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Banks: Bad loans rise after CBN ends forbearance

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Bad loans in Nigeria’s banking sector rose to 8.03 per cent in January 2026, seven months after the Central Bank of Nigeria moved to end regulatory forbearance granted to banks on some credit exposures and single obligor limit breaches.

The figure, contained in the CBN’s January 2026 Economic Report, showed that the industry’s non-performing loans ratio rose by 0.52 percentage point from 7.51 per cent in December 2025.

It also remained above the CBN’s prudential threshold of five per cent, indicating a further deterioration in asset quality across the banking industry despite the apex bank’s insistence that the sector remained resilient.

The report said, “Following the bank’s loan reclassification after the withdrawal of forbearance, the non-performing loans ratio rose by 0.52 percentage point to 8.03 per cent compared with the level in the preceding period and was above the 5.00 per cent prudential threshold.”

The development came after the CBN, in June 2025, directed banks still benefiting from regulatory forbearance on credit exposures or single obligor limit waivers to suspend dividend payments, defer bonuses to directors and senior management, and halt fresh investments in foreign subsidiaries or offshore ventures.

The regulator said the measure was aimed at strengthening capital buffers, improving balance sheet resilience, and forcing affected banks to retain earnings while exiting temporary regulatory reliefs.

In a separate transition measure, the apex bank also moved to terminate COVID-19-related regulatory forbearance and waivers on single obligor limits effective June 30, 2025, requiring banks to align affected credit exposures with existing prudential guidelines.

Regulatory forbearance had allowed banks to restructure loans affected by the pandemic without immediately classifying them as non-performing. With the withdrawal of the measure, a number of previously restructured facilities have now crystallised as bad loans, pushing the industry ratio above the regulatory ceiling.

The latest NPL reading suggests that the clean-up is beginning to expose weaker loans that had previously been cushioned by regulatory reliefs. Once those loans were reclassified, banks had to recognise more credit weakness on their books, pushing the industry’s bad loan ratio further above the regulatory limit.

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In its macroeconomic outlook report, the CBN warned that a “significant rise in non-performing loans could impair asset quality and weaken banks’ balance sheets, thereby posing systemic risk,” showing the importance of monitoring credit risk and sustaining prudential discipline.

It also recommended deepening “the operational integration of the GSI framework across all financial institutions to enhance loan recovery efficiency and credit discipline.”

The CBN also recommended strengthening credit discipline and reducing non-performing loans by fully integrating the Global Standing Instruction framework to boost loan recovery efficiency.

Earlier, in February 2025, the apex bank ordered bank directors with non-performing insider-related loans to step down immediately. Insider loans refer to loans granted by a bank to its own executives, directors, employees, major shareholders, or related parties.

According to the CBN, the decision aims to strengthen corporate governance and improve risk management in the banking sector. To minimise financial risks, the apex bank instructed banks to recover debts through collateral enforcement and seize the shareholdings of affected directors.

“Directors with non-performing insider-related facilities are required to step down immediately from the board, while the bank should commence immediate remediation of the loans through the recovery of the collateral, including the shareholdings of the affected directors,” the circular read.

More recently, the CBN directed banks to deny certain banking services and additional credit facilities to large borrowers with non-performing loans as part of measures to strengthen credit discipline in the banking sector. The directive was contained in a letter dated March 12, 2026, and signed by the Director of Banking Supervision, Dr. Muhammad Abdullahi.

Under the directive, borrowers whose loan facilities have been classified as non-performing and recorded in the Credit Risk Management System or any licensed private credit bureau will no longer be eligible to obtain additional credit from banks.

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The apex bank said the measure was designed to reduce risks posed by large borrowers whose defaults could threaten financial system stability. “Effective immediately, all financial institutions shall: Restrict further credit access: Any large-ticket obligor with a non-performing facility recorded in the CRMS and/or any licensed private credit bureau shall not be granted additional credit facilities.

“For the purpose of this restriction, credit facilities include loans and other forms of direct credit. In addition, such obligors shall not be granted banking facilities or contingent liabilities such as bankers’ confirmations, letters of credit, performance bonds, or advance payment guarantees,” the bank said.

The CBN explained that the restrictions apply to borrowers classified as large-ticket obligors under the prudential guidelines for deposit money banks. According to the regulator, such borrowers include individuals or companies whose combined exposure across banks exceeds the Single Obligor Limit or whose financial obligations could significantly affect a bank’s capital adequacy ratio.

The bank also directed financial institutions to obtain additional realisable collateral from affected borrowers to adequately secure existing loan exposures. It said the determination of affected borrowers would rely on information captured in the Credit Risk Management System and reports from licensed private credit bureaus.

However, the CBN maintained that the wider banking system remained stable. The report showed that the industry’s liquidity ratio improved to 63.38 per cent in January from 57.22 per cent in December, staying well above the 30 per cent prudential minimum.

The capital adequacy ratio stood at 12.05 per cent, lower than 12.35 per cent in December, but still above the 10 per cent regulatory minimum. According to the CBN, “The Nigerian banking industry remained resilient, with most financial soundness indicators staying within prudential regulatory thresholds, affirming financial stability and institutional soundness.”

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The figures indicate a mixed picture for the banking sector. Liquidity remains strong, and capital levels are still above the minimum benchmark, but the rise in bad loans points to pressure from legacy exposures, currency devaluation, high interest rates, and tighter regulatory classification.

The worsening asset quality in the banking sector also drew concern from members of the CBN’s Monetary Policy Committee during its February 2026 meeting, with policymakers warning that rising bad loans could threaten financial stability despite broader improvements in macroeconomic conditions.

The CBN’s Deputy Governor for Economic Policy, Dr Muhammad Abdullahi, said increasing non-performing loans had emerged as a key risk to the financial system and could undermine the effectiveness of monetary policy transmission if left unchecked. “Additionally, rising NPLs could pose financial stability risks, and the broader macroeconomy needs to rebalance growth and stability objectives,” Abdullahi said.

The deputy governor noted that the challenge was occurring alongside persistent excess liquidity in the banking system, warning that both factors could weaken the impact of monetary policy measures and limit the efficient flow of credit to productive sectors of the economy.

Echoing similar concerns, MPC member and corporate governance expert Aku Odinkemelu said the increase in bad loans required closer regulatory scrutiny. “The increase in Non-Performing Loans within the banking system… underscores the need for heightened supervisory vigilance to safeguard asset quality and ensure effective credit transmission,” Odinkemelu said.

The comments suggest that while the banking sector remains broadly resilient, regulators are increasingly focused on the quality of loan assets as the industry adjusts to stricter prudential rules following the withdrawal of regulatory forbearance.

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FG tells marketers to reflect global oil price drop in petrol prices

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Minister of State for Petroleum Resources, Sen. Heineken Lokpobiri, has directed petroleum marketers to immediately reflect the recent decline in global oil prices by reducing the pump prices of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) and other petroleum products.

Lokpobiri gave the directive at the 2026 Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA) General Counsel and Legal Advisers Forum on Monday in Abuja.

The forum is themed “Beyond Compliance Certainty and Investment Confidence in Nigeria’s Petroleum Sector.”

Lokpobiri said that with the de-escalation of tensions between Iran and the United States, there was an expectation that the prices of PMS and other petroleum products would be adjusted downward accordingly.

He expressed concern that the anticipated reduction had yet to be reflected at the pumps, stressing that while market forces under the deregulated regime would ultimately restore price equilibrium, marketers should not exploit the situation to make excessive profits.

The minister said the regulator had a statutory responsibility to ensure that deregulation did not become an avenue for profiteering, adding that this must be carried out in line with the provisions of the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA 2021).

“For too long, the dominant question in our regulatory conversations has been: are operators complying? That question matters. It will always matter. But it is no longer sufficient.

“The more consequential question today is this: are our regulatory authorities doing their job? Is it clear, consistent and predictable enough to give investors the confidence they need to commit capital, not just for one cycle, but for the long term?

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“Compliance is the foundation. Regulatory certainty is the ceiling we must now be building toward,” he said.

Lokpobiri, while urging marketers to comply with the principles of fair pricing to ensure that consumers benefit from the prevailing market realities, urged regulators to move beyond compliance by promoting regulatory certainty to attracting long-term investments.

“The sector is now fully deregulated, a bold reform that President Bola Tinubu had the courage to implement. That decision paved way for the operationalisation of the Dangote Refinery and other refinery projects currently underway.

“It also ensured that artificial scarcity has become a thing of the past.

“You can attest to the fact that since 2023 there has been availability of products in country even with the recent challenges posed by the US-Israeli /Iranian conflict.

“Beyond allowing prices to be determined by market forces, the question is: what is the regulator doing to ensure that consumers receive the correct quantity of product?

“When someone pays for 10 litres of PMS, they should receive exactly 10 litres, not less,” he warned.

Lokpobiri said while compliance with regulations remained fundamental, investors were increasingly interested in jurisdictions with clear, consistent and predictable regulatory frameworks.

He described general counsel as strategic partners whose responsibilities extend beyond interpreting laws to shaping investment decisions, improving regulatory design and supporting national development.

According to him, legal advisers should provide constructive feedback whenever regulations or guidelines create uncertainty that could discourage investment.

He said Nigeria’s petroleum sector was entering a new phase characterised by expanding domestic refining capacity, increased private sector participation and emerging opportunities across the midstream and downstream segments.

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According to him, attracting investments will require policy consistency, transparent regulation, efficient dispute resolution and strong collaboration among government, regulators, industry operators and legal practitioners.

He expressed confidence that the recommendations from the forum would contribute to improving governance, regulatory certainty and investment confidence in Nigeria’s petroleum sector. (NAN)

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Olodo uprising: Tinubu aide faults critics of First Lady’s Akara, Kuli kuli comment

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The Special Assistant to President Bola Tinubu on Social Media, Dada Olusegun, has defended First Lady Oluremi Tinubu’s recent empowerment of micro-traders, saying criticisms of the initiative are driven by ignorance of her record and the role of Nigeria’s informal economy.

In a statement shared on Monday, Olusegun described the backlash over the First Lady’s focus on traders such as akara and kulikuli sellers as a “performative circus of selective amnesia.”

He argued that critics had ignored the numerous interventions carried out by the Renewed Hope Initiative across healthcare, women’s empowerment, support for military widows and persons living with disabilities.

The First Lady, Senator Oluremi Tinubu
The First Lady of Nigeria, Senator Oluremi Tinubu

According to him, the First Lady’s interventions extend beyond petty traders, citing her donation of ₦1bn to the National Cancer Fund for cervical cancer screening and another ₦1bn for tuberculosis diagnostic equipment in Abuja in 2025.

He also referenced the disbursement of ₦250,000 each to 1,709 widows and orphans of fallen military personnel in 2023, as well as ₦200,000 business grants to persons living with disabilities across the 36 states and the Federal Capital Territory.

Olusegun further highlighted the Renewed Hope Initiative’s partnership with the Tony Elumelu Foundation, which targeted 18,500 women nationwide with ₦50,000 grants and the distribution of equipment, including industrial grinding machines, freezers and generators.

He further criticised what he described as an “Olodo uprising” on social media, accusing critics of reacting to trends without researching the facts.

“This entire controversy perfectly mirrors what is now happening with the broader ‘Olodo uprising” across our social platforms. We live in an era where people jump on trending hashtags and soundbites without dedicating a single minute to researching context. Memes are manufactured in seconds; accurate history takes time to read.

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“When the critics are done making their superficial memes, writing cynical captions, and circulating ignorant narratives, the reality on the ground will remain unchanged. They would be better off advising their constituents to find credible means to key into these ongoing government initiatives,” he stated.

He maintained that empowering small-scale traders should not be viewed as “weaponising poverty.”

“According to various economic metrics, the informal sector contributes over 50 per cent of Nigeria’s GDP and accounts for over 80 per cent of employment. The akara fryer, the kulikuli processor, and the petty trader are not just marginal actors; they are the literal shock absorbers of our micro-economy.

“When you give a micro-grant or operational tools to an akara seller, you are not validating poverty; you are reducing immediate operational capital friction, securing food chains at the grassroots, and expanding household income. Mocking these initiatives as ‘petty’ shows a deep-seated contempt for the actual working class of Nigeria,” he said.

Olusegun also defended the political value of grassroots empowerment, saying such interventions create trust among beneficiaries.

He cited the TraderMoni and MarketMoni programmes introduced during former President Muhammadu Buhari’s administration under then Vice President Yemi Osinbajo as examples of initiatives that directly impacted market traders.

“The opposition often wonders why the poorest segments of the population continually familiarise themselves with the All Progressives Congress during elections. The answer is simple: the party meets them at their point of immediate need,” he said.

Olusegun added that Tinubu’s record as former First Lady of Lagos State, a three-term senator and now First Lady of the Federation showed a consistent commitment to structured empowerment programmes.

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“She will not be distracted by digital static from doing what she has mastered over decades: empowering the poorest among us, one structured intervention at a time,” he said.

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Dangote refinery imports first UAE crude cargoes

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The Dangote Refinery has purchased two cargoes of crude oil from the United Arab Emirates, marking its first-ever procurement of Middle Eastern crude as it expands its feedstock sources amid persistent domestic supply constraints.

According to a report by S&P Global Commodity Insights, the two cargoes will be the first sourced by the 700,000-barrels-per-day refinery from any Middle Eastern supplier, signalling a shift from its traditional reliance on Nigerian, African, and United States crude grades.

The report said the purchases followed the resumption of oil exports from the Middle East after the United States and Iran reached an interim peace agreement that restored confidence in shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.

The refinery, designed primarily to process Nigeria’s light sweet crude, has increasingly diversified its crude slate as operations ramp up. S&P Global reported that an agreement between the refinery and the Nigerian National Petroleum Company had guaranteed the supply of between 13 and 15 cargoes of Nigerian crude monthly in naira, helping the refinery reduce its foreign exchange exposure.

However, the arrangement has faced challenges due to inadequate crude availability and operational issues at export terminals. According to the report, Dangote Refinery Chief Executive Officer David Bird had previously disclosed that these constraints had compelled the company to seek additional crude sources outside Nigeria.

The report added that the refinery’s expansion plans would further increase its crude requirements. Dangote plans to double the refinery’s processing capacity to 1.4 million barrels per day by the end of 2028, a level that would enable it to process about 80 per cent of Nigeria’s recent crude oil production in a single day.

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Speaking earlier this year, Bird said the refinery intended to increase the share of heavier crude grades in its feedstock mix. “We definitely want to heavy up the barrel,” Bird said in April.

He added, “We will be in the crude blending game. So you can easily imagine at 1.4 million b/d we could process 30 per cent Middle Eastern grades on each train.”

According to S&P Global, the refinery has been broadening the range of crude grades it processes as part of its ambition to operate as a fully merchant refinery. The report noted that in 2025, about 70 per cent of the refinery’s crude imports came from Nigeria, while 24 per cent originated from the United States.

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