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FG generates N5.21tn from oil sales in H1

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The Federal Government, through the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission, raked in N5.21tn from the sale of crude oil, gas and other economic activities in the first six months of 2025. It said the revenue inflow represents 42.7 per cent of the record N12.2tn it generated in the entire 2024 fiscal year.

The figure, however, represents only 34.7 per cent of the N15tn revenue target set by the Federal Government for the commission to meet to implement the 2025 budget. The revenue was derived from royalties, gas sales, flared gas penalties, and joint venture proceeds.

Revenue inflow obtained from the commission’s latest report submitted at the Federation Accounts Allocation Committee meeting document revealed that the January to June 2025 earnings include payments from Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited joint venture and production sharing contract royalty receivables totalling N1.04tn for the period.

Also included is N315.93bn from the controversial Project Gazelle receipts for January and March 2025, with no inflows recorded in December 2024, February, April, May, and June 2025.

The report read, “Revenue Performance: The commission’s performance from January to June 2025 is N5.21tn which is inclusive of NNPC Ltd JV & PSC Royalty Receivables of N1.04tn for the period of January to June 2025 and Project Gazelle receipt of N315.93bn for November 2024 (received in January 2025).”

In addition, NNPC’s JV royalty receivables from October 2022 to June 2025 amounted to N6.60tn, reflecting the cumulative impact of delayed remittances from oil companies.

To ensure the smooth operations of the 2025 budget, the commission said it is targeting N15tn revenue this year.

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The NUPRC Chief Executive, Gbenga Komolafe, confirming the target, said, “And we all know the importance of that; we’re ramping up federal revenue. Last year, that is for 2024, you remember that the commission achieved and surpassed its revenue generation by about 163 per cent. This year, our target has been increased to about N15tn.

“So, the commission, recognising that, we have equally devised a strategy. Of course, N15tn is so large, but then we are not daunted; we are not intimidated. Rather, we are defining a strategic approach to achieve that target.”

The report also confirmed the recovery of $459,226 from outstanding obligations, part of a cumulative debt of $1.436bn from various crude oil lifting contracts, leaving a balance of

$1.435bn.

The NUPRC noted that the recovered sum was part of the revenue-sharing reconciliation between NNPCL and the Federation, overseen by the Technical Sub-Committee of the Alignment Committee on the Reconciliation of Indebtedness.

The commission’s mid-year revenue trails the proportional benchmark compared to its N12.25tn actual earnings for the whole of 2024. At the current pace, revenues could end the year below target unless oil output increases significantly and arrears payments accelerate.

Experts speak

Industry experts cautioned the Federal Government against turning the NUPRC into a primarily revenue-generating agency, warning that excessive taxation and an unfriendly business climate could further drive away investment from the nation’s oil and gas sector.

Speaking in separate interviews with The PUNCH, an energy analyst, Dayo Ayoade, and a petroleum engineer, Bala Zaka, said the government risked “killing the goose that lays the golden eggs” if it prioritised revenue collection over creating a stable, investor-friendly regulatory environment.

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Ayoade, a lecturer and energy policy analyst, explained that while revenue generation was critical to national development, conflating regulatory oversight with aggressive revenue mobilisation could distort the NUPRC’s mandate.

“Revenue generation is always going to be a taxation issue; people have to pay their dues and taxes. But when you make a regulator a revenue-generating agency, that becomes problematic,” he said.

“The job of the NUPRC is essentially to be the technical and commercial regulator of the upstream oil and gas sector. They are not the FIRS and are not a revenue-generating company. Under the Petroleum Industry Act, the commission collects fees and payments from oil and gas companies for government revenue, but it must balance this with its regulatory responsibilities.”

He warned that excessive fiscal pressure on oil companies could lead to disinvestment, as firms relocate to friendlier jurisdictions.

“If the regulator focuses too much on extracting money from companies, it could injure or even kill the goose that lays the eggs. International oil companies might decide Nigeria is no longer worth the trouble and move to other countries with safer regulatory climates,” he said. “If regulation suffers because of the obsession with revenue, the whole country will suffer in the long run.”

On his part, Zaka blamed the current revenue challenges in the oil sector on years of “business climate hostilities”, which, he said, had driven many international players out of the country.

“When we talk about revenue generation, you look at different sectors, but in Nigeria, the oil sector is the principal source. Unfortunately, the industry has been experiencing hostilities for years, and now the chickens have come home to roost,” he said.

See also  Trump threatens to end cooking oil purchases from China

According to him, divestments by multinationals were not simply portfolio adjustments as claimed by the government at the time, but a direct reaction to harassment, sabotage, community extortion, and rising security costs.

“These companies moved to East Africa, where they are now drilling and exploring in new areas. Meanwhile, the indigenous firms that took over onshore and shallow-water facilities are not aggressively exploring or building reserves. They are content with the money they are making without increasing production,” he said.

Zaka noted that production shortfalls had inevitable consequences for government revenue. “If production is high, you make more revenue. But because hostilities persisted in places like Warri, companies relocated to Port Harcourt, and now some are even moving to Lagos. The truth about our revenue generation ability was always going to come out, and now we are seeing it physically,” he added.

Both experts urged the government to focus on improving security, reducing regulatory bottlenecks, and incentivising exploration if it wants to sustainably grow oil revenue without crippling the sector’s future.

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FG tells marketers to reflect global oil price drop in petrol prices

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Minister of State for Petroleum Resources, Sen. Heineken Lokpobiri, has directed petroleum marketers to immediately reflect the recent decline in global oil prices by reducing the pump prices of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) and other petroleum products.

Lokpobiri gave the directive at the 2026 Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA) General Counsel and Legal Advisers Forum on Monday in Abuja.

The forum is themed “Beyond Compliance Certainty and Investment Confidence in Nigeria’s Petroleum Sector.”

Lokpobiri said that with the de-escalation of tensions between Iran and the United States, there was an expectation that the prices of PMS and other petroleum products would be adjusted downward accordingly.

He expressed concern that the anticipated reduction had yet to be reflected at the pumps, stressing that while market forces under the deregulated regime would ultimately restore price equilibrium, marketers should not exploit the situation to make excessive profits.

The minister said the regulator had a statutory responsibility to ensure that deregulation did not become an avenue for profiteering, adding that this must be carried out in line with the provisions of the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA 2021).

“For too long, the dominant question in our regulatory conversations has been: are operators complying? That question matters. It will always matter. But it is no longer sufficient.

“The more consequential question today is this: are our regulatory authorities doing their job? Is it clear, consistent and predictable enough to give investors the confidence they need to commit capital, not just for one cycle, but for the long term?

See also  Trump threatens to end cooking oil purchases from China

“Compliance is the foundation. Regulatory certainty is the ceiling we must now be building toward,” he said.

Lokpobiri, while urging marketers to comply with the principles of fair pricing to ensure that consumers benefit from the prevailing market realities, urged regulators to move beyond compliance by promoting regulatory certainty to attracting long-term investments.

“The sector is now fully deregulated, a bold reform that President Bola Tinubu had the courage to implement. That decision paved way for the operationalisation of the Dangote Refinery and other refinery projects currently underway.

“It also ensured that artificial scarcity has become a thing of the past.

“You can attest to the fact that since 2023 there has been availability of products in country even with the recent challenges posed by the US-Israeli /Iranian conflict.

“Beyond allowing prices to be determined by market forces, the question is: what is the regulator doing to ensure that consumers receive the correct quantity of product?

“When someone pays for 10 litres of PMS, they should receive exactly 10 litres, not less,” he warned.

Lokpobiri said while compliance with regulations remained fundamental, investors were increasingly interested in jurisdictions with clear, consistent and predictable regulatory frameworks.

He described general counsel as strategic partners whose responsibilities extend beyond interpreting laws to shaping investment decisions, improving regulatory design and supporting national development.

According to him, legal advisers should provide constructive feedback whenever regulations or guidelines create uncertainty that could discourage investment.

He said Nigeria’s petroleum sector was entering a new phase characterised by expanding domestic refining capacity, increased private sector participation and emerging opportunities across the midstream and downstream segments.

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According to him, attracting investments will require policy consistency, transparent regulation, efficient dispute resolution and strong collaboration among government, regulators, industry operators and legal practitioners.

He expressed confidence that the recommendations from the forum would contribute to improving governance, regulatory certainty and investment confidence in Nigeria’s petroleum sector. (NAN)

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Olodo uprising: Tinubu aide faults critics of First Lady’s Akara, Kuli kuli comment

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The Special Assistant to President Bola Tinubu on Social Media, Dada Olusegun, has defended First Lady Oluremi Tinubu’s recent empowerment of micro-traders, saying criticisms of the initiative are driven by ignorance of her record and the role of Nigeria’s informal economy.

In a statement shared on Monday, Olusegun described the backlash over the First Lady’s focus on traders such as akara and kulikuli sellers as a “performative circus of selective amnesia.”

He argued that critics had ignored the numerous interventions carried out by the Renewed Hope Initiative across healthcare, women’s empowerment, support for military widows and persons living with disabilities.

The First Lady, Senator Oluremi Tinubu
The First Lady of Nigeria, Senator Oluremi Tinubu

According to him, the First Lady’s interventions extend beyond petty traders, citing her donation of ₦1bn to the National Cancer Fund for cervical cancer screening and another ₦1bn for tuberculosis diagnostic equipment in Abuja in 2025.

He also referenced the disbursement of ₦250,000 each to 1,709 widows and orphans of fallen military personnel in 2023, as well as ₦200,000 business grants to persons living with disabilities across the 36 states and the Federal Capital Territory.

Olusegun further highlighted the Renewed Hope Initiative’s partnership with the Tony Elumelu Foundation, which targeted 18,500 women nationwide with ₦50,000 grants and the distribution of equipment, including industrial grinding machines, freezers and generators.

He further criticised what he described as an “Olodo uprising” on social media, accusing critics of reacting to trends without researching the facts.

“This entire controversy perfectly mirrors what is now happening with the broader ‘Olodo uprising” across our social platforms. We live in an era where people jump on trending hashtags and soundbites without dedicating a single minute to researching context. Memes are manufactured in seconds; accurate history takes time to read.

See also  US-Iran war: Marketers, Dangote trade words over petrol price

“When the critics are done making their superficial memes, writing cynical captions, and circulating ignorant narratives, the reality on the ground will remain unchanged. They would be better off advising their constituents to find credible means to key into these ongoing government initiatives,” he stated.

He maintained that empowering small-scale traders should not be viewed as “weaponising poverty.”

“According to various economic metrics, the informal sector contributes over 50 per cent of Nigeria’s GDP and accounts for over 80 per cent of employment. The akara fryer, the kulikuli processor, and the petty trader are not just marginal actors; they are the literal shock absorbers of our micro-economy.

“When you give a micro-grant or operational tools to an akara seller, you are not validating poverty; you are reducing immediate operational capital friction, securing food chains at the grassroots, and expanding household income. Mocking these initiatives as ‘petty’ shows a deep-seated contempt for the actual working class of Nigeria,” he said.

Olusegun also defended the political value of grassroots empowerment, saying such interventions create trust among beneficiaries.

He cited the TraderMoni and MarketMoni programmes introduced during former President Muhammadu Buhari’s administration under then Vice President Yemi Osinbajo as examples of initiatives that directly impacted market traders.

“The opposition often wonders why the poorest segments of the population continually familiarise themselves with the All Progressives Congress during elections. The answer is simple: the party meets them at their point of immediate need,” he said.

Olusegun added that Tinubu’s record as former First Lady of Lagos State, a three-term senator and now First Lady of the Federation showed a consistent commitment to structured empowerment programmes.

See also  PENGASSAN backs NUPENG, threatens shutdown of Dangote refinery

“She will not be distracted by digital static from doing what she has mastered over decades: empowering the poorest among us, one structured intervention at a time,” he said.

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Dangote refinery imports first UAE crude cargoes

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The Dangote Refinery has purchased two cargoes of crude oil from the United Arab Emirates, marking its first-ever procurement of Middle Eastern crude as it expands its feedstock sources amid persistent domestic supply constraints.

According to a report by S&P Global Commodity Insights, the two cargoes will be the first sourced by the 700,000-barrels-per-day refinery from any Middle Eastern supplier, signalling a shift from its traditional reliance on Nigerian, African, and United States crude grades.

The report said the purchases followed the resumption of oil exports from the Middle East after the United States and Iran reached an interim peace agreement that restored confidence in shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.

The refinery, designed primarily to process Nigeria’s light sweet crude, has increasingly diversified its crude slate as operations ramp up. S&P Global reported that an agreement between the refinery and the Nigerian National Petroleum Company had guaranteed the supply of between 13 and 15 cargoes of Nigerian crude monthly in naira, helping the refinery reduce its foreign exchange exposure.

However, the arrangement has faced challenges due to inadequate crude availability and operational issues at export terminals. According to the report, Dangote Refinery Chief Executive Officer David Bird had previously disclosed that these constraints had compelled the company to seek additional crude sources outside Nigeria.

The report added that the refinery’s expansion plans would further increase its crude requirements. Dangote plans to double the refinery’s processing capacity to 1.4 million barrels per day by the end of 2028, a level that would enable it to process about 80 per cent of Nigeria’s recent crude oil production in a single day.

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Speaking earlier this year, Bird said the refinery intended to increase the share of heavier crude grades in its feedstock mix. “We definitely want to heavy up the barrel,” Bird said in April.

He added, “We will be in the crude blending game. So you can easily imagine at 1.4 million b/d we could process 30 per cent Middle Eastern grades on each train.”

According to S&P Global, the refinery has been broadening the range of crude grades it processes as part of its ambition to operate as a fully merchant refinery. The report noted that in 2025, about 70 per cent of the refinery’s crude imports came from Nigeria, while 24 per cent originated from the United States.

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