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Food imports soar 45% as local production falters

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Food and beverage imports increased to N677.3bn in the first half of 2025, a 44.48 per cent rise from N468.76bn in the same period of 2024, prompting renewed calls for stronger government support to enhance local industry capacity and reduce dependency on imports.

Data from the National Bureau of Statistics showed that while the value of primary food and beverage imports mainly for household consumption surged, the value of processed food and beverages consumed by households recorded a marginal 1.85 per cent decline, falling from N699.58bn in H1 2024 to N686.81bn in H1 2025.

Meanwhile, primary food and beverage imports mainly for industrial use grew in six months by 1.37 per cent from N969.22bn to N982.49bn, while processed imports for industrial use rose by 7.28 per cent from N984.16bn to N1.06tn in the same period.

This came as members of the Organised Private Sector who spoke to The PUNCH in separate phone interviews linked the surge in food imports to weak local production, insecurity, inconsistent agricultural policy, and consumer preference for imported products perceived to have better quality and availability.

Trust deficiency

The Chairman of the Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry, Agricultural and Allied Group, Tunde Banjoko, said the figures reflected a lack of trust in locally produced raw materials and food items.

“From this data, what one can simply infer is that people trust the quality and integrity of imported raw materials, foodstuff, and beverages for household consumption more than what is being produced locally,” he said.

Banjoko noted that factors such as price competitiveness, quality control, and availability played significant roles in shaping consumer preferences.

He added, “We are still battling with inadequate funding to do things properly the way they ought to be done. The quality of our seedlings, the use of chemicals, and our production processes are still affecting the overall output.”

The LCCI agric group chief added that the country’s poor storage systems and weak commodity boards had worsened the problem, leading to seasonal shortages of local produce.

See also  Tinubu shifts 15% fuel import duty to Q1 2026

He advised the Federal Government to establish stronger funding mechanisms for agribusinesses and guarantee offtake systems through commodity boards to stabilise supply. “We need to get proper storage and make them available.

Commodity boards need a guarantee of offtake so that these products can be available, stored properly, and made available to the market when needed,” Banjoko stressed.

He maintained that the government must act to ensure businesses are scalable and interesting to local producers so that they can compete effectively. With the right policies, these numbers should begin to drop and ease pressure on foreign exchange,”

Insecurity crippling output

The President of the Association of Small Business Owners of Nigeria, Dr Femi Egbesola, explained that insecurity and low technological adoption in agriculture were among the main reasons Nigeria continued to rely on food imports.

Egbesola said, “Most of the farmers are no longer on the farms because of insecurity. Many farmlands have been deserted. That is where the primary products come from. It is when the farmers plant and harvest. That is when the manufacturers and other users can buy from them and use them as their inputs. This time, many of the farms are deserted.”

He noted that Nigeria’s agricultural productivity remained far below global standards due to the use of outdated tools and practices.

“For instance, what it takes to produce 10 tons of cassava in Nigeria requires about 30 acres of land, whereas in the Netherlands, the same 10 tons come from just three plots. That shows how far behind we are in technology use,” he said.

He urged the government to integrate technology into farming, upgrade peasant farmers, and invest in agricultural mechanisation to close the production gap.

“To Small and Medium-sized Enterprises, this wide gap presents investment opportunities. It’s a sign that there is strong business potential in local production if we can look inward and bridge these deficits,” Egbesola said.

The Director of the Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise, Dr Muda Yusuf, attributed the rise in food and beverage imports partly to government import waivers and increased demand for staple foods such as wheat-based products.

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“The biggest driver of food imports is in the wheat value chain; bread, pastries, and noodles, which are staple foods in Nigeria,” Yusuf explained.

He said the Federal Government’s 180-day waiver to import maize and brown rice in 2024 had influenced the 2025 figures, as many of those imports entered the country early this year. “Another factor is that the data are in naira terms, and with currency depreciation, the import values appear higher even if the physical quantities are not significantly more,” he added.

Yusuf advised the government to focus on improving agricultural value chains, supporting wheat alternatives, and reducing policy inconsistencies that discourage local investors.

Purchasing power

Meanwhile, the Director-General of the Nigerian Association of Small and Medium Enterprises, Eke Ubiji, lamented rising economic hardship. He cautioned that the rising import figures did not suggest that Nigerians’ purchasing power had improved.

“I strongly doubt that these numbers mean consumers’ purchasing power has increased. Many people have reduced what they buy because of inflation,” Ubiji said.

The NASME chief noted that the growth in imports may reflect industrial demand rather than increased household consumption, as consumers have increasingly turned to smaller, cheaper product sizes.

He said, “Even people who were not used to eating instant noodles before are now eating them because that’s what their money can afford. The economy has forced consumers to adjust downward.”

Ubiji criticised government claims of improvement in living conditions, noting that essential food items remained unaffordable for many Nigerians.

Stakeholders agreed that reversing Nigeria’s growing reliance on food and beverage imports required coordinated policy action across the agricultural, manufacturing, and trade sectors.

See also  Tinubu approves 15% import duty on petrol, diesel

They urged the Federal Government to tackle insecurity, strengthen value addition in local production, incentivise agribusiness investment, and improve access to finance for farmers and processors.

Banjoko summed it up: “If we can make local production sustainable and competitive through funding, technology, and storage infrastructure, Nigeria can reduce its import dependence and ease pressure on foreign exchange.”

Fight for food security

The Federal Government has long battled to ensure food security in Nigeria. Official statistics have identified food inflation as a major aggravator of core inflation. Nigerians have found it increasingly difficult to access food over the past five years owing to import restrictions of the former President Muhammadu Buhari administration and insecurity.

The inflationary trend began to soften with the President Bola Tinubu administration’s national emergency on food security, which freed up import restrictions for 150 days on selected food items, including rice. Notably, local farmers decried the policy as reversing gains made in building the country’s self-sufficiency.

Whereas the Federal Government has lauded its efforts in executing the temporary import duty waiver for bringing down food prices, the rebased Consumer Price Index has also deemphasised the weight of food baskets in the inflation calculation.

Present food inflation figures are dropping, according to NBS data. As of September 2025, the food inflation rate was 16.87 per cent on a year-on-year basis. It was 20.9 percentage points lower compared to the rate recorded in September 2024 (37.77 per cent).

Stakeholders have warned of lingering risks to food supply and affordability. The PUNCH earlier reported that Nigeria’s agricultural import bill soared to N2.22tn in the first half of 2025, signifying more imported food to meet the growing needs of the local population.

Yet, farmers, rice millers, and stakeholders argued that the Federal Government’s policies are undermining local production and worsening food insecurity.

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FG allays fears over tax reforms

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The Federal Government says the newly enacted tax reforms were crafted to ease the burden on Nigerians, not worsen it, insisting that widespread misinformation is fueling needless fear and anger across the country.

Chairman of the Presidential Fiscal Policy and Tax Reforms Committee, Taiwo Oyedele, made the clarification during a courtesy visit to the National Orientation Agency in Abuja on Friday.

Oyedele said the purpose of the visit was to seek NOA’s support in educating citizens about the tax policies, noting that misinformation threatened to derail a reform package he described as “the most consequential and beneficial” of his career.

“You can say subsidy removal came with some amount of pain and sacrifice. Naira floatation also means people have to pay more… But this tax reform is coming with benefits. “Exemption for small businesses, exemption for workers, low-income earners, middle class; reduce their taxes, big companies reduce their taxes, harmonise taxes,” he said.

The tax reform laws were signed by President Bola Tinubu in October 2024 as part of a sweeping overhaul aimed at simplifying Nigeria’s complex tax system.

With implementation set to begin on January 1, 2026, the reforms introduce exemptions for small businesses, reduced tax burdens for workers and the middle class, lower corporate taxes, and harmonisation of multiple taxes across federal, state and local governments.

They also streamline compliance procedures and eliminate nuisance taxes to boost investment.

Oyedele explained that the committee had compiled “50 tax exemptions and reliefs” that would benefit Nigerians but lamented that many citizens, misled by online falsehoods, believed the reforms would impose new burdens.

“Sadly, as good as the reform is, if you go on the streets and ask people about the tax reform, there are people who say they can’t wait to protest on the 1st of January.

See also  Tinubu unveils tax calculator to show impact on incomes

“Unfortunately, in our environment, if you have good news, it doesn’t go viral… but misinformation goes viral very quickly.”

He cited a false rumour circulating among farmers in the North that the government planned to seize one out of every four baskets of produce, describing it as a deliberate distortion.

He added that misinformation had also taken ethnic and religious dimensions, stressing the need for NOA’s involvement in communicating the reform’s benefits in local languages and through relatable characters—farmers, students and CEOs—so that “people do not translate this good intention of the government… into a chaotic situation.”

Responding, NOA Director-General Lanre Issa-Onilu described the reforms as “the first comprehensive, far-reaching response in the fiscal and tax space we have seen,” noting that the agency fully understood its responsibility.

“I must understand beyond the level of an average Nigerian to communicate to them. We’ve done a lot of publications, but as you understand more, you realise there is a lot more to say.”

He pledged the deployment of NOA’s extensive nationwide network to disseminate accurate information about the reforms.

Issa-Onilu noted that the agency works with nearly 200 radio stations broadcasting in 72 local languages, 36 television channels, and maintains partnerships with major networks including NTA, Channels, AIT, TVC, Arise and News Central.

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Google pledges N3bn to boost Nigeria’s AI capacity

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Google, via its charitable arm Google.org, on Friday pledged N3bn to Nigeria to accelerate the nation’s digital transformation, directing funds toward artificial-intelligence training and measures to make its booming online environment safer.

The initiative, announced at a press conference in Lagos, is built around a two-pronged strategy and will funnel resources through five local organisations with significant track records in human development. These organisations include the FATE Foundation, the African Institute for Mathematical Sciences, the African Technology Forum, Junior Achievement Africa, and the CyberSafe Foundation.

One strand focuses on cultivating advanced AI talent; the other on strengthening digital security. Together, the search engine giant aims to equip Nigeria with both a skilled workforce and a more resilient digital ecosystem, addressing the twin challenges of talent shortages and cyber vulnerability that threaten the country’s ambitious digital agenda.

The Minister of Communications, Innovation & Digital Economy, Bosun Tijani, commented, “Artificial Intelligence sits at the heart of Nigeria’s desire to raise the level of productivity in our economy as well as our ambition to compete globally in technology and innovation.

“I welcome this important and timely investment from Google and Google.org, which reflects the power of meaningful private-sector partnership in nurturing our talent, strengthening our digital infrastructure, and advancing our national AI priorities. This collaboration directly supports our drive to operationalise our National AI Strategy and to position Nigerian innovators at the forefront of the global AI revolution,” he stated.

To develop AI expertise, FATE Foundation, in collaboration with the African Institute for Mathematical Sciences, will integrate advanced AI curricula into universities, equipping students and lecturers with cutting-edge knowledge. Meanwhile, the African Technology Forum will launch an innovation challenge designed to guide developers from learning to creating practical, real-world AI solutions.

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The Executive Director of FATE Foundation, Adenike Adeyemi, said, “We are incredibly proud to partner with the African Institute of Management Sciences on the Advanced AI Upskilling Project, with support from Google.org.

“This groundbreaking initiative is a direct response to the urgent need for deep AI competencies in Africa, empowering tertiary institutions, lecturers, and students in Nigeria, Ghana, Kenya, and South Africa.

“This strategic support aligns perfectly with FATE Foundation’s mission to foster innovation and sustainable economic growth across the continent, ensuring Africa is fully equipped to lead in the global technological future,” the executive told a press conference.

On the digital safety front, Junior Achievement Africa will expand its Be Internet Awesome curriculum to reach more youths, teaching them safe online practices. The CyberSafe Foundation will focus on improving the cybersecurity posture of public institutions, helping them protect sensitive data and digital infrastructure from cyber threats.

The initiative aligns with Nigeria’s National AI Strategy and the government’s goal of creating one million digital jobs. According to research by Public First, the country is projected to unlock $15bn in economic value from AI by 2030, making the development of both skills and digital safety critical for sustainable growth.

The Director for West Africa at Google, Olumide Balogun, said, “Google has been a foundational partner in Nigeria’s digital journey, and this N3bn commitment is the next chapter in that story.

“This is an investment in people, aimed at empowering them with advanced AI skills and ensuring a safe digital space to operate. We are honoured to continue our collaboration in support of the ministry’s efforts to help build a future where the promise of AI creates opportunity for everyone.”

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This announcement builds on Google’s long-standing commitment to Nigeria, including infrastructure investments such as the Equiano subsea cable and successful initiatives like the 2023 Skills Sprint programme, a N1.2bn commitment to Mind the Gap.

The programme trained 20,991 participants, including 5,217 women in AI and tech, and enabled 3,576 participants to move into jobs, internships, or businesses, demonstrating tangible progress in advancing Nigeria’s digital economy.

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Health minister, manufacturers clash over sugary drink levy

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A heated debate erupted at the Senate on Thursday as lawmakers, federal ministries, and industry groups clashed over a proposal to sharply increase excise duties on carbonated sugar-sweetened beverages.

The confrontation unfolded during a public hearing convened by the Senate Committees on Finance and Customs to consider a bill that would levy a percentage-based tax per litre of SSBs.

Lawmakers argued that raising the existing N10/litre tax is necessary to discourage excessive sugar consumption and boost funding for public health initiatives.

The session, chaired by Senator Sani Musa (Niger East), highlighted deep divisions among stakeholders.

While health advocates and medical associations backed the measure, industry players pushed back vigorously.

The Coordinating Minister of Health and Social Welfare, Prof. Muhammad Pate, threw his ministry’s weight behind the bill, describing it as a critical step toward safeguarding the country’s future health financing.

“We commend the Senate for proposing a bill that increases the excise tax on sugar-sweetened beverages and earmarks part of the revenue for health promotion,” Pate said. “This demonstrates political will, aligns fiscal policy with public health goals, and provides sustainable financing for prevention programmes—essential steps toward achieving universal health coverage.”

Pate urged the Senate to go further by increasing the SSB tax from N10 per litre to at least 20 per cent of the retail price, in line with World Health Organisation guidance.

He also recommended that at least 40 per cent of the revenue be reinvested into programmes targeting diet-related illnesses, including diabetes and hypertension.

“Failure to act now will saddle Nigeria with an overwhelming disease burden in the next 10 to 20 years,” Pate warned. “Prevention is far more cost-effective than cure.”

See also  Tinubu unveils tax calculator to show impact on incomes

Health-sector groups, including the Nigeria Cancer Society and the Diabetes Association of Nigeria, voiced strong support for the bill.

But several economic stakeholders opposed the proposal.

The Manufacturers Association of Nigeria, the Ministry of Finance, and the Nigeria Employers Consultative Association cautioned that a higher tax could have unintended consequences.

Adeyemi Folorunsho, a director representing MAN, argued that the proposed hike could trigger job losses and disrupt growth in the beverage industry. He also challenged the assumption that SSB consumption is a major driver of diabetes and obesity in Nigeria.

“Contrary to popular belief, Nigeria has one of the lowest sugar consumption rates in the world—8.3 million kilogrammes compared with the 22.1 million kilogrammes expected,” Folorunsho said. He called on the Senate to adopt a “win-win approach” in shaping the legislation.

In his closing remarks, Senator Musa assured participants that the final law would balance public health goals with economic realities.

“The committees will carefully weigh all submissions before presenting a harmonised draft to the Senate,” he said. “Legislation presented to Nigerians will be fair, transparent, and people-oriented.”

Nigeria introduced the N10-per-litre SSB tax in 2022 to curb rising rates of obesity, diabetes, and other non-communicable diseases.

However, health experts argue that the levy is far below global standards and has had minimal impact on consumption.

Manufacturers, meanwhile, warn that the industry is still recovering from inflation, foreign exchange pressures, and declining consumer purchasing power.

They caution that higher taxes could lead to plant closures, job cuts, and lower government revenue.

The Senate’s push to amend the law has reignited a long-running clash between public health advocates and economic stakeholders.

See also  NUPENG accuses Dangote of sponsoring division among tanker drivers

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