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Marketers warn against disruption as Dangote plans direct fuel supply

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The Natural Oil and Gas Suppliers Association of Nigeria has warned that the Dangote Petroleum Refinery’s plan to bypass existing distribution channels and supply refined petroleum products directly to end-users would lead to a nationwide disruption, long-term product scarcity, and the collapse of existing supply networks.

The oil and gas suppliers called on the refinery to halt its plan and seek further dialogue before commencing the distribution of products to end users, urging it to learn from what happened to non-functional refineries under the management of the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited.

They also called on President Bola Tinubu to intervene in the issue, stressing that Dangote alone cannot handle nationwide distribution of products sustainably. The NOGASA National President, Bennett Korie, made the call during the association’s Annual General Meeting held on Thursday in Abuja.

However, an official of the Dangote Group described the position of the dealers as anti-Nigeria, arguing that the plan by Dangote was to remove the cost of logistics in the movement of petrol nationwide.

Speaking with The PUNCH, while reacting to the development, the National President of the Petroleum Products Retail Outlet Owners Association of Nigeria, Billy Gillis-Harry, said Nigerians should not rejoice yet over the announcement by the Dangote refinery, as he backed the sister oil marketing group, NOGASA.

Meanwhile, it was observed on Thursday that the prices of petrol at depots spiked by up to seven per cent, from the N815 per litre it sold on Wednesday to N870 per litre on Thursday.

Recall that the $20bn Dangote refinery recently disclosed plans to deploy 4,000 new Compressed Natural Gas-powered tankers for nationwide distribution of petrol and diesel directly to marketers, manufacturers, telecom firms, aviation companies, and other large consumers, bypassing traditional depots and intermediaries.

The refinery took delivery of 4,000 new CNG-powered trucks for its fuel distribution initiative, scheduled to be launched on August 15. The initiative, which is intended to provide more efficient transportation across Nigeria and beyond, has been applauded by some industry experts. With the investment of N720bn, the initiative is expected to save Nigerians over N1.7tn annually, and lift 42 million Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises by reducing energy costs and enhancing profitability.

The refinery said the strategic programme is part of its broader commitment to eliminating logistics costs, enhancing energy efficiency, promoting sustainability, and supporting Nigeria’s economic development.

However, Korie, speaking in his address, said if existing retail outlets were forced out of business due to Dangote’s direct distribution approach, it would be difficult to revive the supply chain in the event of any disruption at the refinery.

He further warned that handling refining, distribution, and retail through filling stations as a single entity is unsustainable, citing the failed attempt by the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited at direct distribution. He stated that the state-owned refineries began to decline after the oil company ventured into retail distribution.

“We are pleading that Mr President should intervene in this matter by telling Dangote to slow down, and go by the rules of the game. Nobody’s against the refinery. If there’s anybody who supported Dangote Refinery more than any other organisation, it is this association.

“But when this issue came up, we said, no, we need to advise, we need to give you an idea how to go about it. What is important to us is that the refinery is blending, the product is coming out, and Nigerians are enjoying the product that is blended today.

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“Now, some Nigerians will be thinking maybe because we don’t want him to do this or because of competition. No, it is because we don’t want what happened to NNPCL to happen to Dangote Refinery. The reason is that, before now, NNPC refined products and distributed them through their subsidiary at that time.

“And everything was moving smoothly, it wasn’t bad. Until people who I think advised Dangote today, went to advise NNPC to start doing distribution directly, which is the filling station that you have in NNPC filling stations. As soon as this NNPC filling station started, that was when our refinery started going down,” Korie said, warning that the same fate could befall Dangote’s $20bn refinery if it follows a similar path.

Korie stressed that while the association fully supports the operations of the Dangote refinery, the decision to bypass traditional distributors poses a serious threat to existing supply structures and could replicate the challenges that undermined the NNPCL in the past.

He warned that handling refining, distribution, and retail through filling stations as a single entity is unsustainable.  “Because they were concentrating on their filling stations. I am not saying they are not paying attention to refineries, but you can’t do it alone. You are blending, you are refining, and at the same time operating, and again, add a filling station in your operation.

“You will have a problem. That is why today you have this problem of our refineries not working. So because of this, we now say, No, please don’t go there. Concentrate on this thing you are doing. You are doing good. You are finding the product good, sell to the marketers, marketers sell to the end users. Remove your hand from this direct distribution. It will bring you problems, and once you start solving that problem, you will not have time to fix the refinery or operate the refineries very well.

“So it’s important that you concentrate on this refinery. Blend enough for us and sell some to other countries. And that way, the job there will be stable, and our own here will be stable. We are capable of distributing the product. All we need you to do, blend, sell to depot owners, and they will go there and buy, and distribute to the end users. That way, you balance the system.”

He further expressed NOSAGA’s readiness to work with the Refinery to ensure that the business survives for the mutual benefit of all involved. The NOGASA  president added, “During our last meeting, we supported the completion of the refinery, but most of our members are afraid of the giant monopoly.

“The entire giant’s indirect distribution of their products with the purchase of 4,000 distribution trucks for nationwide supply makes us worried about staying in the business. We wish to assure that they consider the small suppliers who depend on those business employee levels. We need to work with them to ensure that our business survives for the mutual benefit of all involved.”

Korie noted the economic impact of such centralisation, stating that thousands of Nigerians working across over 50,000 filling stations and logistics chains could be displaced if independent marketers are sidelined. He called on the government to facilitate dialogue between Dangote Group and key industry stakeholders, including major and independent Petroleum marketers among others.

Also speaking, the National President of the Petroleum Products Retail Outlet Owners Association of Nigeria, Billy Gillis-Harry, said Nigerians should not rejoice yet over the announcement by the Dangote refinery to distribute petroleum products across the country, as there is always payback time.

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“We don’t need to pretend that we don’t know what’s going to happen. Because many of us are clapping hands, one company wants to refine, one company wants to stock, one company wants to do the logistics of distribution, and one company wants to fix prices. So that one company is going to be both a businessman and a regulator. And so many Nigerians don’t seem to understand the dynamics of the difficulty,” he said.

Reflecting on what happened in the cement industry, he said, “Because I want to draw your attention to the fact that we also have similar situations in our cement industry, where you are seeing the same trucks supplying cement.

“So, I’m sure you have seen in all your homes and villages and cities, those small, small container shops that are for cement. So, where the cement is not produced from the factory, and also distributed to those very critical distribution centres, have you bought cement for N115 again? From N115, we are buying now for 10,000 plus,” he said.

He raised concerns over what he described as Dangote’s attempt to dominate the market, noting that retail outlet operators are losing as much as N80 per litre due to sudden price adjustments.

The PETROAN boss argued that with a production capacity of 650,000 barrels per day, which has now been upgraded to 700,000 barrels, the Dangote  refinery should be competing with global refineries, and not operate as a distributor in the downstream, adding that NOGASA, NATO, and PTT could effectively do the job of distribution of the products.

“Just yesterday, some of them began selling products at N817 per litre. That represents a loss of over N80 per litre for filling station operators. When you consider the volume of product involved, it becomes clear that, very soon, salaries may not be paid.

“The association is therefore calling on the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority and the Minister of State for Petroleum Resources to urgently implement pricing regulations, reinforce market oversight, ensure crude oil is accessible to local refineries, and take deliberate steps to protect existing jobs in the sector,” Gillis Harry noted.

Dangote reacts

A senior official of the Dangote Group expressed surprise that an organisation could threaten to disrupt fuel supply because an individual wants to distribute fuel free of charge to Nigerians.

“Why would they want to disrupt? Somebody wants to distribute fuel for free (without the cost of logistics). We are not asking for money. We are saying part of the reason why PMS is expensive is because of the logistics, and we are removing the cost. We are removing that money. So, why are they angry?  Why the disruption, if not anti-Nigeria? They hate Nigeria; they don’t want this country to prosper.

“If someone wants to do something free, we are not asking for money. We are not saying, once we use our truck to supply you with PMS, you are going to pay us money. Why are you angry that an individual, a private sector person, wants to do that? Why are you angry? Why are you pained? And is this market not big enough for everybody to survive?” the official, who spoke in confidence because he was not permitted to talk on the matter, asked.

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The official discountenanced claims that NOGASA members would lose their source of livelihood.

“How will they lose their job? The market is big enough. You heard what the NNPC man said yesterday about the fact that they are not willing to sell the Port Harcourt refinery. And there are other modular refineries everywhere. Some people are working. They will still be in use. They will still be useful.

“Okay, we are starting with 4,000 trucks. There are 774 Local Governments in Nigeria. Can the 4,000 trucks really go around the 774 LGs? No. Why are we deceiving ourselves? Why are we anti-Nigeria? Why don’t we want this country to progress and develop? Absolutely, I don’t see any need for them to go on strike. Nobody’s threatening anybody. Nobody’s interested in a monopoly. This country can thrive with everybody doing their business. Dangote is not saying, ‘don’t do your business,” the official stated.

IPMAN National Vice Chairman, Hammed Fashola, said he would not know whether or not NOGASA members have the strength to disrupt fuel supply in Nigeria.

According to him, everybody is trying to survive in the oil business as they perceived Dangote’s plan as a means of cutting them out of business.

“Everybody wants to make sure they remain in business. You know, there have been a lot of reactions to that move by Dangote. Naturally, transporters will not be happy, and intermediaries won’t like it. You know this thing has a value chain, and there are a lot of people playing one role or the other in the supply chain.

“I believe Dangote, too, will be listening to the stakeholders. So, I think at the end of the day, everybody will be on the same page. Let’s see what happens. I don’t know their strength. I told you I’m not a member. So, I cannot tell if they have the strength to disrupt fuel supply. Before they can say they want to disrupt the supply, I think maybe they have the capacity. But let’s wait and see,” Fashola said.

Depots hike prices

Meanwhile, depot prices for petrol spiked by up to seven per cent, from the N815 per litre it sold to customers on Wednesday to N870 per litre on Thursday. This was as Dangote refinery abruptly suspended petrol sales across its terminals, deepening supply uncertainty and accelerating price movements nationwide.

In a notice titled “Important Update on DPRP Collection Account for PMS”, Dangote refinery instructed marketers to halt all payments for PMS loading at its gantry, effectively freezing further allocations. “Please be advised that, effective immediately, all payments to the DPRP collection account for PMS gantry should be placed on hold,” the internal memo read. “Further updates will be communicated shortly.”

Earlier this week, importers dropped petrol prices below the price offered by the Dangote Petroleum Refinery, sparking a new wave of competition.

But fresh findings have now revealed that depot owners have hiked their prices based on the increased crude price, indicating a possible increase in pump price next week nationwide. Findings by our correspondent using petroleumprice.ng showed that six depots including NIPCO, Aiteo, Rain oil, MenJ, Sahara and Aipec have all effected an increase to N870 per litre. The Dangote refinery depot sold slightly less at N865 per litre.

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Kwara strengthens partnership to boost mechanised farming

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The Kwara State Government has strengthened its partnership with the All Farmers Association of Nigeria and other agricultural stakeholders to advance mechanised farming, environmental sustainability and women inclusion across the state.

The renewed commitment was reaffirmed during a courtesy visit by the leadership of the Kwara State chapter of AFAN to the Kwara State Agro-Climatic Resilience in Semi-Arid Landscapes in Ilorin.

This was contained in a statement issued on Tuesday by the Communication Officer of KWACReSAL, Okanlawon Taiwo, a copy of which was made available to The PUNCH in Ilorin.

Speaking during the meeting, the State Project Coordinator of KWACReSAL, Shamsideen Aregbe, assured farmers of the state government’s continued support toward improving food production, mechanised agriculture and climate resilience.

He said, “Tractorisation remains a critical component of modern agriculture. Access to farming equipment is essential for increasing productivity and addressing food security challenges across the state.”

He explained that the tractor support initiative introduced last year followed a World Bank-backed intervention and presidential directive aimed at supporting farmers with mechanised farming equipment.

Aregbe acknowledged concerns raised about operational challenges affecting some tractors, assuring stakeholders that efforts were ongoing to determine the condition and operational status of the equipment to enable effective utilisation by farmers.

“We must sustain engagement with farming communities, particularly in addressing challenges relating to flooding, agricultural logistics and food security,” he added.

The project coordinator also stressed the need for gender equality and inclusion in agricultural interventions across the state.

“The inclusion of women is not negotiable. We must continue to encourage and support women to actively participate in agricultural programmes and leadership processes,” he stated.

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Earlier, the Chairman of AFAN in Kwara State, Shuaib Ajibola, commended KWACReSAL for its interventions in the agricultural sector, reaffirming the association’s readiness to collaborate on programmes aimed at improving farmers’ welfare and environmental sustainability.

Ajibola disclosed that the association planned to commence an agricultural expo and stakeholder engagement programme across the state following its recent inauguration activities to reconnect with farmers and strengthen agricultural outreach.

“Previous editions of the interventions covered the 16 local government areas of the state and involved stakeholders from different agricultural sectors,” he said.

The AFAN chairman also raised concerns over land use disputes and other agrarian issues affecting farmlands, noting that the development had created anxiety among some farming communities regarding land ownership and rights.

“There is a need for sustained stakeholder dialogue and engagement to resolve disputes and ensure peaceful farming activities across communities,” Ajibola added.

Also speaking, the Project Coordinator of AFAM, AbdulRahman Babatunde, applauded KWACReSAL for its support to farmers, especially in the area of agricultural inputs and mechanised farming.

“ACReSAL provided 100 per cent agricultural inputs to participating farmers last year, and beneficiaries across communities can testify to the positive impact of the intervention,” Babatunde said.

He disclosed that farming activities for the current planting season had already commenced, with farmers actively registering, hiring tractors and preparing their farmlands.

In her remarks, the AFAM Women Leader, Sherifat Ibrahim, advocated increased empowerment and technical training for women in rural communities to enable them to actively participate in mechanised farming.

“There is a need for gender-friendly operational systems and practical training that will make tractor handling easier and more accessible for women and young learners involved in agricultural programmes,” she said.

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Meanwhile, the Environmental Safeguards Officer of KWACReSAL, Mr Abubakar Mohammed, reaffirmed the project’s commitment to gender equality, women’s inclusion and effective grievance management across all project activities.

The renewed collaboration comes amid growing efforts by the Kwara state government to improve food production and strengthen climate-smart agriculture through partnerships with farmer associations, development agencies and international organisations.

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See Full List of Top 10 World’s Largest Economies in 2026

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The United States is projected to remain the world’s largest economy in 2026 with a gross domestic product estimated at $32.1 trillion, according to new global economic forecasts obtained from Focus Economics on Wednesday.

The U.S. continues to lead global output through dominance in technology, finance, healthcare, and advanced manufacturing. Growth in artificial intelligence, healthcare innovation, and high-value industries has further widened its lead over other major economies in recent years.

The top 10 world economies ranked in numbers

1. United States — $32.1 trillion
The United States remains the world’s largest economy, accounting for over a quarter of global output in nominal terms. Its economy is highly diversified, with Silicon Valley driving global leadership in AI, biotech, and software, while Wall Street anchors the financial sector.

2. China — $20.2 trillion
China is the world’s second-largest economy, driven by manufacturing, exports, and large-scale industrial production. It remains the leading global producer of electronics, machinery, and textiles, though it faces structural challenges, including a shrinking population and high debt levels.

3. Germany — $5.4 trillion
Germany remains Europe’s largest economy, supported by a strong industrial base and the Mittelstand network of medium-sized manufacturing firms that form the backbone of its export strength.

4. India — $4.5 trillion
India continues its rapid economic rise, driven largely by services and information technology. Its economy has more than doubled over the past decade, supported by a young population and expanding domestic demand.

5. Japan — $4.4 trillion
Japan remains a global manufacturing powerhouse in robotics, automobiles, and electronics, although long-term growth is constrained by an aging population and structural economic stagnation.

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6. United Kingdom — $4.2 trillion
The United Kingdom is a major service-based economy, with strengths in finance, insurance, and real estate, anchored by the City of London.

7. France — $3.6 trillion
France has a diversified economy led by luxury goods, aerospace, agriculture, and manufacturing, with global brands such as Airbus and LVMH playing major roles.

8. Italy — $2.7 trillion
Italy combines a strong services sector with manufacturing strengths in fashion, machinery, and automobiles, driven largely by its industrial northern regions.

9. Russia — $2.5 trillion
Russia remains heavily dependent on oil and gas exports, with energy revenues playing a central role in its economy despite ongoing sanctions and geopolitical pressures.

10. Canada — $2.4 trillion
Canada rounds out the top 10, supported by natural resources such as oil, forestry, and mining, alongside a strong services and financial sector.

Economists say the global economy is increasingly being shaped by technology, demographics, energy transitions, and geopolitical tensions, all of which will influence how these rankings evolve in the coming years.

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Nigeria misses OPEC oil production quota again

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Again, Nigeria has missed its crude oil production quota set by the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries after averaging 1.49 million barrels per day in April, below the 1.5 mbpd benchmark.

Figures from the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission showed that the country produced an average of 1,488,540 barrels of crude daily in April, representing about 99 per cent of the OPEC quota. When condensates were added, total daily production rose to 1.66mbpd

Last month, the NUPRC said oil production now averaged 1.8mbpd. However, data released on Tuesday was at variance with the report. The latest data mean Nigeria remained below its OPEC allocation for the ninth straight month since July 2025.

The NUPRC document showed that combined crude oil and condensate production peaked at 1.85 mbpd during the month, while the lowest output stood at 1.46 mbpd. The PUNCH reports that the April figures are an appreciable improvement compared to March, when oil output was 1.55mbpd.

Nigeria’s oil production has struggled for years due to crude theft, pipeline vandalism, ageing infrastructure, and underinvestment in the upstream sector. Although output improved marginally in April compared to March, it was still insufficient to meet the country’s OPEC target, underscoring persistent challenges in ramping up production despite government efforts to boost volumes.

The PUNCH reports that Nigeria’s crude production in March was 1.38 mbpd. While there was a 69,000 bpd increase from the 1.31 mbpd recorded in February, the figure is still 117,000 bpd below the OPEC quota.

The figures for February indicated a month-on-month decline of 146,000 barrels per day, widening the country’s shortfall from its OPEC production allocation. This is the eighth consecutive month the country has failed to meet the OPEC quota since July 2025.

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Recall that although Nigeria recorded a marginal improvement in January, when production rose from 1.422 mbpd in December 2025 to 1.46 mbpd, the rebound was short-lived as output fell significantly in February 2026.

Earlier data from NUPRC had also shown that crude oil production weakened at the end of 2025. Production declined from 1.436 mbpd in November 2025 to 1.422 mbpd in December, before recovering slightly in January.

In 2025, Nigeria’s crude oil production fell below its OPEC quota in nine months of the year, meeting or slightly exceeding the target only in January, June, and July.

Nigeria opened 2025 strongly, producing 1.54 mbpd in January, about 38,700 barrels per day above its OPEC allocation. However, production slipped below the quota in February at 1.47 mbpd and weakened further in March to 1.40 mbpd, marking one of the widest shortfalls during the year.

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