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Electricity subsidy: FG to deduct N3.6tn from Federation Account

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The Federal Government has proposed a N3.6tn deduction from the Federation Account to fund electricity subsidies in 2026, 2027, and 2028, a move designed to distribute the financial burden across federal, state, and local governments, The PUNCH reports.

The move represents a decisive step by the Federal Government to confront the rapidly mounting electricity subsidy debt, which has severely constrained liquidity across the power sector, while also strengthening fiscal transparency by making subsidy obligations explicit and better accounted for.

The deduction proposal, detailed in the Medium-Term Expenditure Framework Fiscal Strategy Paper for 2026–2028, analysed by one of our correspondents on Tuesday, reflects a strategic shift toward distributing the financial burden of the power sector across all tiers of government, amid growing concerns over unsustainable debts and systemic inefficiencies.

According to Table 6.2 of the MTEF document, which outlines “Other FAAC Deductions” under the Federation Account Revenue – Main Pool, VAT, and Stamp Duty, the electricity subsidy for 2026 is pegged at N1.2tn.

It is projected to remain at this level through 2027 and 2028, signalling the government’s commitment to stabilising the sector while preventing hidden liabilities from ballooning into a fiscal crisis.

“The document read, “Transfer to NBET (Electricity Subsidy) is estimated at N1.2tn in the 2026 budget proposal and projected to remain at N1.2tn each in 2027 and 2028.”

The proposed approach aligns with earlier statements by the Budget Office of the Federation, which indicated plans to end the practice of the Federal Government bearing electricity subsidy costs alone.

The Budget Office DG, Tanimu Yakubu, during a training and sensitisation workshop for ministries, departments, and agencies on the 2026 post-budget preparation process using the Government Integrated Financial Management Information System Budget Preparation Sub-System, said President Bola Tinubu had directed that electricity subsidy costs be made explicit, tracked, and fairly shared across tiers of government.

“If we want a stable power sector, we must pay for the choices we make,” he said. “When tariffs are held below cost, a gap is created. That gap is a subsidy. And a subsidy is a bill.”

He added that from 2026, the Federal Government would no longer treat electricity subsidies as an open-ended obligation borne solely by the centre, especially where policy decisions and political benefits are shared.

“In 2026, we will stop pretending that this bill can be left to the Federal Government alone, especially where the policy choice or the political benefit is shared across tiers of government,” Yakubu said.

According to him, the President has instructed that the existing electricity sector legal framework be invoked to ensure that subsidy sharing is practical, transparent, and enforceable.

“This means subsidy costs must be explicit, tracked, and funded, so they do not return as arrears, liquidity crises, or hidden liabilities in the market,” he said. “If any tier of government chooses affordability interventions, the funding responsibilities must be clear, agreed, and enforceable,” he stated.

Currently, the Federal Government finances electricity subsidies through direct budgetary allocations, primarily channelled via the Federal Ministry of Finance to the Nigerian Bulk Electricity Trading Plc.

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NBET acts as an intermediary, purchasing electricity from generation companies (GenCos) and selling it to distribution companies (DisCos) at regulated tariffs, often lower than the actual cost of production.

The gap between the regulated tariff and the cost of electricity generation is effectively covered by government subsidies, which are meant to shield consumers from the full cost of electricity while maintaining stability in the power market.

However, this subsidy framework has placed a growing strain on federal finances, and accumulating unpaid obligations has caused a drastic increase in sector debt.

By the end of 2025, total outstanding sector debt, including unpaid obligations to generation and other power companies, is projected to rise to about N6.5tn, up from around N4tn earlier in the year, as a result of unfunded subsidy shortfalls and low payments to power producers.

This has prompted the proposed 2026 measure to deduct N1.2tn directly from the Federation Account for electricity subsidies, which aims to make payments explicit, transparent, and shared among federal, state, and local governments, a strategy intended to address both fiscal sustainability and operational efficiency in NESI.

By deducting funds directly from the Federation Account, the central revenue pool managed by the Federation Account Allocation Committee before revenue distribution, the government aims to encourage states and local governments to prioritise efficiency and provide targeted support for vulnerable households.

Providing further insight into the Federal Government’s proposed electricity subsidy funding framework, energy policy expert Habu Sadeik explained that the N1.2tn earmarked in the Medium-Term Expenditure Framework and Fiscal Strategy Paper will be deducted directly from the Federation Account Allocation Committee pool before revenues are shared among the three tiers of government.

According to Sadeik, the MTEF document clearly captures the N1.2tn electricity subsidy as a first-line deduction from gross FAAC revenue, meaning the amount will be removed before distributable revenue is calculated for the Federal Government, states, and Local Governments.

He explained that the MTEF-FSP, which is prepared every three years, sets the strategic direction for government budgeting and spending across the federation, including how revenues are shared and which obligations are treated as priority deductions.

“What the government has done is to provide for a deduction at source from the gross FAAC revenue to the Nigerian Bulk Electricity Trading Plc (NBET) amounting to N1.2tn,” Sadeik said.

He noted that the approach is similar to the funding structure adopted for the Presidential Metering Initiative, under which about N800bn has been carved out from FAAC over time to fund nationwide metering, thereby reducing estimated billing and commercial losses in the power sector.

Under the new electricity subsidy framework, Sadeik explained, any deduction made from the gross FAAC pool effectively reduces what states and local governments eventually receive.

“For example, if total FAAC revenue in a particular month is N1tn and N200bn is deducted upfront, it means every state and local government has indirectly contributed to that N200bn,” he said.

He clarified that the proposed N1.2tn is not an ad-hoc payment but a planned transfer to NBET beginning in 2026, to be executed before revenue is distributed to sub-national governments.

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“This money is planned to be paid to NBET ahead of distribution. It is no longer something the Federal Government will try to settle later through its own budget,” Sadeik explained.

Historically, electricity subsidies have been funded solely through federal budgetary allocations, placing the full burden on the Federal Government. However, Sadeik noted that the new arrangement represents a fundamental shift in responsibility.

“The key difference is the burden,” he said. “Before now, the burden of electricity subsidy was on the Federal Government alone. Under this new framework, the burden is shared by the entire federation, the Federal Government, states, and Local Governments.”

He added that previous budgetary provisions for electricity subsidies were grossly inadequate when compared with the scale of liabilities in the Nigerian Electricity Supply Industry.

“In 2024, only about N450bn was provided in the budget. In 2025, it increased to N900bn, but these amounts were still far below the level of accumulated subsidy obligations,” he said.

The planned FAAC deduction, according to Sadeik, is intended to close this funding gap by making subsidy payments explicit, predictable, and sustainably funded, while ending the long-standing practice of masking electricity subsidies within federal fiscal operations.

Commenting on the proposal, the Executive Director and Convener of PowerUp Nigeria, Adetayo Adegbemle, applauded the initiative, describing it as consistent with the principles of federalism.

Adegbemle said the arrangement reflects a system in which all federating units actively participate in governance, noting that the Federal Government, states, and local governments would collectively contribute to the cost of electricity subsidies.

“This is in the spirit of federalism, where all federating units are involved in government. Under this arrangement, the Federal Government, the states, and the local governments will all contribute to the payment of electricity subsidy,” he said.

While noting that the full implementation details were still unclear, Adegbemle described the proposal as a positive development that allows all tiers of government to share responsibility for the power sector.

“I don’t know if the government has already worked out all the details, but this is a good development because all levels of government can come in and make their own contributions,” he added.

He explained that the policy would apply mainly to states that have yet to establish their own electricity markets under the amended Electricity Act. “As earlier mentioned, this will involve all states that have not created their state electricity markets. States that have already set up functional local electricity markets will be exempted,” Adegbemle said.

Although he reiterated his long-standing position that electricity subsidies should ideally be phased out completely, Adegbemle noted that the proposed framework would significantly ease the financial burden on the Federal Government while improving accountability across the sector.

“Even though some of us have advocated for the complete removal of the electricity subsidy, this move will drastically reduce the burden on the Federal Government and also bring more accountability,” he said.

According to him, shared responsibility would compel each tier of government to properly audit its electricity customer base and closely monitor connections to the national grid, thereby reducing inefficiencies and revenue leakages in the power sector.

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“This will force every level of government to take responsibility for auditing their customer base and their connections to the national grid,” he added.

Ministry backs moves

When contacted, the Minister of Power, Adebayo Adelabu, speaking through his media aide, Bolaji Tunji, said the ministry supports the proposed electricity subsidy funding framework, describing it as a step in the right direction for the power sector.

He explained that while the announcement was made by the Director-General of the Budget Office, the Ministry of Power aligns with the initiative and agrees with its underlying objectives.

“This announcement was made by the Director-General of the Budget Office, and his office should be contacted for further clarification on the implementation strategy. However, we agree with him on this,” Tunji said.

The implications of the proposed N1.2tn FAAC deduction for electricity subsidies are significant for state and local governments.

Under the current FAAC revenue-sharing formula, states are entitled to 26.72 per cent of the Main Pool, while local governments receive 20.60 per cent. With projected FAAC revenue for 2026 at about N41.06tn, this would translate to roughly N10.97tn for states and N8.45tn for Local Governments.

However, because the electricity subsidy is to be deducted upfront from the gross FAAC revenue, the amount available for distribution to subnational governments will effectively be reduced.

The deduction means governors may need to reassess allocations for critical sectors such as infrastructure, education, and healthcare to accommodate their share of the subsidy payment.

State energy commissioners react

Meanwhile, the Forum of State Commissioners of Power and Energy in Nigeria has said that it believes that President Bola Tinubu would not do anything against the interests of the masses.

FOCPEN Chairman, Prince Eka Williams, who also serves as the Commissioner for Power and Renewable Energy in Cross River State, told The PUNCH that the forum would make known its positions on the matter later after thorough understanding.

“If that’s what the Federal Government has said, we have to look at it and digest it very well. We have to look at the pros and cons. For now, we have not seen a copy of what the president said.

“But I’m sure what the government would do would be in the interest of Nigerians. I know he’s a  President who cares about the masses. We have not seen him sign into law an anti-people bill,” Williams said.

He said FOCPEN would listen to the analysis of experts before making its decision known to the public.

“Let experts look at the policy very well, not just relying on what people have interpreted it to be. Let experts look at it, and in no distant time, we will make a public statement,” he submitted.

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Tax reforms will modernise, boost economy – G24 chief

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Director of the Intergovernmental Group of Twenty-Four on International Monetary Affairs and Development, Iyabo Masha, has said the new tax laws will support Nigeria’s transition into a modern and more efficient economy.

Masha, who is the first African to occupy the position since the establishment of the G- 24 over five decades ago, spoke at a press conference in Abuja ahead of the meeting of the group.

She explained that tax and domestic resource mobilisation remained central to development, stressing that Nigeria’s reform drive could deepen formalisation and strengthen public finances over time.

“Tax and domestic resource mobilisation are fundamental to economic development,” she said, noting that taxation enables governments to provide infrastructure, education, healthcare, and maintain law and order.

According to her, governments generally finance development through taxation, borrowing, or asset sales, but “out of all of these, taxation is the most efficient one that leads to the least macroeconomic destabilisation”.

Masha observed that developing countries often recorded weak tax mobilisation, “in some cases as low as seven per cent of GDP”, compared to others that generate “25, 30 per cent of GDP”.

Speaking on Nigeria’s reforms, the group director added that in her previous role, she had examined the country’s tax framework and found it “very fragmented”, with inadequate implementation contributing to low revenue mobilisation.

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Recapitalisation: Banks raise N4tn ahead of March deadline

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Banks have raised N4.05tn in verified and approved capital ahead of the March 31, 2026, recapitalisation deadline set by the Central Bank of Nigeria.

The CBN Governor, Olayemi Cardoso, disclosed this on Tuesday during the Monetary Policy Committee briefing in Abuja, saying, “As of February 19, 2026, total verified and approved capital raise stands at N4.05tn.”

The PUNCH observed that this figure was nearly double the N2.4tn reportedly raised as of April 2025. Cardoso said N2.90tn of the amount, representing 71.6 per cent, was mobilised domestically, while N1.15tn, equivalent to 28.33 per cent, came from foreign participation.

“In summary, 71.67 per cent is domestic mobilisation and 28.33 per cent is foreign participation. This balance, in my view, represents a mix of domestic and foreign, which signals broad investor engagement and confidence in the sector,” Cardoso said.

He recalled that he had earlier hinted at strong foreign investor appetite for Nigerian banks. “Several MPCs ago, I did mention that when I went abroad, and I met with some of the investor community, they had a very, very strong interest in investing in banks. So, I’m glad that that has come out in a very positive way,” he added.

On compliance status, the governor said, “To date, 20 banks have fully met the new minimum capital requirements, and a further 13 are at the advanced stage of their capital raising processes.”

He expressed optimism that the banks still raising capital would conclude within the stipulated timeframe. Cardoso noted that some institutions under regulatory intervention were operating under specific legal and structural considerations that influenced the sequence of their recapitalisation actions.

“We remain, as a Central Bank of Nigeria, actively engaged with all relevant stakeholders to ensure that they have an orderly and credible outcome while maintaining financial stability,” he said.

He assured depositors that “Depositor funds in these institutions remain secure, and operations continue under close supervisory and regulatory oversight of the central bank.”

In March 2024, the CBN directed banks with international licences to raise their minimum paid-up capital to N500bn, while those with national authorisation are required to meet a N200bn threshold before the March 31, 2026, deadline.

Regional commercial banks and merchant banks are expected to have a minimum capital base of N50bn, while non-interest banks must hold N20bn for national licences and N10bn for regional licences.

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The recapitalisation policy is aimed at strengthening the resilience of the banking sector and positioning lenders to better support economic growth and absorb potential shocks.

Beyond recapitalisation, Cardoso highlighted developments in the external sector, stating that Nigeria’s gross external reserves rose to about $50.4bn as of mid-February 2026. “Just a point of correction. These aren’t net reserves, it’s gross reserves. And the gross reserves, as of the middle of February, is about $50.4bn, which is the highest figure that we’ve had in 13 years,” he said.

According to him, the reserve build-up was supported by favourable trade developments, a healthy current account surplus, rising non-oil exports, and increased diaspora remittances.

“There’ll be favourable trade developments. The current account is in a healthy surplus, and of course, the non-oil exports have also gone up. It’s something I talk about all the time, which is the issue of diaspora remittances, which again is going up very strongly indeed,” he said.

He attributed the gains to improved market confidence. “Underpinning all this, quite frankly, is market confidence. Without market confidence, no matter what you do, you’ll find you will significantly sub-optimise,” Cardoso stated.

He added that the CBN had engaged widely with international investors, made commitments, and ensured policy consistency to engender positive market sentiment.

On sustainability, the governor cautioned that risks remained. “There will always be risks to any outlook. We cannot underestimate the potential global shocks that could come our way,” he said, citing uncertainties around oil prices and global tensions.

He also warned that pre-election spending and fiscal deficits could pose risks if not properly managed. “Importantly, pre-election spending, if not properly contained, can destabilise the stability we’ve accomplished,” he said. Nevertheless, Cardoso expressed confidence in the current direction of policy.

On inflation, he dismissed suggestions that the CBN could relax its guard following the Monetary Policy Committee’s decision to cut the Monetary Policy Rate by 50 basis points to 26.5 per cent. “That hasn’t changed, to be frank. Caution is our watchword in the central bank,” he said, stressing that the apex bank remained conservative in order to protect the economy.

He noted that headline inflation, which was about 34 per cent when the current management assumed office, had declined to slightly above 15 per cent. “Inflation at that time, 34 per cent, we’ve brought it down to where it is slightly over 15 per cent. We’re encouraged by that,” Cardoso said, adding that tight monetary policy had been necessary.

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He emphasised that sustaining the gains would require collaboration across fiscal and monetary authorities. “It will take a lot of discipline from all the stakeholders. This is not something that will be central bank alone,” he said.

On digital finance, the governor said the CBN recognised the importance of innovation but would ensure that risks to financial stability were properly managed. “We are advancing work already on a very comprehensive framework for digital assets,” he said, noting that the process would involve consultation and scrutiny to ensure transparency and long-term resilience.

He disclosed that there are over 430 licensed fintech operators in Nigeria and described the segment as systemically important, adding that the CBN was strengthening supervisory oversight to address cyber threats and other emerging risks.

The Group Chief Economist and Managing Director of Research and Trade Intelligence at Afreximbank, Dr Yemi Kale, earlier said that the ongoing bank recapitalisation exercise is a critical engine required to bridge Africa’s staggering $80 to $120bn annual trade finance gap.

Speaking at the Ecobank Customer Forum, Kale, who was Nigeria’s former Statistician General, highlighted that Nigeria’s journey toward a $1tn economy hinges on its ability to transform from a raw material exporter into a competitive industrial hub. However, this transition requires “muscle” in the financial sector that currently does not meet the scale of the continent’s ambitions.

He said, “Recapitalisation of the banks is important.” You cannot lend to businesses to grow, expand or import machinery if you do not have enough capital to do so. How do Nigerian banks support deepening intra-African trade if they do not have enough capital?

“By increasing recapitalisation, you increase the ability of banks to lend more to domestic businesses and exporters. There are significant benefits for the Nigerian economy, especially in improving intra-African trade.”

The PUNCH in April 2025 reported that the Securities and Exchange Commission said that the ongoing banking sector recapitalisation exercise is a testament to the strength and resilience of Nigeria’s capital market.

SEC Director-General Dr Emomotimi Agama disclosed this in Abuja while highlighting key provisions of the Investments and Securities Act 2025, describing it as a transformative law that will further deepen market activities and drive economic growth.

See also  Recapitalisation: Banks raise N4tn ahead of March deadline

He said, “The capital market is strong enough to provide the much-needed funding for various sectors of the economy. It is one of the strongest you can think about; our ROI was one of the best in the world for last year. When you look at what the capital market has already done with the bank recapitalisation, which is still ongoing, you can agree with me that our market is strong.”

Also, the Deputy Governor, Economic Policy, CBN, Dr Muhammad Abdullahi, while speaking on a panel at the launch of the 2026 Macroeconomic Outlook of the Nigerian Economic Summit Group in Lagos, said that the recapitalisation programme was designed to build stronger banks capable of supporting Nigeria’s ambition of becoming a trillion-dollar economy.

“I think that even at the inception of the capitalisation programme, the major focus is on how to ensure that we have stronger banks that can support our drive towards a trillion-dollar economy? And the only way to get there is through the credit-review sector, to SMEs, to businesses that require funding at good rates. So as we close up towards March, I mean, the efforts have been quite impressive. We have about 20 banks that have already met it. A number of banks are meeting it every day.

They’re huge. It’s very busy within CBN today, tomorrow, and through to March, as you can imagine.”

However, he stressed that recapitalisation alone was not sufficient, warning that the focus must now shift from bigger balance sheets to productive and sustainable lending.

“The focus that we really are turning our attention to, especially from the financial system stability side, is that we ensure that a strengthened capital base translates into credit that is productive, that is well-targeted, and that is sustainable,” he said.

He said the CBN has spent the past year strengthening its regulatory capacity through technology to ensure that the benefits of recapitalisation are transmitted to priority sectors of the economy.

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Dangote signs deal to distribute 65m litres petrol

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The Dangote Petroleum Refinery has concluded an offtake agreement with 12 major petroleum marketing companies to distribute between 60 million and 65 million litres of Premium Motor Spirit (petrol) daily across the country, in a move expected to stabilise supply and deepen Nigeria’s fuel self-sufficiency.

President of the Dangote Group, Aliko Dangote, disclosed this in Lagos, noting that the structured framework would guarantee nationwide availability of petrol while exporting surplus volumes.

According to a statement issued, Dangote said, “We have agreed an offtake framework to supply up to 65 million litres daily for the domestic market. Any surplus, estimated at between 15 and 20 million litres, will be exported.”

Dangote stated that the initiative marks a major shift in the country’s downstream petroleum sector, as Nigeria’s daily consumption currently ranges between 50 million and 60 million litres.

This means the refinery is expected to supply about 1.8 billion to over 2 billion litres of petrol monthly, depending on daily output and the number of days in the month.

The latest offtake and distribution arrangement follows an earlier agreement reached in October 2025 between the Dangote Petroleum Refinery and downstream operators aimed at stabilising fuel supply and curbing volatility in pump prices.

At the time, independent petroleum marketers disclosed that the refinery had set a target to release up to 600 million litres of Premium Motor Spirit monthly to the domestic market as part of efforts to address supply disruptions and rising costs across the country.

Under the arrangement endorsed by the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority, selected marketers will handle nationwide distribution to prevent supply disruptions and eliminate speculative practices.

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The marketers include MRS Oil Nigeria Plc, Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited Retail, 11 Plc, TotalEnergies Marketing Nigeria, Rainoil Limited, Northwest Petroleum & Gas Company Limited, Ardova Plc, Bovas & Company Limited, AA Rano Nigeria Limited, AYM Shafa Limited, Conoil Plc, and Masters Energy.

The statement noted that the structured offtake model is designed to ensure efficient logistics, reduce hoarding, and support price stability. It added that the refinery would export between 15 million and 20 million litres daily once domestic supply obligations were met.

“This would conserve foreign exchange, improve the country’s trade balance and strengthen external reserves, as Nigeria will no longer rely heavily on imported fuel,” the statement explained.

For decades, Africa’s largest oil producer depended on imported refined products, exposing the economy to exchange rate volatility, global supply disruptions and recurring shortages.

The Group Chief Executive Officer of the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited, Bayo Bashir Ojulari, recently described the refinery as a transformative national asset capable of redefining the country’s energy security architecture.

He said, “This plant was designed for 650,000 barrels per day. None of us thought it would even touch 550,000. What we saw live today was 661,000. These are live parameters, not reports or photographs.”

Ojulari added that the refinery represents a new era of industrial capability and technological advancement for Nigeria.

Nigeria has intensified reforms in the oil and gas sector following the deregulation of the downstream market and removal of fuel subsidy under President Bola Tinubu.

The Dangote refinery, Africa’s largest, is expected to play a central role in ending decades of petrol importation, stabilising prices, and positioning Nigeria as a net exporter of refined petroleum products across West and Central Africa.

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The success of the structured offtake model could usher in a more stable fuel supply chain and reduce the risk of shortages that have plagued the country for years.

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