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Marketers warn against disruption as Dangote plans direct fuel supply

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The Natural Oil and Gas Suppliers Association of Nigeria has warned that the Dangote Petroleum Refinery’s plan to bypass existing distribution channels and supply refined petroleum products directly to end-users would lead to a nationwide disruption, long-term product scarcity, and the collapse of existing supply networks.

The oil and gas suppliers called on the refinery to halt its plan and seek further dialogue before commencing the distribution of products to end users, urging it to learn from what happened to non-functional refineries under the management of the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited.

They also called on President Bola Tinubu to intervene in the issue, stressing that Dangote alone cannot handle nationwide distribution of products sustainably. The NOGASA National President, Bennett Korie, made the call during the association’s Annual General Meeting held on Thursday in Abuja.

However, an official of the Dangote Group described the position of the dealers as anti-Nigeria, arguing that the plan by Dangote was to remove the cost of logistics in the movement of petrol nationwide.

Speaking with The PUNCH, while reacting to the development, the National President of the Petroleum Products Retail Outlet Owners Association of Nigeria, Billy Gillis-Harry, said Nigerians should not rejoice yet over the announcement by the Dangote refinery, as he backed the sister oil marketing group, NOGASA.

Meanwhile, it was observed on Thursday that the prices of petrol at depots spiked by up to seven per cent, from the N815 per litre it sold on Wednesday to N870 per litre on Thursday.

Recall that the $20bn Dangote refinery recently disclosed plans to deploy 4,000 new Compressed Natural Gas-powered tankers for nationwide distribution of petrol and diesel directly to marketers, manufacturers, telecom firms, aviation companies, and other large consumers, bypassing traditional depots and intermediaries.

The refinery took delivery of 4,000 new CNG-powered trucks for its fuel distribution initiative, scheduled to be launched on August 15. The initiative, which is intended to provide more efficient transportation across Nigeria and beyond, has been applauded by some industry experts. With the investment of N720bn, the initiative is expected to save Nigerians over N1.7tn annually, and lift 42 million Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises by reducing energy costs and enhancing profitability.

The refinery said the strategic programme is part of its broader commitment to eliminating logistics costs, enhancing energy efficiency, promoting sustainability, and supporting Nigeria’s economic development.

However, Korie, speaking in his address, said if existing retail outlets were forced out of business due to Dangote’s direct distribution approach, it would be difficult to revive the supply chain in the event of any disruption at the refinery.

He further warned that handling refining, distribution, and retail through filling stations as a single entity is unsustainable, citing the failed attempt by the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited at direct distribution. He stated that the state-owned refineries began to decline after the oil company ventured into retail distribution.

“We are pleading that Mr President should intervene in this matter by telling Dangote to slow down, and go by the rules of the game. Nobody’s against the refinery. If there’s anybody who supported Dangote Refinery more than any other organisation, it is this association.

“But when this issue came up, we said, no, we need to advise, we need to give you an idea how to go about it. What is important to us is that the refinery is blending, the product is coming out, and Nigerians are enjoying the product that is blended today.

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“Now, some Nigerians will be thinking maybe because we don’t want him to do this or because of competition. No, it is because we don’t want what happened to NNPCL to happen to Dangote Refinery. The reason is that, before now, NNPC refined products and distributed them through their subsidiary at that time.

“And everything was moving smoothly, it wasn’t bad. Until people who I think advised Dangote today, went to advise NNPC to start doing distribution directly, which is the filling station that you have in NNPC filling stations. As soon as this NNPC filling station started, that was when our refinery started going down,” Korie said, warning that the same fate could befall Dangote’s $20bn refinery if it follows a similar path.

Korie stressed that while the association fully supports the operations of the Dangote refinery, the decision to bypass traditional distributors poses a serious threat to existing supply structures and could replicate the challenges that undermined the NNPCL in the past.

He warned that handling refining, distribution, and retail through filling stations as a single entity is unsustainable.  “Because they were concentrating on their filling stations. I am not saying they are not paying attention to refineries, but you can’t do it alone. You are blending, you are refining, and at the same time operating, and again, add a filling station in your operation.

“You will have a problem. That is why today you have this problem of our refineries not working. So because of this, we now say, No, please don’t go there. Concentrate on this thing you are doing. You are doing good. You are finding the product good, sell to the marketers, marketers sell to the end users. Remove your hand from this direct distribution. It will bring you problems, and once you start solving that problem, you will not have time to fix the refinery or operate the refineries very well.

“So it’s important that you concentrate on this refinery. Blend enough for us and sell some to other countries. And that way, the job there will be stable, and our own here will be stable. We are capable of distributing the product. All we need you to do, blend, sell to depot owners, and they will go there and buy, and distribute to the end users. That way, you balance the system.”

He further expressed NOSAGA’s readiness to work with the Refinery to ensure that the business survives for the mutual benefit of all involved. The NOGASA  president added, “During our last meeting, we supported the completion of the refinery, but most of our members are afraid of the giant monopoly.

“The entire giant’s indirect distribution of their products with the purchase of 4,000 distribution trucks for nationwide supply makes us worried about staying in the business. We wish to assure that they consider the small suppliers who depend on those business employee levels. We need to work with them to ensure that our business survives for the mutual benefit of all involved.”

Korie noted the economic impact of such centralisation, stating that thousands of Nigerians working across over 50,000 filling stations and logistics chains could be displaced if independent marketers are sidelined. He called on the government to facilitate dialogue between Dangote Group and key industry stakeholders, including major and independent Petroleum marketers among others.

Also speaking, the National President of the Petroleum Products Retail Outlet Owners Association of Nigeria, Billy Gillis-Harry, said Nigerians should not rejoice yet over the announcement by the Dangote refinery to distribute petroleum products across the country, as there is always payback time.

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“We don’t need to pretend that we don’t know what’s going to happen. Because many of us are clapping hands, one company wants to refine, one company wants to stock, one company wants to do the logistics of distribution, and one company wants to fix prices. So that one company is going to be both a businessman and a regulator. And so many Nigerians don’t seem to understand the dynamics of the difficulty,” he said.

Reflecting on what happened in the cement industry, he said, “Because I want to draw your attention to the fact that we also have similar situations in our cement industry, where you are seeing the same trucks supplying cement.

“So, I’m sure you have seen in all your homes and villages and cities, those small, small container shops that are for cement. So, where the cement is not produced from the factory, and also distributed to those very critical distribution centres, have you bought cement for N115 again? From N115, we are buying now for 10,000 plus,” he said.

He raised concerns over what he described as Dangote’s attempt to dominate the market, noting that retail outlet operators are losing as much as N80 per litre due to sudden price adjustments.

The PETROAN boss argued that with a production capacity of 650,000 barrels per day, which has now been upgraded to 700,000 barrels, the Dangote  refinery should be competing with global refineries, and not operate as a distributor in the downstream, adding that NOGASA, NATO, and PTT could effectively do the job of distribution of the products.

“Just yesterday, some of them began selling products at N817 per litre. That represents a loss of over N80 per litre for filling station operators. When you consider the volume of product involved, it becomes clear that, very soon, salaries may not be paid.

“The association is therefore calling on the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority and the Minister of State for Petroleum Resources to urgently implement pricing regulations, reinforce market oversight, ensure crude oil is accessible to local refineries, and take deliberate steps to protect existing jobs in the sector,” Gillis Harry noted.

Dangote reacts

A senior official of the Dangote Group expressed surprise that an organisation could threaten to disrupt fuel supply because an individual wants to distribute fuel free of charge to Nigerians.

“Why would they want to disrupt? Somebody wants to distribute fuel for free (without the cost of logistics). We are not asking for money. We are saying part of the reason why PMS is expensive is because of the logistics, and we are removing the cost. We are removing that money. So, why are they angry?  Why the disruption, if not anti-Nigeria? They hate Nigeria; they don’t want this country to prosper.

“If someone wants to do something free, we are not asking for money. We are not saying, once we use our truck to supply you with PMS, you are going to pay us money. Why are you angry that an individual, a private sector person, wants to do that? Why are you angry? Why are you pained? And is this market not big enough for everybody to survive?” the official, who spoke in confidence because he was not permitted to talk on the matter, asked.

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The official discountenanced claims that NOGASA members would lose their source of livelihood.

“How will they lose their job? The market is big enough. You heard what the NNPC man said yesterday about the fact that they are not willing to sell the Port Harcourt refinery. And there are other modular refineries everywhere. Some people are working. They will still be in use. They will still be useful.

“Okay, we are starting with 4,000 trucks. There are 774 Local Governments in Nigeria. Can the 4,000 trucks really go around the 774 LGs? No. Why are we deceiving ourselves? Why are we anti-Nigeria? Why don’t we want this country to progress and develop? Absolutely, I don’t see any need for them to go on strike. Nobody’s threatening anybody. Nobody’s interested in a monopoly. This country can thrive with everybody doing their business. Dangote is not saying, ‘don’t do your business,” the official stated.

IPMAN National Vice Chairman, Hammed Fashola, said he would not know whether or not NOGASA members have the strength to disrupt fuel supply in Nigeria.

According to him, everybody is trying to survive in the oil business as they perceived Dangote’s plan as a means of cutting them out of business.

“Everybody wants to make sure they remain in business. You know, there have been a lot of reactions to that move by Dangote. Naturally, transporters will not be happy, and intermediaries won’t like it. You know this thing has a value chain, and there are a lot of people playing one role or the other in the supply chain.

“I believe Dangote, too, will be listening to the stakeholders. So, I think at the end of the day, everybody will be on the same page. Let’s see what happens. I don’t know their strength. I told you I’m not a member. So, I cannot tell if they have the strength to disrupt fuel supply. Before they can say they want to disrupt the supply, I think maybe they have the capacity. But let’s wait and see,” Fashola said.

Depots hike prices

Meanwhile, depot prices for petrol spiked by up to seven per cent, from the N815 per litre it sold to customers on Wednesday to N870 per litre on Thursday. This was as Dangote refinery abruptly suspended petrol sales across its terminals, deepening supply uncertainty and accelerating price movements nationwide.

In a notice titled “Important Update on DPRP Collection Account for PMS”, Dangote refinery instructed marketers to halt all payments for PMS loading at its gantry, effectively freezing further allocations. “Please be advised that, effective immediately, all payments to the DPRP collection account for PMS gantry should be placed on hold,” the internal memo read. “Further updates will be communicated shortly.”

Earlier this week, importers dropped petrol prices below the price offered by the Dangote Petroleum Refinery, sparking a new wave of competition.

But fresh findings have now revealed that depot owners have hiked their prices based on the increased crude price, indicating a possible increase in pump price next week nationwide. Findings by our correspondent using petroleumprice.ng showed that six depots including NIPCO, Aiteo, Rain oil, MenJ, Sahara and Aipec have all effected an increase to N870 per litre. The Dangote refinery depot sold slightly less at N865 per litre.

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IMF warns poverty risks persist despite Nigeria’s economic stability

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The International Monetary Fund has warned that rising prices of essential goods could worsen poverty and food insecurity in Nigeria despite improvements in the country’s macroeconomic stability and favourable external trade conditions.

The IMF disclosed this in its October 2026 World Economic Outlook report, titled ‘Resilience Under Strain, Urgent Choices’, published on Tuesday, highlighting the growing disconnect between improvements in economic indicators and the living conditions of vulnerable households.

“Nigeria is supported by improved macroeconomic stability and favourable terms-of-trade effects, though higher prices for essentials are expected to further aggravate poverty and food insecurity,” the Fund stated.

The assessment suggests that Nigeria’s recent economic stabilisation efforts have strengthened its economic outlook but have yet to eliminate the pressures facing households, particularly those struggling with the rising cost of food and other basic necessities.

According to the IMF, Nigeria is among the larger economies in sub-Saharan Africa benefiting from earlier stabilisation measures and economic reforms, although the region remains exposed to commodity price volatility, climate shocks and limited access to external financing.

The report projected that economic growth in sub-Saharan Africa would remain stable at 4.5 per cent in 2026, reflecting differences in policy implementation, fiscal capacity and exposure to global economic disruptions.

It stated, “Growth in sub-Saharan Africa is expected to remain stable at 4.5 per cent in 2026, though this masks some substantial divergence across countries.”

The IMF explained that while oil-importing and non-resource-intensive economies were facing greater pressure from rising energy and food prices, some larger economies were benefiting from earlier reforms and improved economic conditions.

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Nigeria’s favourable terms-of-trade position provides some support to economic activity, particularly amid changes in international commodity prices.

However, the Fund’s assessment indicates that stronger macroeconomic fundamentals do not automatically translate into improved household welfare, especially when the cost of essential commodities continues to rise.

The report also identified declining official development assistance and limited participation in the global artificial intelligence investment boom as challenges facing several African economies.

The IMF’s country-specific projections showed that Nigeria’s economy is expected to expand by 4.2 per cent in 2026, compared with an estimated 4.0 per cent in 2025, before accelerating to 4.3 per cent in 2027.

The 2026 forecast represents an upward revision of 0.1 percentage point from the Fund’s April projection, while the 2027 estimate was also raised by 0.1 percentage point.

On inflation, the IMF projected that Nigeria’s average consumer price inflation would decline from 23.0 per cent in 2025 to 15.6 per cent in 2026 and 14.7 per cent in 2027.

The report also projected Nigeria’s current account surplus at 7.0 per cent of Gross Domestic Product in 2026, compared with 4.8 per cent in 2025, before moderating to 4.4 per cent in 2027.

These projections suggest a stronger external position in 2026, although the expected decline in the surplus next year points to a moderation in external balances.

The IMF further warned that persistent geopolitical tensions, higher food and energy prices and tighter global financing conditions could undermine economic growth, particularly in developing countries.

It stated, “Risks are skewed to the downside,” identifying a prolonged Middle East conflict and further disruptions to energy infrastructure as potential threats to global economic stability.

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To cushion vulnerable households, the Fund recommended temporary and targeted financial support rather than broad measures that could undermine fiscal sustainability.

It said governments should “rely primarily on temporary, targeted income support for the most vulnerable,” while strengthening social protection systems to respond more effectively to future economic shocks.

PUNCH Online earlier reported that Nigeria recorded the world’s largest increase in the number of people living in multidimensional poverty, with an additional 17.9 million Nigerians falling into poverty between 2021 and 2024, according to the 2026 Global Multidimensional Poverty Index.

The report, published on Monday by the United Nations Development Programme and the Oxford Poverty and Human Development Initiative, showed that Nigeria experienced a reversal in poverty reduction after recording improvements between 2018 and 2021.

The findings placed Nigeria ahead of Afghanistan, which recorded an increase of 5.3 million poor people during its latest assessment period.

Source: punchng.com

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Indonesia promises Nigerian investors special incentives

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Indonesia has promised special privileges and incentives to Nigerian investors looking to set up businesses in Southeast Asia, including potential tax benefits and preferential treatment for investment-related processes.

A senior trade analyst with Indonesia’s trade promotion authorities, Iska Huberta Sinural, disclosed this on Tuesday, while addressing journalists from Nigeria in Jakarta ahead of the 41st Trade Expo Indonesia, saying the country was seeking to deepen its commercial relationship with Nigeria through increased trade, investment and business partnerships.

Sinural said Nigerian investors could explore opportunities in Indonesia, adding that investment-related incentives could include tax benefits and other forms of preferential treatment.

“There will be special treatment actually when you have to invest here. For the investment, we will give special or privilege. The visa for investors will be a bit different.

“The tax and also other things will be incentives,” she said.

According to Sinurat, Nigeria has consistently ranked among the leading countries whose buyers and visitors participate in the annual Indonesian trade exhibition, making it an important market for the country’s exporters.

She said Nigeria ranked fourth among buyers in 2022, third in 2024 and fourth in 2025, while its position among the top five buyers had been relatively consistent over the years.

“We have data on every time you come here to do some business and we also do some trade mission to your country,” she said.

The 41st Trade Expo, 2926, will Kickstart Wednesday October 14, till 18. The Trade Expo Indonesia is intended to bring together exporters, international buyers, investors and government representatives to facilitate commercial transactions and develop partnerships across multiple sectors.

Sinural speaking further, said, Indonesia was seeking to move beyond conventional buyer-seller transactions to establish longer-term partnerships, including investments by Nigerian businesses in Indonesian manufacturing, agriculture and other sectors.

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“I mean, this is bilateral. It’s not always you buying from us, you can also invest in us. We also welcome you to introduce us to your product,” she said.

She argued that Nigerian investments in Indonesia could help businesses secure more reliable access to products, reduce the difficulties associated with shipping and build closer links with Indonesian manufacturers.

“The option of shipping, is a bit hard. So why don’t you invest here? And then it will be easy for us to get the products when you invest here,” she said.

Sinurat added that Indonesia could offer competitive labour and access to agricultural resources, while investors could explore opportunities to manufacture goods for the Nigerian market.

The trade analyst also encouraged Nigerian businesses to introduce locally produced food and beverages to Indonesian consumers, suggesting that product adaptation and cultural exchange could help Nigerian brands gain acceptance.

“For us to understand ourselves better, I guess one of the key points to explore is export things from Nigeria to Indonesia like food, beverages,” she said.

She added that Nigerian businesses could introduce speciality foods, coffee and beverages while adapting flavours, packaging and product sizes to Indonesian preferences.

Sinural said Indonesia was also interested in attracting Nigerian investors into sectors beyond merchandise trade, particularly where long-term partnerships could generate economic benefits for both countries.

Sinural said the 2026 Trade Expo Indonesia had exceeded its initial exhibitor target, with about 1,600 exhibitors registered against a target of 1,500.

She said the transaction target for this year’s exhibition was $17.5bn, compared with $16bn set for the previous edition.

She explained that the objective was not limited to increasing transaction values but also to attracting buyers from a wider range of countries, strengthening business networks and encouraging investment in Indonesia.

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“It’s not only to have the transaction, but also to have a relationship and we also hope, in this condition, that more investments can be made during this trade expo in Indonesia,” she said.

Sinurat said the organisers were particularly interested in expanding participation from non-traditional markets in Asia, Africa and the Middle East.

She added that invitations had been extended to at least 30 countries as Indonesia sought to strengthen government-to-government engagement alongside business-to-business transactions.

“This year, actually, we sent an invitation to at least 30 countries. Because this year, we want to have a government G2G relationship,” she said.

The exhibition’s major sectors include food, beverages and agricultural products; manufacturing; industrial estates and services; fashion and handicrafts; and furniture and home décor.

On his part, the Export Enhancement Division representative of the Indonesian Chamber of Commerce and Industry, Muhammad Alpvy, said there was considerable untapped potential in trade and investment between Indonesia and African countries, including Nigeria.

Alpvy, said Indonesia was seeking to expand exports beyond existing product categories and strengthen cooperation in food processing, agricultural commodities, furniture, manufacturing and renewable energy.

He said Nigerian businesses could explore opportunities in Indonesia while Indonesian companies could also establish manufacturing operations in Nigeria, creating a more sustainable commercial relationship.

According to him, trade between the two countries could expand significantly if the growing number of Nigerian visitors and business delegations translated into more concrete transactions and investment agreements.

Alpvy, estimated that Nigeria’s delegation to Indonesia had grown from between 100 and 150 participants in the previous year to about 250 in 2026, representing an increase of approximately 40 per cent based on the figures he cited.

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He said the larger delegation presented an opportunity to expand transactions, although the actual value would depend on the products involved, the quantities purchased and the agreements concluded.

Alpvy, said Nigeria and Indonesia could also strengthen cooperation in palm oil, rubber products, healthcare manufacturing, agricultural processing and renewable energy.

He identified shipping costs and trade barriers as factors that could limit the expansion of bilateral commerce between Nigeria and Indonesia, adding that investment and local manufacturing arrangements could help businesses overcome some of the difficulties associated with direct exports.

“I believe some of the African countries already have this kind of trade agreements with Indonesia, but still ongoing,” he said.

Encouraging Nigeria to make its trade process less cumbersome while he stressed that tariffs and shipping costs were among the areas requiring further attention.

Alpvy, also highlighted opportunities in waste management and green energy, including the conversion of agricultural and animal waste into alternatives to coal.

He said Nigerian and Indonesian businesses had previously discussed cooperation in renewable energy and the establishment of factories, but further discussions were needed to determine the appropriate investment arrangements.

“First thing first about the investment is to make the format, how we can collaborate,” he said.

Alpvy, urged Nigerian investors to consider Indonesia as a destination for long-term business partnerships, while encouraging Indonesian companies to explore opportunities in Nigeria.

He said both countries stood to benefit from cooperation that went beyond seasonal trading and focused on sustained investment, local production and technology transfer.

Source: punchng.com

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Musk spends $276m backing Republicans in midterms — Report reveals

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Tech billionaire Elon Musk, the world’s richest man, has contributed $276 million to organisations boosting the campaigns of right-wing American candidates ahead of upcoming midterm elections, US media reported Monday.

The sum, all contributed since July, positions Musk as the largest single donor for the November 3 elections, according to the New York Times. He has spent a total of $366 million this election cycle.

The largest funding recipient was the Republican’s Senate Leadership Fund, receiving $158 million, aimed at maintaining the party’s control of the upper house of Congress despite a slim margin.

The SpaceX and Tesla boss is no stranger to massive US election spending, having contributed $`290 million in 2024 to help US President Donald Trump win reelection.

Trump allowed Musk to work in the White House for several months overseeing his cost-cutting Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) venture, but exited the role after a public falling out with the president.

They’ve since reconciled, and Trump awarded Musk the National Medal of Science at an event in DC last week.

Though individual campaign donations in the United States are capped at `$3,300 per person, loopholes in the US campaign finance system allow political mega donors to contribute to funds known as political action committees or “PACs,” which support candidates.

Musk donated $76 million this summer to his own America PAC, the New York Times reported.

Other recipients of Musk’s political funding include $20 million to the Republican’s Congressional Leadership Fund, $10 million each to the Republican Governors Association and the Lone Star Liberty PAC, and $2 million to the Republican Attorneys General Association.

See also  Oil nears $110 as Trump threatens strike in Iran

AFP

Source: punchng.com

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