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States hosting IDPs eye $12m World Bank loan

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States hosting internally displaced persons are set to earn up to $12m from a World Bank–backed loan if they meet a series of strict data, governance, and integration benchmarks under a new federal project targeting displacement and host communities.

The funding forms part of a $300m concessional credit approved by the International Development Association for the Solutions for the Internally Displaced and Host Communities Project, signed between the Federal Government and the World Bank.

The Solutions for the Internally Displaced and Host Communities Project was approved by the World Bank on August 7, 2025. The agreement ties disbursement of part of the loan to performance-based conditions rather than upfront spending, with states paid only after independently verified results are achieved.

Under Performance-Based Condition Two, which focuses on closing data gaps on displacement-related vulnerabilities, $12m has been earmarked for states that successfully register and profile displaced persons living within host communities. The disbursement is spread over three years, with escalating requirements.

In the first year after the project becomes effective, participating Tier 1 and Tier 2 states must launch registration and profiling of IDPs in selected host communities and complete comprehensive demographic and vulnerability assessments in at least two wards. States that meet this initial threshold are entitled to $0.25m ($250,000) each.

The report read, “Participating Tier 1 and Tier 2 States launched registration/profiling of IDPs in selected host communities, and completed: comprehensive demographic and vulnerability assessment; in at least 2wards. Each State which completes the assessment and surveys in the selected wards will receive $0.25m of the PBC allocation.”

By the second year, the requirements deepen for Tier 1 states, which must conduct intention surveys and stability index assessments in areas targeted for local integration. They must also produce detailed analyses of the drivers of displacement, including underlying causes, socioeconomic impacts on displaced persons, outward migration pressures, and risks linked to trafficking and smuggling. Completion of these tasks qualifies each Tier 1 state for an additional $0.5m ($500,000).

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The most substantial payout is tied to the third year, when 80 per cent of IDPs in host communities across all participating Tier 1 and Tier 2 states must be registered and profiled. Each state that meets this benchmark will receive $0.5m ($500,000), bringing the total allocation under this performance condition to $12m.

“80 per cent of IDPs in host communities in all Participating Tier 1 and Tier 2 States are registered and profiled. Each Participating State that completes all the above will receive $0.5m of the PBC allocation,” the report read.

By the fourth year, the agreement expects data gaps on displacement-related vulnerabilities to be comprehensively addressed, with no further payments attached. Beyond IDP data, the financing agreement outlines two additional performance-based conditions that states must meet to access other tranches of the loan.

Performance-Based Condition One focuses on improving asset management by participating local governments. Tier 1 states are required to issue asset inventory reporting guidelines and operations and maintenance standards aligned with international benchmarks, approved by state oversight agencies, and verified through project audits.

Selected local governments must then issue asset inventory reports and O&M plans, followed by full approval of all local government–level asset inventories by governors. Up to $9m is allocated to this condition, with states receiving $0.5m ($500,000) at each verified stage.

Performance-Based Condition Three targets the long-term integration of IDPs into development processes. Participating Tier 1 states must provide financial and technical support to local registration facilities to help IDPs access basic documentation such as birth, marriage, death and educational certificates, residence identification, travel documents and driving licences. States that complete this stage are eligible for $1m each.

Further requirements include legalising ownership transfer of land and property to IDPs through transparent processes, establishing monitoring mechanisms to manage tensions between displaced persons and host communities, and opening at least three development programmes covering skills development, livelihoods or infrastructure to displaced populations. A total of $12m is allocated under this condition, spread across successive milestones.

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Only states that meet strict eligibility criteria can participate. Tier 1 states must have an IDP population exceeding 150,000 and accounting for more than two per cent of the state population, while Tier 2 states qualify with at least 100,000 IDPs or an IDP share above one per cent.

States must also sign subsidiary agreements with the Federal Government and adopt approved security management plans before accessing funds. The agreement stipulates that all performance claims must be backed by eligible expenditures and verified by independent agents acceptable to the World Bank.

Failure to meet milestones within specified timelines allows the Bank to withhold, reallocate or cancel funds tied to the affected performance condition.

The broader $300m credit finances infrastructure, livelihoods support, institutional strengthening, and project management across northern Nigeria, but the performance-based components reflect the World Bank’s emphasis on accountability and measurable outcomes in displacement policy.

On repayment, the loan is structured as long-term concessional financing. Principal repayments will commence on January 15, 2031, and continue semi-annually on January 15 and July 15 each year until July 15, 2050.

Each instalment represents 2.5 per cent of the principal amount, spreading repayment evenly over 20 years. The payment currency is the US dollar, and the interest charge is based on a reference rate plus a variable spread, subject to agreed ceilings and floors

With repayments deferred for several years and disbursements tied to performance, the agreement places the burden on states not just to spend, but to deliver verifiable results in data quality, asset management, and the long-term integration of displaced persons into Nigeria’s development framework.

The World Bank Group remains Nigeria’s largest single creditor, accounting for $19.39bn of the total, comprising $18.04bn from the IDA and $1.35bn from the IBRD. This represents 41.3 per cent of the country’s external debt, underscoring the bank’s dominant role in financing Nigeria’s development initiatives.

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The PUNCH earlier reported that the World Bank loans to Nigeria between 2023 and 2025 are projected to reach $9.65bn by the end of this year as fresh approvals, ongoing negotiations, and disbursements gather pace across key sectors.

The amount covers International Bank for Reconstruction and Development and International Development Association loans only, according to an analysis of data on the bank’s website by The PUNCH. When grants are added, total World Bank support rises to about $9.77bn within the three-year window.

The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development provides loans on commercial or near-commercial terms to middle-income and creditworthy low-income countries, while the International Development Association offers highly concessional loans and grants to the world’s poorest nations.

The PUNCH also reported that Nigeria’s stock of World Bank International Development Association loans rose to $18.5bn, making it the largest IDA borrower in Africa and the third-biggest in the world.

Fresh data from the IDA’s unaudited financial statements for the third quarter of 2025 confirmed that the country has maintained the ranking it first attained in 2024, when it climbed to third place after overtaking India. The country was the fourth-largest borrower in 2023.

According to the report, Nigeria’s exposure increased from $17.1bn in September 2024 to $18.5bn in September 2025, representing a rise of $1.4bn or 8.2 per cent. The increase reflects the country’s heavier reliance on concessional financing to plug infrastructure gaps, stabilise its reform programme, and support social spending amid volatile oil earnings.

Economists warn that the rising loan pipeline, while potentially beneficial for long-term development, could deepen fiscal pressures if not matched with stronger domestic revenue mobilisation and prudent expenditure management.

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FG tells marketers to reflect global oil price drop in petrol prices

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Minister of State for Petroleum Resources, Sen. Heineken Lokpobiri, has directed petroleum marketers to immediately reflect the recent decline in global oil prices by reducing the pump prices of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) and other petroleum products.

Lokpobiri gave the directive at the 2026 Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA) General Counsel and Legal Advisers Forum on Monday in Abuja.

The forum is themed “Beyond Compliance Certainty and Investment Confidence in Nigeria’s Petroleum Sector.”

Lokpobiri said that with the de-escalation of tensions between Iran and the United States, there was an expectation that the prices of PMS and other petroleum products would be adjusted downward accordingly.

He expressed concern that the anticipated reduction had yet to be reflected at the pumps, stressing that while market forces under the deregulated regime would ultimately restore price equilibrium, marketers should not exploit the situation to make excessive profits.

The minister said the regulator had a statutory responsibility to ensure that deregulation did not become an avenue for profiteering, adding that this must be carried out in line with the provisions of the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA 2021).

“For too long, the dominant question in our regulatory conversations has been: are operators complying? That question matters. It will always matter. But it is no longer sufficient.

“The more consequential question today is this: are our regulatory authorities doing their job? Is it clear, consistent and predictable enough to give investors the confidence they need to commit capital, not just for one cycle, but for the long term?

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“Compliance is the foundation. Regulatory certainty is the ceiling we must now be building toward,” he said.

Lokpobiri, while urging marketers to comply with the principles of fair pricing to ensure that consumers benefit from the prevailing market realities, urged regulators to move beyond compliance by promoting regulatory certainty to attracting long-term investments.

“The sector is now fully deregulated, a bold reform that President Bola Tinubu had the courage to implement. That decision paved way for the operationalisation of the Dangote Refinery and other refinery projects currently underway.

“It also ensured that artificial scarcity has become a thing of the past.

“You can attest to the fact that since 2023 there has been availability of products in country even with the recent challenges posed by the US-Israeli /Iranian conflict.

“Beyond allowing prices to be determined by market forces, the question is: what is the regulator doing to ensure that consumers receive the correct quantity of product?

“When someone pays for 10 litres of PMS, they should receive exactly 10 litres, not less,” he warned.

Lokpobiri said while compliance with regulations remained fundamental, investors were increasingly interested in jurisdictions with clear, consistent and predictable regulatory frameworks.

He described general counsel as strategic partners whose responsibilities extend beyond interpreting laws to shaping investment decisions, improving regulatory design and supporting national development.

According to him, legal advisers should provide constructive feedback whenever regulations or guidelines create uncertainty that could discourage investment.

He said Nigeria’s petroleum sector was entering a new phase characterised by expanding domestic refining capacity, increased private sector participation and emerging opportunities across the midstream and downstream segments.

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According to him, attracting investments will require policy consistency, transparent regulation, efficient dispute resolution and strong collaboration among government, regulators, industry operators and legal practitioners.

He expressed confidence that the recommendations from the forum would contribute to improving governance, regulatory certainty and investment confidence in Nigeria’s petroleum sector. (NAN)

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Olodo uprising: Tinubu aide faults critics of First Lady’s Akara, Kuli kuli comment

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The Special Assistant to President Bola Tinubu on Social Media, Dada Olusegun, has defended First Lady Oluremi Tinubu’s recent empowerment of micro-traders, saying criticisms of the initiative are driven by ignorance of her record and the role of Nigeria’s informal economy.

In a statement shared on Monday, Olusegun described the backlash over the First Lady’s focus on traders such as akara and kulikuli sellers as a “performative circus of selective amnesia.”

He argued that critics had ignored the numerous interventions carried out by the Renewed Hope Initiative across healthcare, women’s empowerment, support for military widows and persons living with disabilities.

The First Lady, Senator Oluremi Tinubu
The First Lady of Nigeria, Senator Oluremi Tinubu

According to him, the First Lady’s interventions extend beyond petty traders, citing her donation of ₦1bn to the National Cancer Fund for cervical cancer screening and another ₦1bn for tuberculosis diagnostic equipment in Abuja in 2025.

He also referenced the disbursement of ₦250,000 each to 1,709 widows and orphans of fallen military personnel in 2023, as well as ₦200,000 business grants to persons living with disabilities across the 36 states and the Federal Capital Territory.

Olusegun further highlighted the Renewed Hope Initiative’s partnership with the Tony Elumelu Foundation, which targeted 18,500 women nationwide with ₦50,000 grants and the distribution of equipment, including industrial grinding machines, freezers and generators.

He further criticised what he described as an “Olodo uprising” on social media, accusing critics of reacting to trends without researching the facts.

“This entire controversy perfectly mirrors what is now happening with the broader ‘Olodo uprising” across our social platforms. We live in an era where people jump on trending hashtags and soundbites without dedicating a single minute to researching context. Memes are manufactured in seconds; accurate history takes time to read.

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“When the critics are done making their superficial memes, writing cynical captions, and circulating ignorant narratives, the reality on the ground will remain unchanged. They would be better off advising their constituents to find credible means to key into these ongoing government initiatives,” he stated.

He maintained that empowering small-scale traders should not be viewed as “weaponising poverty.”

“According to various economic metrics, the informal sector contributes over 50 per cent of Nigeria’s GDP and accounts for over 80 per cent of employment. The akara fryer, the kulikuli processor, and the petty trader are not just marginal actors; they are the literal shock absorbers of our micro-economy.

“When you give a micro-grant or operational tools to an akara seller, you are not validating poverty; you are reducing immediate operational capital friction, securing food chains at the grassroots, and expanding household income. Mocking these initiatives as ‘petty’ shows a deep-seated contempt for the actual working class of Nigeria,” he said.

Olusegun also defended the political value of grassroots empowerment, saying such interventions create trust among beneficiaries.

He cited the TraderMoni and MarketMoni programmes introduced during former President Muhammadu Buhari’s administration under then Vice President Yemi Osinbajo as examples of initiatives that directly impacted market traders.

“The opposition often wonders why the poorest segments of the population continually familiarise themselves with the All Progressives Congress during elections. The answer is simple: the party meets them at their point of immediate need,” he said.

Olusegun added that Tinubu’s record as former First Lady of Lagos State, a three-term senator and now First Lady of the Federation showed a consistent commitment to structured empowerment programmes.

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“She will not be distracted by digital static from doing what she has mastered over decades: empowering the poorest among us, one structured intervention at a time,” he said.

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Dangote refinery imports first UAE crude cargoes

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The Dangote Refinery has purchased two cargoes of crude oil from the United Arab Emirates, marking its first-ever procurement of Middle Eastern crude as it expands its feedstock sources amid persistent domestic supply constraints.

According to a report by S&P Global Commodity Insights, the two cargoes will be the first sourced by the 700,000-barrels-per-day refinery from any Middle Eastern supplier, signalling a shift from its traditional reliance on Nigerian, African, and United States crude grades.

The report said the purchases followed the resumption of oil exports from the Middle East after the United States and Iran reached an interim peace agreement that restored confidence in shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.

The refinery, designed primarily to process Nigeria’s light sweet crude, has increasingly diversified its crude slate as operations ramp up. S&P Global reported that an agreement between the refinery and the Nigerian National Petroleum Company had guaranteed the supply of between 13 and 15 cargoes of Nigerian crude monthly in naira, helping the refinery reduce its foreign exchange exposure.

However, the arrangement has faced challenges due to inadequate crude availability and operational issues at export terminals. According to the report, Dangote Refinery Chief Executive Officer David Bird had previously disclosed that these constraints had compelled the company to seek additional crude sources outside Nigeria.

The report added that the refinery’s expansion plans would further increase its crude requirements. Dangote plans to double the refinery’s processing capacity to 1.4 million barrels per day by the end of 2028, a level that would enable it to process about 80 per cent of Nigeria’s recent crude oil production in a single day.

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Speaking earlier this year, Bird said the refinery intended to increase the share of heavier crude grades in its feedstock mix. “We definitely want to heavy up the barrel,” Bird said in April.

He added, “We will be in the crude blending game. So you can easily imagine at 1.4 million b/d we could process 30 per cent Middle Eastern grades on each train.”

According to S&P Global, the refinery has been broadening the range of crude grades it processes as part of its ambition to operate as a fully merchant refinery. The report noted that in 2025, about 70 per cent of the refinery’s crude imports came from Nigeria, while 24 per cent originated from the United States.

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