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States hosting IDPs eye $12m World Bank loan

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States hosting internally displaced persons are set to earn up to $12m from a World Bank–backed loan if they meet a series of strict data, governance, and integration benchmarks under a new federal project targeting displacement and host communities.

The funding forms part of a $300m concessional credit approved by the International Development Association for the Solutions for the Internally Displaced and Host Communities Project, signed between the Federal Government and the World Bank.

The Solutions for the Internally Displaced and Host Communities Project was approved by the World Bank on August 7, 2025. The agreement ties disbursement of part of the loan to performance-based conditions rather than upfront spending, with states paid only after independently verified results are achieved.

Under Performance-Based Condition Two, which focuses on closing data gaps on displacement-related vulnerabilities, $12m has been earmarked for states that successfully register and profile displaced persons living within host communities. The disbursement is spread over three years, with escalating requirements.

In the first year after the project becomes effective, participating Tier 1 and Tier 2 states must launch registration and profiling of IDPs in selected host communities and complete comprehensive demographic and vulnerability assessments in at least two wards. States that meet this initial threshold are entitled to $0.25m ($250,000) each.

The report read, “Participating Tier 1 and Tier 2 States launched registration/profiling of IDPs in selected host communities, and completed: comprehensive demographic and vulnerability assessment; in at least 2wards. Each State which completes the assessment and surveys in the selected wards will receive $0.25m of the PBC allocation.”

By the second year, the requirements deepen for Tier 1 states, which must conduct intention surveys and stability index assessments in areas targeted for local integration. They must also produce detailed analyses of the drivers of displacement, including underlying causes, socioeconomic impacts on displaced persons, outward migration pressures, and risks linked to trafficking and smuggling. Completion of these tasks qualifies each Tier 1 state for an additional $0.5m ($500,000).

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The most substantial payout is tied to the third year, when 80 per cent of IDPs in host communities across all participating Tier 1 and Tier 2 states must be registered and profiled. Each state that meets this benchmark will receive $0.5m ($500,000), bringing the total allocation under this performance condition to $12m.

“80 per cent of IDPs in host communities in all Participating Tier 1 and Tier 2 States are registered and profiled. Each Participating State that completes all the above will receive $0.5m of the PBC allocation,” the report read.

By the fourth year, the agreement expects data gaps on displacement-related vulnerabilities to be comprehensively addressed, with no further payments attached. Beyond IDP data, the financing agreement outlines two additional performance-based conditions that states must meet to access other tranches of the loan.

Performance-Based Condition One focuses on improving asset management by participating local governments. Tier 1 states are required to issue asset inventory reporting guidelines and operations and maintenance standards aligned with international benchmarks, approved by state oversight agencies, and verified through project audits.

Selected local governments must then issue asset inventory reports and O&M plans, followed by full approval of all local government–level asset inventories by governors. Up to $9m is allocated to this condition, with states receiving $0.5m ($500,000) at each verified stage.

Performance-Based Condition Three targets the long-term integration of IDPs into development processes. Participating Tier 1 states must provide financial and technical support to local registration facilities to help IDPs access basic documentation such as birth, marriage, death and educational certificates, residence identification, travel documents and driving licences. States that complete this stage are eligible for $1m each.

Further requirements include legalising ownership transfer of land and property to IDPs through transparent processes, establishing monitoring mechanisms to manage tensions between displaced persons and host communities, and opening at least three development programmes covering skills development, livelihoods or infrastructure to displaced populations. A total of $12m is allocated under this condition, spread across successive milestones.

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Only states that meet strict eligibility criteria can participate. Tier 1 states must have an IDP population exceeding 150,000 and accounting for more than two per cent of the state population, while Tier 2 states qualify with at least 100,000 IDPs or an IDP share above one per cent.

States must also sign subsidiary agreements with the Federal Government and adopt approved security management plans before accessing funds. The agreement stipulates that all performance claims must be backed by eligible expenditures and verified by independent agents acceptable to the World Bank.

Failure to meet milestones within specified timelines allows the Bank to withhold, reallocate or cancel funds tied to the affected performance condition.

The broader $300m credit finances infrastructure, livelihoods support, institutional strengthening, and project management across northern Nigeria, but the performance-based components reflect the World Bank’s emphasis on accountability and measurable outcomes in displacement policy.

On repayment, the loan is structured as long-term concessional financing. Principal repayments will commence on January 15, 2031, and continue semi-annually on January 15 and July 15 each year until July 15, 2050.

Each instalment represents 2.5 per cent of the principal amount, spreading repayment evenly over 20 years. The payment currency is the US dollar, and the interest charge is based on a reference rate plus a variable spread, subject to agreed ceilings and floors

With repayments deferred for several years and disbursements tied to performance, the agreement places the burden on states not just to spend, but to deliver verifiable results in data quality, asset management, and the long-term integration of displaced persons into Nigeria’s development framework.

The World Bank Group remains Nigeria’s largest single creditor, accounting for $19.39bn of the total, comprising $18.04bn from the IDA and $1.35bn from the IBRD. This represents 41.3 per cent of the country’s external debt, underscoring the bank’s dominant role in financing Nigeria’s development initiatives.

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The PUNCH earlier reported that the World Bank loans to Nigeria between 2023 and 2025 are projected to reach $9.65bn by the end of this year as fresh approvals, ongoing negotiations, and disbursements gather pace across key sectors.

The amount covers International Bank for Reconstruction and Development and International Development Association loans only, according to an analysis of data on the bank’s website by The PUNCH. When grants are added, total World Bank support rises to about $9.77bn within the three-year window.

The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development provides loans on commercial or near-commercial terms to middle-income and creditworthy low-income countries, while the International Development Association offers highly concessional loans and grants to the world’s poorest nations.

The PUNCH also reported that Nigeria’s stock of World Bank International Development Association loans rose to $18.5bn, making it the largest IDA borrower in Africa and the third-biggest in the world.

Fresh data from the IDA’s unaudited financial statements for the third quarter of 2025 confirmed that the country has maintained the ranking it first attained in 2024, when it climbed to third place after overtaking India. The country was the fourth-largest borrower in 2023.

According to the report, Nigeria’s exposure increased from $17.1bn in September 2024 to $18.5bn in September 2025, representing a rise of $1.4bn or 8.2 per cent. The increase reflects the country’s heavier reliance on concessional financing to plug infrastructure gaps, stabilise its reform programme, and support social spending amid volatile oil earnings.

Economists warn that the rising loan pipeline, while potentially beneficial for long-term development, could deepen fiscal pressures if not matched with stronger domestic revenue mobilisation and prudent expenditure management.

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Read how Nigerians tap savings, loans to buy Dangote refinery shares

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Some Nigerians seeking to invest in the Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals FZE Initial Public Offering have turned to personal savings, loans and proceeds from the sale of assets to raise funds to buy shares, Saturday PUNCH has learnt.

Findings by our correspondents revealed strong interest in the shares among prospective retail investors, some of whom said they expected the investment to yield substantial returns in the future.

While some respondents said they were dipping into savings or raising funds through other means, others said the prevailing economic hardship had made it difficult for them to participate in the offer.

The refinery opened its IPO on Monday, September 14, giving Nigerians an opportunity to own equity in the company.

The offer comprises 4.1 billion ordinary shares priced at N525 each, with the company targeting about N2.15tn to part-fund an expansion that would nearly double the refinery’s capacity to 1.4 million barrels per day.

The minimum subscription is 10 shares, costing N5,250.

Dangote Group Chief Executive Officer, Aliko Dangote, said the low entry threshold was deliberately set to allow ordinary workers, including drivers, cooks and domestic staff, to become shareholders, describing the offer as “the IPO for the people.”

The offer is expected to close on October 13.

Investors turn to savings, loans

A staff member of the Federal Ministry of Works, David Adelabu, described the shares as expensive for struggling civil servants but said he considered the offer an opportunity to become a shareholder in the refinery.

He said, “I have small shares in some companies, including Glo and MTN, but Dangote’s shares will be the highest I will be buying. It is on the high side, but I feel this is an opportunity to become a shareholder in Dangote.

“I understand that the dividends are not going to be immediate, but I don’t mind even if it will entail selling a plot of land I have in Metumbi here in Minna. I will gladly do so.”

A trader in Dutse, Jigawa State, Adamu Bala, said he planned to use savings from his business to buy the shares.

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“I will not sell my house. I will use a small profit from my shop to buy,” he said.

Similarly, a civil servant, Fatima Mannir, said women in her group had started raising money through contributions, known as adashe, to participate in the offer.

“We have started raising money through adashe,” she said.

A trader in Damaturu, Yobe State, Malam Musa Ibrahim, said he invested part of his business savings after learning about the offer.

“I am using part of the money I have saved from my business.

“I believe that if I can invest a small amount now, it may become useful to me in the future. But I am also being careful because business is not easy at the moment,” he said.

Another resident, Aisha Mohammed, said she raised money by cutting down on some household expenses.

“I did not borrow money to buy the shares. I have been saving little by little, and when I heard about the offer, I decided to use part of what I had saved,” she said.

A businessman, Abdullahi Yusuf, however, said he obtained financial assistance from a friend to increase his subscription.

“I wanted to buy more shares than what my savings could afford, so I discussed it with a friend who agreed to lend me some money.

“I know that borrowing money to invest carries risks, but I am hoping that the investment will perform well. I will repay the money from my business income,” he said.

A petty trader, Hauwa Lawan, said she sold some personal belongings she no longer used and added the proceeds to her savings to finance her purchase.

“I sold some things that I was no longer using and added the money to my savings,” she said.

A farmer, Mallam Abdullahi Adamu, said he sold farm produce to raise about N500,000 to invest in the shares.

In Kano State, an investor, Abdulmalik Ibrahim, said he bought 10 shares for N5,250 using personal funds.

Hardship keeps some investors away

While some Nigerians are finding ways to participate in the IPO, others said economic pressures had put the investment beyond their reach.

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A civil servant in Kogi State, Saliu Joseph, said he would have loved to invest but had just paid his children’s school fees.

“Right now, I don’t think I can afford to participate unless a miracle happens,” he said.

A retired permanent secretary in the state, Bola Boro, also said he would not participate because he could not afford the investment at the moment.

“As a retired civil servant, I cannot afford such an amount to invest in the offer. Even though I am a fan of investment through the stock market, which I have been doing for years, I don’t think it will be convenient for me to participate considering the time frame of just one month,” he said.

A civil servant, Kuta Abdulahi, said the financial demands of his children’s education had left him unable to participate in the share offer.

“I must tell you the truth, I know about the Dangote Refinery shares, but I cannot even think of it at this time. My children are just resuming a new term in school. Where will I get the money for their school fees before thinking of buying shares? Please, I have a lot on my head,” he said.

Similarly, a vulcaniser, Ahmed Alkali, said his income was barely enough to meet his family’s basic needs, making investment in shares difficult.

“With the kind of job I do, I am working from hand to mouth. So, how can I buy shares when I have not eaten?” he asked.

Experts warn against borrowing

Investment experts, however, cautioned Nigerians against taking loans, selling properties or committing all their savings to the IPO, warning that equity investments carry risks.

Speaking with Saturday PUNCH, the Group Managing Director of Lancelot Group, Adebayo Adeleke, urged prospective investors to understand the risks associated with the capital market before committing their funds to the IPO.

Adeleke, who is also a former Secretary of the Independent Shareholders Association of Nigeria, said capital market investments should be made with funds that investors could afford to leave untouched for the long term, noting that equities were unsuitable for people struggling to meet immediate financial needs.

He said, “When you buy shares, you are buying a portion of the ownership of the business. Investment takes a lot of time to pass through gestation, to stability, to profitability. And you cannot, with any degree of certainty, predict when the company is going to turn the corner and begin to produce profits.

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“So, investment money is not the money you are likely to need in the next two months, three months, six months, even one year. If you cannot part with your money for a minimum of three to five years, the capital market is not the place to invest.”

Adeleke, however, described the IPO as a strategic investment, citing the refinery’s scale and demand for its products.

Also speaking, the Head of Financial Institutions Ratings at Agusto & Co., Ayokunle Olubunmi, urged Nigerians to consider the risks associated with the investment and avoid committing all their savings to the offer.

He said, “There are plenty of risks to this business. It’s not risk-free. Things can get worse for the business. Valuation is based on expectations of what will happen in the future. Things might not go as planned. And, like we all know, equity is a risky business.”

Olubunmi particularly cautioned prospective investors against selling property or using up all their savings to invest in the offer.

He advised them to invest only a portion of their funds and diversify their portfolios.

The expert also advised those considering taking loans to buy the shares to have a separate and reliable repayment plan rather than depending on returns from the investment.

The Emir of Kano, Muhammadu Sanusi II, had earlier warned prospective investors against using their children’s school fees or selling their homes to invest in the shares.

Sanusi, who gave the warning on Thursday while speaking at the company’s roadshow in Kano, urged prospective investors to invest only money they could afford to set aside for some time, suggesting amounts such as N10,000, N20,000 or N30,000.

Source: punchng.com

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ARE NIGERIANS BUILDING CHINA’S ECONOMY WHILE NEGLECTING THEIR OWN?

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While other nations are busy producing, manufacturing and exporting, Nigeria must ask itself a difficult question: Are we building our own economy, or simply creating a bigger market for other countries?

Nigeria has a huge population, abundant natural resources and a massive consumer market. Yet the country continues to depend heavily on imported finished products—from electronics and clothing to machinery, household goods and other consumer items.

The issue is not simply about Chinese businesses or businesses from any other foreign country operating in Nigeria. Foreign investment can bring capital, technology, jobs and expertise.

The bigger issue is whether **Nigerian businesses are being given the opportunity and support to manufacture competitively at home.

Instead of remaining primarily a consumer of finished products, Nigeria needs to strengthen its manufacturing sector and move further up the value chain.

Nigeria needs to produce, not just consume.

A stronger manufacturing economy could help Nigeria:

* Create more jobs for Nigerians
* Add value to locally available raw materials
* Develop industrial skills and technology
* Reduce excessive dependence on imported finished goods
* Build competitive Nigerian companies
* Increase the country’s ability to export

The goal should not be to drive legitimate foreign businesses out of Nigeria. The goal should be to build an economy where **Nigerian manufacturers can compete, grow and eventually take Nigerian-made products to markets around the world.

The question Nigerians should be asking is simple:

**Why should Nigeria remain one of the world’s biggest markets for finished products when we have the potential to manufacture many of them ourselves?

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🇳🇬 **Nigeria must move from being predominantly a consumer nation to becoming a stronger producer, manufacturer and exporter.

What do you think?

Which products should Nigeria prioritize for local manufacturing instead of relying heavily on imports?

Share your thoughts in the comments.

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ICRC defends toll pricing on highways

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The Infrastructure Concession Regulatory Commission has defended the toll pricing structure under the Highway Development and Management Initiative, saying charges are evaluated against the quality and benefits of the upgraded roads.

In a statement made available to PUNCH Online on Thursday, the Director-General, Dr. Jobson Ewalefoh, cited the 227-kilometre Akwanga–Makurdi road corridor as an example.

He said the route has four toll gates, and motorists pay as they travel along it.

He argued that toll payments should be viewed against the previous costs imposed by the poor condition of the road, including lost man-hours, vehicle damage and accident risks.

Feedback from road users, he said, shows many motorists are willing to pay tolls where they see clear improvements in road quality.

Some drivers have expressed support for similar arrangements on other major corridors if the roads are upgraded to the same standard.

“That, to me, is the beauty of a well-structured PPP,” Ewalefoh said.

He explained that negotiators carefully consider toll pricing to keep charges fair. A portion of the revenue is set aside specifically for road maintenance. Under the concession agreements, the government does not bear additional maintenance costs for the duration of the contract.

The government must repair potholes within 48 hours, and it funds major routine repairs from the dedicated toll revenue.

Source: punchng.com

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