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Trade minister reveals Nigeria is exploring alternative markets as US tariffs takes effect

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Nigeria is expanding its trade partnerships beyond the United States in response to the recent imposition of a 15 percent import tariff by former U.S. President Donald Trump. Minister of Industry, Trade, and Investment, Jumoke Oduwole, disclosed this during an interview on CNN’s Quest Means Business.

On August 1, Nigeria and several other African countries were affected by the tariff hike, which followed an executive order by Trump. According to data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), the U.S. exported goods worth $4.3 billion to Nigeria in the past year, while Nigeria’s exports primarily crude oil, fertiliser, and other commodities, exceeded $5 billion.

“Nigeria remains responsive, not reacting. We’re focused on our reforms on President Bola Tinubu’s 8-point agenda,” Oduwole said, noting that the country will not be drawn into reactionary trade disputes.

Addressing concerns about the impact of the new tariff on Nigeria’s economy, Oduwole acknowledged the challenges but emphasised Nigeria’s proactive strategy in widening its market reach.

“It’s mostly an energy trading relationship. We’re also waiting to see what happens with the African Growth and Opportunity (AGOA) Act in September,” she said.

“Non-oil exports such as fertiliser, lead, some cocoa, and other commodities are performing well. Exports to the rest of Africa under the AfCFTA are up 24% year-on-year in Q1. The world is a big place. We are not just focusing on the US.”

She highlighted Nigeria’s growing trade ties with countries like Brazil, China, Japan, and the United Arab Emirates, while reaffirming support for domestic industries.

“We have demand for urea fertiliser in Brazil. We’re looking at partnerships across Asia and the Gulf,” the minister said.

“The President is focused on supporting Nigerian businesses with market access and access to capital.” Oduwole described the U.S. as a “strategic trading partner” but stressed that Nigeria is working to diversify its global trade footprint.

“We launched a commercial investment programme with the US in June, focused on infrastructure, agriculture, and digital trade,” she said. “… the world is a big place. We have old friends, and we’re making new ones.”

On the broader economic landscape, Oduwole argued that the use of the word “potential” to describe Nigeria’s economy is no longer sufficient. “The word potential is overused. Nigeria is delivering now. Even the toughest critics agree President Tinubu has stabilised the economy,” she said.

She cited key reforms under the current administration, including foreign exchange liberalisation, fuel subsidy removal, and an ongoing overhaul of Nigeria’s tax infrastructure expected to be completed in early 2026. Oduwole added that “monetary, fiscal, and trade policies in Nigeria are now aligned to deliver value for investors.”

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FG launches E-fiscal platform to crack down on tax evasion

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The Federal Government has commenced the rollout of a national Electronic Fiscal System to modernise Nigeria’s tax administration, curb evasion, and enhance transparency in revenue collection.

The Federal Inland Revenue Service said the EFS, which incorporates an electronic invoicing solution known as the Merchant-Buyer Model, went live on August 1, 2025, after a successful pilot phase that began in November 2024.

The first phase targets large companies with an annual turnover of N5bn and above. The platform is designed to make tax compliance easier, faster, and more transparent for taxpayers, providing the FIRS with real-time visibility into commercial transactions while ensuring the authenticity, accuracy, and completeness of invoices.

In a statement on Sunday, the Special Adviser on Media to the FIRS Chairman, Dare Adekanmbi, said that in less than two weeks since the launch, at least 1,000 companies, representing 20 per cent of more than 5,000 eligible firms, have adopted the system and begun integrating with the FIRS MBS platform.

The remaining large taxpayers must complete their onboarding and integration before the new deadline of November 1, 2025. The initial August 1 deadline was extended by three months to accommodate companies that made genuine efforts to meet the original date but faced operational constraints.

“MTN Nigeria became the first taxpayer to transmit live electronic invoices to the FIRS, officially ushering in the e-invoicing regime. Huawei Nigeria and IHS Nigeria have also concluded test transmissions and are set to go live in the coming days,” the revenue agency said.

In collaboration with the National Information Technology Development Agency, the FIRS has incorporated service providers into the ecosystem to act as both system integrators and access point providers. These providers will support onboarding, system integration, and invoice transmission processes for taxpayers.

The FIRS commended large taxpayers, tax consultants, and service providers for their cooperation and commitment to the success of the project, and urged all remaining eligible companies to take advantage of the extended deadline to comply.

The e-invoicing solution is being rolled out in phases, with medium-sized and emerging businesses to be onboarded after the large taxpayer category. It aligns with global best practices and supports the Federal Government’s broader objectives of enhancing revenue assurance, reducing tax evasion, and harmonising revenue reporting under the Nigeria Revenue Services Reform Act.

The FIRS said its e-Invoicing Implementation Team will continue to hold stakeholder engagements, including webinars, workshops, and town hall meetings, to ensure a smooth transition ahead of the November deadline.

President Bola Tinubu has made tremendous moves towards tightening Nigeria’s tax net with a sweeping reform agenda targeting evasion and fragmented revenue collection. He set up a Presidential Committee on Fiscal Policy and Tax Reforms, led by Taiwo Oyedele, to tackle multiple taxes, poor coordination, and loopholes in the system.

From January 2026, four new laws including the Nigeria Tax Act and Tax Administration Act will take effect, introducing digital registration, stricter reporting rules, and mandatory disclosure of beneficial ownership to expose hidden income behind shell companies. The laws also require transparency for transactions structured mainly to gain tax advantages.

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India buys Nigerian crude as Dangote imports US oil

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Refineries in India are buying Nigerian crude while the country’s Dangote Petroleum Refinery is largely running on American oil.

In a twist that underscores the complexities of global oil trade, India’s state refiners are snapping up Nigerian crude oil while Africa’s largest refinery, located in Nigeria, is increasingly importing crude from the United States, a development that oil sector operators described as “oil trade irony” on Sunday.

Industry sources told Reuters that Indian Oil Corporation recently bought one million barrels of Nigeria’s Agbami crude for September delivery in a tender awarded to global trader Trafigura. The purchase is part of a broader sourcing spree that has seen Indian refiners secure millions of barrels from non-Russian sources.

Ironically, while Indian refiners are boosting purchases of Nigerian grades, the $20bn Dangote Petroleum Refinery in Lagos is relying heavily on US imports to feed its processing units. The refinery imported an average of 10 million barrels in July, saying it was increasingly relying on the US for its feedstock despite the naira-for-crude deal with the Federal Government.

Reuters reported that Indian Oil Corp and Bharat Petroleum have bought a million barrels of non-Russian crude for delivery in September and October after the US pressured India to halt purchases from Russia.

Indian state refiners had been largely absent from the spot market since 2022, instead becoming one of the few purchasers of cheaper Russian crude after Russia invaded Ukraine. However, they paused Russian purchases in late July after pressure from US President Donald Trump.

Over two million barrels of crude oil were said to have been bought from Nigeria for September and October deliveries in India. India’s second biggest state refiner BPCL bought barrels of oil through negotiations for September arrival, a source familiar with the purchases said.

That included one million barrels of Angola Girassol, one million barrels of US Mars, three million barrels of Abu Dhabi Murban, and two million barrels of Nigerian oil, according to Reuters.

Dangote imports US oil

Data from commodities analytics firm, Kpler, showed that in July, US barrels accounted for about 60 per cent of Dangote’s 590,000 barrels per day of crude intake, with Nigerian grades making up the remaining 40 per cent.

In July, the Dangote refinery’s crude imports surged to a record 590 kbd—driven largely by US barrels overtaking Nigerian supply for the first time—amid ongoing domestic sourcing challenges, Kpler reports. The refinery is currently operating at 85 per cent of its nameplate capacity with plans to upgrade to 700,000 barrels per day.

As crude imports into the Dangote refinery surged to 590,000 bpd in July, the highest monthly volume on record, Kpler noted that US crude made up a substantial 370,000bpd (60 per cent) of the total, while Nigerian grades accounted for just 220,000 bpd (40 per cent), primarily comprising Amenam, Bonny Light, and Escravos.

“While WTI has held a significant share in Dangote’s import slate since March, this is the first time US crude has overtaken Nigerian supply—a shift driven by several factors,” Kpler reported. It stated that WTI has been more competitively priced than certain domestic options, especially as US barrels struggled to find traction in Asia amid rising OPEC+ output and multi-month lows in Murban spot premiums in May.

At the same time, the Dangote refinery had earlier said that securing domestic crude for the refinery had remained an ongoing challenge. Dangote and other local refineries have decried the low supply of crude to their facilities in conformity with the Domestic Crude Supply Obligations.

Dangote’s crude inventories rose to 6.73 million barrels in July, reflecting a 2.5 Mbbls month-on-month increase, suggesting that a portion of the elevated import volumes has been directed into storage.

Meanwhile, Nigeria’s indigenous oil firms are increasingly taking centre stage in the upstream sector, leveraging the withdrawal of international majors and improved stability in onshore operations. Crude and condensate supply held steady at 1.75 Mbd in July, lifting the three-month average to its highest level in over five years, driven by rising onshore output and fewer pipeline disruptions.

At Jones Creek, reduced pipeline outages reportedly supported higher flows to the Ugo Ocha terminal, with exports doubling to 65,000 bpd in recent months. Kpler stated that among key grades, CJ crude production reached its highest level of the year in June, reaching 55,000 bpd, quoting data from the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission. The grade, which is previously a regular feedstock for Dangote, reportedly had its recent cargoes shipped to Canada’s Point Tupper and re-exported to the US recently.

The refinery’s intake of domestic crude declined to 220,000 bpd in August, down from 275,000 bpd last month, coinciding with record-level imports from the US at 370,000 bpd. Despite its stated intention to prioritise Nigerian supply, Dangote’s current crude slate suggests a more flexible sourcing strategy, which will largely be based on commercial incentive.

The bulk of the refinery’s output consists of gasoline, primarily sold domestically, though some volumes have been exported to Oman and Ivory Coast—and jet fuel, destined for West Africa and Northwest Europe, according to Kpler.

Last month, the President of the Dangote Group, Aliko Dangote, said the refinery has made Nigeria a net exporter of refined products, saying, “From June beginning to July, we have exported about 1 million tonnes of PMS, within the last 50 days,” he said.

It was stated that with a gasoline yield of 46 per cent, the refinery’s expansion to 700,000 barrels per day (bpd) would increase potential gasoline output to 322,000 bpd, up from an initial 300,000 bpd.

However, the platform expressed pessimism, stating that “expecting Dangote to run at full capacity on a sustained basis would be highly optimistic, given the likelihood of frequent mechanical issues and ongoing maintenance requirements. As such, we do not anticipate the refinery approaching full utilisation before Q4 2026.”

It disclosed that, in an effort to maximise gasoline yields, condensate naphtha arrived in early July, with Dangote importing around 22,000 tonnes per month (6,000 bpd) to feed its hydrotreater for gasoline production.

These naphtha imports, it was learnt, underscore “ongoing operational challenges at the refinery’s 204,000 bpd RFCC unit, which has been grappling with reactor and regenerator issues since January.”

Looking ahead, Kpler expects Nigeria’s crude and condensate supply to average around 1.65 mbd throughout the rest of the year—a stable level, with no significant new fields expected in the coming months, though still a marginal increase compared to H2 last year.

Nevertheless, it was added that activity among local producers continues to build, with significant gains possible from next year. “Companies like Seplat are working to boost output by restarting shut-in wells and launching new drilling campaigns across the former ExxonMobil blocks, according to their latest financial results.

“Infrastructure is also expanding: the Otakikpo terminal, developed by Green Energy, completed its first crude export in June aboard the Suezmax Lipari, becoming Nigeria’s first privately built onshore terminal in over five decades. Conoil has completed its first Obodo crude shipment, while Renaissance Africa Energy is preparing to scale up production following its acquisition of Shell’s onshore assets,” it was reported.

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Nigeria’s Non-Oil Exports Hit $3.225bn In H1 2025

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The Executive Director/Chief Executive Officer of the NEPC, Nonye Ayeni, disclosed this in Abuja on Sunday while presenting the council’s First Half-Year Progress Report on Nigeria’s non-oil export performance.

The Nigerian Export Promotion Council has reported that the nation’s non-oil exports rose to $3.225bn in the first half of 2025, reflecting a 19.59% increase from the $2.696bn recorded during the same period in 2024.

The Executive Director/Chief Executive Officer of the NEPC, Nonye Ayeni, disclosed this in Abuja on Sunday while presenting the council’s First Half-Year Progress Report on Nigeria’s non-oil export performance.

She said the shipment volume also rose to 4.04 million metric tonnes from 3.83 million metric tonnes in the first half of 2024, driven by strong global demand for Nigerian products from emerging markets such as India, Brazil, Vietnam, and other African countries.

According to Ayeni, the report offers a comprehensive overview of the council’s achievements, challenges, and prospects as the year draws to a close.

“Gentlemen of the press, it is on this note that I am pleased to inform you that non-oil products exported in the first half of 2025 were valued at $3.225bn. This shows an increase of 19.59 per cent as against the sum of $2.696bn recorded for the first half of the year 2024,” she said.

The NEPC boss noted that the growth in export value was matched by a rise in shipment volume, recalling that in the first quarter alone, non-oil exports were valued at $1.791bn, a 24.75 per cent rise over the $1.436bn posted in Q1 2024.

Volumes in the same quarter increased to 2.416 million metric tonnes, up 24.3 per cent from the 1.937 million metric tonnes shipped in the corresponding period last year.

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