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Malami’s 2027 gov bid reshapes Kebbi political landscape

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The entry of former Attorney General of the Federation and Minister of Justice, Abubakar Malami (SAN), into the 2027 Kebbi State governorship race, under the African Democratic Congress, has reshaped the political landscape in the North-West state, writes ANIMASAHUN SALMAN

Former Attorney General of the Federation and Minister of Justice, Abubakar Malami (SAN), has formally joined the 2027 governorship contest in Kebbi State, a move that immediately altered political calculations in the North-West state and triggered reactions from government officials, political analysts, and supporters.

Malami, who declared his ambition during an interview on DCL Hausa monitored in Birnin Kebbi, said he would be contesting on the platform of the African Democratic Congress, setting the stage for what many observers now describe as a potentially fierce and unpredictable race.

However, just a week later, the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission reportedly invited him as part of an ongoing investigation into the alleged $490m Abacha loot. The move introduced a major stumbling block to his political ambitions, fuelling speculation about whether the legal scrutiny could slow down his campaign or affect voter perception.

Not deterred, Malami wrote on his X handle: “This is to confirm that I have been invited by the EFCC. As a law-abiding and patriotic citizen, I hereby reaffirm my commitment to honour the invitation. I understand the spirit of accountability and transparency in public service – the principles that I both advocate and champion. Rooted in public service and in the spirit of transparency and accountability, I am committed to sharing with the Nigerian public the developments as they unfold.”

After honouring the EFCC invitation, the former minister wrote: “In line with my undertaking to keep Nigerians updated on my invitation by EFCC, I give glory to Allah for his divine intervention. The engagement was successful, and I was eventually released while on an appointment for further engagement as the truth relating to the fabricated allegations against me continues to unfold.”

Announcing his decision to contest the governorship, the former minister said his decision was driven by worsening insecurity, the collapse of agriculture, and what he called “policy failure” affecting thousands of households across Kebbi.

According to him, the state is in desperate need of “rebuilding,” and he believes he possesses the experience and network required to redirect its development.

“I have agreed to contest, and there is no retreat. God willing, we are going to win. When the time comes, you will see that the people of Kebbi are with us,” Malami declared.

His statement signals the beginning of a long political journey that could reshape the balance of power in a state long dominated by the ruling All Progressives Congress.

Malami’s choice of the ADC immediately attracted attention across the state. As one of the most influential figures in the APC during the late President Muhammadu Buhari administration, his defection to a new party signalled a deep political rift.

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Political analysts say this could fragment the ruling party’s support base, especially in Gwandu Emirate, where Malami’s influence has long been visible.

According to some political commentators, the former minister’s declaration could introduce a three-way contest between the APC, with incumbent Governor Nasir Idris seeking to maintain party dominance; the PDP, which has struggled to regain momentum in the state; and Malami’s ADC, which may draw support from disaffected voters, youth groups, and political blocs dissatisfied with the current administration.

The development also revives long-standing political rivalries dating back to the 2015 and 2019 election cycles, where Malami was instrumental in mobilising federal support for APC candidates.

His decision to break away is therefore seen by many as both a political rebuke of the present government and a calculated attempt to realign political power around his own camp.

Idris

In announcing his candidacy, Malami focused heavily on the state’s security situation, especially persistent banditry in Zuru Emirate, Danko/Wasagu, Fakai, and parts of Yauri, areas that once formed the backbone of Kebbi’s food production.

He lamented that rice mills that operated for two decades had shut down, blaming state and federal authorities for “negligence.”

“Banditry has pushed thousands away from their farmlands. Rice mills that operated for 20 years have closed because of bad policies favouring foreign companies,” he said.

Kebbi’s agricultural decline is already well documented. The state, once celebrated for its partnership with Lagos in the Lake Rice programme, has experienced reduced yields in rice, wheat, millet, and onions due to insecurity and migration from rural communities.

By focusing on these issues, Malami is attempting to position himself as the candidate with both national and local exposure to reverse the trends.

The Kebbi State Government, however, reacted sharply to Malami’s declaration, insisting that his ambition poses no threat to Governor Nasir Idris or the ruling party.

The Chief Press Secretary to the Governor, Ahmed Idris, said the declaration was neither new nor surprising and insisted that only voters would determine who leads the state.

“The floor is open for everyone to contest. Only the people of Kebbi will decide their governor. We have no reason to panic,” he said.

The governor’s Special Adviser on Communication and Strategy, Abdullah Idris Zuru, described the former minister’s announcement as “a product of desperation.”

In a detailed reaction, Zuru challenged Malami to present his track record for public scrutiny.

“Nobody is moved. Nobody sees him as a threat. Let him go back to the grassroots and tell the people what he has done. People now understand their rights. They will not be deceived by empty rhetoric,” he said.

Zuru argued that modern voters no longer follow politicians blindly and that candidates must demonstrate past contributions to local development before seeking the state’s highest office.

“If you want to be governor, show the people your antecedents. Were you a commissioner, a chairman, a philanthropist? What have you done to improve the well-being of Kebbi people?” he said.

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Malami’s supporters, however, insist the government’s reaction reflects insecurity rather than confidence.

A political associate of the former AGF, Dr Abdurrahman Ibrahim, said the declaration was not an act of desperation but a response to widespread calls across the state.

“People from all corners of Kebbi are calling him to contest. He has a track record. He has brought development. Politics is a game of numbers, and Malami has the numbers,” he said.

He said Malami’s decision to leave the APC was mainly due to what they described as “failed campaign promises” by the current administration.

According to him, the former minister initially supported the governor with the belief that he would deliver on his agenda.

“He believed the governor would prioritise the needs of the people. But after the election, the promises changed. People are suffering. Development has stalled. That is why Malami decided to challenge the status quo,” he said.

On government claims that Malami lacks grassroots presence, Dr Ibrahim insisted the opposite was the case.

“If you go to Kebbi, the people will tell you who is mass-oriented. Malami is strategic, highly educated, and capable of driving development. That is why the people want him.”

He described Malami as a realistic candidate with broad acceptance and the capacity to finance and manage a full-scale campaign under the ADC platform.

One of the striking elements of Malami’s declaration is his choice of platform. The ADC has little electoral history in Kebbi State and has never won a governorship election there.

Though Malami’s entry into the governorship race is seen by many as an act that would strengthen the party, the former AGF still faces major challenges, including absence of traditional party structures in rural communities, lack of grassroots mobilisers in key local government areas, limited presence in previous election cycles, strong APC machinery across the state, and historical loyalty to major parties.

The 2027 election cycle may, however, differ from past cycles due to the impact of insecurity, economic hardship, and rising political consciousness.

Early on Monday, the Government Girls Comprehensive Secondary School in Maga town, Danko Wasagu Local Government Area, was attacked by bandits, where the vice principal was killed and 25 girls abducted.

The current trend of insecurity in the state may give Malami a campaign wave to ride on.

Malami’s financial strength, national influence, and personal political network could also compensate for the ADC’s structural weaknesses.

A lecturer at a federal institution in the state, Dr Musa Bello, said Malami’s entry into a smaller party creates a complex race.

“He is banking on personality, not party structure. If he successfully draws major APC blocs, especially in Gwandu and Argungu, then ADC becomes a strong contender. But the burden of building a statewide structure is enormous,” he said.

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Political insiders confirm that Malami played a crucial role in supporting Governor Nasir Idris during the last election. At the time, the former AGF was one of the major forces behind the governor’s emergence.

Their fallout, therefore, marks one of the most significant political breakaways in Kebbi’s recent history.

Sources say the rift widened over policy direction, political appointments, and alleged failure to meet key governance expectations. However, the government insists it owes no explanation.

Malami’s supporters maintain that the governor abandoned core campaign promises, especially regarding security, agriculture, education, and civil service welfare.

This disagreement has now transformed into a full electoral confrontation, with residents expressing their opinions on the candidates.

In Zuru, farmers and traders welcome the former minister’s stance on insecurity, saying any candidate willing to address banditry deserves attention.

In Argungu, some residents recall federal assistance and appointments linked to Malami’s influence while in office.

In Birnin Kebbi, some civil servants express scepticism, saying they prefer candidates with extensive local administrative experience.

A rice miller in Bunza, who simply gave his name as Mohammed, said, “We need someone who understands our struggles. If Malami can bring peace and reopen farms, we will support him.”

However, a trader in Jega, who did not want his name published, offered a different view: “We hear big rhetoric from Abuja. We want someone who has been with us here, not someone who only comes during elections.”

These mixed sentiments reflect a state where voters are increasingly demanding accountability while remaining open to new political alternatives.

With Malami’s entry, the 2027 governorship race in Kebbi is no longer a two-horse contest. The election will now revolve around four key issues: security of lives and farmlands, agricultural revival and economic recovery, performance record of the incumbent administration, and credibility and grassroots acceptance of candidates.

Though the APC still maintains structural dominance, internal cracks and public criticism may weaken its voter base. The ADC is emerging as a new force, buoyed by Malami’s entry. The PDP, though quieter, hopes to benefit from vote splitting between the two major blocs, especially now that the state holds the position of national chairman of the PDP, Tanimu Turaki (SAN).

Malami’s entry has transformed what was expected to be a straightforward governorship succession into a turbulent contest, and in the months ahead, alliances, defections, and political negotiations are expected to further shape the race.

With the development, Kebbi’s 2027 race is now open, competitive, and unpredictable.

Some political watchers of the event in the state, however, suggest that how Malami navigates the legal entanglement with the EFCC probing will be critical in determining whether his political momentum can be sustained.

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Cameroon’s president Paul Biya set to get a vice president for the first time in his 43-year rule

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Cameroon’s president, Paul Biya, is set to get a vice president for the first time in his four-decade rule, following controversial constitutional changes backed by the parliament.

In a ‌joint session of the ruling party-dominated National Assembly and Senate, lawmakers voted 200 to 18 in favour, with four abstentions, to pass the bill.

The bill stipulates that the vice president will ​automatically assume the presidency if President Paul Biya dies, resigns, or becomes incapacitated.

Biya, ​93, has led the Central African country since 1982 and is the world’s oldest serving head of state. Public discussion about ​his health is banned.

According to the legislation, a copy of which was seen by ​Reuters, the vice president will be appointed and dismissed by the president, serving for the remainder of the president’s seven-year term.

However, the interim leader would be prohibited from initiating constitutional changes or ​running in a subsequent election.

Prior to the amendment, the constitution designated the leader of the Senate to briefly take over in case the sitting president d!es or is incapacitated. An election would then be held.

The Social Democratic Front (SDF) party, which has six representatives in parliament, boycotted the vote. It had pushed for a revision in favour of the vice-president being jointly elected with the president, rather than appointed.

The party also sought a constitutional provision that reflects the linguistic split between English and French-speaking regions. The SDF wanted the nation’s top two posts to be shared between Cameroon’s two communities, which was the position before 1972.

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“This constitutional reform could have been a moment of political courage, but it is nothing less than a missed historic opportunity,” SDF chairman Joshua Osih said.

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Opposition parties weigh election boycott ahead of 2027

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Opposition parties have started pushing for boycott of the 2027 general elections over alleged bias by the Independent National Electoral Commission and purported moves to make President Bola Tinubu the sole contender at the polls.

The Taminu Turaki-led faction of the Peoples Democratic Party and the National Chairman of the African Action Congress, Omoyele Sowore, urged political parties to boycott the elections.

The spokesperson for the African Democratic Congress, Bolaji Abdullahi, said the option would be considered by the party leadership.

In an interview with Sunday PUNCH, the National Publicity Secretary of the Turaki faction, Ini Ememobong, said the boycott was necessary to prevent opposition parties from legitimising a “compromised and predetermined” process.

He accused INEC and the All Progressives Congress of deliberately undermining opposition parties to pave the way for an uncontested victory.

INEC had derecognised the Senator David Mark-led National Working Committee of the ADC, a development that intensified leadership disputes and deepened divisions within opposition ranks.

Ememobong questioned the timing of INEC’s planned activities, including the clean-up of the voter register and monitoring of party records, warning that such measures could be used to deregister opposition parties.

He said, “All opposition parties are in a precarious situation. It is either we find a platform or collectively pull out and allow them to have their fun.

“The only thing that can be gleaned from INEC’s disposition is that it wants to foist a coronation, an uncontested election in 2027. The opposition must think outside the box. This regime is determined to impose itself on Nigerians whether they want it or not. We must adopt unconventional but legal strategies to apply pressure. If they don’t yield, we boycott early to save the nation unnecessary costs.

“Let us not allow them to embezzle over N800bn in the name of an election. If the President does not want to stand, we don’t need to spend the money. Let them organise a coronation, but we will not legitimise an illegitimate process. The faster we decide our course, the better. If PDP, ADC, and all critical politicians boycott, the President may rethink, or the election will proceed and the international community will respond.”

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Speaking on the boycott, Sowore said participation in an election lacking fairness would be pointless.

“Political parties met with INEC, and the position of every political party is that these guys are not planning an election. They are doing things so there is no room for any other party to compete,” he said.

He noted that opposition parties should start discussing a collective withdrawal if the situation did not improve.

“If we can’t have an atmosphere for a free, fair and credible election, why are we wasting time participating? If all the political parties are serious, we should be discussing a boycott now,” Sowore said.

Speaking with Sunday PUNCH, the ADC National Publicity Secretary, Abdullahi, said the party understood the reasons for the call.

“Boycotting the election is a position that will have to be considered by our party leadership, but we understand why they (Turaki faction) are making that demand. We are going to vacate the space for APC, but we are convinced that we will win this election regardless of what they (APC) do,” Abdullahi said.

Opposition in crisis

Major opposition parties are battling internal crises that critics say could weaken them ahead of the 2027 elections.

The PDP crisis, rooted in unresolved disputes from the 2023 presidential elections, has left the party split into two factions: one led by Taminu Turaki, backed by governors Seyi Makinde (Oyo) and Bala Mohammed (Bauchi), and another led by Abdulrahman Mohammed, who is loyal to the Minister of the Federal Capital Territory, Nyesom Wike.

The ADC has also been embroiled in a leadership dispute since 2025, after Senator David Mark assumed leadership of a new National Working Committee in July that year.

The conflict stems from disagreements over the tenure of former National Chairman Ralph Nwosu, which ended in August 2022.

While Nwosu participated in the 2025 transition, his deputy, Nafiu Gombe, insisted he should serve as acting National Chairman.

Rival factions subsequently laid claim to the party’s leadership, triggering multiple court cases before the Appeal Court and the Supreme Court, raising doubts about the party’s readiness for 2027.

The Labour Party is also caught in a protracted leadership crisis, marked by conflicting court rulings and rival petitions.

The situation reached a turning point when a Federal High Court in Abuja ordered INEC to recognise the Nenadi Usman-led caretaker committee as the legitimate leadership.

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Justice Peter Lifu, delivering the judgment, ruled that the tenure of the Julius Abure-led National Working Committee had expired, declaring the Usman-led committee “the only valid authority” pending a national convention.

While the Usman-led committee anchored its legitimacy on the ruling and prior judicial pronouncements, the Abure faction rejected the decision and has filed an appeal, arguing that “no court has the power to appoint leadership for any political party.”

The internal crisis in the NNPP has also deepened, with rival factions at the national and Kano State levels trading accusations of external interference.

At the federal level, the party is split between supporters of former presidential candidate and ex-Kano governor, Senator Rabiu Kwankwaso, and a faction led by founding member Boniface Aniebonam.

APC slams opposition parties

Reacting, the National Secretary of the APC, Senator Basiru Ajibola, questioned the credibility of the opposition.

He said, “Which opposition? Is it people who cannot even organise their party affairs creditably and within the law and acceptable democratic ethos? It is part of the democratic rights of any political party to participate or boycott elections. APC and our president cannot be gaslighted by baseless and mischievous allegations.”

Ajibola further described allegations against INEC as unfounded, saying they reflected lack of seriousness and preparedness for democratic contest within the ambit of existing laws.

He took a swipe at the opposition’s electoral performance, and noted that they had fared poorly in elections conducted since 2023, including the FCT election and recent bye-elections in Kano and Rivers.

NNPP rejects boycott, CSOs worry over calls

Meanwhile, the New Nigeria Peoples Party and civil society organisations have warned that a move to boycott elections could undermine the democratic process and push the country towards a one-party system.

The NNPP Publicity Secretary, Dipo Johnson, said despite growing concerns over INEC’s recent decisions, the party would not support withdrawing from the polls.

“The NNPP shares stronger views because it is becoming clear that what was whispered is now beginning to look like the truth—that INEC is trying to ensure that only the APC will stand for the elections. But we will advise them to try to win through democratic means. Already, a non-democratic method has started.

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“I don’t subscribe to boycotting the election, but I support something much harder than that because Tinubu and his party don’t even care if you boycott the election,” Johnson added.

A board member of Yiaga Africa, Professor Nnamdi Aduba, said concerns over the electoral process should be addressed, but the threat of a boycott may be exaggerated.

He criticised what he described as excessive judicial interference in political party affairs, noting that parties were voluntary organisations that should be allowed to operate independently.

“While the threat should be taken seriously and the government should keep its hands off, I think there is some grandstanding. It would be unhealthy if we begin to have a system dominated by a single candidate, and I don’t think that will happen.

He added, “The judiciary is handling issues in a way that risks giving the impression that the government is trying to weaken opposition parties. Political parties are voluntary organisations and the courts should only intervene in rare cases.”

Also speaking, the National President of the Centre for Anti-Corruption and Open Leadership, Debo Adeniran, said it was inaccurate to place the blame solely on the ruling party for the challenges facing opposition groups.

Adeniran noted that while a one-party state would be detrimental to Nigeria, there is no clear evidence that the country is heading in that direction.

“It is fashionable to say that the ruling party wants to frustrate the opposition, but even within parties like ADC, they know they made fundamental mistakes. It is not healthy for a country like Nigeria to gravitate towards a one-party state, but there is no sign that this is actually happening,” he said.

Adeniran attributed current difficulties largely to internal weaknesses within opposition parties and rejected calls for an election boycott.

“I don’t think anybody is undermining our democratic experiment, and there is no justification for any party to boycott the election,” he added.

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ADC crisis: Govs, lawmakers shelve defections

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There are indications that Oyo State Governor, Seyi Makinde, and his counterpart from Bauchi State, Governor Bala Mohammed, may no longer join the African Democratic Congress (ADC).

Credible sources close to Makinde and the ADC told Sunday PUNCH that the two governors had slowed down their consultations to move to the ADC following the de-recognition of the party’s leadership by the Independent National Electoral Commission.

Sunday PUNCH also gathered that INEC’s decision had cast doubt on the intentions of National Assembly members planning to join the party.

INEC on Wednesday removed the names of the NWC of ADC led by Mark from its official portal, citing a Court of Appeal order.

The electoral commission said it would maintain the status quo ante bellum pending the determination of a substantive suit before the Federal High Court in Abuja.

The decision followed a protracted leadership crisis within the ADC, with rival factions led by Nafiu Gombe and Mark laying claim to the party’s national structure.

According to the commission, the appellate court, in a judgment delivered on March 12, 2026, directed all parties to maintain the existing situation before the dispute arose and refrain from actions that could prejudice the outcome of the case.

But the Mark-led NWC rejected INEC’s decision and called for the dissolution of the electoral commission.

It also vowed to proceed with preparations for the proposed National Convention scheduled for Abuja, the Federal Capital Territory, on April 14.

There were reports that Makinde and Bala would join the ADC following the prolonged crisis in the Peoples Democratic Party.

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Bala, who is Chairman of the PDP Governors’ Forum, on Tuesday indicated plans to defect to the ADC.

The governor gave the hint after a closed-door meeting with a delegation of the ADC, led by a former Secretary to the Government of the Federation, Babachir Lawal, at the Presidential Lodge, Bauchi.

Bala stated that despite exhausting all avenues for reconciliation within the PDP at both national and state levels, no meaningful progress had been made.

The Bauchi governor described the ADC as a “preferred destination,” noting, however, that consultations and negotiations were ongoing to ensure a well-informed decision.

Ditto for Makinde, who had been meeting with chieftains of the party.

Speaking with Sunday PUNCH on condition of anonymity, an ally of Makinde, who is knowledgeable about the political activities of the governor, said he might not join the ADC again.

The source said, “I’m not sure Makinde will join the ADC again because ever since INEC’s derecognition of the ADC leadership, he has not been showing interest in further engagements with the ADC leaders.”

Reacting, the Special Adviser to Makinde on Media, Sulaimon Olanrewaju, dismissed claims that the governor was planning to dump the PDP.

Olanrenwaju, in an interview with Sunday PUNCH, equally denied claims that he was delaying his move to ADC due to uncertainty surrounding the party’s national leadership.

He said, “The information is mere rumors, nothing like that.”

Also, the Bauchi State chapter of the PDP said Bala had yet to join the ADC.

Responding to questions on why he had yet to defect to the ADC despite earlier indicating Thursday as a possible timeline, the state PDP Publicity Secretary, Dayyabu Chiroma, said, “All I can tell you is that we are still in the PDP, and we are stronger together.”

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He noted that although a committee had been set up to assess the party’s political future, no decision had been taken to leave the party.

“Yes, we have established a committee to make findings on our political future, but we are still in the PDP and have not moved to any other platform,” Chiroma said.

Uncertainty over lawmakers’ defection

Findings by Sunday PUNCH indicate growing uncertainty over the planned defection of some lawmakers, with several still undecided on their next move.

Originally expected to dump the PDP for the ADC, the lawmaker representing Darazo/Ganjuwa Federal Constituency of Bauchi State, Mansur Soro, told Sunday PUNCH that consultations were ongoing.

“We are still consulting and we’ll decide in the next one week,” he stated, when asked if his movement to the ADC remained sacrosanct despite INEC’s decision not to recognise the Mark-led NWC.

Similarly, Lagos lawmaker, Jesse Onuakalusi, whose defection from the Labour Party to the ADC was recently announced on the floor of the House, declined to state his next move if the crisis persists.

Asked what options he would explore, he responded tersely, “What do you mean by if the controversy is not resolved? I don’t want to talk about this issue for now.”

On his part, the lawmaker representing Idemili North/Idemili South Federal Constituency of Anambra State, Uchenna Okonkwo, downplayed the significance of INEC’s action, expressing confidence in a legal resolution.

“The Court of Appeal did not ask INEC to yank off anybody’s name. The court said the status quo should be maintained but the umpire chose to interpret it the way it deemed it.

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“As far as we are concerned, this is not cause for alarm as we are optimistic that the issue would be resolved.”

He added that regardless of the outcome, a former presidential candidate of the Labour Party, Mr Peter Obi, would lead the way for many LP defectors.

Okonkwo said, “It is unfortunate that people are not being allowed to exercise their democratic choice to decide where they want to be. Those who are celebrating today are reminded that the challenges we face as a people are party neutral. Poor power supply, cost of fuel and high living conditions affect all.”

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