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FG generates N5.21tn from oil sales in H1

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The Federal Government, through the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission, raked in N5.21tn from the sale of crude oil, gas and other economic activities in the first six months of 2025. It said the revenue inflow represents 42.7 per cent of the record N12.2tn it generated in the entire 2024 fiscal year.

The figure, however, represents only 34.7 per cent of the N15tn revenue target set by the Federal Government for the commission to meet to implement the 2025 budget. The revenue was derived from royalties, gas sales, flared gas penalties, and joint venture proceeds.

Revenue inflow obtained from the commission’s latest report submitted at the Federation Accounts Allocation Committee meeting document revealed that the January to June 2025 earnings include payments from Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited joint venture and production sharing contract royalty receivables totalling N1.04tn for the period.

Also included is N315.93bn from the controversial Project Gazelle receipts for January and March 2025, with no inflows recorded in December 2024, February, April, May, and June 2025.

The report read, “Revenue Performance: The commission’s performance from January to June 2025 is N5.21tn which is inclusive of NNPC Ltd JV & PSC Royalty Receivables of N1.04tn for the period of January to June 2025 and Project Gazelle receipt of N315.93bn for November 2024 (received in January 2025).”

In addition, NNPC’s JV royalty receivables from October 2022 to June 2025 amounted to N6.60tn, reflecting the cumulative impact of delayed remittances from oil companies.

To ensure the smooth operations of the 2025 budget, the commission said it is targeting N15tn revenue this year.

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The NUPRC Chief Executive, Gbenga Komolafe, confirming the target, said, “And we all know the importance of that; we’re ramping up federal revenue. Last year, that is for 2024, you remember that the commission achieved and surpassed its revenue generation by about 163 per cent. This year, our target has been increased to about N15tn.

“So, the commission, recognising that, we have equally devised a strategy. Of course, N15tn is so large, but then we are not daunted; we are not intimidated. Rather, we are defining a strategic approach to achieve that target.”

The report also confirmed the recovery of $459,226 from outstanding obligations, part of a cumulative debt of $1.436bn from various crude oil lifting contracts, leaving a balance of

$1.435bn.

The NUPRC noted that the recovered sum was part of the revenue-sharing reconciliation between NNPCL and the Federation, overseen by the Technical Sub-Committee of the Alignment Committee on the Reconciliation of Indebtedness.

The commission’s mid-year revenue trails the proportional benchmark compared to its N12.25tn actual earnings for the whole of 2024. At the current pace, revenues could end the year below target unless oil output increases significantly and arrears payments accelerate.

Experts speak

Industry experts cautioned the Federal Government against turning the NUPRC into a primarily revenue-generating agency, warning that excessive taxation and an unfriendly business climate could further drive away investment from the nation’s oil and gas sector.

Speaking in separate interviews with The PUNCH, an energy analyst, Dayo Ayoade, and a petroleum engineer, Bala Zaka, said the government risked “killing the goose that lays the golden eggs” if it prioritised revenue collection over creating a stable, investor-friendly regulatory environment.

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Ayoade, a lecturer and energy policy analyst, explained that while revenue generation was critical to national development, conflating regulatory oversight with aggressive revenue mobilisation could distort the NUPRC’s mandate.

“Revenue generation is always going to be a taxation issue; people have to pay their dues and taxes. But when you make a regulator a revenue-generating agency, that becomes problematic,” he said.

“The job of the NUPRC is essentially to be the technical and commercial regulator of the upstream oil and gas sector. They are not the FIRS and are not a revenue-generating company. Under the Petroleum Industry Act, the commission collects fees and payments from oil and gas companies for government revenue, but it must balance this with its regulatory responsibilities.”

He warned that excessive fiscal pressure on oil companies could lead to disinvestment, as firms relocate to friendlier jurisdictions.

“If the regulator focuses too much on extracting money from companies, it could injure or even kill the goose that lays the eggs. International oil companies might decide Nigeria is no longer worth the trouble and move to other countries with safer regulatory climates,” he said. “If regulation suffers because of the obsession with revenue, the whole country will suffer in the long run.”

On his part, Zaka blamed the current revenue challenges in the oil sector on years of “business climate hostilities”, which, he said, had driven many international players out of the country.

“When we talk about revenue generation, you look at different sectors, but in Nigeria, the oil sector is the principal source. Unfortunately, the industry has been experiencing hostilities for years, and now the chickens have come home to roost,” he said.

See also  Crude earnings fall by N3.18tn amid output surge

According to him, divestments by multinationals were not simply portfolio adjustments as claimed by the government at the time, but a direct reaction to harassment, sabotage, community extortion, and rising security costs.

“These companies moved to East Africa, where they are now drilling and exploring in new areas. Meanwhile, the indigenous firms that took over onshore and shallow-water facilities are not aggressively exploring or building reserves. They are content with the money they are making without increasing production,” he said.

Zaka noted that production shortfalls had inevitable consequences for government revenue. “If production is high, you make more revenue. But because hostilities persisted in places like Warri, companies relocated to Port Harcourt, and now some are even moving to Lagos. The truth about our revenue generation ability was always going to come out, and now we are seeing it physically,” he added.

Both experts urged the government to focus on improving security, reducing regulatory bottlenecks, and incentivising exploration if it wants to sustainably grow oil revenue without crippling the sector’s future.

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Investors lose fresh N1.17tn as bearish trading resumes

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The equities market began the week in the red as the All-Share Index of the Nigerian Exchange fell by 1.26 per cent to close at 145,159.77 points on Monday.

The decline wiped off about N1.17tn from investors’ wealth, dragging market capitalisation down to N92.3tn.

According to market data, the downturn was driven largely by heavy sell pressure on Dangote Cement, which fell by a maximum of 10 per cent, alongside declines in tier-1 banks including Zenith Bank (-1.64 per cent), Access Holdings (-3.26 per cent), and FBN Holdings (-2.76 per cent).

Despite the negative close, market breadth stood positive, with 28 gainers outperforming 24 losers. Sovereign Insurance (+9.97 per cent) led the gainers’ chart, while Dangote Cement and Enamelware, both down 10 per cent, topped the losers’ list.

Market activity normalised after last Friday’s unusually large turnover, driven by off-market crosses in Cornerstone Insurance. Total volume traded declined sharply by 92.1 per cent to 388.2 million units, while total value traded fell by 26.3 per cent to N31.1bn. Tantalizer emerged as the most traded stock by volume with 57.1 million units, while Aradel Holdings dominated the value chart with N21.5bn worth of trades, accounting for 69 per cent of total market value. Recall that Tantalizer on Friday announced the signing of a multi-million-dollar deal with a US-based firm for a period of five years to export premium prawns and shrimps.

Trading remained largely bearish across most sectors. The InHHHdustrial Goods Index led sector declines, down 4.48 per cent, primarily due to weakness in Dangote Cement.

The Oil & Gas Index fell by 1.18 per cent with losses in Oando and Aradel, while the Banking Index dropped 1.01 per cent. The Consumer Goods Index edged down 0.02 per cent. In contrast, the Insurance Index closed positively, rising 0.07 per cent, supported by gains in Sovereign Insurance.

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Cowry Asset Management, in its daily market note, attributed Monday’s downturn to profit-taking activities among investors. The firm noted that the drop in market capitalisation occurred despite the listing of 1.96 billion ordinary shares of Chams Holding via private placement, underscoring the depth of the sell pressure.

The investment house added that trading patterns reflected heightened retail activity. Although total trading volume plunged 92.64 per cent to 360.6 million units and value dropped 26.88 per cent to N30.9bn, the number of deals rose 15.83 per cent to 27,975, indicating increased participation through smaller-sized transactions.

Meanwhile, the October inflation data released by the National Bureau of Statistics indicated that Nigeria’s inflation continued its deceleration, moderating to 16.1 per cent year-on-year in October, compared with 18.0 per cent in the prior month.

This moderation was evident in the food and core baskets, which both settled at 13.1 per cent YoY and 18.7 per cent YoY, respectively (vs 16.9 per cent and 19.5 per cent in September). However, on a MoM basis, headline inflation rose by 0.9 per cent vs 0.7 per cent recorded in the prior period.

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Minority investors vital for capital market growth – Sola Oni

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With more than 30 years of experience across financial journalism, capital market operations, education, and strategic communications, Sola Oni stands as a prominent figure in Nigeria’s investment landscape. A former spokesperson for the Nigerian Stock Exchange (now NGX) and a Fellow of both the Chartered Institute of Stockbrokers and the Institute of Capital Market Registrars, Oni discusses with OLUWAKEMI ABIMBOLA the importance of minority investors in market growth and other emerging developments in Nigeria’s financial sector

The capital market has witnessed several developments recently, from the transition to a T+2 settlement cycle to the recognition of digital assets such as cryptocurrency. How do you assess these changes and their implications for the market and the wider economy?

The commencement of the Central Securities Clearing System operations on 14 April 1997, established a central depository with an electronic clearing and settlement system. It began with T+5 (Transaction Day plus five working days). In 2000, CSCS advanced to T+3, the settlement cycle it has maintained to date.

Before this milestone, the Nigerian capital market relied on a manual clearing and settlement system, which was entirely paper-based. Investors were issued physical share certificates as proof of ownership, a process fraught with numerous challenges. Clearing and settlement could take weeks or even months due to manual document verification. Registrars were required to authenticate share certificates, which were physically delivered for ownership transfer and register updates.

The manual process was susceptible to theft, administrative bottlenecks, high transaction costs, reconciliation errors, fraud, and forgery. As a dynamic institution, CSCS is now set to launch a T+2 clearing and settlement cycle on 28 November. All stakeholders are prepared for this historic event, which will be inaugurated by the Securities and Exchange Commission.

The ultimate goal is to achieve T+1, which is already the standard in several advanced markets. This means that if you buy or sell securities today, payment and ownership transfer will be completed the following day. Markets such as the Toronto Stock Exchange in Canada, Bolsa Mexicana de Valores in Mexico, NSE and BSE in India, and the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges in China already operate this benchmark.

Let me add that T+0 is uncommon, as it requires real-time cash and securities availability. It can reduce liquidity since funds and securities are tied up immediately. Although a few markets, including China, the United States, and India, operate T+0, it is mostly limited to digital assets and certain money market instruments.

Many companies in the financial services sector are currently undergoing recapitalisation. How should minority investors position themselves to take advantage of this trend?

Minority investors, those owning less than 50 per cent of a company, are essential to every thriving capital market. Regardless of ownership size, every investor must begin with the basics: What is my investment objective? What is my risk tolerance? What is my time horizon? And what is my source of funds?

An investor who cannot answer these questions is simply taking uncalculated risks, which often end badly. As the financial services sector evolves, minority investors need to be strategic. A good starting point is understanding the investment policy of the target company and identifying growth segments with strong potential. These include undercapitalised mid-tier banks, emerging fintech firms, and high-performing insurance companies.

A minority investor’s objective should align closely with that of the target company. It is also prudent to focus on firms where recapitalisation can unlock regulatory reliefs, improve credit ratings, and strengthen growth capacity. Positioning in such companies enhances returns and provides a pathway to sustainable wealth creation. In a reform-driven and innovative market, the best opportunities often lie where growth and regulation converge in favour of investors.

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Tax reforms are expected to take effect next year. What impact might these have on the capital market?

The ongoing work of the Presidential Committee on Tax and Fiscal Policy Reforms, chaired by Mr Taiwo Oyedele, is generating significant interest across Nigeria’s economic landscape. Stakeholders believe that the committee’s recommendations will have far-reaching implications for businesses, investors, and the capital market as a whole.

In the capital market, taxation is a major determinant of competitiveness. It affects corporate earnings and, by extension, shareholder returns. For foreign investors, tax policy is often a critical factor in assessing a country’s investment appeal. Key taxes that directly affect investors include Capital Gains Tax, Withholding Tax on dividends, Transaction Taxes, and Stamp Duties.

However, there are growing concerns among market participants over the proposed increase in Capital Gains Tax from 10 per cent to 30 per cent, which could discourage high-net-worth individuals, institutional investors, and foreign portfolio investors. Analysts warn that such an increase might weaken market confidence and reduce overall investment inflows.

The capital market community therefore looks to the government to consider tax incentives and relief measures that can enhance Nigeria’s global competitiveness. Stakeholders continue to engage with Mr Oyedele and his team, seeking assurance that the reforms will foster growth while preserving investor confidence. Mr Oyedele has repeatedly emphasised that the reforms aim to promote fairness, transparency, and alignment with global best practices.

As the committee’s work progresses, we in the capital market are optimistic that the outcome will have a net positive impact, boosting investor sentiment and positioning Nigeria’s capital market for sustainable growth.

How would you assess Nigeria’s progress in developing a commodities exchange ecosystem?

Nigeria’s commodities exchange ecosystem is still largely untapped but brimming with potential. Encouragingly, awareness of the benefits of commodities exchanges is growing, driven primarily by private-sector-led initiatives.

For instance, in September, the Lagos Commodities and Futures Exchange listed N23.4bn worth of Eko Rice Classic Spot Contracts, a milestone in transforming Nigeria’s agricultural and commodities sectors.
One major source of optimism is the new Investment and Securities Act (2025), which has addressed previous policy gaps and formalised the country’s commodities ecosystem. The Act has strong potential to stimulate economic growth if effectively implemented.

Nonetheless, stronger regulatory support is needed. The government should consider making it mandatory for commodity producers and exporters to use exchange platforms. This would have a multiplier effect on GDP growth and boost foreign exchange earnings. It should also create an enabling environment for private-led commodities exchanges by supporting warehousing and logistics infrastructure to reduce post-harvest losses and enhance token and receipt delivery.

With the number of minority investors on the rise, how crucial is investor education in sustaining market growth and promoting economic resilience?

Minority investors, those owning less than 50 per cent of a company’s shares, are key stakeholders in Nigeria’s capital market. Their protection and active participation are vital for building investor confidence and ensuring fair corporate governance.

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Under the Companies and Allied Matters Act 2020, SEC rules, and NGX listing requirements, minority investors are entitled to several rights that protect their interests and promote accountability.

They have the right to information, ensuring access to periodic financial statements, annual reports, and corporate disclosures, as well as rights to dividends, entry and exit, and protection from oppressive conduct by majority shareholders or directors. They can attend and vote at annual and extraordinary general meetings and participate in rights issues and bonus share offers, thereby preventing unfair dilution of their holdings. In cases of dispute, they can seek legal redress, including court petitions under CAMA for oppression, mismanagement, or unfair prejudice.

These provisions reflect the joint efforts of the SEC, NGX, and the Corporate Affairs Commission to promote transparency and investor protection. When listed companies respect these rights, they strengthen corporate reputation, improve liquidity, and attract both domestic and foreign investors.

Beyond rights, minority investors serve as critical checks and balances on boards and management. Through constructive engagement, asking questions, demanding accountability, and scrutinising decisions, they help uphold governance standards. Their participation in public offers, rights issues, and private placements also deepens liquidity and supports capital formation, which ultimately strengthens the economy.
Protecting minority investors is therefore not merely a legal duty but a strategic necessity for market growth.

A transparent, equitable system that safeguards all investors will enhance confidence and position Nigeria’s capital market as a globally competitive investment destination.
How do you envision Nigeria’s capital market evolving over the next five years?

Capital market development is a marathon, not a sprint. Over the next five years, I envision a market shaped by technology, innovation, and broader participation, particularly from millennials, Gen Z, and other digital natives.
The rise of digital platforms and the introduction of innovative investment products are likely to attract tech-savvy investors, expanding market reach and liquidity. More companies are expected to tap into the capital market for long-term funding, while the government may increasingly rely on market instruments to finance infrastructure projects.

With the CSCS set to commence T+2 settlement this month, the market will become more efficient and competitive in transaction processing.

We can also anticipate significant growth in the commodities ecosystem, with private-sector-led exchanges contributing to GDP expansion and boosting the global competitiveness of Nigerian agricultural products. The Over-the-Counter Exchange, led by NASD Plc, is also poised for increased activity as new products and strategies attract retail and institutional investors.

However, these projections depend on key factors such as the faithful execution of economic reforms, adoption of emerging technologies, and full implementation of the SEC’s Capital Market Master Plan and ISA 2025. With these in place, Nigeria’s capital market could evolve into a more inclusive, innovative, and globally competitive environment.

You began your career in journalism before transitioning into capital market operations and corporate communications. How did that journey unfold?

My transition into the capital market began in 1992 when my editor at The Guardian, Mr Jide Ogundele, sent me to the library to study the Financial Times of London for two days. Until then, I had covered multiple beats, Energy, Money Market, Aviation, Insurance, and Manufacturing, often producing front-page news.

At The Guardian, excellence was non-negotiable. Readers were largely middle-class and above, so one had to be exceptional in both reporting and writing to keep the job.

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My first visit to the Nigerian Stock Exchange (now NGX) in 1992 was fascinating. Journalists watched from the gallery as stockbrokers shouted bids and offers on the trading floor, a system known as the Call-Over or Open Outcry. It was a vibrant, disciplined environment where trading, price discovery, and share allocation were meticulously coordinated.

After each session, journalists compared the Exchange’s Daily Official List with their records to ensure accuracy. Our reports influenced broker decisions, sparked debate, and even moved share prices, a reflection of how much the market depended on credible reporting.

Although the Call-Over System was engaging, it was also time-consuming and dependent on the Chairman’s discretion. Covering the capital market was demanding because it required understanding the broader economy, how macroeconomic variables influenced company performance and stock prices.

In 1994, I was briefly de-accredited by The Exchange, but The Guardian stood by me. By 1997, I joined The Exchange itself, and that same year, I won the Diamond Award for Excellence in Financial Reporting. I rose to management level, led a department, and contributed significantly to the organisation’s growth.

The Exchange invested in my training, I studied at the New York Institute of Finance, trained at the U.S. SEC’s International Institute for Securities Market Development in Washington D.C., and interned at the World Bank in Chicago.

Today, I am a Fellow of both the Institute of Capital Market Registrars and the Chartered Institute of Stockbrokers, as well as a member of the Commodities Brokers Association of Nigeria and the Chartered Institute for Securities and Investment, UK.

I currently work as a public relations consultant, integrated communications strategist, and educationist, maintaining strong ties to the capital market. Journalism laid the foundation for my understanding of finance, governance, and market dynamics, skills that have shaped my entire professional journey.

If you could advise regulators and listed companies on one mindset shift, what would it be?

Both the apex regulator (SEC) and self-regulatory organisations play a crucial role in enforcing market rules and protecting investors. With rapid technological change, regulatory frameworks must evolve accordingly.

The Investment and Securities Act should be reviewed periodically to ensure that regulators stay ahead of market operators, addressing potential infractions before they escalate. Likewise, listed companies must strictly comply with post-listing requirements to maintain transparency and investor trust.

Ultimately, market growth depends on trust. Regulators and operators share responsibility for building and maintaining this trust. Regulators must enforce rules consistently, while operators, brokers, listed firms, and other participants, must act with integrity and provide accurate, timely information.

When investors are confident that the market is fair, transparent, and responsive, they are more willing to commit capital, which in turn fuels liquidity, growth, and long-term stability.

Looking back, what achievement are you most proud of in your capital market journey?

I have consistently advocated for policy reforms, highlighted structural and fiscal challenges, and promoted greater participation in the capital market through my writings and public commentary.

I am also passionate about mentoring the next generation of financial journalists, helping them to embrace accuracy, integrity, and professionalism. Through these efforts, I aim to encourage informed investing, strengthen governance, and contribute to building a more inclusive and resilient market ecosystem.

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Lagos bond subscription hits N310bn

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The Lagos State Commissioner for Finance, Yomi Oluyomi, says the state has made history with the conclusion of the bookbuild for its landmark bond issuance that has recorded an overwhelming reception from the investment community.

In a statement on Monday, Oluyomi explained that the state offered a N200bn Conventional Bond and a N14.8bn Green Bond, both of which were significantly oversubscribed.

“The Conventional Bond, which is the largest ever issued by a non-corporate sub-national in Nigeria’s history, attracted subscriptions totalling N308bn, representing a 54 per cent oversubscription above the initial offer. Lagos State is the first sub-national government to issue an impact climate bond. The Green bond attracted N28.7bn – 94 per cent more than the target,” Oluyomi said.

The Lagos State Governor, Babajide Sanwo-Olu, was quoted in the statement as saying, ”This is a reflection of the global confidence in Nigeria’s economy, fostered by the bold reforms initiated by President Bola Tinubu as reflected in the recent oversubscription of the Federal Government’s Eurobond.

“In Lagos, ours is a testament to our resilience and the unwavering support of our private sector partners who believe in our vision of building Africa’s model megacity that is safe, secure, and functional,” Sanwo-Olu said.

According to him, the state shall continue to ensure prudent financial management, accountability, and fiscal transparency as it continues to provide a conducive environment for businesses to grow. “Our dream is to make Lagos a global financial hub; we will keep our eyes on the ball,” he added.

The statement pointed out that the proceeds from these Bonds are earmarked to fund critical projects across the state, directly aligned along the line of the THEMES+ Agenda of Governor Babajide Sanwo-Olu.

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“These projects will focus on vital areas such as transportation, healthcare, education, and environmental sustainability, all aimed at significantly improving the livelihood and well-being of all Lagosians and securing a more prosperous and resilient future for the state,” it stated.

The “conventional bond” is a fixed-rate, long-term debt instrument issued by the Lagos State Government to raise capital from the domestic capital market.

Proceeds are used to fund infrastructure and social development projects across Lagos. Lagos State has a Debt Issuance Programme that allows it to issue bonds, notes, and other securities under a shelf registration.

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