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N804bn arms imports spark calls for local production

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Nigeria spent N804.10bn on arms and ammunition imports between 2020 and the second quarter of 2025, according to data obtained from the National Bureau of Statistics.

Despite moves by the government to expand domestic production, recent data revealed that the import bill remains on the rise, raising concerns about foreign exchange depletion and national security dependence on external suppliers.

This came as local manufacturers increased the call for deeper collaboration with the country’s Armed Forces for the production of some arms and ammunition domestically, stressing that this would considerably reduce the huge FX spent on arms imports.

Foreign trade data from the NBS showed that in 2020, Nigeria imported arms and ammunition, including parts, worth N29.24bn. The import bill surged to N72.50bn in 2021 before dropping to N28.24bn in 2022. In 2023, imports jumped again to N127.16bn. By 2024, it rose astronomically to N520.02bn, recording the highest importation of arms and ammunition in the five years.

Between January and June 2025, Nigeria imported arms worth N26.95bn, indicating that the upward trend had not abated. Data showed that in the first quarter of 2025, arms and ammunition imports stood at N22.08bn, with an additional N4.87bn imported in the second quarter. This brought the total to N26.95bn in the first half of 2025 alone.

Official data showed the depth of the surge when compared with the corresponding period of 2024. In H1 2024, Nigeria imported N11.76bn worth of arms and ammunition, split between N10.72bn in Q1 and N1.04bn in Q2. But in the second half of 2024, Nigeria imported arms and ammunition worth N508.25bn. Split between the quarters: in Q3 2024, the country imported N24.40bn, and in Q4 2024, it imported arms and ammunition worth N483.85bn

Stakeholders react

Stakeholders say the persistent rise in arms imports proves that Nigeria’s local defence manufacturing capacity has not hit its stride despite government reforms. President Bola Tinubu, in November 2023, signed the Defence Industries Corporation of Nigeria Act, which repealed previous provisions and sought to create a robust military-industrial complex through research, innovation, and private sector partnerships.

Two years into the implementation of the DICON Act 2023, reforms are off to a slow start. The import figures show that foreign dependence remains dominant.

Industry players, including the Manufacturers Association of Nigeria and the National Association of Small-Scale Industrialists, Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise, argue that heavy imports drain scarce foreign exchange. In separate interviews with The PUNCH, these stakeholders noted that buying weapons abroad often exposes Nigeria to political pressures from supplier countries, a factor that undermines the country’s sovereignty.

Local manufacturers are calling for stronger collaboration with the Defence Industries Corporation of Nigeria. They insist that without scaling up indigenous production, the country will continue to burn scarce resources on foreign procurements while failing to unlock the economic opportunities in defence manufacturing.

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MAN seeks inclusion

The Director-General of MAN, Segun Ajayi-Kadir, revealed that the body was already engaging DICON to expand local defence production. He said, “We are in talks with DICON. And in MAN, we have members who manufacture military hardware. Collaboration is only a foregone conclusion. It would be nice to see private and public sector partnerships flourish in this regard, because this is a strategic as well as an economic game changer for Nigeria.”

Ajayi-Kadir stressed that DICON, once moribund, had shown renewed dynamism since its revival under the new law. He observed that a functional defence industry would address two strategic concerns: national security and economic stability.

He explained that local arms production would shield the country from external embargoes, strengthen territorial defence against insurgency, and save scarce foreign exchange. “There’s no doubt that investing in local arms and ammunition manufacturing would significantly improve the economy overall, in the sense that it is not only in terms of boosting our security,” he declared.

MAN’s DG added that Nigeria ought to pursue arms self-reliance for external sovereignty and internal security. “There was a time in this country that some modern nations refused to sell arms to us,” Ajayi-Kadir said.

“Self-sufficiency, or reduction in dependence on imported arms, will greatly enhance the capacity to defend the territorial integrity and to protect the lives of citizens, particularly now that we are having insurgency and activities of non-state actors. In terms of securing lives and preserving foreign exchange, local production will greatly help.”

Ajayi-Kadir argued that foreign exchange saved from reducing arms imports could be channelled into raw materials, spare parts, and other productive inputs. He added that indigenisation of defence technology could also position Nigeria as an exporter in the medium term. “It will also be able to get us to innovate in a way that we can have military hardware and technologies that are indigenous to us, which we could even export. It will deepen our economic stability and progression,” he maintained.

NASSI, CPPE speak

The National Vice President of NASSI, Segun Kuti-George, linked the ballooning import bill to weak local research and insufficient industrial participation. He noted that while small-scale players had yet to feature prominently in arms production, they could play a critical role if given access to science-driven innovation.

Kuti-George said, “Arms are generally used for defence. And when you have an excess of it, you export. When you are manufacturing locally, you are saving foreign exchange. God help you if your supplier is a friend of your attacker. Encouraging local manufacturing is very important.”

He urged Nigeria to learn from countries that deliberately invest in research and innovation to address security vulnerabilities. He cited Lithuania’s adoption of drone training from basic school and the emergence of private drone manufacturers in Abuja as examples of what deliberate research could achieve.

“We need to pay more attention to science and research. That is the only way forward. Let’s teach science. Let’s teach research in our universities. Let’s stop all these ideas of people just writing pieces and filing them away. We are living in a practical world now,” NASSI’s VP said.

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Kuti-George advised that graduates of engineering and science in Nigeria should be producing machines and prototypes as part of their final projects, rather than submitting theoretical dissertations.

He stressed that linking education to practical research was key to reviving the industrial base. “Where is the machine that you are producing? Are you able to produce a garri frying machine? Are you able to produce something practical? That is the way. We need to do a serious review of our educational system,” he cautioned.

Kuti-George welcomed the government’s recent push on vocational colleges but called for a deeper emphasis on applied research to complement military innovation.

Director of the Centre for Promotion of Private Enterprise, Dr Muda Yusuf, affirmed Nigeria’s need to be self-reliant in defence manufacturing and avoid heavy importation of arms and ammunition. He welcomed the local manufacturers’ quest for deepening their partnership with the government as “a very good thing, and it’s something to be commended.”

He emphasised local production as the path to internal security, stating, “Local production is the way to go anytime and any day. It is good for self-reliance and for internal security. When it comes to security matters, the less import-dependent a country is, the better. Look at the biggest or the strongest countries in the world, they don’t rely on imports for their security apparatus or for their security equipment.”

Yusuf concurred with MAN that an increase in local manufacturing of defence equipment would help to reduce forex outflows and ensure sovereignty. “Building our domestic capacity in arms manufacturing helps with retaining foreign exchange and makes us a lot more secure, a lot more confident as a country, so that if we have security challenges, we can handle them by ourselves without depending on third parties.”

He welcomed the revamping of DICON, adding, “Those who moved in the government to set up a Defence Industrial Corporation of Nigeria, in Kaduna, had foresight. They had the foresight, and the whole idea was to ensure that much of our security equipment, arms, and ammunition are produced here.”

“It’s just that we didn’t follow through,” Yusuf noted, and decried the poor management in the past. “Once, we had to depend on a particular country for some arms or aircraft at the peak of the Boko Haram crisis, and they were giving us conditions before they could sell it to us. They gave us all sorts of conditions that were not properly aligned with our security strategy.”

DICON reforms

The Defence Industries Corporation of Nigeria was established in 1964. Under the 2023 Act signed by President Tinubu, DICON is repositioned. The new law empowers the state-controlled firm to operate subsidiaries, establish a Defence Industry Technology, Research, and Development Institute, and provide a financing architecture to attract private capital into the sector.

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Following President Tinubu’s assent, DICON signed memoranda of understanding with several firms in 2024, including X-Shield Solution Company Limited, Buckler Systems Limited, and Epsilon Bronberg Innovation Limited. The agreements were designed to build a military-industrial complex through public-private partnerships.

In July 2025, DICON announced a $2bn partnership with SP Offshore Nigeria Limited to expand local manufacturing of defence hardware.  Director-General of DICON, Major General Babatunde Alaya, said the partnership aligned with the government’s projection to achieve self-sufficiency in defence manufacturing by 2027. “This partnership will achieve the Federal Government’s projection of achieving self-sufficiency in defence manufacturing while reducing foreign importation by the year 2027,” he stated.

Similarly, the Managing Director of DICON Grey Insignia, Bem Garba, reportedly affirmed that the new law would directly impact the naira by reducing dollar demand for arms imports. “By localising production, we can retain more of our FX reserves and reduce the demand for dollars in the defence sector, easing pressure on the exchange rate. As the industry matures, Nigeria can position itself as a regional defence supplier, earning FX through exports,” he said.

Balancing security

Stakeholders argue that local defence manufacturing is not merely an economic policy but also a strategic necessity. With insecurity ranging from insurgency in the North-East to banditry in the North-West and kidnapping in the South, these stakeholders have cautioned that dependence on foreign arms is a dangerous liability.

Ajayi-Kadir warned that the country’s fragile foreign reserves should not be further eroded by massive import bills. He said, “We have scarce resources that we should have used to buy raw materials, spare parts, and machines that are not available locally for production, but we end up using them to buy ammunition. I believe this is both for a strategic purpose as well as for economic purposes.”

Kuti-George also emphasised that the more Nigeria invests in local innovation, the more it could reduce reliance on hostile suppliers. “If your supplier is a friend of your attacker, it now becomes an issue of who is the highest bidder. So, encouraging local manufacturing is very important,” he said.

Experts say the path to a self-sufficient defence industry will require more than legislation. The local defence industry needs stronger funding for research, stronger collaboration with private manufacturers, and reforms in science education.

For MAN, the next step is a deeper integration of its members into DICON’s supply chain. For NASSI, the priority is building a pipeline of innovators through vocational and research-based education. For DICON, it is expanding partnerships and ensuring that promised targets, such as the 2027 self-sufficiency goal, are met.

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Kwara strengthens partnership to boost mechanised farming

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The Kwara State Government has strengthened its partnership with the All Farmers Association of Nigeria and other agricultural stakeholders to advance mechanised farming, environmental sustainability and women inclusion across the state.

The renewed commitment was reaffirmed during a courtesy visit by the leadership of the Kwara State chapter of AFAN to the Kwara State Agro-Climatic Resilience in Semi-Arid Landscapes in Ilorin.

This was contained in a statement issued on Tuesday by the Communication Officer of KWACReSAL, Okanlawon Taiwo, a copy of which was made available to The PUNCH in Ilorin.

Speaking during the meeting, the State Project Coordinator of KWACReSAL, Shamsideen Aregbe, assured farmers of the state government’s continued support toward improving food production, mechanised agriculture and climate resilience.

He said, “Tractorisation remains a critical component of modern agriculture. Access to farming equipment is essential for increasing productivity and addressing food security challenges across the state.”

He explained that the tractor support initiative introduced last year followed a World Bank-backed intervention and presidential directive aimed at supporting farmers with mechanised farming equipment.

Aregbe acknowledged concerns raised about operational challenges affecting some tractors, assuring stakeholders that efforts were ongoing to determine the condition and operational status of the equipment to enable effective utilisation by farmers.

“We must sustain engagement with farming communities, particularly in addressing challenges relating to flooding, agricultural logistics and food security,” he added.

The project coordinator also stressed the need for gender equality and inclusion in agricultural interventions across the state.

“The inclusion of women is not negotiable. We must continue to encourage and support women to actively participate in agricultural programmes and leadership processes,” he stated.

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Earlier, the Chairman of AFAN in Kwara State, Shuaib Ajibola, commended KWACReSAL for its interventions in the agricultural sector, reaffirming the association’s readiness to collaborate on programmes aimed at improving farmers’ welfare and environmental sustainability.

Ajibola disclosed that the association planned to commence an agricultural expo and stakeholder engagement programme across the state following its recent inauguration activities to reconnect with farmers and strengthen agricultural outreach.

“Previous editions of the interventions covered the 16 local government areas of the state and involved stakeholders from different agricultural sectors,” he said.

The AFAN chairman also raised concerns over land use disputes and other agrarian issues affecting farmlands, noting that the development had created anxiety among some farming communities regarding land ownership and rights.

“There is a need for sustained stakeholder dialogue and engagement to resolve disputes and ensure peaceful farming activities across communities,” Ajibola added.

Also speaking, the Project Coordinator of AFAM, AbdulRahman Babatunde, applauded KWACReSAL for its support to farmers, especially in the area of agricultural inputs and mechanised farming.

“ACReSAL provided 100 per cent agricultural inputs to participating farmers last year, and beneficiaries across communities can testify to the positive impact of the intervention,” Babatunde said.

He disclosed that farming activities for the current planting season had already commenced, with farmers actively registering, hiring tractors and preparing their farmlands.

In her remarks, the AFAM Women Leader, Sherifat Ibrahim, advocated increased empowerment and technical training for women in rural communities to enable them to actively participate in mechanised farming.

“There is a need for gender-friendly operational systems and practical training that will make tractor handling easier and more accessible for women and young learners involved in agricultural programmes,” she said.

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Meanwhile, the Environmental Safeguards Officer of KWACReSAL, Mr Abubakar Mohammed, reaffirmed the project’s commitment to gender equality, women’s inclusion and effective grievance management across all project activities.

The renewed collaboration comes amid growing efforts by the Kwara state government to improve food production and strengthen climate-smart agriculture through partnerships with farmer associations, development agencies and international organisations.

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See Full List of Top 10 World’s Largest Economies in 2026

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The United States is projected to remain the world’s largest economy in 2026 with a gross domestic product estimated at $32.1 trillion, according to new global economic forecasts obtained from Focus Economics on Wednesday.

The U.S. continues to lead global output through dominance in technology, finance, healthcare, and advanced manufacturing. Growth in artificial intelligence, healthcare innovation, and high-value industries has further widened its lead over other major economies in recent years.

The top 10 world economies ranked in numbers

1. United States — $32.1 trillion
The United States remains the world’s largest economy, accounting for over a quarter of global output in nominal terms. Its economy is highly diversified, with Silicon Valley driving global leadership in AI, biotech, and software, while Wall Street anchors the financial sector.

2. China — $20.2 trillion
China is the world’s second-largest economy, driven by manufacturing, exports, and large-scale industrial production. It remains the leading global producer of electronics, machinery, and textiles, though it faces structural challenges, including a shrinking population and high debt levels.

3. Germany — $5.4 trillion
Germany remains Europe’s largest economy, supported by a strong industrial base and the Mittelstand network of medium-sized manufacturing firms that form the backbone of its export strength.

4. India — $4.5 trillion
India continues its rapid economic rise, driven largely by services and information technology. Its economy has more than doubled over the past decade, supported by a young population and expanding domestic demand.

5. Japan — $4.4 trillion
Japan remains a global manufacturing powerhouse in robotics, automobiles, and electronics, although long-term growth is constrained by an aging population and structural economic stagnation.

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6. United Kingdom — $4.2 trillion
The United Kingdom is a major service-based economy, with strengths in finance, insurance, and real estate, anchored by the City of London.

7. France — $3.6 trillion
France has a diversified economy led by luxury goods, aerospace, agriculture, and manufacturing, with global brands such as Airbus and LVMH playing major roles.

8. Italy — $2.7 trillion
Italy combines a strong services sector with manufacturing strengths in fashion, machinery, and automobiles, driven largely by its industrial northern regions.

9. Russia — $2.5 trillion
Russia remains heavily dependent on oil and gas exports, with energy revenues playing a central role in its economy despite ongoing sanctions and geopolitical pressures.

10. Canada — $2.4 trillion
Canada rounds out the top 10, supported by natural resources such as oil, forestry, and mining, alongside a strong services and financial sector.

Economists say the global economy is increasingly being shaped by technology, demographics, energy transitions, and geopolitical tensions, all of which will influence how these rankings evolve in the coming years.

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Nigeria misses OPEC oil production quota again

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Again, Nigeria has missed its crude oil production quota set by the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries after averaging 1.49 million barrels per day in April, below the 1.5 mbpd benchmark.

Figures from the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission showed that the country produced an average of 1,488,540 barrels of crude daily in April, representing about 99 per cent of the OPEC quota. When condensates were added, total daily production rose to 1.66mbpd

Last month, the NUPRC said oil production now averaged 1.8mbpd. However, data released on Tuesday was at variance with the report. The latest data mean Nigeria remained below its OPEC allocation for the ninth straight month since July 2025.

The NUPRC document showed that combined crude oil and condensate production peaked at 1.85 mbpd during the month, while the lowest output stood at 1.46 mbpd. The PUNCH reports that the April figures are an appreciable improvement compared to March, when oil output was 1.55mbpd.

Nigeria’s oil production has struggled for years due to crude theft, pipeline vandalism, ageing infrastructure, and underinvestment in the upstream sector. Although output improved marginally in April compared to March, it was still insufficient to meet the country’s OPEC target, underscoring persistent challenges in ramping up production despite government efforts to boost volumes.

The PUNCH reports that Nigeria’s crude production in March was 1.38 mbpd. While there was a 69,000 bpd increase from the 1.31 mbpd recorded in February, the figure is still 117,000 bpd below the OPEC quota.

The figures for February indicated a month-on-month decline of 146,000 barrels per day, widening the country’s shortfall from its OPEC production allocation. This is the eighth consecutive month the country has failed to meet the OPEC quota since July 2025.

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Recall that although Nigeria recorded a marginal improvement in January, when production rose from 1.422 mbpd in December 2025 to 1.46 mbpd, the rebound was short-lived as output fell significantly in February 2026.

Earlier data from NUPRC had also shown that crude oil production weakened at the end of 2025. Production declined from 1.436 mbpd in November 2025 to 1.422 mbpd in December, before recovering slightly in January.

In 2025, Nigeria’s crude oil production fell below its OPEC quota in nine months of the year, meeting or slightly exceeding the target only in January, June, and July.

Nigeria opened 2025 strongly, producing 1.54 mbpd in January, about 38,700 barrels per day above its OPEC allocation. However, production slipped below the quota in February at 1.47 mbpd and weakened further in March to 1.40 mbpd, marking one of the widest shortfalls during the year.

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