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Presidential election: Tinubu, Obi, others sign peace pact as 2027 campaign begins today

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Political parties and presidential and National Assembly candidates on Tuesday signed the first National Peace Accord on issue-based campaigns ahead of the 2027 general elections, pledging to shun violence, hate speech, misinformation, personal attacks and other conduct capable of undermining the electoral process.

The accord was signed in Abuja at a ceremony organised by the National Peace Committee in partnership with The Kukah Centre, barely 24 hours before the statutory commencement of public campaigns and rallies for the elections.

The event brought together the Chairman of the Independent National Electoral Commission, Prof Joash Amupitan; political party leaders; presidential candidates; National Assembly candidates; the Inspector-General of Police, Olatunji Disu, and representatives of the diplomatic community, among other stakeholders.

Those who signed the accord included President Bola Tinubu, represented by the Secretary to the Government of the Federation, Senator George Akume; the Nigeria Democratic Congress presidential candidate, Peter Obi; the Social Democratic Party candidate, Adewole Adebayo and his African Action Congress counterpart,  Omoyele Sowore.

Other participants were the National Chairman of the All Progressives Congress, Prof Nentawe Yilwatda; the presidential candidates of the Peoples Redemption Party, and Labour Party, Donald Duke, Chibuzor Okereke, the Deputy President of the Senate, Barau Jibrin; the PRP National Chairman, Hakeem Baba-Ahmed; federal and state lawmakers, party leaders and other candidates.

The event also featured goodwill messages from diplomatic representatives, including the European Union Ambassador to Nigeria, Gautier Mignot, and the Ambassador of Switzerland to Nigeria, Patrick Egloff.

However, some major political actors, including former Vice-President Atiku Abubakar and Oyo State Governor Seyi Makinde, were absent from the ceremony. Atiku is the presidential candidate of the African Democratic Congress, while Makinde is the presidential candidate of the Allied Peoples’ Movement.

The Chairman of the National Peace Committee, former Head of State, General Abdulsalami Abubakar (retd.), was represented by a former Chief of Defence Staff, General Martin Agwai (retd.).

The ceremony was held against the backdrop of growing political activities ahead of the 2027 elections, with the economy, insecurity, unemployment, poverty, infrastructure deficits and the credibility of the electoral process expected to dominate the campaigns.

According to INEC’s revised timetable, the presidential and National Assembly elections will hold on January 16, 2027, while the governorship and State House of Assembly elections are scheduled for February 6, 2027.

Speaking through Akume, President Tinubu urged political parties and candidates to place national interest above personal and partisan ambitions, warning that the struggle for political power must not become a do-or-die affair.

He also cautioned political actors against exploiting ethnic and religious sentiments to mobilise voters, insisting that the 2027 campaign should be based on competing ideas, policies and programmes.

“Signing this peace accord is a solemn pledge to the Nigerian people that we, as leaders, will put the nation’s interests above personal or partisan ambitions,” Tinubu said.

The President acknowledged that political campaigns naturally generate disagreements and intense competition, but insisted that such disagreements should not threaten national unity.

“It is natural during campaigns to disagree as opponents and advocate competing governing missions for our country. We may exchange occasional political jabs, but as members of the same household, the same national family, we must never resort to divisive and primordial sentiments of ethnicity or religion as tools for seeking power,” he stated.

Tinubu urged the candidates to concentrate on the issues affecting Nigerians and offer competing solutions to the country’s challenges.

“Let us campaign on superior ideas. Let us debate issues and promote the best policies to expand opportunities for our people,” he admonished his opponents.

The President said the APC remained committed to the provisions of the accord and would reject violence, hate speech, misinformation, incitement and digital manipulation.

“Our party rejects violence, hate speech, the spread of misinformation, including through artificial intelligence, and all forms of incitement, especially via social media.

“We are committed to peaceful, transparent elections that will strengthen political stability, social harmony, economic progress, and our nation’s prosperity. I encourage other political parties and political actors to do the same.’’

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Tinubu also commended the National Peace Committee for sustaining its interventions in the electoral process since 2014, noting that the initiative had helped bring political actors together to publicly commit themselves to peaceful elections.

He said Nigeria had also recorded improvements in election management, particularly through the adoption of technology by INEC.

The President cited the Permanent Voter Cards, the Bimodal Voter Accreditation System and electronic accreditation processes as measures that had strengthened confidence in the electoral system.

He also referred to recent off-cycle governorship elections in Anambra, Ekiti and Osun States as evidence of improvements in electoral administration and voter participation.

Campaigns not wars

The INEC chairman, Amupitan, described the signing ceremony as more than a symbolic gathering, saying it was an opportunity for political actors to define the ethical boundaries of the 2027 contest before the campaigns officially commenced.

He said the timing of the accord was significant because Wednesday (today), marks the statutory commencement of public campaigns and rallies for the elections.

“Tomorrow, Wednesday, August 19, 2026, marks the statutory commencement of public campaigns and rallies for the 2027 general election.

“Before the first campaign flag is unfurled, before the first rally is staged, and before political rhetoric fills our public space, it is necessary that those who seek to lead this nation first gather to establish the ethical boundaries of their contest,” Amupitan said.

According to him, Nigerians were expecting political parties and candidates to use the campaign period to discuss the challenges confronting the country rather than engage in personal attacks and inflammatory rhetoric.

The INEC chairman said information gathered by the National Peace Committee’s Election Security Information Hub had shown an “alarming resurgence” of hate speech, toxic polarisation, coordinated misinformation and personality-driven political discourse.

He said the trend was particularly disturbing as Nigeria approached what was expected to be one of the most fiercely contested elections since the return to democratic rule in 1999.

Amupitan challenged the candidates to make the economy, national security, infrastructure, healthcare, education and social inclusion central to their campaigns.

He likened elections to a competition for public office rather than warfare.

“Electoral contests in a constitutional democracy are not total wars; they are competitive job interviews before the electorate. Nigerians do not want insults; they want solutions,” he said.

The INEC chairman also warned political parties and their supporters against premature declarations of victory and the circulation of unverified information on social media.

He said the growing use of artificial intelligence and digital platforms had created new challenges for electoral management, particularly through disinformation and foreign information manipulation and interference.

Amupitan challenged presidential candidates, party leaders and campaign organisations to ensure that their supporters and online teams complied with the spirit and provisions of the accord.

“Leadership attained at the expense of public peace, institutional integrity, or human life is a hollow victory,” he warned.

The INEC chairman assured political parties that the commission had no preferred candidate and would provide a level playing field for all contestants.

“For the Commission, our moral authority to demand decorum from political actors rests squarely on our own administrative and technological preparedness,” he said.

Amupitan disclosed that INEC was preparing to deploy approximately 1.4 million ad hoc personnel for the 2027 general elections across more than 176,000 polling units nationwide.

He said the commission was drawing lessons from recent off-cycle elections, including the governorship elections in Anambra, Ekiti and Osun states as well as the Federal Capital Territory Area Council election, to improve its preparations for 2027.

The INEC chairman, however, stressed that technology and administrative preparedness alone could not guarantee peaceful elections, insisting that the conduct of political parties, candidates and their supporters remained critical.

“We provide the pitch and the refereeing, but the quality of the game depends on the players,” he said.

He called on the political class to recognise that the credibility of the 2027 elections would depend not only on INEC’s conduct but also on the willingness of the candidates to accept democratic rules and respect the institutions responsible for administering the polls.

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Abubakar said the National Peace Committee had facilitated 30 peace accords since 2015, comprising five national-level accords and 25 subnational agreements.

He added that the committee had also established faith-based peace structures in 23 states to complement its national peace-building efforts.

According to him, the issue-based peace accord was conceived in response to the increasing tendency of political campaigns to rely on sentiments, personal attacks and character assassination rather than manifestoes, policies and programmes.

Abubakar  further noted that the accord was intended to encourage candidates and political parties to compete on ideas, debate opposing views respectfully, organise supporters peacefully, protect voters, respect electoral institutions and reject hate speech and misinformation.

He lamented the declining quality of political discourse in the country.

“Over the years, political campaigns and rallies have neglected the significance of party manifestos and programmes, and created a platform for political parties to resort to name-calling, personal insults, and character assassination,” he said.

He explained that the provisions of the accord were anchored on the Constitution, the Electoral Act and other relevant laws, stressing that the agreement was therefore more than a political declaration.

The former head of state also disclosed that the National Peace Committee had established the Election Security Information Hub to monitor electoral offences and security developments and provide early warning and evidence-based analysis to stakeholders.

He urged parties, candidates, campaign councils and spokespersons to use the campaign period to address issues of concern to Nigerians and avoid inflammatory statements.

Obi observed that politicians should not need a peace accord before conducting themselves responsibly.

The former Anambra State governor argued that anyone seeking high public office should demonstrate exemplary conduct even before being elected.

“We don’t even need to sign this. We’re seeking an office where we should be exemplary. You can’t answer ‘His Excellency’ without being an excellent person,” Obi said.

Asked whether he still had faith in the peace accord in view of reports of violence during the recent Osun governorship election, Obi said his participation was driven by his desire to change the system from within.

“Because I want to change the process, I have to go through it, so I have to believe in it,” he said.

Obi said the central issue was not what the agreement was called but whether candidates would allow their personal conduct to reflect the offices they sought.

“Whatever it is, whether we call it a justice accord or a peace accord, the personal conduct of the candidate must reflect the office he is seeking. His behaviour, his person, any day, any time, must reflect that office,” he added.

He urged the candidates to make their campaigns responsive to the problems confronting Nigerians.

“We must, for the sake of this country, ensure that our conduct reflects the office we’re seeking, our behaviour, and that we do the right things and campaign on issues that Nigerians are going through today,” Obi said.

Reacting to the deaths recorded during the recent Osun governorship election, Obi called for remembrance and accountability rather than political point-scoring.

“Let us not forget those who died in ensuring that the election in Osun was achieved the way it went. We should visit them.

“We should condole with their families, and we should remain prayerful and conduct ourselves in a way that, in our democracy, nobody needs to die for an election. It shouldn’t be. It is painful, and I wish it never happened again.”

Asked what concerned him most about the 2027 election, Obi said his primary worry was the integrity of the vote.

“I don’t have any fear, except to say that, please, for the sake of the children of Nigeria, can we have an election where people’s votes will count?” he asked.

On what sanction should be imposed on candidates or parties that violate the peace accord, Obi said the electorate should have the final say.

“The punishment is that Nigerians should not vote for them,” he said.

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Sowore dismisses accord

The AAC candidate Sowore dismissed the peace accord as a ritual with little practical value.

Sowore said his participation should not be interpreted as an endorsement of the effectiveness of the process, arguing that previous accords had not prevented violence.

“I don’t have faith in it. I’m bringing faith to the system. Those are two different things,” he said.

He questioned the characterisation of the recent Osun governorship election as peaceful, alleging that about 50 people died in connection with the poll.

“How can you say, in good conscience, that an election that led to the death of 50 citizens of any country is a peaceful election?” Sowore asked.

He added, “We are here in an election that involves less than two million people in Osun State. Fifty people had to die as a result of that, and you are calling it a peaceful election.”

Sowore also criticised INEC’s handling of the electronic transmission and uploading of results from the Osun election.

“As we speak, INEC is yet to complete the upload of all the election results three days after,” he alleged. ‘’If we are going to have free and fair elections, you can’t have it halfway. You have to upload all the polling units into your portal timeously. It must be completed before you announce election results.”

The AAC candidate argued that the experience of Osun showed that signing a peace pact without effective sanctions could amount to little more than a ceremony.

“The people who signed the peace accord in Osun State killed 50 people after they signed the peace accord. So, if you meant anything at all, why would you sign the peace accord and then go and carry a gun after that and kill 50 people?

“What will you be expecting after signing today’s peace accord? We conclude the ritual and move on to campaigning,” Sowore said.

He described the accord as “a ritual of sorts” and an opportunity for Nigerians to see the candidates and assess their disposition towards peaceful elections.

Sowore called for what he described as a “justice accord”, which would provide enforceable consequences for candidates or political actors who breached the peace agreement.

He questioned why the deaths allegedly recorded during the Osun election had not generated stronger political accountability.

“I don’t know why nobody is talking about these 50 people that died in Osun State. It’s like we have just sacrificed them to the gods of politics, and we should all go home,” he said.

Sowore also criticised Osun State Governor Ademola Adeleke’s endorsement of Tinubu following his re-election, particularly the explanation that the endorsement was based on ethnic identity.

He nevertheless commended voters in Osun for turning out despite the violence, describing an estimated 40 per cent turnout as evidence of civic consciousness.

Police pledge neutrality

IG Disu, represented by the Deputy Inspector-General of Police in charge of Operations, Umar Shehu, pledged that the police would provide security for voters, candidates and other participants throughout the electoral process.

Shehu said the police were not interested in which candidate or political party won the election but in ensuring that eligible Nigerians exercise their franchise without intimidation.

“The Nigeria Police is not interested in who wins or loses but is interested and committed to a peaceful election where Nigerians of eligible age will exercise their franchise without fear,” he said.

The police leadership urged political parties and their supporters to cooperate with security agencies and avoid actions that could trigger violence before, during and after the elections.

IPAC urges restraint

The Chairman of the Inter-Party Advisory Council, Yusuf Dantalle, also appealed to political parties, candidates, campaign councils and spokespersons to respect the terms of the accord.

He urged political actors to avoid fake news, personal attacks, and insults, and instead promote tolerance, civility, and constructive political debate.

Source: punchng.com

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My father’s political career inspired my senatorial ambition – Olunloyo

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The Peoples Democratic Party’s senatorial candidate for Oyo Central, Ayobami Olunloyo, has said his late father’s political career inspired his ambition to serve the people and address the challenges facing his constituency.

Olunloyo, whose late father, Dr Omololu Olunloyo, was a former governor of Oyo State, said his early exposure to politics helped him understand its potential to improve people’s lives, hence his senatorial ambition.

Olunloyo’s father, who died on April 6, 2025, aged 89, was a renowned mathematician, engineer, politician and administrator who held several public offices.

The PDP candidate said he had been involved in politics for years, describing his participation as largely behind the scenes, while his current ambition offered him an opportunity to put his preparation for public office into practice.

Speaking with journalists in Ibadan, the Oyo State capital, Olunloyo said that, although he had been involved in politics behind the scenes, he had also prepared for public office by attending the School of Politics, Policy and Governance.

This combination, he said, had given him the necessary experience, exposure and expertise to vie for public office.

He said, “Politics has never been something that has been far from me. I’ve always been close to politics. And my father’s opportunity in politics was really one of my inspirations because, at a very, very early part of my life, I recognised that politics has the means to change lives.

“But beyond my family name, I also realised that I must take responsibility and attend to the several needs of the people of my constituency.”

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Speaking on the challenges he intended to address, Olunloyo identified security, healthcare and education as fundamental needs of Oyo Central Senatorial District.

He said his policy framework was built around six pillars: work, education, food, healthcare, security and heritage, which, he said, should translate into tangible benefits rather than legislation without a direct impact on citizens.

On healthcare, he claimed that statistics showed that somebody died every 30 minutes in Oyo Central, attributing the deaths to factors including healthcare challenges and accidents. He did not identify the source of the figure.

He said the claim underscored the need to improve healthcare provision in the district, particularly primary healthcare services, so residents would not have to travel long distances to access care.

“Every 30 minutes, someone passes away in Oyo Central as a result of serial social issues of lack of basic social amenities. Before you refer somebody to University College Hospital, there must be a healthcare centre close enough to them,” Olunloyo said.

On education, Olunloyo said improving access should not be limited to building new schools but should include expanding existing facilities and increasing the number of children they could accommodate.

“Education is the antidote to poverty, so it must be accessible,” Olunloyo said.

He also identified security as a priority, arguing that effective responses to insecurity required stronger intelligence gathering, capable law enforcement and a police force sufficiently close to communities facing threats.

On flooding and drainage, the candidate said interventions should reflect the different needs of the district’s 11 local government areas.

He identified Akinyele and Oluyole as areas where, he said, flood and flash-flood warnings had been issued.

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“We will address issues in order of priorities. The 11 LGAs would be my focus. Each of the 11 local government areas has peculiar issues,” Olunloyo said.

He, however, acknowledged that a senator could not directly perform the functions of the executive arm, saying the role would include understanding the underlying problems, pursuing appropriate policies and working with relevant authorities.

Olunloyo said he would seek to make his representation accessible and accountable if elected, promising regular opportunities for constituents across the 11 local government areas to engage with him.

He said that within six months of being elected, the public would be able to assess a register of projects completed and those proposed.

On how he intended to defeat the incumbent senator, who is seeking re-election on the platform of the All Progressives Congress, he said his focus was on campaigning to constituents, whose votes would determine the outcome.

“The incumbent is not our focus. The people are our focus,” he said, adding that voters would decide whether they wanted to retain the existing style of representation or opt for a different approach.

He added, “The people should test us for accountability. We are promising radical transparency. We have values to serve the people, not ourselves.

“There is nothing bad in disclosing to constituents how much is allocated for constituency projects. People should see how their money is being spent,” he said.

While acknowledging his responsibility to deliver constituency projects, he said he would prioritise transparency in their implementation.

He argued that constituency projects should address practical needs, including healthcare, education, water and other basic amenities, while legislation should create longer-term opportunities for development.

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On why he chose the PDP despite the party’s challenges, Olunloyo described it as a party with a record of governance and said he believed it had more to offer the country.

“The PDP is one of the only parties right now that is turmoil-free. The PDP is stable. The PDP is one of the greatest parties that Nigeria has experienced, and it is committed to returning to government to serve Nigerians,” Olunloyo said.

He said his choice of the PDP was based on his belief in the party and its capacity to serve the people, adding that his immediate focus was securing the opportunity to represent Oyo Central.

However, the claim comes amid recurring leadership disputes within the party.

In 2026, rival camps aligned with Nyesom Wike and Tanimu Turaki (SAN) contested control of the party, with court proceedings and disputes over recognition by the Independent National Electoral Commission forming part of the crisis.

INEC recognised the Wike-aligned leadership in March, while the Turaki camp continued to challenge the situation.

Source: punchng.com

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Who gets the gavel of the 11th Senate – Akpabio or Uzodimma?

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The battle for the presidency of the 11th Senate is gathering momentum ahead of the 2027 general elections, with incumbent Senate President Godswill Akpabio seeking another term, Imo State Governor Hope Uzodimma positioning himself for a return to the National Assembly, and the ruling All Progressives Congress facing competing interests over who should lead its legislative caucus, writes LAOLU AFOLABI

The race for the 11th Senate presidency is already generating political tensions, with incumbent Senate President Godswill Akpabio declaring “no vacancy,” Federal Capital Territory Minister Nyesom Wike opposing Imo State Governor Hope Uzodimma’s reported ambition, and Senator Adams Oshiomhole challenging a controversial amendment to the Senate Standing Orders that raised questions about eligibility for the coveted seat.

Former Zamfara State Governor Abdulaziz Yari, who challenged Akpabio for the Senate presidency in 2023, is also a significant figure in the unfolding political calculations. His appointment as Director-General of the APC Presidential Campaign Council for President Bola Tinubu’s 2027 re-election bid places him in a prominent position within the ruling party’s structure.

Although Akpabio has received public expressions of support from some serving senators, the contest for the next Senate presidency will ultimately depend on the composition of the 11th National Assembly and the votes of senators-elect when the chamber is inaugurated in June 2027.

Changing Senate leadership

Since the return to democratic rule in 1999, Nigeria’s Senate has had nine presidents: Evan Enwerem, Chuba Okadigbo, Anyim Pius Anyim, Adolphus Wabara, Ken Nnamani, David Mark, Bukola Saraki, Ahmad Lawan and Akpabio.

The frequent changes in the chamber’s leadership during the early years of the Fourth Republic reflected the political pressures and internal disagreements that have often accompanied the emergence of its presiding officers.

Enwerem, who became the first Senate President of the Fourth Republic in June 1999, was replaced by Okadigbo in November of the same year. Okadigbo was himself removed in August 2000, paving the way for Anyim, who served until 2003. Wabara succeeded Anyim but resigned in 2005, after which Nnamani led the chamber until 2007.

Mark’s emergence in June 2007 marked a period of relative continuity. He served through the sixth and seventh National Assemblies, from 2007 to 2015, becoming the first Senate President in the current democratic era to retain the position across two consecutive assemblies. His eight-year tenure remains the longest by any Nigerian Senate President.

Since Mark’s departure, the office has changed hands at four-year intervals. Saraki presided over the eighth Senate from 2015 to 2019, Lawan led the ninth from 2019 to 2023, and Akpabio emerged as Senate President when the 10th National Assembly was inaugurated in June 2023.

Akpabio’s ambition to return in 2027 would therefore put him in pursuit of a second consecutive term, a feat last achieved by Mark. If successful, he would become the second Senate President of the Fourth Republic to lead two successive assemblies.

2023 contest

Ahead of the inauguration of the 10th National Assembly, the APC endorsed Akpabio as its preferred candidate for the Senate presidency, being a Christian, since Tinubu and Vice President Kashim Shettima are both Muslims. Yari, a former governor of Zamfara State and senator representing Zamfara West, a Muslim, nevertheless pursued his ambition, attracting support from lawmakers who questioned aspects of the party’s leadership arrangement and its distribution of political offices.

Some analysts believe that Akpabio’s decision to become the first presidential aspirant to openly step down for Bola Tinubu during the APC presidential primaries in 2022 paved the way for his emergence as Senate President. His move reportedly opened the door for other contestants, including Kayode Fayemi and Ibikunle Amosun, to endorse Tinubu.

The contest for the Senate presidency culminated in a secret ballot on June 13, 2023, when Akpabio secured 63 votes against Yari’s 46 to emerge as Senate President.

“No vacancy” message

Akpabio has made it clear that he wants to retain the Senate presidency. At the inauguration of the APC Presidential Campaign Council in Abuja on October 14, he appealed to Tinubu to support his return and urged the President to discourage governors from seeking other political offices before completing their current responsibilities.

Although he did not name Uzodimma, the remarks came against the backdrop of reports that the Imo governor was positioning himself to succeed him.

Some serving senators have since declared their support for Akpabio’s return. During plenary on Thursday, October 15, Senate Chief Whip Tahir Monguno and Cyril Fasuyi expressed confidence that the incumbent and other principal officers would return to their positions after the elections, with Monguno declaring that there was “no vacancy” in the Senate presidency.

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Wike vs Uzodimma

Uzodimma’s entry into the Imo West senatorial race has brought his reported Senate presidency ambition into sharper focus. The governor, who chairs the Progressive Governors’ Forum, secured the APC ticket for the district ahead of the 2027 elections.

His political standing gives him access to governors and influential party figures. His second term as governor is due to end in January 2028, while the 11th National Assembly is expected to begin in June 2027. He could contest the senatorial election while still in office, but if elected and intending to take his Senate seat at the inauguration of the new assembly, he would have to address the constitutional restriction against a governor simultaneously holding another public office. His decision would therefore involve leaving the governorship before the end of his term.

The political dispute has been sharpened by Wike’s opposition. In September, the FCT minister declared that he would not support Uzodimma’s reported bid for the Senate presidency. He accused some governors of seeking to influence the emergence of the next National Assembly leadership by determining which candidates enter the legislature.

For Uzodimma, the immediate requirement is to win the senatorial election and establish the support needed to pursue a leadership position. For Akpabio, it is to defend his incumbency in a contest that could involve lawmakers and political interests beyond the current Senate leadership.

Oshiomhole’s rules controversy

The controversy over the Senate Standing Orders in May 2026 introduced another dimension to the contest.

The Senate amended its rules to restrict eligibility for presiding and principal offices to lawmakers who had served at least two consecutive terms. The change came as speculation grew that former governors and other political figures were considering a return to the Senate in 2027, with some reportedly interested in the presidency of the chamber.

The amendment attracted opposition from Oshiomhole, the senator representing Edo North, who challenged the procedure and its implications for prospective candidates. His confrontation with Akpabio during plenary brought the disagreement into public view.

Oshiomhole subsequently called on Akpabio to resign, arguing that the process and substance of the amendment raised questions about fairness and the integrity of the Senate’s leadership arrangements.

The Senate later rescinded the amendments following concerns that some provisions could conflict with the 1999 Constitution, particularly its provisions governing the election of presiding officers.

The reversal did not settle the contest for the 11th Senate presidency. It removed the disputed restrictions but left the broader political question unresolved: which candidates will win Senate seats in 2027, and which of them will secure the votes required to lead the chamber?

S’South/S’East permutation

The South-East and South-South regions took a particularly hostile position against the All Progressives Congress in the build-up to the 2015 general elections, largely because of the political tensions surrounding the late President Muhammadu Buhari, Bola Tinubu and other prominent APC figures.

In both regions, the party was heavily demonised as the Peoples Democratic Party, led by then President Goodluck Jonathan, sought to retain power.

Jonathan’s defeat by Buhari in the 2015 presidential election deepened the political divide, particularly in the South-East, where the PDP had enjoyed considerable support. More than a decade later, however, there appears to be a difference in how the two regions have related to the APC. While the South-South seems to have gradually softened its opposition to the ruling party, the South-East remains a difficult political terrain for it, with criticism of the APC and its leaders frequently featuring in the region’s political discourse.

The party’s electoral performance in the South-East illustrates the scale of the challenge. In the 2015 National Assembly elections, the APC failed to win a single seat in the region. Its fortunes improved in 2019, when it secured 12 seats — two in the Senate and 10 in the House of Representatives. In 2023, it won 13 seats, comprising six Senate seats and seven House of Representatives seats.

Its presidential vote also fluctuated significantly, rising from about 200,000 in 2015 to approximately 405,000 in 2019 before falling to around 127,000 in 2023. The figures suggest that the APC has made some gains in legislative representation, though translating those gains into sustained support in presidential elections remains a major challenge.

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Winning more seats in the National Assembly is a starting point, but consolidating those gains will depend on whether the party can build a broader appeal beyond its existing supporters.

The votes from the regions may likely be a factor in the 2027 election. Wike, at the inauguration of the APC Presidential Campaign Council, challenged the governors to win their states for Tinubu. While the South-South is leaning more towards the ruling party, the South-East seems indifferent. Akpabio is from Akwa Ibom in the South-South, while Uzodimma is from Imo in the South-East.

Akwa Ibom State Governor Umo Eno, while declaring support for Akpabio, argued that the state should support the incumbent rather than encourage another aspirant from the Ikot Ekpene Senatorial District to replace him.

Eno said he would support another candidate from the district only if the person could assure him of becoming Senate President, a prospect he suggested was unlikely.

“This one that we have, let us support him,” the governor said, making a case for Akpabio’s return based on the possibility of continuity in the leadership of the upper chamber.

The governor’s position adds a state-level dimension to the contest. His argument also highlights the political value attached to the office in Akwa Ibom, where Akpabio’s return could preserve the state’s access to one of the country’s most influential legislative positions.

At a regional level, the South-South APC leaders had publicly expressed support for his leadership of the Senate. The question now is whether the leaders will continue in their support ahead of the 11th Senate.

Akpabio also framed his emergence as recognition for the South-South, noting that the region had not produced a Senate President for about 45 years before his emergence in 2023. At the APC South-South zonal congress in Asaba in March 2026, he urged the region to reciprocate the party’s support by delivering substantial votes for President Tinubu in the 2027 election.

Will Uzodimma ride on the support of South-East governors and the people of the region to emerge as Senate President? Will he count on the backing of fellow governors who are moving en masse to the Senate to unseat the incumbent Senate President?

Analysts weigh chances

A professor of Political Science and former Vice-Chancellor of the Federal University, Oye-Ekiti, Kayode Soremekun, believes the race for the presidency of the 11th Senate will depend largely on Tinubu’s preference, the political influence of the leading contenders and their ability to mobilise support among senators-elect.

Soremekun, who described the exercise as largely speculative at this stage, identified Akpabio, Uzodimma and Yari as figures whose political calculations could shape the contest.

He said Akpabio’s established presence in the Senate could give him an advantage over Uzodimma, who would be entering the chamber after serving as governor, should he win the Imo West senatorial seat and pursue the Senate presidency.

“The governor who is seeking to resign from his governorship and move into the Senate is a very interesting scenario. He will be coming in as an outsider, and to that extent, it is like he will be running against the wind,” Soremekun said.

He, however, cautioned against dismissing Uzodimma’s chances, arguing that financial resources and political networks could play significant roles in the contest.

“In Nigeria, what I can say is that money talks. The two of them, Akpabio on one hand and Uzodimma on the other, are heavily loaded,” he said, adding that their capacity to deploy political resources could influence the outcome.

He also identified Oshiomhole as a significant figure in the emerging contest, describing him as a visible presence in the Senate who combines membership of the political establishment with a public image of speaking for ordinary Nigerians.

Soremekun argued that Oshiomhole’s experience as a former governor and his political resources could make him relevant to the calculations surrounding the next Senate leadership.

The political scientist said Tinubu’s attitude towards the contenders would be one of the most important variables, particularly if the President secured re-election in 2027.

He suggested that the relationship between Tinubu and Akpabio could favour the incumbent if the President considered continuity more advantageous than a change in Senate leadership.

“The way he will go will depend on where his gratitude flows,” Soremekun said, referring to Tinubu’s possible preference between the contenders.

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He described the relationship between the President and Akpabio as particularly close, arguing that the Senate President’s record of supporting the administration’s proposals could strengthen his case for another term.

“In football, they say you don’t change a winning team. Why would he want to change when most of the time, Akpabio has been known to endorse virtually all his proposals?” he asked.

Soremekun also considered the implications of Yari’s possible emergence, recalling that the former Zamfara governor challenged Akpabio in the 2023 Senate presidency election but lost.

He said Yari’s religious identity could become part of the political debate if he entered the contest, particularly in a country where questions of religious representation often influence perceptions of political appointments.

Soremekun argued that some Christians might view the prospect of a Muslim occupying the Senate presidency alongside a Muslim President and Vice-President as a further concentration of the country’s highest political offices in one religious group.

Such concerns, he noted, could influence the calculations of political actors who consider religious balance important. However, whether this would materially affect Yari’s prospects would depend on the candidates, the political climate and the priorities of senators-elect.

Beyond the identities and calculations of the contenders, Soremekun challenged journalists and political observers to examine the records of the politicians seeking the Senate presidency and what they had delivered to their constituents.

He said the debate should not be limited to the manoeuvres of political elites, arguing that the public interest required a closer assessment of the performance of the contenders in their respective constituencies and their contributions to improving Nigerians’ lives.

“What is their record? What is the performance of all these various people in their constituencies? Beyond these intra-elitist games, what have they been able to do for the Nigerian people?” he asked.

The professor also referenced a recent criticism of Nigeria’s political class by playwright and scholar, Prof. Femi Osofisan, who reportedly described the country’s leaders as self-loving and wicked. Soremekun said the continued frustration expressed by an elder intellectual of Osofisan’s standing should prompt reflection on the state of governance.

A former member of the House of Representatives, Oghene Egoh, in an interview aired on Arise TV, argued that the contenders and their supporters should wait until the 11th Senate is constituted before beginning an intense struggle for its leadership.

Egoh said he could hardly recall a precedent for a Senate presidency contest attracting such attention before the relevant senators had been elected, pointing to the involvement of prominent political figures, including Oshiomhole and Uzodimma.

He acknowledged that the incumbent Senate President Akpabio might feel compelled to deploy his political influence in response to moves by people outside the Senate who were positioning themselves for the next leadership contest.

Although Egoh said he did not agree with the actions of the politicians involved, he described the manoeuvres as part of the realities of politics. He maintained, however, that both camps should wait until the 11th Senate emerges before seeking to determine who would occupy the presiding officer’s seat.

Political commentator and founder of TAF Africa, Jake Epelle, took a stronger position, arguing that the Senate presidency should not be treated as an inherited privilege or a position that can be allocated before elections.

“The Senate is not a monarchy, nor is it a hereditary throne,” Epelle said, criticising Akpabio and those supporting him over what he described as a disregard for constitutional principles.

He questioned the propriety of attempting to settle the contest before voters had elected the senators who would constitute the next chamber, arguing that such manoeuvres risked undermining the democratic process.

Uzodimma’s reported ambition to enter the Senate has also prompted questions about the implications for his tenure as Imo State governor, which is scheduled to end on January 15, 2028.

Responding to a question on X about what would happen if Uzodimma won the Imo West senatorial seat, House of Representatives member Akin Alabi said the governor would resign on June 14, 2027, paving the way for his deputy to be sworn in as governor.

Alabi further suggested that if the deputy subsequently became the APC candidate in the November 2027 Imo governorship election and won, the deputy would serve only one term.

Source: punchng.com

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PHOTOS: Tompolo’s PBAT Movement Deploys 34 Campaign Vehicles to Kwara, Inaugurates State Executives

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The PBAT Door-to-Door Movement, led by its Grand Patron, High Chief Government Oweizide Ekpemupolo, popularly known as Tompolo, has strengthened its presence in Kwara State with the deployment of 34 campaign vehicles and the inauguration of state executives ahead of the 2027 general elections.

The event, held in Ilorin, attracted political stakeholders, community leaders and supporters of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu.

Representing Tompolo, the Managing Director of Tantita Security Services Nigeria Limited, High Chief Kestin Pondi, said the vehicles would enhance the movement’s operational capacity, strengthen community engagement and extend its reach across the state’s 16 local government areas.

Kwara State Governor, AbdulRahman AbdulRazaq, congratulated the newly inaugurated executives, urging them to remain accessible to residents, address community concerns and uphold responsible leadership.

The National Coordinator, Hon. Sunday Adekanbi Asuku, reaffirmed the movement’s commitment to expanding its grassroots network in support of President Tinubu’s 2027 re-election bid. TrackExec Orders

The deployment marks another phase in the PBAT Door-to-Door Movement’s nationwide activities, with increased emphasis on ward-level coordination, political awareness and direct engagement with communities.

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