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Minority investors vital for capital market growth – Sola Oni

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With more than 30 years of experience across financial journalism, capital market operations, education, and strategic communications, Sola Oni stands as a prominent figure in Nigeria’s investment landscape. A former spokesperson for the Nigerian Stock Exchange (now NGX) and a Fellow of both the Chartered Institute of Stockbrokers and the Institute of Capital Market Registrars, Oni discusses with OLUWAKEMI ABIMBOLA the importance of minority investors in market growth and other emerging developments in Nigeria’s financial sector

The capital market has witnessed several developments recently, from the transition to a T+2 settlement cycle to the recognition of digital assets such as cryptocurrency. How do you assess these changes and their implications for the market and the wider economy?

The commencement of the Central Securities Clearing System operations on 14 April 1997, established a central depository with an electronic clearing and settlement system. It began with T+5 (Transaction Day plus five working days). In 2000, CSCS advanced to T+3, the settlement cycle it has maintained to date.

Before this milestone, the Nigerian capital market relied on a manual clearing and settlement system, which was entirely paper-based. Investors were issued physical share certificates as proof of ownership, a process fraught with numerous challenges. Clearing and settlement could take weeks or even months due to manual document verification. Registrars were required to authenticate share certificates, which were physically delivered for ownership transfer and register updates.

The manual process was susceptible to theft, administrative bottlenecks, high transaction costs, reconciliation errors, fraud, and forgery. As a dynamic institution, CSCS is now set to launch a T+2 clearing and settlement cycle on 28 November. All stakeholders are prepared for this historic event, which will be inaugurated by the Securities and Exchange Commission.

The ultimate goal is to achieve T+1, which is already the standard in several advanced markets. This means that if you buy or sell securities today, payment and ownership transfer will be completed the following day. Markets such as the Toronto Stock Exchange in Canada, Bolsa Mexicana de Valores in Mexico, NSE and BSE in India, and the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges in China already operate this benchmark.

Let me add that T+0 is uncommon, as it requires real-time cash and securities availability. It can reduce liquidity since funds and securities are tied up immediately. Although a few markets, including China, the United States, and India, operate T+0, it is mostly limited to digital assets and certain money market instruments.

Many companies in the financial services sector are currently undergoing recapitalisation. How should minority investors position themselves to take advantage of this trend?

Minority investors, those owning less than 50 per cent of a company, are essential to every thriving capital market. Regardless of ownership size, every investor must begin with the basics: What is my investment objective? What is my risk tolerance? What is my time horizon? And what is my source of funds?

An investor who cannot answer these questions is simply taking uncalculated risks, which often end badly. As the financial services sector evolves, minority investors need to be strategic. A good starting point is understanding the investment policy of the target company and identifying growth segments with strong potential. These include undercapitalised mid-tier banks, emerging fintech firms, and high-performing insurance companies.

A minority investor’s objective should align closely with that of the target company. It is also prudent to focus on firms where recapitalisation can unlock regulatory reliefs, improve credit ratings, and strengthen growth capacity. Positioning in such companies enhances returns and provides a pathway to sustainable wealth creation. In a reform-driven and innovative market, the best opportunities often lie where growth and regulation converge in favour of investors.

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Tax reforms are expected to take effect next year. What impact might these have on the capital market?

The ongoing work of the Presidential Committee on Tax and Fiscal Policy Reforms, chaired by Mr Taiwo Oyedele, is generating significant interest across Nigeria’s economic landscape. Stakeholders believe that the committee’s recommendations will have far-reaching implications for businesses, investors, and the capital market as a whole.

In the capital market, taxation is a major determinant of competitiveness. It affects corporate earnings and, by extension, shareholder returns. For foreign investors, tax policy is often a critical factor in assessing a country’s investment appeal. Key taxes that directly affect investors include Capital Gains Tax, Withholding Tax on dividends, Transaction Taxes, and Stamp Duties.

However, there are growing concerns among market participants over the proposed increase in Capital Gains Tax from 10 per cent to 30 per cent, which could discourage high-net-worth individuals, institutional investors, and foreign portfolio investors. Analysts warn that such an increase might weaken market confidence and reduce overall investment inflows.

The capital market community therefore looks to the government to consider tax incentives and relief measures that can enhance Nigeria’s global competitiveness. Stakeholders continue to engage with Mr Oyedele and his team, seeking assurance that the reforms will foster growth while preserving investor confidence. Mr Oyedele has repeatedly emphasised that the reforms aim to promote fairness, transparency, and alignment with global best practices.

As the committee’s work progresses, we in the capital market are optimistic that the outcome will have a net positive impact, boosting investor sentiment and positioning Nigeria’s capital market for sustainable growth.

How would you assess Nigeria’s progress in developing a commodities exchange ecosystem?

Nigeria’s commodities exchange ecosystem is still largely untapped but brimming with potential. Encouragingly, awareness of the benefits of commodities exchanges is growing, driven primarily by private-sector-led initiatives.

For instance, in September, the Lagos Commodities and Futures Exchange listed N23.4bn worth of Eko Rice Classic Spot Contracts, a milestone in transforming Nigeria’s agricultural and commodities sectors.
One major source of optimism is the new Investment and Securities Act (2025), which has addressed previous policy gaps and formalised the country’s commodities ecosystem. The Act has strong potential to stimulate economic growth if effectively implemented.

Nonetheless, stronger regulatory support is needed. The government should consider making it mandatory for commodity producers and exporters to use exchange platforms. This would have a multiplier effect on GDP growth and boost foreign exchange earnings. It should also create an enabling environment for private-led commodities exchanges by supporting warehousing and logistics infrastructure to reduce post-harvest losses and enhance token and receipt delivery.

With the number of minority investors on the rise, how crucial is investor education in sustaining market growth and promoting economic resilience?

Minority investors, those owning less than 50 per cent of a company’s shares, are key stakeholders in Nigeria’s capital market. Their protection and active participation are vital for building investor confidence and ensuring fair corporate governance.

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Under the Companies and Allied Matters Act 2020, SEC rules, and NGX listing requirements, minority investors are entitled to several rights that protect their interests and promote accountability.

They have the right to information, ensuring access to periodic financial statements, annual reports, and corporate disclosures, as well as rights to dividends, entry and exit, and protection from oppressive conduct by majority shareholders or directors. They can attend and vote at annual and extraordinary general meetings and participate in rights issues and bonus share offers, thereby preventing unfair dilution of their holdings. In cases of dispute, they can seek legal redress, including court petitions under CAMA for oppression, mismanagement, or unfair prejudice.

These provisions reflect the joint efforts of the SEC, NGX, and the Corporate Affairs Commission to promote transparency and investor protection. When listed companies respect these rights, they strengthen corporate reputation, improve liquidity, and attract both domestic and foreign investors.

Beyond rights, minority investors serve as critical checks and balances on boards and management. Through constructive engagement, asking questions, demanding accountability, and scrutinising decisions, they help uphold governance standards. Their participation in public offers, rights issues, and private placements also deepens liquidity and supports capital formation, which ultimately strengthens the economy.
Protecting minority investors is therefore not merely a legal duty but a strategic necessity for market growth.

A transparent, equitable system that safeguards all investors will enhance confidence and position Nigeria’s capital market as a globally competitive investment destination.
How do you envision Nigeria’s capital market evolving over the next five years?

Capital market development is a marathon, not a sprint. Over the next five years, I envision a market shaped by technology, innovation, and broader participation, particularly from millennials, Gen Z, and other digital natives.
The rise of digital platforms and the introduction of innovative investment products are likely to attract tech-savvy investors, expanding market reach and liquidity. More companies are expected to tap into the capital market for long-term funding, while the government may increasingly rely on market instruments to finance infrastructure projects.

With the CSCS set to commence T+2 settlement this month, the market will become more efficient and competitive in transaction processing.

We can also anticipate significant growth in the commodities ecosystem, with private-sector-led exchanges contributing to GDP expansion and boosting the global competitiveness of Nigerian agricultural products. The Over-the-Counter Exchange, led by NASD Plc, is also poised for increased activity as new products and strategies attract retail and institutional investors.

However, these projections depend on key factors such as the faithful execution of economic reforms, adoption of emerging technologies, and full implementation of the SEC’s Capital Market Master Plan and ISA 2025. With these in place, Nigeria’s capital market could evolve into a more inclusive, innovative, and globally competitive environment.

You began your career in journalism before transitioning into capital market operations and corporate communications. How did that journey unfold?

My transition into the capital market began in 1992 when my editor at The Guardian, Mr Jide Ogundele, sent me to the library to study the Financial Times of London for two days. Until then, I had covered multiple beats, Energy, Money Market, Aviation, Insurance, and Manufacturing, often producing front-page news.

At The Guardian, excellence was non-negotiable. Readers were largely middle-class and above, so one had to be exceptional in both reporting and writing to keep the job.

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My first visit to the Nigerian Stock Exchange (now NGX) in 1992 was fascinating. Journalists watched from the gallery as stockbrokers shouted bids and offers on the trading floor, a system known as the Call-Over or Open Outcry. It was a vibrant, disciplined environment where trading, price discovery, and share allocation were meticulously coordinated.

After each session, journalists compared the Exchange’s Daily Official List with their records to ensure accuracy. Our reports influenced broker decisions, sparked debate, and even moved share prices, a reflection of how much the market depended on credible reporting.

Although the Call-Over System was engaging, it was also time-consuming and dependent on the Chairman’s discretion. Covering the capital market was demanding because it required understanding the broader economy, how macroeconomic variables influenced company performance and stock prices.

In 1994, I was briefly de-accredited by The Exchange, but The Guardian stood by me. By 1997, I joined The Exchange itself, and that same year, I won the Diamond Award for Excellence in Financial Reporting. I rose to management level, led a department, and contributed significantly to the organisation’s growth.

The Exchange invested in my training, I studied at the New York Institute of Finance, trained at the U.S. SEC’s International Institute for Securities Market Development in Washington D.C., and interned at the World Bank in Chicago.

Today, I am a Fellow of both the Institute of Capital Market Registrars and the Chartered Institute of Stockbrokers, as well as a member of the Commodities Brokers Association of Nigeria and the Chartered Institute for Securities and Investment, UK.

I currently work as a public relations consultant, integrated communications strategist, and educationist, maintaining strong ties to the capital market. Journalism laid the foundation for my understanding of finance, governance, and market dynamics, skills that have shaped my entire professional journey.

If you could advise regulators and listed companies on one mindset shift, what would it be?

Both the apex regulator (SEC) and self-regulatory organisations play a crucial role in enforcing market rules and protecting investors. With rapid technological change, regulatory frameworks must evolve accordingly.

The Investment and Securities Act should be reviewed periodically to ensure that regulators stay ahead of market operators, addressing potential infractions before they escalate. Likewise, listed companies must strictly comply with post-listing requirements to maintain transparency and investor trust.

Ultimately, market growth depends on trust. Regulators and operators share responsibility for building and maintaining this trust. Regulators must enforce rules consistently, while operators, brokers, listed firms, and other participants, must act with integrity and provide accurate, timely information.

When investors are confident that the market is fair, transparent, and responsive, they are more willing to commit capital, which in turn fuels liquidity, growth, and long-term stability.

Looking back, what achievement are you most proud of in your capital market journey?

I have consistently advocated for policy reforms, highlighted structural and fiscal challenges, and promoted greater participation in the capital market through my writings and public commentary.

I am also passionate about mentoring the next generation of financial journalists, helping them to embrace accuracy, integrity, and professionalism. Through these efforts, I aim to encourage informed investing, strengthen governance, and contribute to building a more inclusive and resilient market ecosystem.

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Nigerians spend N50bn on US visa applications

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Nigerians spent more than N50bn on US visa applications between 2023 and 2024, despite a sharp decline in approvals as Washington tightened immigration controls and increased scrutiny of applicants.

An analysis of the Intelpoint report, using data from the US Department of State, shows that 201,200 non-immigrant visas were issued to Nigerians between 2023 and 2024. At a standard application fee of $185 per applicant, Nigerians spent approximately $37.2m, equivalent to N50.7bn at an average exchange rate of N1,360 to the dollar.

Visa issuances declined by about 23 per cent, falling to 87,300 in 2024 from 113,900 in 2023, a reduction of 26,600 visas. The PUNCH could not obtain comparable figures for 2025 at the time of reporting.

Business and tourism travel dominated approvals in 2024, with B1/B2 visas accounting for 83 per cent of total issuances, while student visas (F1) represented about seven per cent. Exchange visitor visas (J1) and other temporary categories made up the remainder.

Africa’s most populous nation remained a significant source market for the United States, accounting for about 0.8 per cent of global non-immigrant visa issuances in 2024, the data showed.

Former President of the National Association of Nigeria Travel Agencies, Susan Akporiaye, said Nigerians’ travel behaviour is driven by more than economic conditions, noting a strong cultural inclination toward mobility.

“People would say it’s because of the economy, but I share a different view. Nigerians are generally migrants; they love travelling.

We are like the Chinese of Africa,” Akporiaye told The PUNCH.

The executive argued that most Nigerians who travel abroad return home, and only a small proportion remain outside the country permanently. “There is so much noise of Nigerians staying back. The ones who travel and return are far more than those who stay back. It’s not up to 10 per cent that don’t return,” she stated.

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The decline in visa issuances comes amid a series of policy changes introduced after Donald Trump returned to the White House in January 2025, which have gradually tightened requirements for Nigerian applicants.

In July 2025, the US Department of State announced that most non-immigrant and non-diplomatic visas issued to Nigerian citizens would be restricted to single-entry permits valid for three months, with existing visas unaffected.

In August, applicants were required to disclose all social media usernames used over the previous five years on DS-160 forms, with officials warning that omissions could lead to visa denial or ineligibility.

Akporiaye also noted that travel demand cuts across income levels, from affluent individuals to ordinary citizens travelling for social events. “Nigerians like to explore. We travel for birthdays, weddings, and other ceremonies. I’m not talking about people like Dangote or Otedola, but ordinary Nigerians you don’t even know,” she said.

The expert, however, acknowledged that demand for US travel has softened relative to other destinations, citing operational and policy-related constraints.

“The demand has reduced for some destinations like the US, and it’s becoming worse now. Conditional requirements and operational changes at the US Embassy in Abuja have made access more difficult, including the consolidation of services in Lagos,” she stated.

“There are stories about visas being cancelled or Nigerians getting deported, and that makes people a bit sceptical. But other destinations are still booming.”

Further tightening followed in December 2025, when the US Mission in Nigeria said Washington expanded travel restrictions to include partial limitations on Nigeria and five other countries, effective January 1, 2026.

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An executive at Travel and Tours Limited, Maureen Chimaobi, said securing a US visa has become increasingly difficult over the past year, with many first-time applicants facing steep odds despite completing all required procedures.

“Last year, getting a US visa drastically reduced, especially if you are a first-time traveller or first-time applicant. It’s almost a no-go area,” Chimaobi told our correspondent.

She noted that applicants continue to pay visa fees, schedule appointments and attend interviews, but approvals have become far less predictable. “You pay your visa fee, book your appointment and go for submission. Most of the time, they don’t give it,” the agent said.

The trend reflects growing concerns among travel operators about declining approval rates for Nigerian applicants, even as demand for overseas travel remains strong. Chimaobi said rejection levels have remained high throughout the period under review, particularly for individuals with limited international travel history.

The tougher environment is also influencing destination choices. More Nigerians are turning to countries where visa approvals are perceived to be more attainable, provided applicants can demonstrate sufficient financial capacity and present strong documentation.

“I think most countries still offer a 70 to 80 per cent chance of getting a visa, depending on the quality of your documents and your financial status,” Chimaobi revealed.

She identified the United Kingdom as one of the destinations with relatively stronger approval prospects, although she cautioned that British authorities have also hardened their assessment processes in recent months.

France and other countries within the Schengen area, once considered more accessible to Nigerian travellers, have become increasingly selective, especially toward first-time applicants, she added.

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“Before now, France used to issue visas more easily, but most Schengen countries have become difficult over time, particularly for first-time travellers,” Chimaobi said.

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Petrol imports crash by N2tn to N87bn; see why

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Nigeria’s spending on the importation of Premium Motor Spirit, popularly known as petrol, plunged by over 96 per cent in the first quarter of 2026, marking a dramatic shift in the country’s fuel supply landscape and signaling the growing impact of local refining capacity.

Latest foreign trade statistics released by the National Bureau of Statistics on Monday showed that only N87.401bn was spent on the importation of Motor Spirit Ordinary, the official trade classification for petrol, between January and March 2026.

The figure represents a sharp decline of N2.184tn, or 96.15 per cent, compared to the N2.271tn spent on petrol imports during the corresponding period of 2025. The development is particularly significant as petrol, which had consistently ranked among Nigeria’s most imported commodities for years, was completely absent from the list of the country’s top traded products in the first quarter of 2026.

An analysis of the NBS data by our correspondent showed that petrol did not feature among the top 19 traded products with the rest of the world, Africa, or West Africa during the review period.

Instead, the leading traded products included crude petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, gas oil, durum wheat, machines for reception, conversion and transmission of data, used vehicles, motorcycles, agricultural seeders, medicaments, aircraft parts, butanes, petroleum bitumen, sugar cane, herbicides and fuel additives.

The report read, “The value of total imports stood at N13,619.33bn in the first quarter of 2026, representing a 18.17 per cent decrease from the value recorded in the corresponding quarter of 2025 (N16,644.42bn) and a 21.05 per cent decrease compared to the value recorded in Q4 2025 (N17,250.93bn).

“Analysis of Nigeria’s import trade reveals that China remained the leading source of imports in the first quarter of 2026, followed by the United States of America, India, Germany, and the United Arab Emirates. The most imported commodities during the quarter were petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals (crude), gas oil, durum wheat, machines for the reception, conversion, and transmission of voice, images, or data, and used vehicles with diesel or semi-diesel engines.

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“The value of other oil products imported in Q1 2026 stood at N748.10bn, reflecting an 85.05 per cent decrease from N5,005.22bn in Q1 2025 and an 81.38 per cent decrease from N4,018.31bn recorded in Q4 2025.”

The latest import figure is also the lowest quarterly amount spent on petrol imports since at least 2022, according to available trade records reviewed by our correspondent.

Data from previous years showed that Nigeria spent N2.694tn on petrol imports in the first quarter of 2022. The import bill declined by N661bn, or 24.5 per cent, to N2.033tn in the corresponding period of 2023.

However, petrol import spending surged by N1.780tn in 2024 to N3.813tn, representing an increase of 87.6 per cent year-on-year. The figure later dropped by N1.542tn, or 40.4 per cent, to N2.271tn in the first quarter of 2025 before plunging by a massive N2.184tn, or 96.15 per cent, to N87.401bn in the first quarter of 2026.

The latest figure means that for every N100 spent on petrol imports in the first quarter of 2025, only about N4 was spent during the same period in 2026. The NBS data also highlighted the changing structure of Nigeria’s petrol import trade profile over the years.

According to the report, the total trade value involving the petroleum product stood at N7.705tn in 2022. This declined marginally by N194bn, or 2.5 per cent, to N7.511tn in 2023.

Trade value, however, more than doubled in 2024, rising by N7.907tn, or 105.3 per cent, to N15.418tn, the highest level during the period under review. The figure subsequently fell by N5.045tn, or 32.7 per cent, to N10.373tn in 2025, reflecting changing trade dynamics in Nigeria’s downstream petroleum sector.

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The PUNCH reports that the sharp reduction in petrol imports reflects the increasing contribution of domestic refining facilities to fuel supply, reducing Nigeria’s dependence on foreign suppliers and helping conserve foreign exchange.

For decades, Nigeria relied heavily on imported petrol despite being Africa’s largest crude oil producer, owing largely to the poor performance of state-owned refineries and inadequate domestic refining capacity.

The trend began to change following investments in local refining and the gradual increase in output from domestic refineries, which have reduced the need for large-scale fuel imports.

The sharp decline in petrol imports in the first quarter of 2026 comes amid growing domestic refining capacity, particularly from the operations of the Dangote Petroleum Refinery, which began supplying petrol to the Nigerian market in 2024.

For decades, Nigeria relied heavily on imported Premium Motor Spirit despite being Africa’s largest crude oil producer. The country’s state-owned refineries operated far below capacity for years, forcing marketers and the Nigerian National Petroleum Company to spend trillions of naira annually importing fuel to meet domestic demand.

The commissioning of the 650,000 barrels-per-day refinery in Lekki, Lagos, marked a turning point in the downstream petroleum sector. Since commencing petrol production, the refinery has steadily increased output, supplying marketers, industrial users and fuel distributors across the country.

In January, the Nigerian Midstream Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority reported that Dangote refinery supplied an average of 40.1 million litres of petrol daily, accounting for 61.78 per cent of Nigeria’s petrol supply. Imported fuel contributed 24.8 million litres per day during the month.

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It increased significantly in February as imports collapsed. The refinery supplied about 36.5 million litres per day, while imports dropped to roughly 3.1 million litres per day, meaning locally refined fuel accounted for more than 92 per cent of national supply.

According to the NMDPRA March fact sheet, Dangote remained the sole domestic supplier of petrol, supplying 34.2 million litres per day. Imports rose slightly to 5.9 million litres daily, bringing total supply to about 40.1 million litres per day.

Supply rebounded strongly in April. Dangote supplied 40.7 million litres per day to the domestic market, while imports declined further to 3.7 million litres daily. Total petrol supply stood at 44.4 million litres per day, giving the refinery a market share of approximately 92 per cent of locally consumed fuel and about 80–92 per cent of overall supply, depending on the methodology used.

The disappearance of petrol from the list of top imported products is expected to strengthen arguments that local refining is beginning to alter Nigeria’s trade patterns, lower import dependence and reshape the country’s foreign exchange requirements.

The sustained reductions in fuel imports could improve Nigeria’s trade balance, reduce pressure on the naira and retain more value within the domestic economy, provided local production continues to meet demand.

The first-quarter data therefore represents one of the clearest indications yet of a major shift in Nigeria’s downstream petroleum sector, with petrol imports falling to levels not seen in more than four years.

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Nigerian workers deserve a living wage; read details

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THIS is a debate that never goes away for too long: what is due to Nigerian workers? The renewed agitation over workers’ wages, triggered by a fresh Nigeria Governors’ Forum proposal to raise the national minimum wage to N100,000 per month, only confirms that the country is trapped in an endless cycle of wage adjustments that inflation quickly renders meaningless.

This means that the issue is not just about the size of the minimum wage. Rather, it is about whether Nigerian workers can afford to live with dignity.

That is why the conversation must shift from a statutory minimum wage to a genuine living-wage regime – and a stable economy.

The proposal by the Chairman of the NGF, Governor AbdulRahman AbdulRazaq, has already been rejected by organised labour.

The Nigeria Labour Congress, through its spokesman, Benson Upah, dismissed N100,000 as grossly inadequate and argued that, given current realities, a realistic wage would be closer to N1 million per month!

The Federal Workers Forum also condemned the proposal as a “Greek gift,” insisting that it bears little relationship to prevailing economic conditions.

While the NLC’s N1 million demand may appear excessive to many, the underlying argument deserves serious attention.

The current N70,000 minimum wage approved in July 2024 has already been overtaken by inflation. Like every previous wage increase in Nigeria’s history, its real value has been rapidly eroded.

The country’s minimum wage trajectory elucidates this. It rose from N18,000 in 2011 to N30,000 in 2019 and then to N70,000 in 2024. Yet each increase was followed by soaring inflation that wiped out most of the gains.

It is alleged that some states have yet to implement the minimum wage for grassroots workers, local government employees and primary school teachers.

Dataphyte estimates that the real value of the previous N30,000 wage had collapsed to barely N11,708 by mid-2024. The current N70,000 wage is clearly following the same path.

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The CBN reported that workers lost N2.79 trillion in purchasing power in 2024 alone due to inflation. That explains why workers who celebrated the 133 per cent wage increase in 2024 now find themselves struggling to survive less than two years later.

Nothing illustrates the crisis more vividly than the National Bureau of Statistics and Global Alliance for Improved Nutrition Cost of a Healthy Diet data.

According to an analysis by The Whistler, a healthy diet for one adult now costs an average of N1,541 per day or N46,230 per month, excluding meal preparation costs.

This means that a worker earning N70,000 is left with just N23,770 after feeding only himself.

For an average Nigerian household of 5.06 persons, the monthly cost of a healthy diet rises to N233,923 — equivalent to 334 per cent of the current minimum wage.

In other words, the average worker cannot afford the minimum nutritional requirements recommended by global health standards.

Even the governors’ proposed N100,000 wage would still leave most families far below the subsistence level. It is therefore difficult to dispute labour’s argument that Nigeria’s wage structure has become detached from economic reality.

However, raising wages alone cannot solve the problem.

The organised private sector has raised legitimate concerns about its ability to pay across the board.

The president of the Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry, Leye Kupoluyi, said the private sector should not be compelled to pay the same wage level as the government if businesses could not afford it.

The Director-General of the Nigeria Employers’ Consultative Association, Adewale Oyerinde, points out that the process for arriving at a National Minimum Wage is “rooted in widely acclaimed tripartite negotiations and consultation and not just political statements, without any empirical data to back up the quantum of increase.”

The Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise warned that many businesses are already struggling under crushing energy costs, logistics bottlenecks, foreign exchange challenges, multiple taxation and weak consumer demand. All this needs to be addressed.

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Indeed, any wage increase that is unsupported by productivity growth and economic reforms risks fuelling another inflationary spiral. Businesses facing higher wage bills often pass costs to consumers, thereby worsening the very inflation the wage increase seeks to offset.

Nigeria must therefore avoid the false choice between workers’ welfare and business survival.

The real objective should be a living-wage framework tied to measurable economic indicators and supported by aggressive cost-of-living reduction policies.

This is the model increasingly adopted across many countries. In South Africa, the national minimum wage is approximately 28.79 rand per hour, translating to well over N250,000 monthly at prevailing exchange rates.

Algeria’s minimum wage is around 20,000 dinars (N204,000) monthly, while Egypt recently increased its public-sector minimum wage to 7,000 Egyptian pounds (N184,000).

Kenya’s minimum wage varies by sector and location, but the average of 16,113 Kenyan Shillings (N169,500) remains significantly higher in purchasing power terms than Nigeria’s.

Nigeria should not be setting wage policy as though inflation were a temporary inconvenience.

Food inflation remains the principal driver of household hardship, standing at 16.06 per cent YoY and higher than headline inflation of 15.69 per cent as of April.

Massive investments in agricultural productivity, rural roads, storage infrastructure and security in farming communities are urgently needed.

The absurd situation where healthy diets are more expensive in some rural communities than in urban centres because of poor roads must end.

The government must also address transport costs through investments in rail, inland waterways and public transportation systems.

Electricity tariffs remain a major burden on both households and businesses. Lowering energy costs would immediately improve living standards while enhancing business competitiveness.

Investments in health by ramping up health insurance enrolment and better access to quality care, and in education, via massive infrastructure improvements and teacher recruitment, will reduce household expenditure on these essentials.

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Furthermore, labour’s argument regarding improved government revenues deserves scrutiny.

Since the outbreak of conflict in the Middle East, higher oil prices have boosted Nigeria’s earnings. It is estimated that the windfall has added more than N5 trillion to government coffers.

Whether that figure is an exaggeration or not, governments are receiving historically high FAAC allocations, averaging over a 50 per cent surge for states in 2025 and all tiers sharing up to N2 trillion in 2026.

Nigerians deserve to see some direct benefit from these gains through targeted subsidies for food production and transportation, public transit and essential services.

More fundamentally, wage determination should no longer depend on sporadic political negotiations every few years.

The National Minimum Wage Act should be amended to provide for automatic annual adjustments linked to inflation, productivity and cost-of-living indicators. Such a mechanism would prevent workers from suffering prolonged erosion of purchasing power before the government responds.

Above all, policymakers must remember that they are insulated from the hardships confronting ordinary citizens.

Governors, legislators, political appointees and senior public officials enjoy humongous allowances, subsidised accommodation, official vehicles, security details and generous expense accounts.

They do not queue for transport. They do not worry about school fees after buying food. They do not feel inflation in the same way as the average worker.

That disconnect explains why debates over N70,000, N100,000 or even N1 million often miss the central issue.

The goal of wage policy is not simply to keep workers alive so that the job is done. It is to ensure that honest labour can provide a decent standard of living.

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