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Tinubu shifts 15% fuel import duty to Q1 2026

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The Federal Government has approved the postponement of the implementation of the 15 per cent import duty on petrol and diesel until the first quarter of 2026, contrary to earlier notions that the suspension was indefinite.

The deferment, formally approved by President Bola Tinubu, was in response to a detailed request submitted by the Executive Chairman of the Federal Inland Revenue Service, Dr Zacch Adedeji, following extensive strategic consultations with key stakeholders to assess market readiness and ensure a smooth and orderly rollout of the 15 per cent import duty.

Adedeji made the request in a letter dated November 7, 2025, titled “Deferment of the Commencement of the Implementation of the Premium Motor Spirit (petrol) and Diesel Import Duty.”

The letter obtained exclusively by our correspondent on Thursday stressed the need to ensure that local refining infrastructure is fully prepared, technical and operational frameworks are properly aligned, and fuel supply disruptions are minimised before the levy takes effect.

The duty, originally approved on October 21, 2025, was aimed at boosting domestic refining capacity, stabilising downstream fuel prices, and promoting fair competition between imported and locally produced fuels.

Earlier on Thursday, the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority announced the suspension of the planned 15 per cent ad-valorem import duty on petrol and diesel, reversing an earlier policy move aimed at encouraging local refining and reducing dependence on fuel imports.

The policy suspension was confirmed to our correspondent by the Director, Public Affairs Department at the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority, George Ene-Ita, on Thursday, via a telephone conversation.

He explained that the planned tariff had been suspended, saying, “Well, you read it, that is what it means. It is no longer in view and not implementable at this time.”

He stated this while clarifying a press statement earlier issued by the agency. When asked if the decision had the approval of President Bola Tinubu, the official confirmed, “Yes, it is (with his approval).”

The NMDPRA is one of the major federal agencies assigned to enforce the tariff, ensuring compliance with the import duty structure. But a new letter confirming the deferment, sighted by The PUNCH, read that Tinubu, rather, approved the postponement of the implementation “for further review in the first quarter of 2026.”

The letter read, “The purpose of this memorandum is to apprise Your Excellency of the need for a deferment in the commencement schedule of the implementation of the previously approved fifteen per cent (15 per cent) import on Premium Motor Spirit and Diesel, sequel to additional strategic consultations on implementation readiness.

“Your Excellency may wish to recall that on 21st October 2025, via presidential PRES8197/HAGF/100/71/FIRS/40/88-2/NMDPRA/2, you graciously approved the introduction of fifteen per cent (15 per cent) ad-valorem import duty on Premium Motor Spirit (PMS and Diesel). The measure was conceived as a corrective policy tool to strengthen local refining capacity, stabilise downstream market prices, and promote competitive parity between imported and domestically produced fuels in line with the Renewed Hope Agenda for energy and fiscal sustainability.

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“Pursuant to the above approval, and in line with Your Excellency’s directive that all fiscal and market interventions must be reflective of the administration’s drive for efficiency and balance, a series of consultative meetings was held with critical stakeholders to review implementation timelines and operational readiness.

“Sequel to these engagements, and following a thorough assessment of market conditions and the agreed strategic implementation roadmap, it was collectively determined that it is necessary to allow for a smoother and more efficient rollout. This adjustment will provide adequate time for stakeholders to complete alignment on technical templates, public communication frameworks, and import scheduling, thereby minimising disruption to the supply chain and ensuring that the reform achieves its intended stabilising Impact.”

Adedeji explained that the deferment would also create a window for government agencies to monitor local refining performance in the first quarter of 2026 and align the tariff’s rollout with verified production data and consumer price trends.

According to the letter, the adjustment aims to ensure that when the levy eventually takes effect, it will be both economically sustainable and socially responsible, in line with President Tinubu’s directive that all fiscal measures must safeguard citizens’ welfare while maintaining market discipline.

In his recommendation, the FIRS boss urged the President to approve the deferment of the commencement of the 15 per cent import levy on Premium Motor Spirit and diesel until January 2026, pending further confirmation.

“Pursuant to the foregoing, Your Excellency is graciously invited to approve the deferment of the commencement of the 15 per cent import levy on Premium Motor Spirit and Diesel until January 2026, subject to Your Excellency’s confirmation. Respectfully submitted for Your Excellency’s consideration and further directives,” the letter requested.

President Tinubu, in his minute on the document, approved the request and directed that the implementation be deferred “for further review in the first quarter of 2026.”

Recall that last month, Tinubu’s approval of a 15 per cent import policy on PMS and diesel has stirred widespread concern across the oil and gas sector, with operators warning it could raise petrol prices, worsen inflation, and increase import costs, even as the government insists the policy aims to boost local refining and generate revenue.

The President’s approval was conveyed in a letter signed by his Private Secretary, Damilotun Aderemi, following a proposal submitted by the Executive Chairman of the Federal Inland Revenue Service, Zacch Adedeji.

The proposal sought the application of a 15 per cent duty on the cost, insurance, and freight value of imported petrol and diesel to align import costs with domestic market realities.

Adedeji, in his memo to the President, explained that the measure formed part of ongoing fiscal and energy reforms designed to strengthen the naira-based oil economy, ensure price stability, and accelerate the nation’s transition toward local refining capacity in line with the administration’s Renewed Hope Agenda for energy security and economic sustainability.

The duty, introduced as part of the Federal Government’s new tariff framework for petroleum products, was meant to support emerging local refineries such as the Dangote Petroleum Refinery and modular plants.

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However, the directive was met with mixed reactions, as stakeholders expressed concerns that the new tax could worsen inflation and push up pump prices at a time when Nigeria’s domestic refineries are yet to attain full operational capacity.

The suspension reflects the administration’s bid to strike a delicate balance between protecting consumers and promoting local production in Nigeria’s transitioning downstream oil market.

Marketers react

Reacting, oil marketers and industry experts have commended President Bola Tinubu for suspending the proposed 15 per cent import duty on petroleum products, describing the move as a timely intervention that averts a potential spike in fuel prices and inflation across the country.

Reacting to the development, the President of the Petroleum Products Retail Outlets Owners Association of Nigeria, Billy Gillis-Harry, said the suspension was a clear indication that the Federal Government was responsive to feedback and conscious of the economic realities facing Nigerians.

“I am sure you recall that you interviewed me and I told you that PETROAN could not give a categorical statement on the policy until a test run was done to determine its impact,” he said. “Now that the government has seen that the policy may negatively affect the Nigerian people, it has wisely suspended it. That is the essence of governance, testing, analysing, and acting in the best interest of citizens.”

Gillis-Harry stressed that while import duty was not inherently bad, imposing a 15 per cent tariff at this stage of Nigeria’s economic recovery would have been excessive. He added that the deferment reflected the administration’s sensitivity to market dynamics and its ongoing efforts to strengthen local refining capacity.

“Import duty is not a bad thing, but 15 per cent is a lot. We believe that, at the appropriate time, government policy to encourage local refining will make a whole lot of difference,” he noted. “We congratulate the President for realising in good time that a deferment of the 30-day test run was necessary. We have a listening President, an analytical leader who works tirelessly on the economy. At the right time, there will be a national conversation on how to support local refiners.”

Similarly, the National Publicity Secretary of the Independent Petroleum Marketers Association of Nigeria, Chinedu Ukadike, applauded the move, saying the decision would shield consumers from inflationary pressure and preserve market balance. “Yes, we are happy about it,” Ukadike told The PUNCH.

“IPMAN commends Mr President for the suspension of the tax because it would have indirectly fuelled inflation and distorted market forces. We thank him for this people-centred decision.”

In the same vein, an oil and gas expert and Chief Executive Officer of Petroleumprice.ng, Olatide Jeremiah, described the suspension as “a commendable and rational policy adjustment.”

“The 15 per cent tariff was outrageous and ill-timed. If implemented, it would have discouraged fuel imports at a time when Nigeria still lacks sufficient refining capacity to meet domestic demand,” he said.

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“Energy security requires a balanced mix of refining and importation. Even top economies like the USA, China, and Russia still import fuel but at minimal tariffs. Imposing 15 per cent here would have created unfair competition and driven up pump prices.”

Jeremiah added that the decision gives the Dangote Refinery and other upcoming local plants room to stabilise production before new fiscal measures are introduced.

A major oil marketer, who spoke on condition of anonymity, attributed the reversal to growing pushback within the industry and concerns about the potential political and economic fallout.

“Personally, I believe there was significant pushback from multiple quarters, even though some supported the duty,” the marketer explained.

“As highlighted by international contributors at the recent MEMAN webinar, value-added taxes on fuel globally hover around 2 per cent. Government’s initial proposal likely targeted higher revenue, but it came across as an attempt to protect local refiners, perhaps even a particular refinery.”

He continued, “In my view, the U-turn stemmed from three main factors: inadequate consultation within and outside government, the political implications of higher pump prices, and possible electoral considerations. The implication now is that fuel importation will continue until local refineries can meet domestic needs. This ensures adequate supply and prevents a monopoly in distribution.”

With the suspension now in effect, marketers expect a smoother transition period as local refineries ramp up production, when Nigeria is projected to achieve significant self-sufficiency in fuel supply.

Meanwhile, the NMDPRA has confirmed a robust domestic supply of petrol, diesel, and cooking gas, sourced from both local refineries and importation, to ensure timely replenishment of stocks at depots and retail stations nationwide.

The statement titled “NMDPRA ADVISES AGAINST PANIC BUYING OF ANY PETROLEUM PRODUCT” read, “The NMDPRA wishes to assure the general public that there is an adequate supply of petroleum products in the country, within the acceptable national sufficiency threshold, during this peak demand period,” the agency said.

It also warned against hoarding, panic buying, or arbitrary price increases, stressing that the downstream regulator would continue to monitor supply and distribution activities closely to prevent disruption in the market.

“The implementation of the 15 per cent ad-valorem import duty on imported Premium Motor Spirit (petrol) and Automotive Gas Oil (diesel) is no longer in view,” the statement added.

The Authority said it would continue to take proactive regulatory measures to guarantee energy security and ensure smooth supply and distribution of products across the country.

While appreciating the cooperation of stakeholders in the midstream and downstream value chain, the NMDPRA reiterated its commitment to ensuring a stable and transparent market that supports consumers and operators alike.

“The Authority will continue to closely monitor the supply situation and take appropriate regulatory measures to prevent disruption of supply and distribution of petroleum products across the country, especially during this peak demand period,” the statement concluded.

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Nigerians spend N50bn on US visa applications

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Nigerians spent more than N50bn on US visa applications between 2023 and 2024, despite a sharp decline in approvals as Washington tightened immigration controls and increased scrutiny of applicants.

An analysis of the Intelpoint report, using data from the US Department of State, shows that 201,200 non-immigrant visas were issued to Nigerians between 2023 and 2024. At a standard application fee of $185 per applicant, Nigerians spent approximately $37.2m, equivalent to N50.7bn at an average exchange rate of N1,360 to the dollar.

Visa issuances declined by about 23 per cent, falling to 87,300 in 2024 from 113,900 in 2023, a reduction of 26,600 visas. The PUNCH could not obtain comparable figures for 2025 at the time of reporting.

Business and tourism travel dominated approvals in 2024, with B1/B2 visas accounting for 83 per cent of total issuances, while student visas (F1) represented about seven per cent. Exchange visitor visas (J1) and other temporary categories made up the remainder.

Africa’s most populous nation remained a significant source market for the United States, accounting for about 0.8 per cent of global non-immigrant visa issuances in 2024, the data showed.

Former President of the National Association of Nigeria Travel Agencies, Susan Akporiaye, said Nigerians’ travel behaviour is driven by more than economic conditions, noting a strong cultural inclination toward mobility.

“People would say it’s because of the economy, but I share a different view. Nigerians are generally migrants; they love travelling.

We are like the Chinese of Africa,” Akporiaye told The PUNCH.

The executive argued that most Nigerians who travel abroad return home, and only a small proportion remain outside the country permanently. “There is so much noise of Nigerians staying back. The ones who travel and return are far more than those who stay back. It’s not up to 10 per cent that don’t return,” she stated.

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The decline in visa issuances comes amid a series of policy changes introduced after Donald Trump returned to the White House in January 2025, which have gradually tightened requirements for Nigerian applicants.

In July 2025, the US Department of State announced that most non-immigrant and non-diplomatic visas issued to Nigerian citizens would be restricted to single-entry permits valid for three months, with existing visas unaffected.

In August, applicants were required to disclose all social media usernames used over the previous five years on DS-160 forms, with officials warning that omissions could lead to visa denial or ineligibility.

Akporiaye also noted that travel demand cuts across income levels, from affluent individuals to ordinary citizens travelling for social events. “Nigerians like to explore. We travel for birthdays, weddings, and other ceremonies. I’m not talking about people like Dangote or Otedola, but ordinary Nigerians you don’t even know,” she said.

The expert, however, acknowledged that demand for US travel has softened relative to other destinations, citing operational and policy-related constraints.

“The demand has reduced for some destinations like the US, and it’s becoming worse now. Conditional requirements and operational changes at the US Embassy in Abuja have made access more difficult, including the consolidation of services in Lagos,” she stated.

“There are stories about visas being cancelled or Nigerians getting deported, and that makes people a bit sceptical. But other destinations are still booming.”

Further tightening followed in December 2025, when the US Mission in Nigeria said Washington expanded travel restrictions to include partial limitations on Nigeria and five other countries, effective January 1, 2026.

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An executive at Travel and Tours Limited, Maureen Chimaobi, said securing a US visa has become increasingly difficult over the past year, with many first-time applicants facing steep odds despite completing all required procedures.

“Last year, getting a US visa drastically reduced, especially if you are a first-time traveller or first-time applicant. It’s almost a no-go area,” Chimaobi told our correspondent.

She noted that applicants continue to pay visa fees, schedule appointments and attend interviews, but approvals have become far less predictable. “You pay your visa fee, book your appointment and go for submission. Most of the time, they don’t give it,” the agent said.

The trend reflects growing concerns among travel operators about declining approval rates for Nigerian applicants, even as demand for overseas travel remains strong. Chimaobi said rejection levels have remained high throughout the period under review, particularly for individuals with limited international travel history.

The tougher environment is also influencing destination choices. More Nigerians are turning to countries where visa approvals are perceived to be more attainable, provided applicants can demonstrate sufficient financial capacity and present strong documentation.

“I think most countries still offer a 70 to 80 per cent chance of getting a visa, depending on the quality of your documents and your financial status,” Chimaobi revealed.

She identified the United Kingdom as one of the destinations with relatively stronger approval prospects, although she cautioned that British authorities have also hardened their assessment processes in recent months.

France and other countries within the Schengen area, once considered more accessible to Nigerian travellers, have become increasingly selective, especially toward first-time applicants, she added.

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“Before now, France used to issue visas more easily, but most Schengen countries have become difficult over time, particularly for first-time travellers,” Chimaobi said.

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Petrol imports crash by N2tn to N87bn; see why

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Nigeria’s spending on the importation of Premium Motor Spirit, popularly known as petrol, plunged by over 96 per cent in the first quarter of 2026, marking a dramatic shift in the country’s fuel supply landscape and signaling the growing impact of local refining capacity.

Latest foreign trade statistics released by the National Bureau of Statistics on Monday showed that only N87.401bn was spent on the importation of Motor Spirit Ordinary, the official trade classification for petrol, between January and March 2026.

The figure represents a sharp decline of N2.184tn, or 96.15 per cent, compared to the N2.271tn spent on petrol imports during the corresponding period of 2025. The development is particularly significant as petrol, which had consistently ranked among Nigeria’s most imported commodities for years, was completely absent from the list of the country’s top traded products in the first quarter of 2026.

An analysis of the NBS data by our correspondent showed that petrol did not feature among the top 19 traded products with the rest of the world, Africa, or West Africa during the review period.

Instead, the leading traded products included crude petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, gas oil, durum wheat, machines for reception, conversion and transmission of data, used vehicles, motorcycles, agricultural seeders, medicaments, aircraft parts, butanes, petroleum bitumen, sugar cane, herbicides and fuel additives.

The report read, “The value of total imports stood at N13,619.33bn in the first quarter of 2026, representing a 18.17 per cent decrease from the value recorded in the corresponding quarter of 2025 (N16,644.42bn) and a 21.05 per cent decrease compared to the value recorded in Q4 2025 (N17,250.93bn).

“Analysis of Nigeria’s import trade reveals that China remained the leading source of imports in the first quarter of 2026, followed by the United States of America, India, Germany, and the United Arab Emirates. The most imported commodities during the quarter were petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals (crude), gas oil, durum wheat, machines for the reception, conversion, and transmission of voice, images, or data, and used vehicles with diesel or semi-diesel engines.

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“The value of other oil products imported in Q1 2026 stood at N748.10bn, reflecting an 85.05 per cent decrease from N5,005.22bn in Q1 2025 and an 81.38 per cent decrease from N4,018.31bn recorded in Q4 2025.”

The latest import figure is also the lowest quarterly amount spent on petrol imports since at least 2022, according to available trade records reviewed by our correspondent.

Data from previous years showed that Nigeria spent N2.694tn on petrol imports in the first quarter of 2022. The import bill declined by N661bn, or 24.5 per cent, to N2.033tn in the corresponding period of 2023.

However, petrol import spending surged by N1.780tn in 2024 to N3.813tn, representing an increase of 87.6 per cent year-on-year. The figure later dropped by N1.542tn, or 40.4 per cent, to N2.271tn in the first quarter of 2025 before plunging by a massive N2.184tn, or 96.15 per cent, to N87.401bn in the first quarter of 2026.

The latest figure means that for every N100 spent on petrol imports in the first quarter of 2025, only about N4 was spent during the same period in 2026. The NBS data also highlighted the changing structure of Nigeria’s petrol import trade profile over the years.

According to the report, the total trade value involving the petroleum product stood at N7.705tn in 2022. This declined marginally by N194bn, or 2.5 per cent, to N7.511tn in 2023.

Trade value, however, more than doubled in 2024, rising by N7.907tn, or 105.3 per cent, to N15.418tn, the highest level during the period under review. The figure subsequently fell by N5.045tn, or 32.7 per cent, to N10.373tn in 2025, reflecting changing trade dynamics in Nigeria’s downstream petroleum sector.

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The PUNCH reports that the sharp reduction in petrol imports reflects the increasing contribution of domestic refining facilities to fuel supply, reducing Nigeria’s dependence on foreign suppliers and helping conserve foreign exchange.

For decades, Nigeria relied heavily on imported petrol despite being Africa’s largest crude oil producer, owing largely to the poor performance of state-owned refineries and inadequate domestic refining capacity.

The trend began to change following investments in local refining and the gradual increase in output from domestic refineries, which have reduced the need for large-scale fuel imports.

The sharp decline in petrol imports in the first quarter of 2026 comes amid growing domestic refining capacity, particularly from the operations of the Dangote Petroleum Refinery, which began supplying petrol to the Nigerian market in 2024.

For decades, Nigeria relied heavily on imported Premium Motor Spirit despite being Africa’s largest crude oil producer. The country’s state-owned refineries operated far below capacity for years, forcing marketers and the Nigerian National Petroleum Company to spend trillions of naira annually importing fuel to meet domestic demand.

The commissioning of the 650,000 barrels-per-day refinery in Lekki, Lagos, marked a turning point in the downstream petroleum sector. Since commencing petrol production, the refinery has steadily increased output, supplying marketers, industrial users and fuel distributors across the country.

In January, the Nigerian Midstream Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority reported that Dangote refinery supplied an average of 40.1 million litres of petrol daily, accounting for 61.78 per cent of Nigeria’s petrol supply. Imported fuel contributed 24.8 million litres per day during the month.

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It increased significantly in February as imports collapsed. The refinery supplied about 36.5 million litres per day, while imports dropped to roughly 3.1 million litres per day, meaning locally refined fuel accounted for more than 92 per cent of national supply.

According to the NMDPRA March fact sheet, Dangote remained the sole domestic supplier of petrol, supplying 34.2 million litres per day. Imports rose slightly to 5.9 million litres daily, bringing total supply to about 40.1 million litres per day.

Supply rebounded strongly in April. Dangote supplied 40.7 million litres per day to the domestic market, while imports declined further to 3.7 million litres daily. Total petrol supply stood at 44.4 million litres per day, giving the refinery a market share of approximately 92 per cent of locally consumed fuel and about 80–92 per cent of overall supply, depending on the methodology used.

The disappearance of petrol from the list of top imported products is expected to strengthen arguments that local refining is beginning to alter Nigeria’s trade patterns, lower import dependence and reshape the country’s foreign exchange requirements.

The sustained reductions in fuel imports could improve Nigeria’s trade balance, reduce pressure on the naira and retain more value within the domestic economy, provided local production continues to meet demand.

The first-quarter data therefore represents one of the clearest indications yet of a major shift in Nigeria’s downstream petroleum sector, with petrol imports falling to levels not seen in more than four years.

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Nigerian workers deserve a living wage; read details

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THIS is a debate that never goes away for too long: what is due to Nigerian workers? The renewed agitation over workers’ wages, triggered by a fresh Nigeria Governors’ Forum proposal to raise the national minimum wage to N100,000 per month, only confirms that the country is trapped in an endless cycle of wage adjustments that inflation quickly renders meaningless.

This means that the issue is not just about the size of the minimum wage. Rather, it is about whether Nigerian workers can afford to live with dignity.

That is why the conversation must shift from a statutory minimum wage to a genuine living-wage regime – and a stable economy.

The proposal by the Chairman of the NGF, Governor AbdulRahman AbdulRazaq, has already been rejected by organised labour.

The Nigeria Labour Congress, through its spokesman, Benson Upah, dismissed N100,000 as grossly inadequate and argued that, given current realities, a realistic wage would be closer to N1 million per month!

The Federal Workers Forum also condemned the proposal as a “Greek gift,” insisting that it bears little relationship to prevailing economic conditions.

While the NLC’s N1 million demand may appear excessive to many, the underlying argument deserves serious attention.

The current N70,000 minimum wage approved in July 2024 has already been overtaken by inflation. Like every previous wage increase in Nigeria’s history, its real value has been rapidly eroded.

The country’s minimum wage trajectory elucidates this. It rose from N18,000 in 2011 to N30,000 in 2019 and then to N70,000 in 2024. Yet each increase was followed by soaring inflation that wiped out most of the gains.

It is alleged that some states have yet to implement the minimum wage for grassroots workers, local government employees and primary school teachers.

Dataphyte estimates that the real value of the previous N30,000 wage had collapsed to barely N11,708 by mid-2024. The current N70,000 wage is clearly following the same path.

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The CBN reported that workers lost N2.79 trillion in purchasing power in 2024 alone due to inflation. That explains why workers who celebrated the 133 per cent wage increase in 2024 now find themselves struggling to survive less than two years later.

Nothing illustrates the crisis more vividly than the National Bureau of Statistics and Global Alliance for Improved Nutrition Cost of a Healthy Diet data.

According to an analysis by The Whistler, a healthy diet for one adult now costs an average of N1,541 per day or N46,230 per month, excluding meal preparation costs.

This means that a worker earning N70,000 is left with just N23,770 after feeding only himself.

For an average Nigerian household of 5.06 persons, the monthly cost of a healthy diet rises to N233,923 — equivalent to 334 per cent of the current minimum wage.

In other words, the average worker cannot afford the minimum nutritional requirements recommended by global health standards.

Even the governors’ proposed N100,000 wage would still leave most families far below the subsistence level. It is therefore difficult to dispute labour’s argument that Nigeria’s wage structure has become detached from economic reality.

However, raising wages alone cannot solve the problem.

The organised private sector has raised legitimate concerns about its ability to pay across the board.

The president of the Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry, Leye Kupoluyi, said the private sector should not be compelled to pay the same wage level as the government if businesses could not afford it.

The Director-General of the Nigeria Employers’ Consultative Association, Adewale Oyerinde, points out that the process for arriving at a National Minimum Wage is “rooted in widely acclaimed tripartite negotiations and consultation and not just political statements, without any empirical data to back up the quantum of increase.”

The Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise warned that many businesses are already struggling under crushing energy costs, logistics bottlenecks, foreign exchange challenges, multiple taxation and weak consumer demand. All this needs to be addressed.

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Indeed, any wage increase that is unsupported by productivity growth and economic reforms risks fuelling another inflationary spiral. Businesses facing higher wage bills often pass costs to consumers, thereby worsening the very inflation the wage increase seeks to offset.

Nigeria must therefore avoid the false choice between workers’ welfare and business survival.

The real objective should be a living-wage framework tied to measurable economic indicators and supported by aggressive cost-of-living reduction policies.

This is the model increasingly adopted across many countries. In South Africa, the national minimum wage is approximately 28.79 rand per hour, translating to well over N250,000 monthly at prevailing exchange rates.

Algeria’s minimum wage is around 20,000 dinars (N204,000) monthly, while Egypt recently increased its public-sector minimum wage to 7,000 Egyptian pounds (N184,000).

Kenya’s minimum wage varies by sector and location, but the average of 16,113 Kenyan Shillings (N169,500) remains significantly higher in purchasing power terms than Nigeria’s.

Nigeria should not be setting wage policy as though inflation were a temporary inconvenience.

Food inflation remains the principal driver of household hardship, standing at 16.06 per cent YoY and higher than headline inflation of 15.69 per cent as of April.

Massive investments in agricultural productivity, rural roads, storage infrastructure and security in farming communities are urgently needed.

The absurd situation where healthy diets are more expensive in some rural communities than in urban centres because of poor roads must end.

The government must also address transport costs through investments in rail, inland waterways and public transportation systems.

Electricity tariffs remain a major burden on both households and businesses. Lowering energy costs would immediately improve living standards while enhancing business competitiveness.

Investments in health by ramping up health insurance enrolment and better access to quality care, and in education, via massive infrastructure improvements and teacher recruitment, will reduce household expenditure on these essentials.

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Furthermore, labour’s argument regarding improved government revenues deserves scrutiny.

Since the outbreak of conflict in the Middle East, higher oil prices have boosted Nigeria’s earnings. It is estimated that the windfall has added more than N5 trillion to government coffers.

Whether that figure is an exaggeration or not, governments are receiving historically high FAAC allocations, averaging over a 50 per cent surge for states in 2025 and all tiers sharing up to N2 trillion in 2026.

Nigerians deserve to see some direct benefit from these gains through targeted subsidies for food production and transportation, public transit and essential services.

More fundamentally, wage determination should no longer depend on sporadic political negotiations every few years.

The National Minimum Wage Act should be amended to provide for automatic annual adjustments linked to inflation, productivity and cost-of-living indicators. Such a mechanism would prevent workers from suffering prolonged erosion of purchasing power before the government responds.

Above all, policymakers must remember that they are insulated from the hardships confronting ordinary citizens.

Governors, legislators, political appointees and senior public officials enjoy humongous allowances, subsidised accommodation, official vehicles, security details and generous expense accounts.

They do not queue for transport. They do not worry about school fees after buying food. They do not feel inflation in the same way as the average worker.

That disconnect explains why debates over N70,000, N100,000 or even N1 million often miss the central issue.

The goal of wage policy is not simply to keep workers alive so that the job is done. It is to ensure that honest labour can provide a decent standard of living.

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