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Business leaders reject proposed beverage tax hike

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Members of the Organised Private Sector of Nigeria have asked the Federal Government to withdraw the proposed amendment to the Customs, Excise and Tariff Bill, warning that it could undermine President Bola Tinubu’s fiscal reform agenda and further fracture Nigeria’s tax framework.

The OPSN, comprising the Nigerian Association of Chambers of Commerce, Industry, Mines and Agriculture; Manufacturers Association of Nigeria; Nigeria Employers’ Consultative Association; National Association of Small and Medium Enterprises; and the National Association of Small Scale Industrialists, during a public hearing on Thursday, urged the National Assembly to retain the current excise rates on non-alcoholic drinks.

In its position paper, the OPSN raised the alarm that the proposed amendment was “misaligned with the Federal Government’s fiscal reform direction and contains several legal and administrative gaps.”

It stated that although the non-alcoholic drinks sector supported government revenue and public health goals, policies “must be holistic, harmonised and context-appropriate” to avoid undermining jobs, investment and industrial stability.

The group warned that Nigeria’s excise framework had become increasingly fragmented “as new levies are introduced without coordinated assessment of their combined effects on production, investment, backward integration, employment, exports, and inflation.”

It cautioned that a steep excise increase or the introduction of a new levy would impose high economic costs on businesses and consumers “without delivering measurable public health gains,” adding that the amendment contained “mathematical, legal and administrative contradictions” and conflicted directly with national industrialisation priorities, including the Nigeria Sugar Master Plan.

The OPSN also warned that the proposal could weaken the beverage value chain, which it described as “one of the country’s most significant contributors to non-oil revenue and a major employer.”

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It added that the levy would raise operating costs, reduce capacity utilisation, and increase retail prices at a time when households and small firms were already under pressure. “This, in turn, could reduce Value Added Tax and Company Income Tax collections and place additional strain on medium-term Federation Account Allocation Committee revenues,” it added.

The group stressed that the non-alcoholic drinks industry “supports 1.5 million jobs, drives backward integration under NSMP II and contributes 40–45 per cent of gross revenues as taxes, yet already operates under severe macroeconomic strain and thin margins.”

It argued that pushing the amendment through could undermine the administration’s ease-of-doing-business objectives during a sensitive economic period.

The OPSN criticised the National Assembly for advancing the bill “without coordination with the Ministry of Finance, the Presidential Fiscal Policy & Tax Reform Committee, Federation Account Allocation Committee and other responsible institutions,” noting that it contradicted the President’s emphasis on stability, predictability, simplicity and non-disruptive tax reform.

It referenced global and domestic evidence showing that steep or ambiguous Sugar-Sweetened Beverage taxes in low-income economies lead to job losses, Micro, Small and Medium-sized Enterprises contraction, revenue decline, and no clear health benefits while widening inequality and boosting informal market activities.

“The amendment bill contains internal contradictions (‘20 per cent levy per litre of retail price’) that are impossible to implement consistently. Over-taxation may shrink the formal sector, reduce VAT and CIT collections, and shift consumers to informal markets. The bill may cut medium-term FAAC distributions and weaken state-level revenue stability,” the OPSN stated.

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The group stated that it remained open to further engagement with lawmakers, fiscal authorities, and civil society groups to ensure that any future adjustments to the excise regime support investment, jobs, and long-term revenue stability.

The PUNCH has reported that pressure groups are calling for a hike in SSB tax, including the Corporate Accountability and Public Participation Africa, which has campaigned to increase the SSB tax from N10 to N130 per litre.

CAPPA, through its advocacy and report entitled ‘Evaluating Nigeria’s Sugar-Sweetened Beverage Tax: A Critical Review of CAPPA’s Policy Proposals’, has maintained its call for a 1,200 per cent tax hike on SSBs, arguing that it will help to prevent noncommunicable diseases.

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FG urged to expand grazing reserves nationwide

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Livestock and agriculture stakeholders have called on the Federal Government to fast-track the phased development of grazing reserves beyond the three pilot locations to at least one reserve in each of the six geopolitical zones. They welcomed the initiative as a step in the right direction.

The call followed the Federal Government’s commencement of a phased grazing reserve development programme, beginning with pilot sites at Wawa-Zange in Gombe State, Wase in Plateau State and Kawu in the Bwari Area Council of the Federal Capital Territory.

The Ministry of Livestock Development had said it was working with other ministries, state governments and the private sector to ensure the reserves have “good public schools for the pastoralists, for their children to attend… access roads and… public healthcare.”

In separate phone interviews with The PUNCH, stakeholders, including the National Secretary of the Miyetti Allah Cattle Breeders Association of Nigeria, Aliyu Gotomo, described the move as overdue but cautioned that the scope remained limited.

“Generally, the development of grazing reserves is the most essential thing that is required for pastoralism development. And I think it’s a welcome development that they have started. At least we have started somewhere,” Gotomo said.

He added that properly developed reserves with water, veterinary services and access roads would reduce transhumance and insecurity. “If these things are provided, the major movement from one state to the other in search of greener pastures will be reduced. So, all the conflicts from farmer-herder and other insecurity issues will also be alleviated,” he said.

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However, Gotomo urged the government to expand the programme. He said, “Considering about 417 grazing reserves across the states, I think the number is very, very small. They could have started at least with one in each of the political zones,” stressing that the scale did not match “the population of livestock we have in Nigeria and the number of people engaged in pastoralism.”

He also called for deeper engagement with pastoralists, local governments and traditional rulers to ensure ownership and sustainability.

“The actual beneficiaries, the native pastoralists, should be properly engaged… The local government areas and traditional rulers should also be involved so that proper maintenance and sustainability can be adhered to,” he added.

Chairman of the Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry’s Agriculture and Allied Group, Tunde Banjoko, also welcomed the initiative but echoed concerns about regional balance and transparency.

“I think the idea of phased grazing by the Federal Government is a very good initiative. I also believe it will reduce the frequent clashes we are having with farmers,” Banjoko said, adding that it would improve quality and returns for farmers and attract private investment.

He warned, however, that concentration of reserves in limited areas could create new tensions.

“Out of the 417 grazing reserves, except for two in the South-West, I’m not sure there’s any in the South-South or South-East. So, what is the alternative for them?” he asked.

Banjoko urged the government to ensure national spread: “We need to also provide more alternatives in the South-South, South-West and South-East so that we can reduce these frequent clashes in this region as well.”

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He further called for openness in implementation. “People want to see the pictures; people want to see how far they have gone. If there’s enough transparency, then the private sector will come in,” he added, while stressing the need for strong regulations, stakeholder engagement and traceability systems in livestock management.

President of the Commercial Dairy Ranchers Association of Nigeria, Muhammadu Abubakar, said the pilot phase should serve as a model for nationwide rollout.

“The government embarking on a phased grazing reserve development is a good idea. At least the first three should serve as a model,” Abubakar said.

The CODARAN chief noted that the pilots would allow the government to test and refine the approach before scaling up.

“That is where you can experiment with the workability… Look at the downs and the ups and then make amends. Then you will have a model that you just pick and plug in other reserves,” he said.

Abubakar expressed confidence in the public-private approach, noting that challenges would become clearer as implementation progresses.

“When that takes off, we from the private sector will be involved, and then we’re likely going to point out areas that should be corrected or amended,” he added.

The stakeholders agreed that while the pilot programme marks a positive start, expanding the reserves across all zones and carrying communities along would be critical to reducing conflicts and modernising Nigeria’s livestock sector.

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Bread prices: No significant drop in flour price, variables — Bakers

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Premium Breadmakers Association of Nigeria, PBAN, has refuted a viral social media post claiming that the price of flour has plummeted to between N35,000 to N40,000 per 50kg bag. The post further accuses bread makers of “wickedly” refusing to reduce the prices of bread to reflect the drop.

A statement by Emmanuel Onyoh, General Secretary, PBAN, said that the claims are false, and a calculated attempt to incite the Nigerian public against “hardworking bakers who are struggling to stay afloat.”

According to the statement, “The Reality of Flour Pricing as of today, December 16, 2025, the price of a 50kg bag of wheat flour is between N55,000 and N62,000(depending on the brand and where you’re buying from) significantly higher than the fabricated figures circulating online. While some flour millers recently announced a marginal price reduction of approximately N2,000, this is a “drop in the ocean” compared to the overall production deficit”.

“Mathematically, a N2,000 reduction on a bag of flour translates to about N20 saving on the family sized loaf. This small margin is immediately swallowed by the skyrocketing costs of other essential inputs such as yeast, improver, margarine and preservative”.

The General Secretary also revealed what he called “The “Hidden” Costs of Your Daily Bread” . He said, “Needless to say, that besides flour, there are other various ingredients required for operational cost and processes in bread. PBAN members are currently battling a “perfect storm” of economic pressures that make a price reduction impossible at this time,”

He also emphasized the cost of electricity and the diesel required to power industrial ovens and generators, adding that 90% of baking machinery are imported. The replacement cost of equipment

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and repairs had increased tremendously in the past few years.

“We are facing unprecedented expenses in fueling and maintaining distribution vehicles to get bread to your neighbourhoods amidst deteriorating road networks. In compliance with the new National Minimum Wage of N70,000, our wage bills have increased significantly. We choose to pay our staff fairly rather than shut down. Bakers are currently burdened by a “spectrum of taxes” from federal, state, and local government agencies, many of which are overlapping and punitive.

“The Premium Breadmakers Association of Nigeria,PBAN, as a responsible association that is mindful of the shrink on disposable income of consumers, we have advised our members to maintain same quality standard and consider introducing bread variants in sizes that falls/fits into various consumer strata.

“We assure the general public that our members shall not hesitate to reduce the prices of bread the moment the cost dynamics and the Nigerian economy reflect a genuine and sustainable downward trend.

“Our primary goal remains the provision of quality, safe, and affordable bread that meets the highest regulatory standards,” he assured.

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FG recorded N30tn revenue shortfall in 2025 – Edun

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The Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Wale Edun, opened up on Tuesday that the Federal Government recorded a significant revenue shortfall in the 2025 fiscal year.

He noted that while the Federal Government projected N40.8tn revenue for this year, it ended up making only N10.7tn.

Edun made the disclosure while appearing before the House of Representatives Committees on Finance and National Planning during an interactive session on the 2026–2028 Medium Term Expenditure Framework and Fiscal Strategy Paper.

He recalled that the Federal Government had projected a revenue target of N40.8tn in 2025 to fund the N54.9tn “budget of restoration,” designed to stabilise the economy, secure peace and lay the foundation for long-term prosperity.

However, the minister said current fiscal performance shows that total revenue for the year is likely to end at about N10.7tn.

According to him, the sharp shortfall is largely attributable to weak oil and gas earnings, particularly Petroleum Profit Tax and Company Income Tax from oil and gas companies, alongside persistent underperformance across several revenue subheads.

“The current trajectory indicates that federal revenues for the full year will likely end at around N10.7tn compared to the N40.8tn projection,” Edun told lawmakers.

The minister’s disclosure on Tuesday is in sharp contrast to the declaration by President Bola Tinubu in September that the Federal Government had already met its revenue target

“Today I can stand here before you to brag: Nigeria is not borrowing.

We have met our revenue target for the year and we met it in August,” Tinubu had told members of  The Buhari Organisation who visited him at the Presidential Villa in Abuja.

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However, speaking on Tuesday, the finance minister admitted that revenue shortfall harmpered the implementation of the N54.9tn 2025 budget.

He explained that although the Federal Government also raised about N14.1tn through borrowing, the combined inflows still fell far short of what was required to fully fund the 2025 budget.

Despite the revenue gap, Edun said the government had continued to meet critical obligations through what he described as prudent treasury management.

He noted that salaries, statutory transfers, as well as domestic and foreign debt service obligations, had been paid as and when due through “skillful, imaginative and creative handling” of available resources.

Providing further insight into expenditure performance, the minister said capital releases to ministries, departments and agencies in 2024 stood at N5.2tn out of a budgeted N7.1tn, representing 73 per cent performance.

He added that total capital expenditure, including multilateral and bilateral-funded projects, reached N11.1tn out of N13.7tn, or 84 per cent.

The minister cautioned that expenditure plans heavily tied to oil revenues must remain flexible, warning against committing the government to spending obligations based on projections that have consistently failed to materialise.

“We must be ambitious, but given the experience of the past two years, spending linked to these revenues must depend on the funds actually coming in,” he said.

Also speaking at the session, the Minister of Budget and National Planning, Atiku Bagudu, said the MTEF and FSP were developed through extensive consultations with key stakeholders, including government agencies, the private sector, civil society organisations and development partners

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Bagudu acknowledged that revenue assumptions remained a subject of intense debate within the Economic Management Team, explaining that while some members favoured conservative projections informed by historical performance, others argued for ambitious targets to compel revenue-generating agencies to improve efficiency and collection.

He disclosed that although the government retained an oil production target of 2.06 million barrels per day for policy planning, a more cautious assumption of 1.84 million barrels per day was adopted for revenue calculations in the 2026 budget framework.

Earlier, the Chairman of the House Committee on Finance, James Faleke, called for a more critical and realistic approach to budget preparation, warning against bloated budgets that often face serious implementation challenges.

Nigeria’s revenue performance in 2025 has been undermined by a combination of structural and cyclical factors.

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