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Petrol exports hit N371bn amid heavy import reliance

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Nigeria exported Premium Motor Spirit, popularly known as petrol, worth N371.54bn in the second quarter of 2025, marking the first recorded shipment of the product after the Dangote Petroleum Refinery came online. The breakthrough follows the commencement of operations at the refinery, Africa’s largest single-train refining complex.

Data from the National Bureau of Statistics shows that petrol accounted for 1.63 per cent of Nigeria’s total exports in the quarter. This was a remarkable shift for a country long dependent on imports due to the chronic dormancy of state-owned refineries. No petrol exports were recorded in either the previous quarter or the same period in 2024.

Analysis of the trade figures revealed that only N85.83bn, representing 23.1 per cent of petrol exports, went to Africa. All of it was concentrated in West Africa, specifically within the Economic Community of West African States. The remaining 76.9 per cent was shipped to destinations outside the continent, suggesting that markets in Asia and the Middle East drove the refinery’s early sales.

Within Nigeria’s regional export mix, petrol represented 2.89 per cent of shipments to Africa, 4.36 per cent to West Africa, and 4.45 per cent to ECOWAS. Globally, it ranked as Nigeria’s ninth-largest export in Q2 2025, but within West Africa, it rose to fifth place and fourth within ECOWAS.

Petrol imports persist

Despite the milestone, Nigeria remained a net importer of petrol. Imports stood at N2.38tn in Q2 2025—down 45.56 per cent from N4.36tn in Q2 2024, but still nearly 6.4 times the value of exports. Compared to N1.76tn in Q1 2025, imports rose by 34.89 per cent quarter-on-quarter.

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Cumulatively, Nigeria imported N4.14tn worth of petrol in the first half of 2025, compared to N8.18tn in the same period of 2024, representing a 49.41 per cent decline. Analysts believe the increasing local refining output will gradually reduce the country’s dependence on foreign suppliers.

Alhaji Aliko Dangote, President of the Dangote Group, confirmed that the refinery exported about 1.35 billion litres of petrol between June and July 2025, equivalent to one million tonnes. Speaking at the recent Global Commodity Insights Conference on West African Refined Fuel Markets, organised by the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority in partnership with S&P Global, Dangote declared that Nigeria had become a net exporter of refined products.

“From June to date, we have exported about one million tonnes of PMS within just 50 days,” Dangote said, noting that the refinery also began shipping aviation fuel to Europe and Saudi Arabia.

S&P Global reported that gasoline exports from the refinery spiked to roughly 90,000 barrels per day in June 2025, reaching markets as far as Oman, Singapore, and Malaysia. However, production outages and maintenance on its catalytic cracking unit limited volumes in the early months.

Under a naira-for-crude deal with the government, the refinery is obliged to supply fixed volumes of refined products domestically. This is critical amid concerns that the refinery’s export drive could undermine local supply.

Dangote dismissed allegations of monopolising the downstream sector, arguing that his company was investing heavily to reduce Nigeria’s dependence on imports. “Too many people with the means to contribute prefer to criticise from the sidelines while investing abroad. Our focus is to build energy independence for Nigeria and Africa,” he said.

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The NMDPRA noted that Nigeria and other West African countries still import around 69 per cent of their petrol needs. According to the agency’s Chief Executive, Farouk Ahmed, an average of 2.05 million metric tonnes of petrol is traded monthly in the region, with the bulk sourced from overseas.

This underscores the challenge Nigeria faces: while Dangote’s refinery has changed the narrative by creating export flows, demand still outstrips supply locally.

Nigeria’s refined products are already finding traction in the United States, which imported about 630,000 barrels per day of petroleum in Q2 2025. Industry sources say the US is a promising destination given that Dangote’s fuel meets its quality specifications. Other major buyers of US imports in the quarter included the Netherlands, Canada, and India.

President Bola Tinubu has framed the refinery’s output as part of a wider African push to reshape global energy markets. Writing on his official X handle recently, Tinubu said, “Africa can no longer remain a price taker for its resources. It is time to establish credible, transparent benchmarks that reflect our realities and protect our economies.”

He added that Nigeria is working with regional partners to establish an integrated market that secures domestic energy access, rewards African production, and deepens cross-border prosperity.

The emergence of petrol exports represents a structural shift in Nigeria’s energy trade. For decades, petrol dominated import bills without appearing in the export ledger. With Dangote now shipping products globally, Nigeria is evolving into both a supplier to regional markets and a participant in the global refined products trade.

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Analysts say that as the refinery ramps up output, Nigeria’s foreign exchange earnings will improve, import dependence will ease, and the country’s position as West Africa’s energy hub will be strengthened.

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Investors lose fresh N1.17tn as bearish trading resumes

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The equities market began the week in the red as the All-Share Index of the Nigerian Exchange fell by 1.26 per cent to close at 145,159.77 points on Monday.

The decline wiped off about N1.17tn from investors’ wealth, dragging market capitalisation down to N92.3tn.

According to market data, the downturn was driven largely by heavy sell pressure on Dangote Cement, which fell by a maximum of 10 per cent, alongside declines in tier-1 banks including Zenith Bank (-1.64 per cent), Access Holdings (-3.26 per cent), and FBN Holdings (-2.76 per cent).

Despite the negative close, market breadth stood positive, with 28 gainers outperforming 24 losers. Sovereign Insurance (+9.97 per cent) led the gainers’ chart, while Dangote Cement and Enamelware, both down 10 per cent, topped the losers’ list.

Market activity normalised after last Friday’s unusually large turnover, driven by off-market crosses in Cornerstone Insurance. Total volume traded declined sharply by 92.1 per cent to 388.2 million units, while total value traded fell by 26.3 per cent to N31.1bn. Tantalizer emerged as the most traded stock by volume with 57.1 million units, while Aradel Holdings dominated the value chart with N21.5bn worth of trades, accounting for 69 per cent of total market value. Recall that Tantalizer on Friday announced the signing of a multi-million-dollar deal with a US-based firm for a period of five years to export premium prawns and shrimps.

Trading remained largely bearish across most sectors. The InHHHdustrial Goods Index led sector declines, down 4.48 per cent, primarily due to weakness in Dangote Cement.

The Oil & Gas Index fell by 1.18 per cent with losses in Oando and Aradel, while the Banking Index dropped 1.01 per cent. The Consumer Goods Index edged down 0.02 per cent. In contrast, the Insurance Index closed positively, rising 0.07 per cent, supported by gains in Sovereign Insurance.

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Cowry Asset Management, in its daily market note, attributed Monday’s downturn to profit-taking activities among investors. The firm noted that the drop in market capitalisation occurred despite the listing of 1.96 billion ordinary shares of Chams Holding via private placement, underscoring the depth of the sell pressure.

The investment house added that trading patterns reflected heightened retail activity. Although total trading volume plunged 92.64 per cent to 360.6 million units and value dropped 26.88 per cent to N30.9bn, the number of deals rose 15.83 per cent to 27,975, indicating increased participation through smaller-sized transactions.

Meanwhile, the October inflation data released by the National Bureau of Statistics indicated that Nigeria’s inflation continued its deceleration, moderating to 16.1 per cent year-on-year in October, compared with 18.0 per cent in the prior month.

This moderation was evident in the food and core baskets, which both settled at 13.1 per cent YoY and 18.7 per cent YoY, respectively (vs 16.9 per cent and 19.5 per cent in September). However, on a MoM basis, headline inflation rose by 0.9 per cent vs 0.7 per cent recorded in the prior period.

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Minority investors vital for capital market growth – Sola Oni

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With more than 30 years of experience across financial journalism, capital market operations, education, and strategic communications, Sola Oni stands as a prominent figure in Nigeria’s investment landscape. A former spokesperson for the Nigerian Stock Exchange (now NGX) and a Fellow of both the Chartered Institute of Stockbrokers and the Institute of Capital Market Registrars, Oni discusses with OLUWAKEMI ABIMBOLA the importance of minority investors in market growth and other emerging developments in Nigeria’s financial sector

The capital market has witnessed several developments recently, from the transition to a T+2 settlement cycle to the recognition of digital assets such as cryptocurrency. How do you assess these changes and their implications for the market and the wider economy?

The commencement of the Central Securities Clearing System operations on 14 April 1997, established a central depository with an electronic clearing and settlement system. It began with T+5 (Transaction Day plus five working days). In 2000, CSCS advanced to T+3, the settlement cycle it has maintained to date.

Before this milestone, the Nigerian capital market relied on a manual clearing and settlement system, which was entirely paper-based. Investors were issued physical share certificates as proof of ownership, a process fraught with numerous challenges. Clearing and settlement could take weeks or even months due to manual document verification. Registrars were required to authenticate share certificates, which were physically delivered for ownership transfer and register updates.

The manual process was susceptible to theft, administrative bottlenecks, high transaction costs, reconciliation errors, fraud, and forgery. As a dynamic institution, CSCS is now set to launch a T+2 clearing and settlement cycle on 28 November. All stakeholders are prepared for this historic event, which will be inaugurated by the Securities and Exchange Commission.

The ultimate goal is to achieve T+1, which is already the standard in several advanced markets. This means that if you buy or sell securities today, payment and ownership transfer will be completed the following day. Markets such as the Toronto Stock Exchange in Canada, Bolsa Mexicana de Valores in Mexico, NSE and BSE in India, and the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges in China already operate this benchmark.

Let me add that T+0 is uncommon, as it requires real-time cash and securities availability. It can reduce liquidity since funds and securities are tied up immediately. Although a few markets, including China, the United States, and India, operate T+0, it is mostly limited to digital assets and certain money market instruments.

Many companies in the financial services sector are currently undergoing recapitalisation. How should minority investors position themselves to take advantage of this trend?

Minority investors, those owning less than 50 per cent of a company, are essential to every thriving capital market. Regardless of ownership size, every investor must begin with the basics: What is my investment objective? What is my risk tolerance? What is my time horizon? And what is my source of funds?

An investor who cannot answer these questions is simply taking uncalculated risks, which often end badly. As the financial services sector evolves, minority investors need to be strategic. A good starting point is understanding the investment policy of the target company and identifying growth segments with strong potential. These include undercapitalised mid-tier banks, emerging fintech firms, and high-performing insurance companies.

A minority investor’s objective should align closely with that of the target company. It is also prudent to focus on firms where recapitalisation can unlock regulatory reliefs, improve credit ratings, and strengthen growth capacity. Positioning in such companies enhances returns and provides a pathway to sustainable wealth creation. In a reform-driven and innovative market, the best opportunities often lie where growth and regulation converge in favour of investors.

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Tax reforms are expected to take effect next year. What impact might these have on the capital market?

The ongoing work of the Presidential Committee on Tax and Fiscal Policy Reforms, chaired by Mr Taiwo Oyedele, is generating significant interest across Nigeria’s economic landscape. Stakeholders believe that the committee’s recommendations will have far-reaching implications for businesses, investors, and the capital market as a whole.

In the capital market, taxation is a major determinant of competitiveness. It affects corporate earnings and, by extension, shareholder returns. For foreign investors, tax policy is often a critical factor in assessing a country’s investment appeal. Key taxes that directly affect investors include Capital Gains Tax, Withholding Tax on dividends, Transaction Taxes, and Stamp Duties.

However, there are growing concerns among market participants over the proposed increase in Capital Gains Tax from 10 per cent to 30 per cent, which could discourage high-net-worth individuals, institutional investors, and foreign portfolio investors. Analysts warn that such an increase might weaken market confidence and reduce overall investment inflows.

The capital market community therefore looks to the government to consider tax incentives and relief measures that can enhance Nigeria’s global competitiveness. Stakeholders continue to engage with Mr Oyedele and his team, seeking assurance that the reforms will foster growth while preserving investor confidence. Mr Oyedele has repeatedly emphasised that the reforms aim to promote fairness, transparency, and alignment with global best practices.

As the committee’s work progresses, we in the capital market are optimistic that the outcome will have a net positive impact, boosting investor sentiment and positioning Nigeria’s capital market for sustainable growth.

How would you assess Nigeria’s progress in developing a commodities exchange ecosystem?

Nigeria’s commodities exchange ecosystem is still largely untapped but brimming with potential. Encouragingly, awareness of the benefits of commodities exchanges is growing, driven primarily by private-sector-led initiatives.

For instance, in September, the Lagos Commodities and Futures Exchange listed N23.4bn worth of Eko Rice Classic Spot Contracts, a milestone in transforming Nigeria’s agricultural and commodities sectors.
One major source of optimism is the new Investment and Securities Act (2025), which has addressed previous policy gaps and formalised the country’s commodities ecosystem. The Act has strong potential to stimulate economic growth if effectively implemented.

Nonetheless, stronger regulatory support is needed. The government should consider making it mandatory for commodity producers and exporters to use exchange platforms. This would have a multiplier effect on GDP growth and boost foreign exchange earnings. It should also create an enabling environment for private-led commodities exchanges by supporting warehousing and logistics infrastructure to reduce post-harvest losses and enhance token and receipt delivery.

With the number of minority investors on the rise, how crucial is investor education in sustaining market growth and promoting economic resilience?

Minority investors, those owning less than 50 per cent of a company’s shares, are key stakeholders in Nigeria’s capital market. Their protection and active participation are vital for building investor confidence and ensuring fair corporate governance.

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Under the Companies and Allied Matters Act 2020, SEC rules, and NGX listing requirements, minority investors are entitled to several rights that protect their interests and promote accountability.

They have the right to information, ensuring access to periodic financial statements, annual reports, and corporate disclosures, as well as rights to dividends, entry and exit, and protection from oppressive conduct by majority shareholders or directors. They can attend and vote at annual and extraordinary general meetings and participate in rights issues and bonus share offers, thereby preventing unfair dilution of their holdings. In cases of dispute, they can seek legal redress, including court petitions under CAMA for oppression, mismanagement, or unfair prejudice.

These provisions reflect the joint efforts of the SEC, NGX, and the Corporate Affairs Commission to promote transparency and investor protection. When listed companies respect these rights, they strengthen corporate reputation, improve liquidity, and attract both domestic and foreign investors.

Beyond rights, minority investors serve as critical checks and balances on boards and management. Through constructive engagement, asking questions, demanding accountability, and scrutinising decisions, they help uphold governance standards. Their participation in public offers, rights issues, and private placements also deepens liquidity and supports capital formation, which ultimately strengthens the economy.
Protecting minority investors is therefore not merely a legal duty but a strategic necessity for market growth.

A transparent, equitable system that safeguards all investors will enhance confidence and position Nigeria’s capital market as a globally competitive investment destination.
How do you envision Nigeria’s capital market evolving over the next five years?

Capital market development is a marathon, not a sprint. Over the next five years, I envision a market shaped by technology, innovation, and broader participation, particularly from millennials, Gen Z, and other digital natives.
The rise of digital platforms and the introduction of innovative investment products are likely to attract tech-savvy investors, expanding market reach and liquidity. More companies are expected to tap into the capital market for long-term funding, while the government may increasingly rely on market instruments to finance infrastructure projects.

With the CSCS set to commence T+2 settlement this month, the market will become more efficient and competitive in transaction processing.

We can also anticipate significant growth in the commodities ecosystem, with private-sector-led exchanges contributing to GDP expansion and boosting the global competitiveness of Nigerian agricultural products. The Over-the-Counter Exchange, led by NASD Plc, is also poised for increased activity as new products and strategies attract retail and institutional investors.

However, these projections depend on key factors such as the faithful execution of economic reforms, adoption of emerging technologies, and full implementation of the SEC’s Capital Market Master Plan and ISA 2025. With these in place, Nigeria’s capital market could evolve into a more inclusive, innovative, and globally competitive environment.

You began your career in journalism before transitioning into capital market operations and corporate communications. How did that journey unfold?

My transition into the capital market began in 1992 when my editor at The Guardian, Mr Jide Ogundele, sent me to the library to study the Financial Times of London for two days. Until then, I had covered multiple beats, Energy, Money Market, Aviation, Insurance, and Manufacturing, often producing front-page news.

At The Guardian, excellence was non-negotiable. Readers were largely middle-class and above, so one had to be exceptional in both reporting and writing to keep the job.

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My first visit to the Nigerian Stock Exchange (now NGX) in 1992 was fascinating. Journalists watched from the gallery as stockbrokers shouted bids and offers on the trading floor, a system known as the Call-Over or Open Outcry. It was a vibrant, disciplined environment where trading, price discovery, and share allocation were meticulously coordinated.

After each session, journalists compared the Exchange’s Daily Official List with their records to ensure accuracy. Our reports influenced broker decisions, sparked debate, and even moved share prices, a reflection of how much the market depended on credible reporting.

Although the Call-Over System was engaging, it was also time-consuming and dependent on the Chairman’s discretion. Covering the capital market was demanding because it required understanding the broader economy, how macroeconomic variables influenced company performance and stock prices.

In 1994, I was briefly de-accredited by The Exchange, but The Guardian stood by me. By 1997, I joined The Exchange itself, and that same year, I won the Diamond Award for Excellence in Financial Reporting. I rose to management level, led a department, and contributed significantly to the organisation’s growth.

The Exchange invested in my training, I studied at the New York Institute of Finance, trained at the U.S. SEC’s International Institute for Securities Market Development in Washington D.C., and interned at the World Bank in Chicago.

Today, I am a Fellow of both the Institute of Capital Market Registrars and the Chartered Institute of Stockbrokers, as well as a member of the Commodities Brokers Association of Nigeria and the Chartered Institute for Securities and Investment, UK.

I currently work as a public relations consultant, integrated communications strategist, and educationist, maintaining strong ties to the capital market. Journalism laid the foundation for my understanding of finance, governance, and market dynamics, skills that have shaped my entire professional journey.

If you could advise regulators and listed companies on one mindset shift, what would it be?

Both the apex regulator (SEC) and self-regulatory organisations play a crucial role in enforcing market rules and protecting investors. With rapid technological change, regulatory frameworks must evolve accordingly.

The Investment and Securities Act should be reviewed periodically to ensure that regulators stay ahead of market operators, addressing potential infractions before they escalate. Likewise, listed companies must strictly comply with post-listing requirements to maintain transparency and investor trust.

Ultimately, market growth depends on trust. Regulators and operators share responsibility for building and maintaining this trust. Regulators must enforce rules consistently, while operators, brokers, listed firms, and other participants, must act with integrity and provide accurate, timely information.

When investors are confident that the market is fair, transparent, and responsive, they are more willing to commit capital, which in turn fuels liquidity, growth, and long-term stability.

Looking back, what achievement are you most proud of in your capital market journey?

I have consistently advocated for policy reforms, highlighted structural and fiscal challenges, and promoted greater participation in the capital market through my writings and public commentary.

I am also passionate about mentoring the next generation of financial journalists, helping them to embrace accuracy, integrity, and professionalism. Through these efforts, I aim to encourage informed investing, strengthen governance, and contribute to building a more inclusive and resilient market ecosystem.

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Lagos bond subscription hits N310bn

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The Lagos State Commissioner for Finance, Yomi Oluyomi, says the state has made history with the conclusion of the bookbuild for its landmark bond issuance that has recorded an overwhelming reception from the investment community.

In a statement on Monday, Oluyomi explained that the state offered a N200bn Conventional Bond and a N14.8bn Green Bond, both of which were significantly oversubscribed.

“The Conventional Bond, which is the largest ever issued by a non-corporate sub-national in Nigeria’s history, attracted subscriptions totalling N308bn, representing a 54 per cent oversubscription above the initial offer. Lagos State is the first sub-national government to issue an impact climate bond. The Green bond attracted N28.7bn – 94 per cent more than the target,” Oluyomi said.

The Lagos State Governor, Babajide Sanwo-Olu, was quoted in the statement as saying, ”This is a reflection of the global confidence in Nigeria’s economy, fostered by the bold reforms initiated by President Bola Tinubu as reflected in the recent oversubscription of the Federal Government’s Eurobond.

“In Lagos, ours is a testament to our resilience and the unwavering support of our private sector partners who believe in our vision of building Africa’s model megacity that is safe, secure, and functional,” Sanwo-Olu said.

According to him, the state shall continue to ensure prudent financial management, accountability, and fiscal transparency as it continues to provide a conducive environment for businesses to grow. “Our dream is to make Lagos a global financial hub; we will keep our eyes on the ball,” he added.

The statement pointed out that the proceeds from these Bonds are earmarked to fund critical projects across the state, directly aligned along the line of the THEMES+ Agenda of Governor Babajide Sanwo-Olu.

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“These projects will focus on vital areas such as transportation, healthcare, education, and environmental sustainability, all aimed at significantly improving the livelihood and well-being of all Lagosians and securing a more prosperous and resilient future for the state,” it stated.

The “conventional bond” is a fixed-rate, long-term debt instrument issued by the Lagos State Government to raise capital from the domestic capital market.

Proceeds are used to fund infrastructure and social development projects across Lagos. Lagos State has a Debt Issuance Programme that allows it to issue bonds, notes, and other securities under a shelf registration.

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