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Is Trump correct on Nigeria?

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The United States of America has been the world’s only superpower since the fall of the Berlin Wall, the end of the Cold War and the demise of the Soviet empire by the dawn of the 1990s. Also, the US is the largest economy in the world, notwithstanding the economic surge of China in recent decades. Most crucially, America boasts the strongest military in the world today. Like it or not, the US calls the shots in global governance!

Given its global preeminence, the US is respected, if not feared, all over the world, even by its fiercest adversaries. As a result, whatever foreign policy statement an American president issues is taken with utmost gravity by all rational countries and their leaders. It is even more serious when that American president is none other than President Donald J. Trump!

President Trump is known for being an effective leader who is not afraid of taking tough decisions, even if those decisions are controversial or seen to be so. In fact, Trump does not take decisions if they are not tough. His track records as a leader, whether in business or in politics (first and second term presidency), show him forth as a tough man. Coupled with his resolve to back his positions with capacity, the man who is hardly seen laughing in public, hardly bluffs. And anybody calling Trump’s bluff does so at his or her own peril.

Its is precisely because of the forgoing that the Nigerian government has threaded cautiously in its official reaction to the recent designation of Nigeria as a Country of Particular Concern, primarily due to concerns over what America sees as the persecution of Christians and issues of religious freedom. The most concerning part of the American charge against Nigeria is that there is an ongoing Christian genocide in the country. And Trump has warned of impending US action against Nigeria to protect Christians, including imposing crippling sanctions and possibly taking military action against perpetrators of genocide in the country. Nigeria has done well by pushing back against the charge of Christian genocide and has decided to adopt diplomatic measures to work closely with the US toward improving domestic security.

Outside government circles, there appears to be a cacophony of voices over the US designation and threatened intervention in Nigeria. A combination of misunderstanding, anger, primordial suspicion along conflict fault lines and fear is fueling a heightened sense of disunity. For instance, the Muslim Rights Concern has blamed the Christian Association of Nigeria for the US listing of the country as a CPC, accusing the Christian leaders of “betraying President Bola Tinubu” by submitting petitions to US authorities on frivolous claims of targeted persecution. Also, the Nigerian Supreme Council for Islamic Affairs has pointed the finger at some “Islamophobic and unpatriotic Nigerians”, including evangelical groups and separatists, for selling the dummy of Christian genocide to the highest levels of the US government. On its part, CAN has pushed back on “a deliberate attempt to silence legitimate concerns about religious persecution”, insisting that raising its voice for justice was not betrayal, but “responsibility”.

Beyond the religious turf, various observers and commentators have taken antagonistic positions on this burning issue, some for, others against our political leaders, depending on where they find themselves across the political divide. However, this is a time when we need to be most sober to confront our lived experience of disgraceful national security and resolve to forge ahead as a united country where the life of every citizen matters. In doing so, we need to collectively ask ourselves some questions and find the answers. I have asked a few questions here:

US perception: Is Mr Trump correct on the issue? Is a Christian genocide going on in Nigeria? Are the killings genocidal? Is Trump’s view of the Nigerian State in relation to the decades of constant mass murder, correct?

The threat of US action: Is the threatened US action appropriate? Should the US directly attack terrorist groups in Nigeria? Should the US impose crippling sanctions against terrorist groups operating in Nigeria?

Nigeria’s only reasonable response: What should be Nigeria’s appropriate and effective response to the threat of US Action?

While these questions are relevant to the various manifestations of terrorism and mass murder across Nigeria, I have focused the responses below on the unique security predicaments faced by the people of North-Central Nigeria, with particular emphasis on Benue State.

There seems to be a national consensus on the American charge of a Christian genocide in Nigeria. We are all gratified to observe the reality that, while all the groups currently perpetrating large-scale violence and collective massacre in Nigeria profess Islam as their faith, the victims cut across all religions. Truly, an untold number of Muslims have been massacred by the terrorists operating in the North-East (Boko Haram and Islamic State in West Africa Province), North-West (the so-called bandits) and the North-Central (the Fulani herdsmen militias) states of Nigeria. Similarly, outrageous numbers of Christians and non-Christians have been murdered by these groups for more than a decade, particularly in the North-Central States of Plateau and Benue.

Consequently, we can say that the Islamist/Islamic terrorists do not massacre Nigerian Christians as an exclusive target group.  Yet, because the preponderance of residents of Plateau and Benue States in Central Nigeria are Christians, it is valid to observe that Christians are being wiped out in those parts of the country by armed groups that profess Islam as their faith, even if not for religious reasons.

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A look at the definition of the concept of genocide may help us here. The definition of the crime of genocide is contained in Article II of the United Nations Genocide Convention, and reads as:

“…any of the following acts committed with intent to destroy, in whole or in part, a national, ethnical, racial or religious group, as such:

Killing members of the group;

Causing serious bodily or mental harm to members of the group;

Deliberately inflicting on the group conditions of life calculated to bring about its physical destruction in whole or in part;

Imposing measures intended to prevent births within the group;

Forcibly transferring children of the group to another group.”

Given the above universally accepted definition, we can categorically accept that genocide has been and, is still, going on in Nigeria. The abduction of hundreds of schoolgirls from Chibok (North-East) in 2014 by Islamist Boko Haram and their subsequent rape and forcible marriage to terrorist commanders in the forest of Sambisa fall squarely within the definitions of genocide. In the same breath, the ongoing and non-stop killing of non-Fulani farmers in rural communities across Benue and Plateau states (North-Central) by Fulani herder militias eminently qualify as genocide. In the particular cases of Benue and Plateau killings, the perpetrators belong to a distinct ethnic group, religion and occupation, completely different from those of the victims. More particularly in the plains of Benue, the constant and ongoing unprovoked invasion, land grabbing, senseless killing, maiming, arson, looting, uprooting of whole communities and occupation of farmlands by Fulani herder militias are copiously documented and well known to Nigeria’s military and security authorities. In brazen defiance of the American warning, barely days after the Trump tweets, fighters from the same militia invaded Anwule community in Ohimini Local Government Area of Benue State and launched a deadly attack on the night of Tuesday, November 4, 2025, killing three residents, including a local pastor, Mr Simon, and leaving one person missing. This is just one of many instances.

The horrific massacre in Yelewata, Benue State, on June 13-14 only helped to bring the phenomenon to global consciousness. In that single overnight attack by Fulani herder militants, over 200 residents were killed, homes were burned while thousands were displaced. According to well documented reports:

“Victims were burned alive, shot, or hacked with machetes as they fled; entire families were trapped in their homes and set ablaze. Among the survivors, 98 vulnerable women and children now face starvation and trauma with no shelter, while threats of renewed attacks loom.”[i]

The Yelewata massacre made it to the global headlines; not so with other ongoing killings in Central Nigeria by the same Fulani herder militia. In the Apa and Agatu areas of Benue State, killings go on intermittently in rural communities. Some of the incidents make it to the local news, other do not. Some communities are completely displaced and evicted, while their residents live as refugees in larger, safer towns, driven from their only occupation of farming and surviving on handouts from their hosts. Vast farmlands are vacated indefinitely by owners for fear of being killed, raped and kidnapped in the farm by the roaming armed herders. Is this not genocide?

Is Trump’s view of the Nigerian State correct in relation to decades of mass murder?

In his explosive outburst against Nigeria, Trump charged that the country ‘continues to allow killing of Christians’. Popular US Senator Ted Cruz went further to accuse Nigerian officials of “ignoring and even facilitating the mass murder of Christians…” While Christians are not the only ones killed, we should all agree that nobody should be allowed to be killed, Christians or not. Between Trump and Cruz, the most active words are ‘allow’ and ‘ignore’.  Does the Nigerian state allow and/or ignore mass murder by extremist groups? Does Nigeria treat life as sacrosanct? Does the government take effective and dissuasive actions against the perpetrators of mass killing? Do perpetrators kill with impunity, or do they face arrest, prosecution, conviction and deterrent punishment? Do security forces respond promptly to protect communities when they are subjected to mass murder? Do security forces have a durable presence in the hotspots of mass murder to forestall reoccurrence? Are survivors of mass murder catered for and rehabilitated?

We all know the answers. We know that massacre occurs with impunity in Nigeria, including what could qualify as genocide. We know that the decades of wanton killing in the plains og Benue and Plateau have never seen any perpetrator brought to justice. In particular, the Fulani herder militias have killed so many villagers in Apa and Agatu, and no single perpetrator has ever faced justice for those atrocities. Not even a Commission of Inquiry has been set up to investigate the senseless killings and mete out justice. We know that security forces occasionally undertake light deployment to major towns, but never conduct operations deep inside the bushes and forests where the militias have their bases.

Thus, apart from mere verbal condemnation by political authorities and official condolence visits to State capitals, the brutalized communities have only experienced inaction from the Nigerian central government during or after mass murder episodes. The overall understanding of the people of Benue is that the Federal Government of Nigeria is complacent in what appears to be their extermination by the militias.  Now, this perceived complacency, is closely aligned with Ted Cruz’ accusation against Nigeria of ‘ignoring the mass murder. Benue residents see the Federal Government as not paying attention, thus ignoring the existential threat they face perennially. Consequentially, by ignoring these real threats, the Government is ‘allowing’ it to continue, inadvertently or knowingly. And if Government allowing the mass murder through complacency, it puts itself up for being accused of indirectly facilitating it by its sheer absence or inaction. Thus, the American position that Nigeria ignores, allows and facilitates mass murder may hold.

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This position is even reinforced by the tactics used by security forces occasionally in the flashpoints in Benue: The deployments are very light on the ground compared to the scale of the attacks; the troops deployed remain only in the towns, but do not launch combat  operations into the bushes to confront the militias and their bases; troops have a habit of acting tough against the communities and soft towards the militias. Community self-help youths who seek to defend their communities by confronting the invaders are constantly disarmed, arrested and sent to Abuja for permanent detention. In response to the Ohimini invasion of early November, troops responded by only arresting a few armed residents, while the invaders remained in the bush unengaged. Costly defeats suffered by troops in previous incidents may have deterred the security forces from confrontation with Fulani militias in the bush. In very recent confrontations, where few troops had been deployed in Apa and Agatu communities, they have been hopelessly outnumbered and outgunned, leading to loss of men and material, and eventual retreat, leaving the communities to evacuate.

There seems to be no deliberate humanitarian policy to address the aftermaths of mass murder in Benue State. There are no official camps for internally displaced persons across the entire land of Apa and Agatu, notwithstanding the high frequency of attacks and displacements, particularly during he dry season. In addition, there is no sufficient troop presence to deter recurrent aggression in the communities prone to such attacks. The troops that were deployed to those flashpoints have been too few to make a difference and have only stayed for short periods, allowing the militias to continue to plan and mount massacres from the bush. What appears to us in Benue is that the Nigerian state is either unwilling or unable to protect rural communities from constant massacre by the Fulani herder militia.

Is the threatened US action appropriate?

Protecting and providing for citizens are the fundamental objectives of the State, according to the Constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria. However, if it is evident that the same State is unwilling and/or unable to protect citizens from existential threat, a humanitarian intervention from outside, within the bounds of international law, and in collaboration with Nigeria, may become appropriate. If the people of Benue cannot live free as citizens without the fear of extermination and eviction from their ancestral land by the Fulani herder militia, they will gladly welcome such a measured intervention as divine emancipation. A combination of tools such as targeted sanctions (travels bans, asset freezes, etc.) and surgical strikes (without collateral damage), as being considered by Trump, would be in furtherance of Nigeria’s national security.

Should the US apply sanctions or directly attack armed groups in Nigeria?

This question appears to be the most contentious. We all seem to be comfortable with the non-lethal measure of sanctions. Sanctions usually take some time to take effect on targets, and the agents of mass murder in Nigeria may not immediately feel the pain of asset freeze and travel ban. They may not be frequent travelers through the airports and their assets many not easily be identifiable. They roam through forests and if they have to cross the border to neigbouring countries to raise money or import arms, they could easily do so through informal crossing routes and points that litter our highly porous borders. Further still, given the informality of our economic system and the dominance of cash in financial transactions, it could be extremely difficult to trace, locate and freeze the assets of these criminal targets. As stated above, precision strikes that limit collateral damage, with the approval and collaboration of the Government of Nigeria, would be the unavoidable necessity.

This is not an unpatriotic call for invasion or violation of the territorial integrity of Nigeria, as some fear or are misreading. It is a call for targeted strikes to permanently take out an existential threat in support of the fundamental objective of the Nigerian State to protect citizens and preserve their lives and properties. Such American strikes to disarm, disable and dislodge (D DD) the militias operating in the bushes and forests of Benue, in collaboration with Nigerian troops, would be conscientious, lawful (under international humanitarian law) and expedient in helping Nigeria achieve what it should but has not!

  1. J. Trump would be forever celebrated by the people of Benue as the Moses of our time!

What should be Nigeria’s appropriate and effective response to the threat of US Action?

The Americans do not trust us enough to transfer the highest-grade capabilities for counter-insurgency operations due to concerns about human rights and potential misuse of those weapons. But they are offering to enter into the theatre directly and deploy those capabilities against our own threats. This is a big opportunity that should be warmly welcomed!

To be honest, it is disgraceful that we have had to wait until Trump’s rage before realizing that we needed to take urgent action against the threats to our existence as a nation! Our national complacence allows threats to fester for too long, forcing us into knee-jerk reaction when they snowball into wildfires that are so costly and time consuming to put out. We treated Boko Haram with kids gloves when it started in 2009, and after 16 years of fighting we can count the cost – high number of military officers and men who have paid the ultimate price, and still counting; innumerable civilian deaths, financial cost of counterinsurgency; etc.

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In the same vein, we treated the new terrorists in the northwest as mere bandits until they were allowed to build capacity into a full-fledged cluster of domestic terrorists that we are now struggling to contain. Just a few days after the Trump CPC listing of Nigeria, the heavily armed bandits, who had seized and occupied the Kainji National Park – a national asset in Niger State, North Central Nigeria – for the past two years unchallenged, ambushed a member of the Federal House of Representatives, killing six (6) soldiers in his convoy. What a national disgrace! Where were we when the terrorists were seizing such an important national asset; and what have we done to dislodge them from the park they have occupied over the last two years? Are we claiming ignorance of the seizure and occupation, or are we admitting that we have been too weak to dislodge them? And if combat-trained and armed soldiers could be so easily sacrificed, what is the value of civilian life in Nigeria? Why did we have to wait for the Trump accusations before being told that President Bola Tinubu was expected to receive the report of the House of Representatives ad hoc committee investigating the recurring killings in Plateau State – a committee set up since end of March 2025? With these questions begging for answers, Why shouldn’t President Trump call us a ‘disgraced country’?

Thus, instead of seeing the US threat of action as foreign interference, the Federal Government of Nigeria should be the one calling for help from Trump to support its military operations against the overwhelming array of domestic threats, chiefly terrorists, bandits and Fulani herder militias. We have lost so many military/security officers and men to terrorists since 2009 that we should pause the counter insurgency and ask: how many more commanders, officers and men do we have to lose before we succeed in effectively dislodging all armed groups from our country by ourselves? If it is looking like mission impossible, we should own up and call for external help!

The brazen abduction of another 25 schoolgirls in Kebbi on 17 November 2025 lends credence to the fear that we cannot do the job alone. This fear has forced even the Nigerian Senate to call for a massive expansion of our military manpower with the recruitment of 100,000 fresh personnel. How long do we have to wait before we own up? And how much more civilian and military casualty do we have to take before we admit that we are inching dangerously close to the edge of the precipice?

If I hear Trump correctly, he is not saying he wants to invade Nigeria. What I hear him say is ‘I want to help a helpless country’! What would the US invade Nigeria for? What would be in it for the US? We are a traditional ally of the US, which counts on us to advance its interests in Africa. Yet, we have serious problems that we do not wish to admit; we are in a strait and in dire need of help, but too proud to say so! That is not national pride; it is self-delusion!

And if we do not want America’s help, let us show capacity and effectiveness in addressing our security predicaments by doing the following:

  • Immediately create, equip and deploy a massive and effective forest force. This force should enabled and empowered to deploy into the forests and bushes to destroy the terrorists, bandits and herdsmen militias. This force should work with, not against, community self-protection initiatives for intelligence gathering, terrain guidance and other essential support.
  • Commence the use of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) for effective 24-hour surveillance and interdiction. Drones are now relatively cheap to acquire and have become a potent feature of recent battlefields. The use of UAVs will drastically minimize the risk of losing our vital officers (including generals) and men, as is currently happening in Borno and Niger States. It will help detect predict enemy locations, track their movement and cripple their operations with preemptive strikes before they are able to launch attacks.
  • Embed intelligence capabilities in flashpoint communities to gather real time intelligence on the activities of armed groups and act upon them in a timely manner. The Department of State Service (DSS) should transit from a reactive to a preventive approach to community security. Stop waiting until a major incident occurs and then we deploy after the perpetrators had exited from the scene – if it is a question of manpower, can our security forces work closely with vetted civilian youths as volunteers to bolster their capability?
  • Maintain a long-term, visible military or security presence in attack-prone communities.

Dr  Isima writes from Benue

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Labour to engage FG on minimum wage review

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The Nigeria Labour Congress and the Trade Union Congress said they will restart negotiations with the Federal Government over a new national minimum wage, warning that workers can no longer cope with rising living costs as inflation continues to erode real incomes.

The unions are pushing for what they described as a “genuine living wage” to replace the current framework, which they said no longer reflects Nigeria’s economic realities, particularly sharp increases in food, transport, housing, and healthcare costs.

The position was contained in a joint address delivered at the 114th International Labour Conference in Geneva on Monday, where the unions also rejected any proposal to tax the minimum wage or impose additional fiscal burdens on low-income earners.

Nigeria’s current minimum wage of N70,000 was signed into law on 18 July 2024, in an agreement between organised labour and the federal government. President Bola Tinubu formally announced the wage on 19 July 2024, and it took effect on 29 July 2024.

The agreement originally set a three-year review cycle, shifting from the previous five-year arrangement. However, in January 2025, the Federal Government adjusted the framework, announcing that the minimum wage would now be reviewed every two years, effectively setting 2026 as the next review point.

In light of this, labour leaders said they intend to formally open discussions with the federal government ahead of the July 2026 wage renegotiation deadline, in a bid to prevent the delays that have often hindered previous minimum wage reviews.

“The current Act expires early next year, and we have announced that renegotiation will commence by July 2026 to avoid the painful delays of the past. As soon as we leave here, we shall write again to the government demanding the commencement of the process for renegotiating the national minimum wage,” the unions said.

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The labour leaders said workers are already under severe pressure from inflation, currency depreciation, and rising costs across essential services, arguing that official economic indicators do not reflect the daily realities of most households.

They warned that taxing the minimum wage would worsen poverty and deepen economic hardship at a time when many citizens are struggling to meet basic needs.

“We demand nothing less than a genuine living wage that reflects today’s harsh economic realities. We also demand immediate relief measures by governments at all levels until a new minimum wage is signed into law. We reject outright any attempt to tax the minimum wage or impose further burdens on the poor,” the unions said in their communiqué.

The unions stressed that the upcoming negotiations must go beyond nominal wage adjustments and instead focus on protecting real incomes, which they said have been steadily eroded by inflation.

They also urged federal and state governments to introduce short-term relief measures pending the conclusion of negotiations, warning that delays could heighten industrial tensions across the country.

Beyond wage concerns, the labour movement used the Geneva platform to highlight broader economic and social challenges, including insecurity, unemployment, and rising poverty levels.

They said insecurity in several parts of the country has made commuting increasingly dangerous for workers, with killings, abductions, and displacement affecting productivity and livelihoods.

According to the unions, nearly 2,000 people were killed in the first quarter of the year, while millions have been displaced, with entire communities and economic activities disrupted by violence.

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They warned that worsening insecurity could force workers to remain at home as a survival response, escalating tensions beyond traditional labour action if not urgently addressed.

The labour leaders also said about 65 per cent of Nigerians, estimated at roughly 150 million people, are currently living in multidimensional poverty, driven by inflation, job losses, and declining purchasing power.

They argued that while macroeconomic reforms are aimed at stabilisation, they have yet to translate into improved living standards for ordinary citizens.

As the 2027 general elections approach, the unions said they are developing a charter of demands to shape their engagement with political actors and inform their support for candidates, noting that  only political actors who commit to improved security, functional public services, wage reforms, and protection of labour rights would receive their backing.

The labour movement also raised concerns over alleged interference in union affairs in some states, accusing certain governments of undermining democratically elected labour leadership structures.

They emphasised that organised labour would resist any attempt to weaken union independence or impose external control on labour organisations.

As the current wage regime approaches its 2026 review window, the unions said their priority remains securing a wage structure that reflects economic realities and protects workers from further erosion of income.

They maintained that the outcome of the upcoming negotiations would determine whether Nigerian workers receive what they termed a “living wage” or continue to endure worsening economic hardship.

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Ribadu, Akpabio advocate tech-driven border control over Insecurity

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The National Security Adviser, Nuhu Ribadu, and President of the Senate, Godswill Akpabio, on Tuesday called for the deployment of modern technology and stronger regional cooperation to strengthen Nigeria’s border security architecture and address growing security threats across the country.

FILE: Akpabio

They made the call at the opening of the 15th National Security Seminar organised by the Alumni Association of the National Defence College in Abuja.

Represented by the Director of Policy and Strategy at the Office of the National Security Adviser, Yazid Gbemudu, the NSA said Nigeria’s territorial integrity and national stability were closely tied to the effectiveness of its border security framework.

He noted that while Nigeria’s extensive land and maritime borders facilitated trade, regional integration and socio-economic development, they also exposed the country to threats including terrorism, arms trafficking, smuggling, human trafficking, irregular migration and other forms of transnational organised crime.

According to him, weak border governance creates vulnerabilities that can be exploited by criminal and terrorist networks, thereby undermining national security and development efforts.

“A major pillar of Nigeria’s contemporary border security framework is the National Border Management Strategy, which promotes an integrated border management approach.

“The strategy seeks to enhance intelligence collaboration, strengthen border infrastructure, improve surveillance capabilities and modernise border management processes,” he said.

Ribadu said the deployment of Border Management Information Systems and other technological solutions at key entry and exit points had improved data collection, traveller screening and migration monitoring.

“These initiatives demonstrate Nigeria’s commitment to aligning its border management practices with international standards,” he added.

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The NSA stressed the need for the full implementation of an integrated border management system to improve coordination among security, intelligence and law enforcement agencies.

“Effective intelligence sharing, joint operations and harmonised border procedures are essential for addressing contemporary security threats,” he said.

He also advocated increased investment in technology-driven border security solutions.

“Expanding surveillance systems across land, maritime and coastal borders will significantly improve monitoring capabilities and reduce illegal cross-border activities.

“Modern challenges require modern solutions, including biometric identification systems, advanced border monitoring technologies and data-driven security frameworks,” Ribadu stated.

The NSA further emphasised the importance of regional and bilateral cooperation, noting that many of the security challenges confronting Nigeria’s borders were transnational in nature and required coordinated responses among neighbouring countries.

He also called for greater investment in border communities through sustainable development, improved infrastructure and economic opportunities to reduce their vulnerability to criminal exploitation.

“Strengthening Nigeria’s border security architecture is fundamental to ensuring national stability, protecting territorial integrity and promoting socio-economic development,” he said.

Ribadu, however, acknowledged challenges such as porous borders, inadequate infrastructure, limited technological capabilities and gaps in inter-agency coordination, saying they required urgent attention.

“Border security is a shared responsibility that requires the collective efforts of security agencies, government institutions, border communities and international partners,” he added.

Speaking at the event, Akpabio, who was represented by the Chairman of the Senate Committee on Defence, Ahmad Lawan, said Nigeria’s extensive land and maritime boundaries posed significant security challenges.

“As a country with extensive land and maritime boundaries, Nigeria faces significant challenges relating to border control, illegal migration, arms trafficking, smuggling and the infiltration of criminal and extremist elements.

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“It is, therefore, imperative that Nigeria prioritises the strengthening of its border security architecture through improved surveillance, enhanced infrastructure, better inter-agency coordination, technological innovation and stronger regional cooperation,” he said.

Akpabio noted that many of the security threats confronting Nigeria had transnational dimensions, making coordinated responses essential.

He stressed that peace and security remained prerequisites for meaningful national development.

“There can be no meaningful development without peace and security. Porous and poorly managed borders can become vulnerabilities that undermine national security efforts and national stability,” he said.

The Senate President also advocated a whole-of-government and whole-of-society approach to addressing insecurity.

According to him, government institutions, security agencies, civil society organisations, the private sector, traditional institutions, the media and academia all have critical roles to play in safeguarding the country.

Earlier, the Acting President of AANDEC, Commodore Amatare Kpou (retd.), described the seminar as a key platform for promoting informed discourse on national security challenges and opportunities.

Kpou said the theme of the seminar, “Strengthening Nigeria’s Border Security Architecture for National Stability,” was timely, given the growing threats of irregular migration, smuggling, trafficking and other cross-border crimes.

He expressed confidence that the deliberations would generate useful recommendations for policymakers and contribute to efforts aimed at building a safer and more secure Nigeria.

Nigeria shares over 4,000 kilometres of land borders with neighbouring countries and an extensive coastline, making border security a critical component of national security.

Authorities have repeatedly identified porous borders as channels for terrorism, arms smuggling, human trafficking and other transnational crimes.

The Federal Government has in recent years intensified efforts to strengthen border management through technology, intelligence sharing and regional cooperation.

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FG releases barely 5% of N54.93tn three-year roads budget

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The Federal Government has released about N2.68tn for the construction, rehabilitation and maintenance of roads and bridges across the country between 2023 and April 2026, findings by The PUNCH from the Open Treasury Portal have shown.

The analysis, however, revealed a significant disparity between approved budgets and actual releases, with the government making provisions totalling N54.93tn for road-related projects within the period under review.

The figures highlight both the growing emphasis on infrastructure development and the persistent financing constraints that continue to affect capital project execution in the country.

The development also comes amid the ongoing Renewed Hope Media Tour organised by the Presidential Communications Team, designed to showcase projects being implemented under President Bola Tinubu’s Renewed Hope Agenda.

Data obtained from the Open Treasury Portal on Tuesday showed that road projects attracted a combined budgetary allocation of N2.53tn in 2023, out of which N631.51bn was released, representing an implementation rate of 24.95 per cent.

The Treasury data, however, did not specify the road projects to which the funds were released and did not indicate whether the government’s four legacy highway projects formed part of the expenditure.

A year-by-year breakdown showed that road construction projects received N280.14bn from a budget of N1.09tn during the year, while rehabilitation and repair works attracted N345.93bn from an allocation of N1.42tn. Road and bridge maintenance projects also received N5.44bn out of a total provision of N14.68bn.

In 2024, the Federal Government increased its budgetary commitment to the sector, making provisions amounting to N9.39tn for road-related projects. However, actual releases stood at N784.60bn, representing 8.36 per cent of the approved amount.

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Road construction projects accounted for N383.74bn of the spending from an allocation of N5.05tn, while rehabilitation projects received N384.49bn from a budget of N4.32tn. The government also released N16.37bn for the maintenance of roads and bridges out of a total provision of N18.18bn.

The trend continued in 2025, with the government budgeting N7.22tn for road construction and rehabilitation projects. Treasury records showed that N670.68bn had been released during the period, translating to an implementation rate of 9.29 per cent.

Of the amount released, road construction projects received N269.75bn from an allocation of N3.42tn, while rehabilitation and repair projects attracted N400.94bn from a budget of N3.80tn.

The 2026 figures indicate a sharp rise in budgetary provisions. As of April 2026, the government had earmarked N35.79tn for road construction, rehabilitation and maintenance projects, the highest within the four-year period.

However, only N597.08bn had been released, representing 1.67 per cent of the approved budget. Specifically, road construction projects had a budgetary provision of N23.61tn, with releases amounting to N293.06bn.

Similarly, rehabilitation and repair projects received N300.80bn from a total allocation of N12.03tn. Road and bridge maintenance projects had an allocation of N144.64bn, but only N3.22bn had been released as of the end of April. Treasury records show that N26.54bn was released in April alone, leaving an outstanding budget balance of N23.32tn yet to be funded.

The data indicate that although substantial sums have been earmarked for road projects over the years, actual cash releases remain significantly lower than approved allocations, reflecting the financing constraints that often affect capital project implementation.

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Further analysis showed that road construction consistently attracted the largest allocations. Budgetary provisions rose from N1.09tn in 2023 to N23.61tn in 2026, reflecting the Federal Government’s increasing focus on large-scale highway projects.

Road rehabilitation spending remained substantial throughout the period. Allocations increased from N1.42tn in 2023 to N12.03tn in 2026, suggesting a parallel effort to repair existing infrastructure.

Maintenance received the smallest allocations but recorded the highest execution rate. In 2024, road and bridge maintenance achieved a 90.05 per cent implementation rate, compared to less than 10 per cent for construction and rehabilitation.

Overall, the Federal Government budgeted N54.93tn for road-related projects between 2023 and April 2026 but released N2.68tn during the same period.

The data also showed that while budgetary provisions expanded significantly over the years, the percentage of funds released declined. In 2023, about 25 per cent of the approved budget was released. This fell to 8.36 per cent in 2024 and 9.29 per cent in 2025.

As of April 2026, only 1.67 per cent of the total budgetary provision had been released. The development comes amid the Federal Government’s renewed focus on infrastructure as a catalyst for economic growth.

Several major road projects are currently underway across the country, including the Lagos-Calabar Coastal Highway, the Abuja-Kaduna-Zaria-Kano Road, the Sokoto-Badagry Super Highway and other strategic federal highways aimed at improving connectivity across Nigeria’s six geopolitical zones and stimulating economic activities.

The Minister of Works, David Umahi, recently disclosed that the Federal Ministry of Works would prioritise the completion of major highways and the execution of four presidential legacy projects in its 2026 capital plan.

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According to the minister, the ministry inherited over 2,000 ongoing projects in 2023, many of which have been rolled over into subsequent budgets due to funding constraints.

Umahi also told lawmakers during the defence of the ministry’s 2026 budget proposal that the Federal Government owed contractors about N2.2tn for certified works executed between 2024 and 2025, underscoring the financing challenges facing the road sector despite rising budgetary allocations.

He added that only a fraction of expected capital releases had been made, forcing the ministry to re-scope and prioritise projects.

The Open Treasury Portal, which tracks government revenues and expenditures, provides a snapshot of how much of the approved budgets for capital projects has translated into actual spending.

Although the latest figures point to an unprecedented expansion in planned spending on road infrastructure, the challenge, analysts say, will be ensuring that budgetary commitments are backed by timely releases to deliver the intended benefits to Nigerians.

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