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Business leaders reject proposed beverage tax hike

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Members of the Organised Private Sector of Nigeria have asked the Federal Government to withdraw the proposed amendment to the Customs, Excise and Tariff Bill, warning that it could undermine President Bola Tinubu’s fiscal reform agenda and further fracture Nigeria’s tax framework.

The OPSN, comprising the Nigerian Association of Chambers of Commerce, Industry, Mines and Agriculture; Manufacturers Association of Nigeria; Nigeria Employers’ Consultative Association; National Association of Small and Medium Enterprises; and the National Association of Small Scale Industrialists, during a public hearing on Thursday, urged the National Assembly to retain the current excise rates on non-alcoholic drinks.

In its position paper, the OPSN raised the alarm that the proposed amendment was “misaligned with the Federal Government’s fiscal reform direction and contains several legal and administrative gaps.”

It stated that although the non-alcoholic drinks sector supported government revenue and public health goals, policies “must be holistic, harmonised and context-appropriate” to avoid undermining jobs, investment and industrial stability.

The group warned that Nigeria’s excise framework had become increasingly fragmented “as new levies are introduced without coordinated assessment of their combined effects on production, investment, backward integration, employment, exports, and inflation.”

It cautioned that a steep excise increase or the introduction of a new levy would impose high economic costs on businesses and consumers “without delivering measurable public health gains,” adding that the amendment contained “mathematical, legal and administrative contradictions” and conflicted directly with national industrialisation priorities, including the Nigeria Sugar Master Plan.

The OPSN also warned that the proposal could weaken the beverage value chain, which it described as “one of the country’s most significant contributors to non-oil revenue and a major employer.”

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It added that the levy would raise operating costs, reduce capacity utilisation, and increase retail prices at a time when households and small firms were already under pressure. “This, in turn, could reduce Value Added Tax and Company Income Tax collections and place additional strain on medium-term Federation Account Allocation Committee revenues,” it added.

The group stressed that the non-alcoholic drinks industry “supports 1.5 million jobs, drives backward integration under NSMP II and contributes 40–45 per cent of gross revenues as taxes, yet already operates under severe macroeconomic strain and thin margins.”

It argued that pushing the amendment through could undermine the administration’s ease-of-doing-business objectives during a sensitive economic period.

The OPSN criticised the National Assembly for advancing the bill “without coordination with the Ministry of Finance, the Presidential Fiscal Policy & Tax Reform Committee, Federation Account Allocation Committee and other responsible institutions,” noting that it contradicted the President’s emphasis on stability, predictability, simplicity and non-disruptive tax reform.

It referenced global and domestic evidence showing that steep or ambiguous Sugar-Sweetened Beverage taxes in low-income economies lead to job losses, Micro, Small and Medium-sized Enterprises contraction, revenue decline, and no clear health benefits while widening inequality and boosting informal market activities.

“The amendment bill contains internal contradictions (‘20 per cent levy per litre of retail price’) that are impossible to implement consistently. Over-taxation may shrink the formal sector, reduce VAT and CIT collections, and shift consumers to informal markets. The bill may cut medium-term FAAC distributions and weaken state-level revenue stability,” the OPSN stated.

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The group stated that it remained open to further engagement with lawmakers, fiscal authorities, and civil society groups to ensure that any future adjustments to the excise regime support investment, jobs, and long-term revenue stability.

The PUNCH has reported that pressure groups are calling for a hike in SSB tax, including the Corporate Accountability and Public Participation Africa, which has campaigned to increase the SSB tax from N10 to N130 per litre.

CAPPA, through its advocacy and report entitled ‘Evaluating Nigeria’s Sugar-Sweetened Beverage Tax: A Critical Review of CAPPA’s Policy Proposals’, has maintained its call for a 1,200 per cent tax hike on SSBs, arguing that it will help to prevent noncommunicable diseases.

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Nigerian states’ revenues rise 93%, but education spending drops — World Bank

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The World Bank says Nigeria’s 36 states recorded a 93 per cent increase in revenues between 2023 and 2025 but education received a declining share of the sector’s expenditure.

The bank disclosed this in its latest Nigeria Development Update, which examined how increased public revenues have influenced spending priorities across the federation.

The report was made available to the News Agency of Nigeria by the World Bank in Washington D.C.

According to the report, states’ aggregate revenues rose by approximately 93 per cent in real terms, while expenditure increased by 92 per cent during the period.

The report attributed the improvement partly to exchange-rate reforms, petrol subsidy removal, stronger revenue administration and increased allocations from the federation account.

It said states also benefited from refunds, settlement of longstanding federal obligations, intervention funds, and stronger Value Added Tax collections.

However, education’s share of total state expenditure declined from 14.9 per cent in 2021 to 12.1 per cent in 2025, according to the report.

Health expenditure remained broadly stable at approximately seven per cent, while social protection’s share increased from 1.4 per cent to 4.4 per cent.

The bank said capital expenditure increased significantly, accounting for 61 per cent of state spending, compared with 46 per cent previously.

Transport infrastructure recorded the largest increase, alongside substantial spending on housing, agriculture and other economic investments.

The report quoted Mathew Verghis, the World Bank Country Director for Nigeria, as saying that increased revenues provided the opportunity to improve infrastructure, education, healthcare, and water services.

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He said greater spending efficiency, accountability and improved service delivery were essential to ensuring that additional public resources benefited Nigerians.

The bank acknowledged improvements in states’ fiscal reporting, transparency and internally generated revenue.

It, however, stressed that stronger investment in human capital was necessary to translate economic reforms into sustainable employment and improved living standards.

The report also projected average economic growth of 4.4 per cent between 2026 and 2028, subject to sustained reforms and improved service delivery.

It urged federal and state authorities to ensure that increased public revenues translated into tangible improvements in Nigerians’ welfare.

NAN

Source: punchng.com

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Nigeria promotes investment without building production capacity – UNILAG don

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A professor of Comparative Political Economy at the University of Lagos, Adelaja Odukoya, has asserted that Nigeria’s economic policies promote investment without sufficiently strengthening domestic production.

Odukoya argued that the contradiction had weakened the country’s productive foundations, with policies encouraging investment and entrepreneurship while failing to create the technological capacity, productive employment and processing industries needed to drive sustainable development.

Odukoya spoke at the maiden edition of the Adeleke University Toyin Falola Annual Lecture, held on Thursday at the Performing Arts Theatre, Adeleke University, Ede.

The lecture had as its theme, “History, Power and Accumulation: Reimagining Africa in the Globally Disorderly Order.”

Odukoya identified several contradictions in the way the Nigerian state manages economic activity.

He said, “The state promotes investment without creating conditions for technological transfer. It encourages entrepreneurship without generating sufficient productive employment.

“It expands primary-product exports while leaving processing capacity undeveloped. It constructs infrastructure without establishing strong linkages with domestic production.”

According to him, the contradictions explain why increased economic activity and accumulation do not necessarily translate into development.

“Accumulation is not synonymous with development,” Odukoya stated.

He argued that genuine development should be measured by the expansion of productive, technological, institutional and human capabilities.

“A country could attract investment, export minerals and agricultural commodities and record economic activity while still failing to build the domestic industries and technological capabilities required for long-term development,” he said.

His argument was echoed by Prof Toyin Falola, who said Africa’s vast natural resources would continue to reinforce dependency unless governments developed the industrial, technological and institutional capacity to transform them into productive power.

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Falola said Africa’s resource problem was not simply one of historical exploitation, but also the continent’s failure to convert its resource endowments into power.

“The issue, however, is not just to repeat the history of exploitation. It is more important to know how Africa turns its great resources into power,” Falola said.

He argued that Africa could not afford to remain a spectator as global economic and geopolitical arrangements continued to change, stressing that resource ownership without the capacity to add value would not guarantee influence.

Falola said the continent required a combination of knowledge, government policy and industrial capacity to change its economic position.

“There must be universities that generate new knowledge; there must be governments that translate this knowledge into policies; there must be industries that add value to the continent’s natural resources,” he said.

He added that Africa needed more than improved infrastructure and stronger economies if it wanted to exercise greater influence in the global system.

“The future of the continent will require more than just better infrastructure, improved economies, and more effective political institutions,” Falola said.

Source: punchng.com

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Import waivers, insecurity end two-year agric trade surplus

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Import waivers meant to ease hunger and insecurity on farms have led to a deficit, ending a two-year run of surpluses, as Nigeria’s agricultural trade balance swung from a N740.27bn surplus in the first half of 2025 to a N56.13bn deficit in H1 2026, according to agriculture and trade experts.

Recent foreign trade data from the National Bureau of Statistics showed that agricultural exports fell by 33.28 per cent, or N985.14bn, to N1.98tn in H1 2026 from N2.96tn in H1 2025.

Agricultural imports fell by only 8.50 per cent, or N188.74bn, to N2.03tn from N2.22tn over the same period. The gap between the two movements produced a N796.40bn swing in the trade balance.

Nigeria recorded a N365.74bn deficit in H1 2023, when imports of N926.25bn far exceeded exports of N560.51bn. The balance then turned to a N194.92bn surplus in H1 2024 before it widened to N740.27bn in H1 2025.

In separate phone interviews with The PUNCH, Agribusiness experts, including the Chairman of the Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry’s Agricultural and Allied Group, Tunde Banjoko, explained that recent government policy led to the shift.

Banjoko said, “Some waivers were given for products like palm oil and rice, and the import tariffs were drastically reduced. It became more favourable for people to import than to patronise local producers.”

He said the waivers on food commodities hurt domestic producers, even though lower tariffs on tractors and manufacturing equipment helped them.

According to Banjoko, “The effect is that our imports will rise above our exports. Second, we will discourage local production. Thirdly, we will be reducing employment, because some factories will shut down if they are not able to compete.”

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Banjoko also said weak funding for processors compounds the problem. He said foreign direct investment flows mainly into the capital market rather than into production and processing, so local processors cannot scale.

He urged the Federal Government to speed up the Special Agro-Industrial Processing Zones programme. “We should speed up such projects where we can produce enough for our country and start exporting, not look for shortcuts by reducing prices,” Banjoko added.

Meanwhile, the Chief Executive Officer of the Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise, Dr Muda Yusuf, identified two major factors behind the deficit. He said the first was the Federal Government’s decision to allow some food imports to tackle runaway inflation.

Yusuf said, “The first is the decision of the government to allow for some food imports as a result of the challenges of food inflation, which at a point was getting almost completely out of hand.”

He added that insecurity worsened the supply gap and cut export capacity, stating, “Insecurity led many farmers to leave their farms. Many of them have ended up in IDP camps, and quite a number have completely abandoned farming.”

He added that farmers cannot export without output. Yusuf said, “You can only export when you have the output.”

Yusuf also said high input costs and falling produce prices have discouraged farming. He said, “Most of these inputs are imported, so the exchange rate situation has seriously affected the cost of inputs, and the prices of produce have gone down.”

He urged the Federal Government to cut the cost of fertiliser, agrochemicals, machinery and improved seedlings. He also called for a minimum guaranteed price for agricultural produce.

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Yusuf said, “The government can establish a threshold below which, if prices fall, it will give farmers some compensation. That is the way it is done in many other economies.”

Source: punchng.com

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