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Tinubu shifts 15% fuel import duty to Q1 2026

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The Federal Government has approved the postponement of the implementation of the 15 per cent import duty on petrol and diesel until the first quarter of 2026, contrary to earlier notions that the suspension was indefinite.

The deferment, formally approved by President Bola Tinubu, was in response to a detailed request submitted by the Executive Chairman of the Federal Inland Revenue Service, Dr Zacch Adedeji, following extensive strategic consultations with key stakeholders to assess market readiness and ensure a smooth and orderly rollout of the 15 per cent import duty.

Adedeji made the request in a letter dated November 7, 2025, titled “Deferment of the Commencement of the Implementation of the Premium Motor Spirit (petrol) and Diesel Import Duty.”

The letter obtained exclusively by our correspondent on Thursday stressed the need to ensure that local refining infrastructure is fully prepared, technical and operational frameworks are properly aligned, and fuel supply disruptions are minimised before the levy takes effect.

The duty, originally approved on October 21, 2025, was aimed at boosting domestic refining capacity, stabilising downstream fuel prices, and promoting fair competition between imported and locally produced fuels.

Earlier on Thursday, the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority announced the suspension of the planned 15 per cent ad-valorem import duty on petrol and diesel, reversing an earlier policy move aimed at encouraging local refining and reducing dependence on fuel imports.

The policy suspension was confirmed to our correspondent by the Director, Public Affairs Department at the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority, George Ene-Ita, on Thursday, via a telephone conversation.

He explained that the planned tariff had been suspended, saying, “Well, you read it, that is what it means. It is no longer in view and not implementable at this time.”

He stated this while clarifying a press statement earlier issued by the agency. When asked if the decision had the approval of President Bola Tinubu, the official confirmed, “Yes, it is (with his approval).”

The NMDPRA is one of the major federal agencies assigned to enforce the tariff, ensuring compliance with the import duty structure. But a new letter confirming the deferment, sighted by The PUNCH, read that Tinubu, rather, approved the postponement of the implementation “for further review in the first quarter of 2026.”

The letter read, “The purpose of this memorandum is to apprise Your Excellency of the need for a deferment in the commencement schedule of the implementation of the previously approved fifteen per cent (15 per cent) import on Premium Motor Spirit and Diesel, sequel to additional strategic consultations on implementation readiness.

“Your Excellency may wish to recall that on 21st October 2025, via presidential PRES8197/HAGF/100/71/FIRS/40/88-2/NMDPRA/2, you graciously approved the introduction of fifteen per cent (15 per cent) ad-valorem import duty on Premium Motor Spirit (PMS and Diesel). The measure was conceived as a corrective policy tool to strengthen local refining capacity, stabilise downstream market prices, and promote competitive parity between imported and domestically produced fuels in line with the Renewed Hope Agenda for energy and fiscal sustainability.

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“Pursuant to the above approval, and in line with Your Excellency’s directive that all fiscal and market interventions must be reflective of the administration’s drive for efficiency and balance, a series of consultative meetings was held with critical stakeholders to review implementation timelines and operational readiness.

“Sequel to these engagements, and following a thorough assessment of market conditions and the agreed strategic implementation roadmap, it was collectively determined that it is necessary to allow for a smoother and more efficient rollout. This adjustment will provide adequate time for stakeholders to complete alignment on technical templates, public communication frameworks, and import scheduling, thereby minimising disruption to the supply chain and ensuring that the reform achieves its intended stabilising Impact.”

Adedeji explained that the deferment would also create a window for government agencies to monitor local refining performance in the first quarter of 2026 and align the tariff’s rollout with verified production data and consumer price trends.

According to the letter, the adjustment aims to ensure that when the levy eventually takes effect, it will be both economically sustainable and socially responsible, in line with President Tinubu’s directive that all fiscal measures must safeguard citizens’ welfare while maintaining market discipline.

In his recommendation, the FIRS boss urged the President to approve the deferment of the commencement of the 15 per cent import levy on Premium Motor Spirit and diesel until January 2026, pending further confirmation.

“Pursuant to the foregoing, Your Excellency is graciously invited to approve the deferment of the commencement of the 15 per cent import levy on Premium Motor Spirit and Diesel until January 2026, subject to Your Excellency’s confirmation. Respectfully submitted for Your Excellency’s consideration and further directives,” the letter requested.

President Tinubu, in his minute on the document, approved the request and directed that the implementation be deferred “for further review in the first quarter of 2026.”

Recall that last month, Tinubu’s approval of a 15 per cent import policy on PMS and diesel has stirred widespread concern across the oil and gas sector, with operators warning it could raise petrol prices, worsen inflation, and increase import costs, even as the government insists the policy aims to boost local refining and generate revenue.

The President’s approval was conveyed in a letter signed by his Private Secretary, Damilotun Aderemi, following a proposal submitted by the Executive Chairman of the Federal Inland Revenue Service, Zacch Adedeji.

The proposal sought the application of a 15 per cent duty on the cost, insurance, and freight value of imported petrol and diesel to align import costs with domestic market realities.

Adedeji, in his memo to the President, explained that the measure formed part of ongoing fiscal and energy reforms designed to strengthen the naira-based oil economy, ensure price stability, and accelerate the nation’s transition toward local refining capacity in line with the administration’s Renewed Hope Agenda for energy security and economic sustainability.

The duty, introduced as part of the Federal Government’s new tariff framework for petroleum products, was meant to support emerging local refineries such as the Dangote Petroleum Refinery and modular plants.

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However, the directive was met with mixed reactions, as stakeholders expressed concerns that the new tax could worsen inflation and push up pump prices at a time when Nigeria’s domestic refineries are yet to attain full operational capacity.

The suspension reflects the administration’s bid to strike a delicate balance between protecting consumers and promoting local production in Nigeria’s transitioning downstream oil market.

Marketers react

Reacting, oil marketers and industry experts have commended President Bola Tinubu for suspending the proposed 15 per cent import duty on petroleum products, describing the move as a timely intervention that averts a potential spike in fuel prices and inflation across the country.

Reacting to the development, the President of the Petroleum Products Retail Outlets Owners Association of Nigeria, Billy Gillis-Harry, said the suspension was a clear indication that the Federal Government was responsive to feedback and conscious of the economic realities facing Nigerians.

“I am sure you recall that you interviewed me and I told you that PETROAN could not give a categorical statement on the policy until a test run was done to determine its impact,” he said. “Now that the government has seen that the policy may negatively affect the Nigerian people, it has wisely suspended it. That is the essence of governance, testing, analysing, and acting in the best interest of citizens.”

Gillis-Harry stressed that while import duty was not inherently bad, imposing a 15 per cent tariff at this stage of Nigeria’s economic recovery would have been excessive. He added that the deferment reflected the administration’s sensitivity to market dynamics and its ongoing efforts to strengthen local refining capacity.

“Import duty is not a bad thing, but 15 per cent is a lot. We believe that, at the appropriate time, government policy to encourage local refining will make a whole lot of difference,” he noted. “We congratulate the President for realising in good time that a deferment of the 30-day test run was necessary. We have a listening President, an analytical leader who works tirelessly on the economy. At the right time, there will be a national conversation on how to support local refiners.”

Similarly, the National Publicity Secretary of the Independent Petroleum Marketers Association of Nigeria, Chinedu Ukadike, applauded the move, saying the decision would shield consumers from inflationary pressure and preserve market balance. “Yes, we are happy about it,” Ukadike told The PUNCH.

“IPMAN commends Mr President for the suspension of the tax because it would have indirectly fuelled inflation and distorted market forces. We thank him for this people-centred decision.”

In the same vein, an oil and gas expert and Chief Executive Officer of Petroleumprice.ng, Olatide Jeremiah, described the suspension as “a commendable and rational policy adjustment.”

“The 15 per cent tariff was outrageous and ill-timed. If implemented, it would have discouraged fuel imports at a time when Nigeria still lacks sufficient refining capacity to meet domestic demand,” he said.

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“Energy security requires a balanced mix of refining and importation. Even top economies like the USA, China, and Russia still import fuel but at minimal tariffs. Imposing 15 per cent here would have created unfair competition and driven up pump prices.”

Jeremiah added that the decision gives the Dangote Refinery and other upcoming local plants room to stabilise production before new fiscal measures are introduced.

A major oil marketer, who spoke on condition of anonymity, attributed the reversal to growing pushback within the industry and concerns about the potential political and economic fallout.

“Personally, I believe there was significant pushback from multiple quarters, even though some supported the duty,” the marketer explained.

“As highlighted by international contributors at the recent MEMAN webinar, value-added taxes on fuel globally hover around 2 per cent. Government’s initial proposal likely targeted higher revenue, but it came across as an attempt to protect local refiners, perhaps even a particular refinery.”

He continued, “In my view, the U-turn stemmed from three main factors: inadequate consultation within and outside government, the political implications of higher pump prices, and possible electoral considerations. The implication now is that fuel importation will continue until local refineries can meet domestic needs. This ensures adequate supply and prevents a monopoly in distribution.”

With the suspension now in effect, marketers expect a smoother transition period as local refineries ramp up production, when Nigeria is projected to achieve significant self-sufficiency in fuel supply.

Meanwhile, the NMDPRA has confirmed a robust domestic supply of petrol, diesel, and cooking gas, sourced from both local refineries and importation, to ensure timely replenishment of stocks at depots and retail stations nationwide.

The statement titled “NMDPRA ADVISES AGAINST PANIC BUYING OF ANY PETROLEUM PRODUCT” read, “The NMDPRA wishes to assure the general public that there is an adequate supply of petroleum products in the country, within the acceptable national sufficiency threshold, during this peak demand period,” the agency said.

It also warned against hoarding, panic buying, or arbitrary price increases, stressing that the downstream regulator would continue to monitor supply and distribution activities closely to prevent disruption in the market.

“The implementation of the 15 per cent ad-valorem import duty on imported Premium Motor Spirit (petrol) and Automotive Gas Oil (diesel) is no longer in view,” the statement added.

The Authority said it would continue to take proactive regulatory measures to guarantee energy security and ensure smooth supply and distribution of products across the country.

While appreciating the cooperation of stakeholders in the midstream and downstream value chain, the NMDPRA reiterated its commitment to ensuring a stable and transparent market that supports consumers and operators alike.

“The Authority will continue to closely monitor the supply situation and take appropriate regulatory measures to prevent disruption of supply and distribution of petroleum products across the country, especially during this peak demand period,” the statement concluded.

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Nigerian states’ revenues rise 93%, but education spending drops — World Bank

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The World Bank says Nigeria’s 36 states recorded a 93 per cent increase in revenues between 2023 and 2025 but education received a declining share of the sector’s expenditure.

The bank disclosed this in its latest Nigeria Development Update, which examined how increased public revenues have influenced spending priorities across the federation.

The report was made available to the News Agency of Nigeria by the World Bank in Washington D.C.

According to the report, states’ aggregate revenues rose by approximately 93 per cent in real terms, while expenditure increased by 92 per cent during the period.

The report attributed the improvement partly to exchange-rate reforms, petrol subsidy removal, stronger revenue administration and increased allocations from the federation account.

It said states also benefited from refunds, settlement of longstanding federal obligations, intervention funds, and stronger Value Added Tax collections.

However, education’s share of total state expenditure declined from 14.9 per cent in 2021 to 12.1 per cent in 2025, according to the report.

Health expenditure remained broadly stable at approximately seven per cent, while social protection’s share increased from 1.4 per cent to 4.4 per cent.

The bank said capital expenditure increased significantly, accounting for 61 per cent of state spending, compared with 46 per cent previously.

Transport infrastructure recorded the largest increase, alongside substantial spending on housing, agriculture and other economic investments.

The report quoted Mathew Verghis, the World Bank Country Director for Nigeria, as saying that increased revenues provided the opportunity to improve infrastructure, education, healthcare, and water services.

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He said greater spending efficiency, accountability and improved service delivery were essential to ensuring that additional public resources benefited Nigerians.

The bank acknowledged improvements in states’ fiscal reporting, transparency and internally generated revenue.

It, however, stressed that stronger investment in human capital was necessary to translate economic reforms into sustainable employment and improved living standards.

The report also projected average economic growth of 4.4 per cent between 2026 and 2028, subject to sustained reforms and improved service delivery.

It urged federal and state authorities to ensure that increased public revenues translated into tangible improvements in Nigerians’ welfare.

NAN

Source: punchng.com

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Nigeria promotes investment without building production capacity – UNILAG don

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A professor of Comparative Political Economy at the University of Lagos, Adelaja Odukoya, has asserted that Nigeria’s economic policies promote investment without sufficiently strengthening domestic production.

Odukoya argued that the contradiction had weakened the country’s productive foundations, with policies encouraging investment and entrepreneurship while failing to create the technological capacity, productive employment and processing industries needed to drive sustainable development.

Odukoya spoke at the maiden edition of the Adeleke University Toyin Falola Annual Lecture, held on Thursday at the Performing Arts Theatre, Adeleke University, Ede.

The lecture had as its theme, “History, Power and Accumulation: Reimagining Africa in the Globally Disorderly Order.”

Odukoya identified several contradictions in the way the Nigerian state manages economic activity.

He said, “The state promotes investment without creating conditions for technological transfer. It encourages entrepreneurship without generating sufficient productive employment.

“It expands primary-product exports while leaving processing capacity undeveloped. It constructs infrastructure without establishing strong linkages with domestic production.”

According to him, the contradictions explain why increased economic activity and accumulation do not necessarily translate into development.

“Accumulation is not synonymous with development,” Odukoya stated.

He argued that genuine development should be measured by the expansion of productive, technological, institutional and human capabilities.

“A country could attract investment, export minerals and agricultural commodities and record economic activity while still failing to build the domestic industries and technological capabilities required for long-term development,” he said.

His argument was echoed by Prof Toyin Falola, who said Africa’s vast natural resources would continue to reinforce dependency unless governments developed the industrial, technological and institutional capacity to transform them into productive power.

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Falola said Africa’s resource problem was not simply one of historical exploitation, but also the continent’s failure to convert its resource endowments into power.

“The issue, however, is not just to repeat the history of exploitation. It is more important to know how Africa turns its great resources into power,” Falola said.

He argued that Africa could not afford to remain a spectator as global economic and geopolitical arrangements continued to change, stressing that resource ownership without the capacity to add value would not guarantee influence.

Falola said the continent required a combination of knowledge, government policy and industrial capacity to change its economic position.

“There must be universities that generate new knowledge; there must be governments that translate this knowledge into policies; there must be industries that add value to the continent’s natural resources,” he said.

He added that Africa needed more than improved infrastructure and stronger economies if it wanted to exercise greater influence in the global system.

“The future of the continent will require more than just better infrastructure, improved economies, and more effective political institutions,” Falola said.

Source: punchng.com

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Import waivers, insecurity end two-year agric trade surplus

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Import waivers meant to ease hunger and insecurity on farms have led to a deficit, ending a two-year run of surpluses, as Nigeria’s agricultural trade balance swung from a N740.27bn surplus in the first half of 2025 to a N56.13bn deficit in H1 2026, according to agriculture and trade experts.

Recent foreign trade data from the National Bureau of Statistics showed that agricultural exports fell by 33.28 per cent, or N985.14bn, to N1.98tn in H1 2026 from N2.96tn in H1 2025.

Agricultural imports fell by only 8.50 per cent, or N188.74bn, to N2.03tn from N2.22tn over the same period. The gap between the two movements produced a N796.40bn swing in the trade balance.

Nigeria recorded a N365.74bn deficit in H1 2023, when imports of N926.25bn far exceeded exports of N560.51bn. The balance then turned to a N194.92bn surplus in H1 2024 before it widened to N740.27bn in H1 2025.

In separate phone interviews with The PUNCH, Agribusiness experts, including the Chairman of the Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry’s Agricultural and Allied Group, Tunde Banjoko, explained that recent government policy led to the shift.

Banjoko said, “Some waivers were given for products like palm oil and rice, and the import tariffs were drastically reduced. It became more favourable for people to import than to patronise local producers.”

He said the waivers on food commodities hurt domestic producers, even though lower tariffs on tractors and manufacturing equipment helped them.

According to Banjoko, “The effect is that our imports will rise above our exports. Second, we will discourage local production. Thirdly, we will be reducing employment, because some factories will shut down if they are not able to compete.”

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Banjoko also said weak funding for processors compounds the problem. He said foreign direct investment flows mainly into the capital market rather than into production and processing, so local processors cannot scale.

He urged the Federal Government to speed up the Special Agro-Industrial Processing Zones programme. “We should speed up such projects where we can produce enough for our country and start exporting, not look for shortcuts by reducing prices,” Banjoko added.

Meanwhile, the Chief Executive Officer of the Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise, Dr Muda Yusuf, identified two major factors behind the deficit. He said the first was the Federal Government’s decision to allow some food imports to tackle runaway inflation.

Yusuf said, “The first is the decision of the government to allow for some food imports as a result of the challenges of food inflation, which at a point was getting almost completely out of hand.”

He added that insecurity worsened the supply gap and cut export capacity, stating, “Insecurity led many farmers to leave their farms. Many of them have ended up in IDP camps, and quite a number have completely abandoned farming.”

He added that farmers cannot export without output. Yusuf said, “You can only export when you have the output.”

Yusuf also said high input costs and falling produce prices have discouraged farming. He said, “Most of these inputs are imported, so the exchange rate situation has seriously affected the cost of inputs, and the prices of produce have gone down.”

He urged the Federal Government to cut the cost of fertiliser, agrochemicals, machinery and improved seedlings. He also called for a minimum guaranteed price for agricultural produce.

See also  Dangote resumes naira petrol sales, hikes price by N140

Yusuf said, “The government can establish a threshold below which, if prices fall, it will give farmers some compensation. That is the way it is done in many other economies.”

Source: punchng.com

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