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Five-month crude oil exports fetch Nigeria N20tn

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Nigeria exported an estimated 148.9 million barrels of crude oil valued at about N20.22tn in the first five months of 2026, showcasing the scale of the country’s oil trade despite persistent concerns over production levels.

The crude barrels were exported by both international and indigenous oil companies, including the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited.

While the export of crude oil may lead to a lack of sufficient domestic feedstock for Dangote Petroleum Refinery and other local refineries, it boosts the country’s foreign exchange earnings.

An analysis of crude oil production and export data for January to May 2026 showed that the country’s crude exports were worth approximately $14.66bn, equivalent to N20.22tn at an exchange rate of N1,380 to the dollar.

In comparison, Nigeria exported 154 million barrels of crude worth about $11.32bn during the same period of 2025. Although export volume in 2026 fell by 5.1 million barrels, representing a 3.3 per cent decline, the export value jumped by about $3.33bn, or 29.5 per cent, driven by significantly higher crude oil prices this year.

The figures obtained from the Central Bank of Nigeria indicate that the total volume of crude oil produced by the country during the five-month review period in 2026 was 216.85 million barrels, with a gross market value of approximately $21.28bn, or about N29.36tn, using the same exchange rate.

The calculations were derived from the average daily crude oil production and export volumes for each month, multiplied by the number of days in the respective months, and valued using the corresponding average monthly Bonny Light crude oil prices.

A breakdown of the CBN figures showed that Nigeria produced about 45.26 million barrels in January, 36.68 million barrels in February, 42.78 million barrels in March, 44.70 million barrels in April, and 47.43 million barrels in May.

Crude exports followed a similar trend, with 31.31 million barrels exported in January, 24.08 million barrels in February, 28.83 million barrels in March, 31.20 million barrels in April, and 33.48 million barrels in May.

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Using the prevailing average crude prices for each month, January’s exports were valued at about $2.13bn, February $1.74bn, March $3.06bn, April $3.95bn, and May $3.77bn, bringing the cumulative export value to $14.66bn.

On the production side, crude output was valued at approximately $3.08bn in January, $2.65bn in February, $4.54bn in March, $5.67bn in April, and $5.34bn in May, resulting in a cumulative value of $21.28bn.

The data further showed that average daily crude oil production improved over the review period. Output increased from 1.46 million barrels per day in January to 1.53 million barrels per day in May after dropping to 1.31 million barrels per day in February.

Average daily crude exports also rose from 1.01 million barrels per day in January to 1.08 million barrels per day in May, despite recording 0.86 million barrels per day in February.

Overall, Nigeria exported about 68.7 per cent of the crude oil it produced during the five months, leaving roughly 67.95 million barrels available for domestic refining, storage, operational use, and inventory adjustments.

The effect of the US-Iran war was also felt in the monthly average prices of crude from March to May. In January and February, before the war started, average crude prices were $68.05 and $72.33 a barrel. But the prices jumped to $106.09 in March, $126.71 in April, and $112.63 in May, reflecting the sharp rise in crude prices due to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

The estimated values represent the gross market value of the crude oil based on average monthly international crude prices and do not reflect actual government revenue, which is affected by production-sharing contracts, royalties, taxes, operational costs, domestic crude supply obligations, and other commercial arrangements.

Year-on-year comparison

Meanwhile, Nigeria’s crude oil export earnings rose by almost 30 per cent in the first five months of 2026 despite a decline in export volumes, as higher international oil prices more than offset the lower shipments.

While the country exported an estimated 148.9 million barrels of crude oil during the period, approximately 154.0 million barrels were exported in the corresponding period of 2025.

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The figures indicate that crude export volumes declined by about 5.1 million barrels, representing a 3.3 per cent year-on-year decrease. Average daily crude exports also dropped from 1.02 million barrels per day in the first five months of 2025 to 0.984 million barrels per day during the same period in 2026, a decline of 3.5 per cent.

Despite the lower export volumes, the estimated value of Nigeria’s crude oil exports surged to about $14.66bn between January and May 2026 from approximately $11.32bn recorded during the corresponding period of 2025.

This represents an increase of about $3.34bn, or 29.5 per cent, within one year. This highlighted the effect of the US-Iran conflict on crude prices this year.

At an exchange rate of N1,380 to the United States dollar, the estimated value of crude exports for the first five months of 2026 translates to approximately N20.22tn, compared with about N15.62tn in the same period of 2025.

The analysis showed that the increase in export earnings was driven largely by stronger international crude oil prices rather than higher export volumes.

Although Nigeria exported fewer barrels in 2026, the significantly higher crude oil prices, particularly in March, April, and May, boosted the overall market value of the country’s crude exports.

Domestic crude supply to Nigeria’s refineries declined to 15.84 million barrels in May 2026, even as the facilities achieved a combined intake of 17.92 million barrels for the month, according to the latest midstream and downstream statistics released by the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority.

Across the first five months of the year, domestic supply to refineries had shown a generally upward trend, rising from 8.83 million barrels in January and 8.86 million barrels in February to 11.49 million barrels in March, before peaking in April and moderating in May.

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As oil producers make money from high oil export volumes, local refiners said this was against the domestic crude supply obligation of the Petroleum Industry Act.

The Dangote refinery has recently accused the Federal Government and its agencies of alleged deliberate sabotage, undermining its operations and frustrating its investment in Nigeria’s downstream petroleum sector, an allegation the Federal Government denied.

In a recent affidavit filed before the Federal High Court in Lagos seeking an interim injunction to stop the issuance and renewal of petroleum import licences, the company said its operations are anchored on crude oil supply arrangements with the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited, which it described as central to its refining business.

The refinery said its business operations include purchasing crude oil from the Federal Government through the NNPC and refining products for sale to Nigerians to ease pressure on the government to make petroleum products available for local consumption.

The refinery, however, alleged that the government had failed in its obligation to ensure adequate crude supply to local refineries, claiming the development was deliberate and harmful to its investment.

Speaking with our correspondent, the publicity secretary of the Crude Oil Refinery Owners Association of Nigeria, Eche Idoko, said modular refineries did not receive crude from the Federal Government but from private oil producers.

“None of the modular refineries I know have gotten crude under the Federal Government arrangement. But I know that through private arrangements, the Edo refinery is getting it from Ingenti. Aradel is getting crude from EOP and a couple of other fields, too. Opac is getting from Pillar,” he said in a chat on Sunday.

Idoko appealed to the Federal Government to effectively implement the DSCO and make enough crude available to local refineries.

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Tax revenue hits N27tn after 113% surge – Report

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Nigeria’s tax collections have surged by 113 per cent in less than three years, rising from N12.3tn in 2023 to N27.1tn as of July 2026, the Nigeria Revenue Service has said.

The revenue authority attributed the sharp increase to the digitisation of the tax system, the enactment of four new tax reform laws, the transformation of the revenue service and an executive order aimed at closing loopholes in the tax system.

The NRS, in an internal report on the state of the Nigerian economy obtained by The PUNCH on Sunday, insisted that the country was moving from a period of severe macroeconomic distress towards a more stable and resilient economy following the implementation of a series of difficult reforms by the President Bola Tinubu administration.

“Tax collections more than doubled from N12.3tn in 2023 to N27.1tn as of July 2026 with the “digitisation of tax systems, four new tax reform laws, the transformation of the revenue service and an executive order that closed loopholes in the system.

“The Nigerian economy has moved decisively from acute macroeconomic distress toward a more stable and increasingly resilient footing,” the revenue service said.

The NRS attributed the development to what it described as Tinubu’s economic management acumen and determination to implement reforms under his administration’s Renewed Hope Agenda.

According to the report, the administration inherited four major economic distortions which had continued to undermine government revenue and economic growth.

It identified the challenges as “a fiscally unsustainable fuel subsidy regime, an opaque forex system that discouraged investment, a non-performing oil sector, and a tax base ‘far below its potential’.”

The revenue authority said the initial impact of the reforms created significant economic difficulties but maintained that the country’s major economic indicators had subsequently begun to improve.

It cited falling inflation, a turnaround in the balance of payments, increased crude oil production, the emergence of Nigeria as a net exporter of petroleum products and the more than doubling of tax collections as evidence of the recovery.

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The report also highlighted an increase in the minimum wage, saying it had doubled between 2023 and 2026.

It further cited estimates by the United Nations Children’s Fund showing that the number of out-of-school children had declined from 20 million to 18.3 million following government policies and incentives.

The NRS said the government’s naira-for-crude arrangement with the Dangote Petroleum Refinery and other domestic refineries had contributed to a major shift in Nigeria’s petroleum trade position.

According to the report, the arrangement had helped Nigeria move from being a net importer of petroleum products to becoming a net exporter after decades of dependence on imports.

It noted that Ghana had recently decided to pursue a similar policy in its petroleum sector. The report also said crude oil production had increased from about 1.2 million-1.3 million barrels per day in 2023 to 1.73 million barrels per day by July 2026.

It said the latest output was equivalent to 104 per cent of Nigeria’s OPEC quota. The increase in production is significant for government revenue because crude oil remains the country’s largest source of foreign exchange and a major contributor to public finances.

The NRS also pointed to developments in the capital market as another indication of improving economic confidence. It said the market capitalisation of the Nigerian Exchange had risen from N30.36tn in 2023 to N161tn in 2026, describing the increase as a source of wealth creation for millions of Nigerians who invest in the stock market.

The report attributed the market rally partly to improved macroeconomic credibility, the recapitalisation of banks and a growing pool of domestic institutional investment.

Nigeria’s external reserves also rose sharply during the period under review. According to the NRS report, reserves increased from an unrestricted $3.99bn in 2023 to $51.9bn as of July 2026, which it described as a 17-year high.

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The country’s balance of payments also moved from a $3.34bn deficit to a $2.38bn surplus in the first quarter of 2026, the report stated. Nigeria’s trade position similarly recorded a significant improvement, moving from a marginal surplus of N44.7bn to N7.55tn in the first quarter of 2026.

The composition of exports also showed some changes, with exports of other oil products, excluding crude, rising by 51 per cent year-on-year to N6.78tn during the first quarter.

The revenue service said improved investor confidence was also reflected in capital importation. Annual capital importation rose from $3.9bn in 2023 to $23.22bn in 2025, while inflows reached $10.37bn in the first quarter of 2026 alone.

The report said foreign portfolio investment had been particularly strong, while foreign direct investment had also improved. The increase in capital inflows, according to the NRS, reflected stronger investor confidence as economic reforms reshaped the operating environment.

The revenue service further highlighted the expansion of the compressed natural gas programme as part of the government’s response to the removal of the petrol subsidy.

According to the report, Nigeria had no large-scale CNG programme three years ago and depended heavily on imported petrol and diesel. By 2026, however, more than 100,000 vehicles had reportedly been converted to CNG, with more than $2bn in investment mobilised and over 10,000 jobs created.

The NRS estimated that CNG could reduce running costs by between 40 and 60 per cent compared with petrol. It said some commercial drivers had seen their monthly fuel bills fall from about N50,000 to N18,000 after converting their vehicles.

On agriculture and food security, it recalled that the administration declared a state of emergency on food security in July 2023 and subsequently introduced measures including the release of strategic grain reserves, the establishment of a N100bn National Agricultural Development Fund, fertiliser distribution and an agricultural mechanisation programme.

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Federal agricultural allocation rose from N228.4bn in 2023 to N826.5bn in the 2025 budget, according to the report. The NRS said food prices had fallen by about 50 per cent by March 2026, citing the Ministry of Agriculture.

However, it acknowledged that agriculture would require several planting seasons before increased government support could translate fully into higher production.

On public debt, the NRS acknowledged that Nigeria’s total debt stock had increased substantially, from N87.4tn in 2023 to N159.28tn in late 2025. However, it argued that the more important measure was the country’s debt relative to the size of its economy.

According to the report, the debt-to-GDP ratio declined from 38 per cent in 2023 to 35.5 per cent in 2025 and 32.3 per cent in 2026. The revenue service described the decline as the first sustained reduction in the ratio in more than a decade.

It also said debt servicing as a proportion of government revenue had declined from 68 per cent to an International Monetary Fund-projected 53 per cent.

The NRS said the combination of higher tax collections, increased oil production, stronger capital inflows, rising reserves and improved trade and balance of payments positions pointed to an economy that was gradually emerging from the severe pressures that followed the government’s early reforms.

The report nevertheless acknowledged that the gains came after what it described as “painful” adjustments and stressed that continued implementation of the reforms would be required to consolidate the recovery.

Source: punchng.com

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NLC demands N500k minimum wage, says current N70k minimum wage is no longer sustainable

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The Nigeria Labour Congress (NLC) says it will soon begin negotiations with the Federal Government for a new national minimum wage, insisting that the current N70,000 wage is no longer sustainable.

Speaking at the Rights of Workers Summit in Birnin Kebbi on Thursday, NLC President Joe Ajaero, represented by Deputy President Audu Titus Amba, said workers should prepare for fresh negotiations.

He argued that the current minimum wage could no longer meet workers’ basic needs amid rising inflation and the increasing cost of living.

“Anything less than N500,000 cannot cater for workers. The current minimum wage is due for review, and we will soon begin negotiations with the government,” he said.

Also speaking, Trade Union Congress (TUC) President Festus Osifo, represented by Secretary-General Nuhu Toro, said worsening economic conditions had eroded workers’ purchasing power.

He cited rising food prices, transport fares, rent and inflation as factors making the current wage inadequate.

President Tinubu signed the current national minimum wage bill into law on July 29, 2024, raising it from N30,000 to N70,000 per month. The legislation followed negotiations with organized labor and included a provision to review the wage structure every three years.

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Ondo artisans beg FG for inclusion in empowerment programmes

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Artisans and skilled workers in Ondo State have appealed to the Federal Government to include them in various empowerment programmes under President Bola Tinubu’s Renewed Hope Agenda.

The artisans, under the aegis of the Artisan Defender and Empowerment Foundation, said over 25,000 members of the group had been neglected despite their support for the re-election of the President.

This was contained in a statement issued on Friday by the Chairman and General Secretary of the association, Engr. Ogundipe James and Adebayo Olugbenga, respectively.

According to the statement, the group was founded and registered with the Federal Government to promote the interests of Niger Delta artisans and skilled workers, adding that its members needed government support through empowerment initiatives.

The statement read, “It was evident, the neglect of the welfare and empowerment of over 25,000 artisans that this organisation controls, for which we are advocating better welfare, skills and vocational training, empowerment, workshops and recognition of political strength and weight the coalition commands in the voting structure.

“The deteriorating situation of artisan welfare, particularly in Ondo State, is why the body is seeking immediate attention, mostly empowerment and skills upgrading from the primary concerned government agencies—the Federal Ministry of Trade and Investment, Directorate of the Office of Humanitarian Affairs and Poverty Reduction, Small and Medium Enterprises Development Agency of Nigeria, Presidential Amnesty Programme, among others.

“The neglect of this very important organisation, which plays a vital role in employment and the growth of the national economy, will cause disagreement and affect political support that comes from this coalition group.”

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The statement urged the concerned Federal Government agencies to consider the proposals earlier submitted by the group to enhance the support of its members for the President’s administration.

The group stated, “We call on the agencies mentioned above, demanding immediate attention to the proposals that have earlier been sent to this parastatal.

“This is a public warning and general awareness that failure to listen to Niger Delta Artisan Forum’s demands will lead to a national protest and have huge political support consequences for the continuation of the Renewed Hope Agenda of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu come the 2027 election, if attention is not immediately given to the demands.”

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