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States hosting IDPs eye $12m World Bank loan

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States hosting internally displaced persons are set to earn up to $12m from a World Bank–backed loan if they meet a series of strict data, governance, and integration benchmarks under a new federal project targeting displacement and host communities.

The funding forms part of a $300m concessional credit approved by the International Development Association for the Solutions for the Internally Displaced and Host Communities Project, signed between the Federal Government and the World Bank.

The Solutions for the Internally Displaced and Host Communities Project was approved by the World Bank on August 7, 2025. The agreement ties disbursement of part of the loan to performance-based conditions rather than upfront spending, with states paid only after independently verified results are achieved.

Under Performance-Based Condition Two, which focuses on closing data gaps on displacement-related vulnerabilities, $12m has been earmarked for states that successfully register and profile displaced persons living within host communities. The disbursement is spread over three years, with escalating requirements.

In the first year after the project becomes effective, participating Tier 1 and Tier 2 states must launch registration and profiling of IDPs in selected host communities and complete comprehensive demographic and vulnerability assessments in at least two wards. States that meet this initial threshold are entitled to $0.25m ($250,000) each.

The report read, “Participating Tier 1 and Tier 2 States launched registration/profiling of IDPs in selected host communities, and completed: comprehensive demographic and vulnerability assessment; in at least 2wards. Each State which completes the assessment and surveys in the selected wards will receive $0.25m of the PBC allocation.”

By the second year, the requirements deepen for Tier 1 states, which must conduct intention surveys and stability index assessments in areas targeted for local integration. They must also produce detailed analyses of the drivers of displacement, including underlying causes, socioeconomic impacts on displaced persons, outward migration pressures, and risks linked to trafficking and smuggling. Completion of these tasks qualifies each Tier 1 state for an additional $0.5m ($500,000).

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The most substantial payout is tied to the third year, when 80 per cent of IDPs in host communities across all participating Tier 1 and Tier 2 states must be registered and profiled. Each state that meets this benchmark will receive $0.5m ($500,000), bringing the total allocation under this performance condition to $12m.

“80 per cent of IDPs in host communities in all Participating Tier 1 and Tier 2 States are registered and profiled. Each Participating State that completes all the above will receive $0.5m of the PBC allocation,” the report read.

By the fourth year, the agreement expects data gaps on displacement-related vulnerabilities to be comprehensively addressed, with no further payments attached. Beyond IDP data, the financing agreement outlines two additional performance-based conditions that states must meet to access other tranches of the loan.

Performance-Based Condition One focuses on improving asset management by participating local governments. Tier 1 states are required to issue asset inventory reporting guidelines and operations and maintenance standards aligned with international benchmarks, approved by state oversight agencies, and verified through project audits.

Selected local governments must then issue asset inventory reports and O&M plans, followed by full approval of all local government–level asset inventories by governors. Up to $9m is allocated to this condition, with states receiving $0.5m ($500,000) at each verified stage.

Performance-Based Condition Three targets the long-term integration of IDPs into development processes. Participating Tier 1 states must provide financial and technical support to local registration facilities to help IDPs access basic documentation such as birth, marriage, death and educational certificates, residence identification, travel documents and driving licences. States that complete this stage are eligible for $1m each.

Further requirements include legalising ownership transfer of land and property to IDPs through transparent processes, establishing monitoring mechanisms to manage tensions between displaced persons and host communities, and opening at least three development programmes covering skills development, livelihoods or infrastructure to displaced populations. A total of $12m is allocated under this condition, spread across successive milestones.

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Only states that meet strict eligibility criteria can participate. Tier 1 states must have an IDP population exceeding 150,000 and accounting for more than two per cent of the state population, while Tier 2 states qualify with at least 100,000 IDPs or an IDP share above one per cent.

States must also sign subsidiary agreements with the Federal Government and adopt approved security management plans before accessing funds. The agreement stipulates that all performance claims must be backed by eligible expenditures and verified by independent agents acceptable to the World Bank.

Failure to meet milestones within specified timelines allows the Bank to withhold, reallocate or cancel funds tied to the affected performance condition.

The broader $300m credit finances infrastructure, livelihoods support, institutional strengthening, and project management across northern Nigeria, but the performance-based components reflect the World Bank’s emphasis on accountability and measurable outcomes in displacement policy.

On repayment, the loan is structured as long-term concessional financing. Principal repayments will commence on January 15, 2031, and continue semi-annually on January 15 and July 15 each year until July 15, 2050.

Each instalment represents 2.5 per cent of the principal amount, spreading repayment evenly over 20 years. The payment currency is the US dollar, and the interest charge is based on a reference rate plus a variable spread, subject to agreed ceilings and floors

With repayments deferred for several years and disbursements tied to performance, the agreement places the burden on states not just to spend, but to deliver verifiable results in data quality, asset management, and the long-term integration of displaced persons into Nigeria’s development framework.

The World Bank Group remains Nigeria’s largest single creditor, accounting for $19.39bn of the total, comprising $18.04bn from the IDA and $1.35bn from the IBRD. This represents 41.3 per cent of the country’s external debt, underscoring the bank’s dominant role in financing Nigeria’s development initiatives.

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The PUNCH earlier reported that the World Bank loans to Nigeria between 2023 and 2025 are projected to reach $9.65bn by the end of this year as fresh approvals, ongoing negotiations, and disbursements gather pace across key sectors.

The amount covers International Bank for Reconstruction and Development and International Development Association loans only, according to an analysis of data on the bank’s website by The PUNCH. When grants are added, total World Bank support rises to about $9.77bn within the three-year window.

The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development provides loans on commercial or near-commercial terms to middle-income and creditworthy low-income countries, while the International Development Association offers highly concessional loans and grants to the world’s poorest nations.

The PUNCH also reported that Nigeria’s stock of World Bank International Development Association loans rose to $18.5bn, making it the largest IDA borrower in Africa and the third-biggest in the world.

Fresh data from the IDA’s unaudited financial statements for the third quarter of 2025 confirmed that the country has maintained the ranking it first attained in 2024, when it climbed to third place after overtaking India. The country was the fourth-largest borrower in 2023.

According to the report, Nigeria’s exposure increased from $17.1bn in September 2024 to $18.5bn in September 2025, representing a rise of $1.4bn or 8.2 per cent. The increase reflects the country’s heavier reliance on concessional financing to plug infrastructure gaps, stabilise its reform programme, and support social spending amid volatile oil earnings.

Economists warn that the rising loan pipeline, while potentially beneficial for long-term development, could deepen fiscal pressures if not matched with stronger domestic revenue mobilisation and prudent expenditure management.

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Kwara strengthens partnership to boost mechanised farming

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The Kwara State Government has strengthened its partnership with the All Farmers Association of Nigeria and other agricultural stakeholders to advance mechanised farming, environmental sustainability and women inclusion across the state.

The renewed commitment was reaffirmed during a courtesy visit by the leadership of the Kwara State chapter of AFAN to the Kwara State Agro-Climatic Resilience in Semi-Arid Landscapes in Ilorin.

This was contained in a statement issued on Tuesday by the Communication Officer of KWACReSAL, Okanlawon Taiwo, a copy of which was made available to The PUNCH in Ilorin.

Speaking during the meeting, the State Project Coordinator of KWACReSAL, Shamsideen Aregbe, assured farmers of the state government’s continued support toward improving food production, mechanised agriculture and climate resilience.

He said, “Tractorisation remains a critical component of modern agriculture. Access to farming equipment is essential for increasing productivity and addressing food security challenges across the state.”

He explained that the tractor support initiative introduced last year followed a World Bank-backed intervention and presidential directive aimed at supporting farmers with mechanised farming equipment.

Aregbe acknowledged concerns raised about operational challenges affecting some tractors, assuring stakeholders that efforts were ongoing to determine the condition and operational status of the equipment to enable effective utilisation by farmers.

“We must sustain engagement with farming communities, particularly in addressing challenges relating to flooding, agricultural logistics and food security,” he added.

The project coordinator also stressed the need for gender equality and inclusion in agricultural interventions across the state.

“The inclusion of women is not negotiable. We must continue to encourage and support women to actively participate in agricultural programmes and leadership processes,” he stated.

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Earlier, the Chairman of AFAN in Kwara State, Shuaib Ajibola, commended KWACReSAL for its interventions in the agricultural sector, reaffirming the association’s readiness to collaborate on programmes aimed at improving farmers’ welfare and environmental sustainability.

Ajibola disclosed that the association planned to commence an agricultural expo and stakeholder engagement programme across the state following its recent inauguration activities to reconnect with farmers and strengthen agricultural outreach.

“Previous editions of the interventions covered the 16 local government areas of the state and involved stakeholders from different agricultural sectors,” he said.

The AFAN chairman also raised concerns over land use disputes and other agrarian issues affecting farmlands, noting that the development had created anxiety among some farming communities regarding land ownership and rights.

“There is a need for sustained stakeholder dialogue and engagement to resolve disputes and ensure peaceful farming activities across communities,” Ajibola added.

Also speaking, the Project Coordinator of AFAM, AbdulRahman Babatunde, applauded KWACReSAL for its support to farmers, especially in the area of agricultural inputs and mechanised farming.

“ACReSAL provided 100 per cent agricultural inputs to participating farmers last year, and beneficiaries across communities can testify to the positive impact of the intervention,” Babatunde said.

He disclosed that farming activities for the current planting season had already commenced, with farmers actively registering, hiring tractors and preparing their farmlands.

In her remarks, the AFAM Women Leader, Sherifat Ibrahim, advocated increased empowerment and technical training for women in rural communities to enable them to actively participate in mechanised farming.

“There is a need for gender-friendly operational systems and practical training that will make tractor handling easier and more accessible for women and young learners involved in agricultural programmes,” she said.

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Meanwhile, the Environmental Safeguards Officer of KWACReSAL, Mr Abubakar Mohammed, reaffirmed the project’s commitment to gender equality, women’s inclusion and effective grievance management across all project activities.

The renewed collaboration comes amid growing efforts by the Kwara state government to improve food production and strengthen climate-smart agriculture through partnerships with farmer associations, development agencies and international organisations.

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See Full List of Top 10 World’s Largest Economies in 2026

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The United States is projected to remain the world’s largest economy in 2026 with a gross domestic product estimated at $32.1 trillion, according to new global economic forecasts obtained from Focus Economics on Wednesday.

The U.S. continues to lead global output through dominance in technology, finance, healthcare, and advanced manufacturing. Growth in artificial intelligence, healthcare innovation, and high-value industries has further widened its lead over other major economies in recent years.

The top 10 world economies ranked in numbers

1. United States — $32.1 trillion
The United States remains the world’s largest economy, accounting for over a quarter of global output in nominal terms. Its economy is highly diversified, with Silicon Valley driving global leadership in AI, biotech, and software, while Wall Street anchors the financial sector.

2. China — $20.2 trillion
China is the world’s second-largest economy, driven by manufacturing, exports, and large-scale industrial production. It remains the leading global producer of electronics, machinery, and textiles, though it faces structural challenges, including a shrinking population and high debt levels.

3. Germany — $5.4 trillion
Germany remains Europe’s largest economy, supported by a strong industrial base and the Mittelstand network of medium-sized manufacturing firms that form the backbone of its export strength.

4. India — $4.5 trillion
India continues its rapid economic rise, driven largely by services and information technology. Its economy has more than doubled over the past decade, supported by a young population and expanding domestic demand.

5. Japan — $4.4 trillion
Japan remains a global manufacturing powerhouse in robotics, automobiles, and electronics, although long-term growth is constrained by an aging population and structural economic stagnation.

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6. United Kingdom — $4.2 trillion
The United Kingdom is a major service-based economy, with strengths in finance, insurance, and real estate, anchored by the City of London.

7. France — $3.6 trillion
France has a diversified economy led by luxury goods, aerospace, agriculture, and manufacturing, with global brands such as Airbus and LVMH playing major roles.

8. Italy — $2.7 trillion
Italy combines a strong services sector with manufacturing strengths in fashion, machinery, and automobiles, driven largely by its industrial northern regions.

9. Russia — $2.5 trillion
Russia remains heavily dependent on oil and gas exports, with energy revenues playing a central role in its economy despite ongoing sanctions and geopolitical pressures.

10. Canada — $2.4 trillion
Canada rounds out the top 10, supported by natural resources such as oil, forestry, and mining, alongside a strong services and financial sector.

Economists say the global economy is increasingly being shaped by technology, demographics, energy transitions, and geopolitical tensions, all of which will influence how these rankings evolve in the coming years.

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Nigeria misses OPEC oil production quota again

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Again, Nigeria has missed its crude oil production quota set by the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries after averaging 1.49 million barrels per day in April, below the 1.5 mbpd benchmark.

Figures from the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission showed that the country produced an average of 1,488,540 barrels of crude daily in April, representing about 99 per cent of the OPEC quota. When condensates were added, total daily production rose to 1.66mbpd

Last month, the NUPRC said oil production now averaged 1.8mbpd. However, data released on Tuesday was at variance with the report. The latest data mean Nigeria remained below its OPEC allocation for the ninth straight month since July 2025.

The NUPRC document showed that combined crude oil and condensate production peaked at 1.85 mbpd during the month, while the lowest output stood at 1.46 mbpd. The PUNCH reports that the April figures are an appreciable improvement compared to March, when oil output was 1.55mbpd.

Nigeria’s oil production has struggled for years due to crude theft, pipeline vandalism, ageing infrastructure, and underinvestment in the upstream sector. Although output improved marginally in April compared to March, it was still insufficient to meet the country’s OPEC target, underscoring persistent challenges in ramping up production despite government efforts to boost volumes.

The PUNCH reports that Nigeria’s crude production in March was 1.38 mbpd. While there was a 69,000 bpd increase from the 1.31 mbpd recorded in February, the figure is still 117,000 bpd below the OPEC quota.

The figures for February indicated a month-on-month decline of 146,000 barrels per day, widening the country’s shortfall from its OPEC production allocation. This is the eighth consecutive month the country has failed to meet the OPEC quota since July 2025.

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Recall that although Nigeria recorded a marginal improvement in January, when production rose from 1.422 mbpd in December 2025 to 1.46 mbpd, the rebound was short-lived as output fell significantly in February 2026.

Earlier data from NUPRC had also shown that crude oil production weakened at the end of 2025. Production declined from 1.436 mbpd in November 2025 to 1.422 mbpd in December, before recovering slightly in January.

In 2025, Nigeria’s crude oil production fell below its OPEC quota in nine months of the year, meeting or slightly exceeding the target only in January, June, and July.

Nigeria opened 2025 strongly, producing 1.54 mbpd in January, about 38,700 barrels per day above its OPEC allocation. However, production slipped below the quota in February at 1.47 mbpd and weakened further in March to 1.40 mbpd, marking one of the widest shortfalls during the year.

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