria’s economy and energy security.

He explained that the transportation and movement of petroleum products are governed by regulatory frameworks and standard operating procedures designed to prevent diversion, smuggling, hoarding, and economic sabotage.

“These items contravened the established Standard Operating Procedures of Operation Whirlwind,” Adeniyi said, emphasising that such violations undermine government policy, distort market stability, and deprive the nation of critical revenue.

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He warned that border corridors such as Owode, Seme, and Badagry remain sensitive economic arteries. “These routes have historically been exploited for illegal cross-border petroleum movement. Under our watch, there will be no safe haven for economic sabotage,” he said.

Adeniyi said the handover to NMDPRA reflects inter-agency collaboration. “While Customs enforces border control and anti-smuggling mandates, NMDPRA regulates distribution and ensures compliance with downstream laws. This collaboration ensures due process, transparency, and regulatory integrity,” he said.

Representing NMDPRA, Mrs. Grace Dauda said the agency ensures that petroleum products produced in Nigeria are consumed domestically. “It is unfortunate that some businessmen attempt to smuggle the product out of the country. The public must work together to stop economic sabotage,” she said.

Operation Whirlwind is a special tactical enforcement operation launched by the Nigeria Customs Service in 2024 to combat cross-border smuggling of petroleum products, particularly PMS, and other contraband that threaten Nigeria’s economic security. It was established in response to a surge in illegal fuel diversion across the country.

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Stocks drop, oil rises after Trump Iran threat

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Most Asia equities fell and oil prices rose on Friday after Donald Trump ratcheted up Middle East tensions by hinting at possible military strikes on Iran if it did not make a “meaningful deal” in nuclear talks.

The remarks fanned geopolitical concerns and cast a pall over a tentative rebound in markets following an AI-fuelled sell-off this month.

Traders are also looking ahead to the release of US data later in the day that will provide a fresh snapshot of the world’s top economy.

A slew of forecast-beating figures over the past few days have lifted optimism about the outlook but tempered expectations for more interest rate cuts.

The US president told the inaugural meeting of the “Board of Peace”, his initiative to secure stability in Gaza, that Tehran should make a deal.

“It’s proven to be over the years not easy to make a meaningful deal with Iran. We have to make a meaningful deal otherwise bad things happen,” he said, as he deployed warships, fighter jets and other military hardware to the region.

He warned that Washington “may have to take it a step further” without any agreement, adding: “You’re going to be finding out over the next probably 10 days.”

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu earlier warned: “If the ayatollahs make a mistake and attack us, they will receive a response they cannot even imagine.”

The threats come days after the United States and Iran held a second round of Omani-mediated talks in Geneva as Washington looks to prevent the country from getting a nuclear bomb, which Tehran says it is not pursuing.

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The prospect of a conflict in the crude-rich Middle East has sent oil prices surging this week, and they extended the gains Friday to sit at their highest levels since June.

Equity traders were also spooked.

Hong Kong fell as it reopened from a three-day break, while Tokyo, Sydney, Wellington and Bangkok were also down. However, Seoul continued to rally to a fresh record thanks to more tech buying, with Singapore, Manila and Mumbai also up.

City Index market analyst Matt Simpson said a strike was not certain.

“At its core, this looks like pressure and leverage rather than a prelude to invasion,” he wrote.

“The US is pairing military readiness with stalled nuclear negotiations, signalling it has credible strike options if talks fail. That doesn’t automatically translate into boots on the ground or a regime-change campaign.

“While military assets dominate headlines, diplomacy is still in motion. The fact talks are continuing at all suggests both sides are still probing for a diplomatic off-ramp before tensions harden further.”

Shares in Jakarta slipped even after Trump and Indonesian President Prabowo Subianto reached a trade deal after months of wrangling.

The accord sets a 19 percent tariff on Indonesian goods entering the United States. The Southeast Asian country had been threatened with a potential 32 percent levy before the pact.

Jakarta also agreed to $33 billion in purchases of US energy commodities, agricultural products and aviation-related goods, including Boeing aircraft.

– Key figures at around 0700 GMT –

Tokyo – Nikkei 225: DOWN 1.1 percent at 56,825.70 (close)

Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: DOWN 0.7 percent at 26,508.98

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Shanghai – Composite: Closed for holiday

West Texas Intermediate: UP 0.9 percent at $67.05 per barrel

Brent North Sea Crude: UP 0.9 percent at $72.27 per barrel

Euro/dollar: DOWN at $1.1756 from $1.1767 on Thursday

Pound/dollar: DOWN at $1.3448 from $1.3458

Euro/pound: DOWN at 87.42 pence from 87.43 pence

Dollar/yen: UP at 155.17 yen from 155.07 yen

New York – Dow: DOWN 0.5 percent at 49,395.16 (close)

London – FTSE 100: DOWN 0.6 percent at 10,627.04 (close)

AFP

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FG defers 70% of 2025 capital budget to 2026

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The Federal Government has said it will implement 30 per cent of the 2025 capital budget before the end of November, as part of measures to fast-track project execution and clear outstanding obligations.

It also stated that the remaining 70 per cent has been rolled over into the 2026 capital budget to ensure seamless implementation. The move follows a directive to Ministries, Departments, and Agencies to comply strictly with procurement rules in the execution and payment of capital projects under the extended 2025 budget cycle.

In a statement on Thursday by the Director of Press and Public Relations at the Office of the Accountant-General of the Federation, Bawa Mokwa, the government said MDAs had been instructed to align fully with the Public Procurement Act in implementing the 2025 and 2026 capital budgets.

The Minister of State for Finance, Mrs Doris Uzoka-Anite, gave the directive during a stakeholders’ meeting on the implementation of the extended 2025 Capital Budget held at the Federal Ministry of Finance in Abuja.

She stressed that capital disbursements must follow due process.

The statement read, “Mrs Uzoka-Anite emphasised that all capital payments must comply with the principles of the Procurement Act and that capital projects must be backed by cash before execution. She warned that no capital payment should be processed outside approved procurement procedures.”

She added that the country has sufficient funds to settle outstanding obligations and urged MDAs to update their documentation to enable quicker processing of payments.

The statement noted, “The Minister further stated that the nation has adequate funds to settle pending payments and urged MDAs to review and update their documentation to facilitate the timely processing of payments.”

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Providing further details, the Accountant-General of the Federation, Dr Shamseldeen Ogunjimi, disclosed that the Government Integrated Financial Management Information System had been fully restored.

Ogunjimi reiterated that warrants had already been issued to MDAs and announced that Treasury House would begin implementation of the 30 per cent component of the 2025 budget by the end of next week.

The statement read, “Dr Ogunjimi explained that 30 per cent of the 2025 Capital Budget will be implemented between now and 30 November 2026, while the remaining 70 per cent has been rolled over into the 2026 Capital Budget to ensure seamless implementation, in line with the directive of President Bola Tinubu.

“He reiterated that warrants have already been issued to MDAs and announced that Treasury House will commence implementation of the 30 per cent component of the 2025 Budget by the end of next week.”

The decision effectively means that a significant portion of last year’s capital allocations will now be executed within the current fiscal window, while the bulk has been carried forward into the 2026 capital framework to avoid disruption of ongoing projects.

Earlier in his welcome address, the Director of Funds, Mr Steve Ehikhamenor, cautioned MDAs against exceeding approved allocations. He urged them to avoid budget overruns and to adhere strictly to approved project items and their corresponding values.

He also advised agencies not to exceed the amounts specified in their warrants, to return any unutilised or excess funds to the Treasury, and to work closely with GIFMIS officials for technical support.

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The PUNCH earlier in December 2025 exclusively reported that the Federal Government ordered ministries, departments, and agencies to carry over 70 per cent of their 2025 capital budget into the 2026 fiscal year as the administration moved to prioritise the completion of existing projects and contain spending pressures in the face of weak revenues.

The directive was contained in the 2026 Abridged Budget Call Circular issued by the Federal Ministry of Budget and Economic Planning and circulated to ministers, service chiefs, heads of agencies, and other senior government officials in Abuja.

The circular stated that only 30 per cent of the 2025 capital budget would be released within the year, while the remaining 70 per cent would form the basis of the 2026 capital budget, replacing the traditional rollover approach.

However, the Federal Government did not release the 30 per cent earmarked for 2025, resulting in its deferral into 2026, as ministers raised concerns over the non-release of funds for capital projects.

The PUNCH earlier reported that ministers in charge of key infrastructure and service-delivery agencies are grappling with a severe funding squeeze, as figures showed that MDAs received less than N1tn for capital projects in the first seven months of 2025.

The data used for this report was the most up-to-date available from the Budget Office of the Federation, as the agency had yet to release comprehensive full-year implementation figures, despite the fiscal year being well advanced.

An analysis of data from the Budget Office of the Federation’s Medium-Term Expenditure Framework and Fiscal Strategy Paper (2026–2028) showed that while N18.53tn was appropriated for capital expenditure for “MDAs and others” in 2025, the January–July pro rata benchmark stood at N10.81tn.

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However, actual capital releases to MDAs and related entities during the period amounted to just N834.80bn. That left a pro rata shortfall of about N9.98tn and a performance rate of only 7.72 per cent within the seven-month window.

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