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CBN targets N2.83tn cash in private hands ahead of 2027 polls

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The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has unveiled an ambitious plan to bring about N2.83tn currently held outside the banking system into formal financial channels and expand financial inclusion by onboarding 50 million additional Nigerians by 2028.

The targets form part of the Nigeria Payments System Vision 2028 unveiled by the Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria, Olayemi Cardoso, on Monday in Abuja, as the apex bank seeks to deepen digital payments, strengthen trust in financial services, reduce cash dependence, and position Nigeria as a leading payments hub in Africa.

The target is coming a few months before Nigeria’s 2027 general elections, with the Independent National Electoral Commission scheduling the presidential and National Assembly polls for January 16, 2027, and governorship and state assembly elections for February 6, 2027, amid renewed concerns over cash-driven campaigns, vote-buying, and higher legal spending limits for candidates.

The launch brought together regulators, banks, fintech operators, telecommunications firms, development partners, and other stakeholders in the financial services ecosystem.

Cardoso said the initiative was not merely about technology or financial transactions but about creating economic opportunities, reducing poverty, and accelerating growth. According to him, efficient payment systems remain among the fastest ways to lift large numbers of people out of poverty.

“One of the fastest ways to take a large number of people out of poverty is through an efficient payments system. It’s through an efficient payment system. So let us not look at it lightly,” Cardoso said.

The governor described the Payments System Vision 2028 as a strategic roadmap that would shape how Nigerians transact, save, invest, trade, and participate in the digital economy over the next three years.

“Today, we unveil more than a payment strategy. We unveil a vision for how Nigerians will transact, trade, save, invest, and participate in an increasingly digital economy,” he said.

N2.83tn cash target

The new vision comes at a time when cash remains heavily concentrated outside the banking system despite years of financial inclusion efforts. Latest figures from the CBN’s money and credit statistics show that currency outside banks stood at N5.08tn in April 2026, representing about 90.03 per cent of the N5.65tn currency in circulation during the period.

Cardoso disclosed that the apex bank intends to reduce cash outside the banking system to less than 40 per cent of money in circulation by 2028. “I would like to see a situation where we will reduce cash outside the banking system to less than 40 per cent of money in circulation,” he said.

Using the April 2026 figures as a benchmark, achieving that target would imply reducing cash outside banks from N5.08tn to about N2.26tn, potentially returning roughly N2.83tn to the formal banking system.

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Such a shift could significantly improve monetary policy transmission, increase banking sector liquidity, enhance financial intermediation, and strengthen lenders’ ability to support economic activity.

The effort comes as Nigeria prepares for the 2027 elections, when concerns over cash-intensive campaign activities and vote-buying are expected to place renewed focus on the amount of currency held outside formal financial channels.

The Governor of the CBN and members of the Monetary Policy Committee earlier warned that rising political and election-related spending ahead of the 2027 general elections could undermine the country’s disinflation gains and trigger fresh inflationary pressures. The warnings were contained in the personal statements of MPC members released by the apex bank.

At the launch of the Nigeria Payments System Vision 2028, the governor linked the target to broader efforts to build confidence in digital payments and reduce reliance on cash transactions. “Cash should no longer be king,” he said.

He recalled being concerned after watching a programme in which traders refused to accept cash payments due to concerns about the reliability of payment channels. “We need to do a lot more work to build trust and to ensure that people have no doubt that they are dealing with a strong and reliable payments system,” Cardoso said.

50 million new users

Alongside the cash target, the CBN is seeking to expand participation in the formal financial system dramatically. Cardoso said financial inclusion under the vision would rise to 95 per cent by 2028, bringing an estimated 50 million additional Nigerians into the banking and digital payments ecosystem.

“Under Vision 2028, I would like to see this reaching 95 per cent inclusion. That means 50 million more market women, farmers, and young people will have a bank account or wallet in their name, with their name and BVN protecting them,” he said.

The target represents one of the most ambitious financial inclusion drives undertaken by the apex bank in recent years and reflects the government’s broader efforts to formalise economic activity and expand access to financial services.

According to Cardoso, financial inclusion is not an end in itself but a tool for economic transformation. “The journey is to impact the lives of the poor. That’s part of it and a major part of it. The journey is to lift people out of poverty, and the journey is to have an impact on GDP,” he stated.

The governor added that a modern payment system was indispensable to economic growth, innovation, financial inclusion, and national competitiveness. The CBN governor said the new framework was designed to strengthen infrastructure, deepen inclusion, encourage innovation, improve resilience, and increase integration with regional and global payment systems.

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He noted that payment systems had evolved beyond simple money transfer channels and had become strategic economic infrastructure. “In a modern economy, payment infrastructure is not simply a financial utility. It is a strategic national asset,” Cardoso said.

He explained that efficient payment systems reduce the cost of doing business, improve productivity, support trade, strengthen transparency, and broaden economic participation.

The vision also aims to help Nigeria take advantage of opportunities presented by the African Continental Free Trade Area, expanding digital commerce and increasingly interconnected global markets. “This is not merely about technology or transactions. It is about opportunity,” he said.

According to him, entrepreneurs, traders, and small businesses across the country stand to benefit from faster settlement systems, broader market access, and increased participation in regional and global commerce.

“For the entrepreneur in Aba, the trader in Zaria, the fashion designer in Ilesha, or the small business owner in Kano, efficient and interoperable payment systems can mean access to new markets, faster settlement of transactions, and greater participation in regional and global commerce,” Cardoso added.

Despite the ambitious targets, Cardoso stressed that the success of the programme would depend on implementation rather than policy declarations. “The success of PSV 2028 will not be measured by the quality of this document. It will be measured by execution,” he said.

He challenged regulators, banks, fintech firms, telecom operators, and other stakeholders to work together to ensure the vision translates into measurable economic outcomes. “As the Federal Government of Nigeria builds roads, schools, and hospitals, we here must also build the invisible roads that move money,” Cardoso said.

He added, “Vision 2028 is not a government project. It is a Nigerian project. Together, we will build a payments system that is fast, inclusive, secure, and proudly Nigerian.”

Providing further details of the framework, the CBN’s Deputy Governor, Economic Policy Directorate, Dr Muhammad Abdullahi, said the Payments System Vision 2028 was built around five strategic pillars. According to him, the pillars include payment infrastructure and interoperability, digital financial inclusion, innovation and emerging technologies, cross-border payments, and regulation and cybersecurity.

Abdullahi described modern payment systems as critical economic infrastructure that supports trade, investment, innovation, productivity, and financial inclusion. “Every successful payment represents more than a financial transaction. It enables commerce, supports enterprise, facilitates trade, connects markets, and creates opportunities for economic participation,” he said.

The deputy governor explained that the first pillar focuses on modernising payment infrastructure, strengthening interoperability among banks and fintechs, deploying open APIs, and expanding real-time payments. “Efficient payment infrastructure lowers transaction costs, improves business productivity, and enables firms of all sizes to participate competitively in the digital economy,” he stated.

The second pillar centres on financial inclusion, consumer protection, and financial literacy, while the third seeks to leverage emerging technologies such as artificial intelligence, blockchain, digital assets, and open banking.

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The fourth pillar focuses on cross-border payments and integration with the Pan-African Payment and Settlement System as well as the African Continental Free Trade Area framework.

According to Abdullahi, reducing payment friction across borders would strengthen trade, lower settlement costs, improve remittance efficiency, and position Nigeria as a regional settlement hub.

The fifth pillar emphasises regulation, cybersecurity, fraud prevention, and consumer trust. “No system scales without trust, and no trust exists without security,” he said.

In his opening remarks, the Director of Payments System Policy at the CBN, Musa Jimoh, traced the country’s payment transformation journey to 2007, when the apex bank launched the Payment System Vision 2020.

He recalled that Nigeria’s financial system at the time was heavily dependent on cash and had limited electronic payment infrastructure. “It started in 2007, when the Central Bank decided to set up a roadmap to modernise the payment system,” he said.

According to Jimoh, the CBN identified three major barriers to financial inclusion at the time: high banking costs, limited access to financial institutions, and stringent account-opening requirements.

To address the challenges, the bank introduced policies, including agent banking and the cashless policy. “Today, we are proud to announce that we have over two million agents spread across the country,” he said.

Jimoh said the growth of agent networks had expanded financial access while creating employment opportunities across the country.

Regulators back vision

The Director-General of the Securities and Exchange Commission, Dr Emomotimi Agama, said collaboration among financial regulators would be critical to the success of the initiative.

“For us in the capital market, it’s delivery versus payment. Delivery speaks to securities and payment means having to pay the cash,” he said.

Agama argued that Nigeria had already become a global reference point in digital payments and urged stakeholders to tell the country’s story more effectively on the global stage.

The Executive Vice Chairman of the Nigerian Communications Commission, Dr Aminu Maida, also endorsed the framework, describing it as an important step towards achieving the Federal Government’s goal of building a $1tn economy.

Maida noted that fraud and cybersecurity challenges increasingly cut across sectors and borders, making collaboration essential. “Collaboration has to be what guides us moving forward towards achieving that goal of a trillion-dollar economy,” he said.

He added that the NCC was expanding fibre infrastructure and broadband connectivity nationwide to support digital payments and financial inclusion.

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Nigerian states’ revenues rise 93%, but education spending drops — World Bank

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The World Bank says Nigeria’s 36 states recorded a 93 per cent increase in revenues between 2023 and 2025 but education received a declining share of the sector’s expenditure.

The bank disclosed this in its latest Nigeria Development Update, which examined how increased public revenues have influenced spending priorities across the federation.

The report was made available to the News Agency of Nigeria by the World Bank in Washington D.C.

According to the report, states’ aggregate revenues rose by approximately 93 per cent in real terms, while expenditure increased by 92 per cent during the period.

The report attributed the improvement partly to exchange-rate reforms, petrol subsidy removal, stronger revenue administration and increased allocations from the federation account.

It said states also benefited from refunds, settlement of longstanding federal obligations, intervention funds, and stronger Value Added Tax collections.

However, education’s share of total state expenditure declined from 14.9 per cent in 2021 to 12.1 per cent in 2025, according to the report.

Health expenditure remained broadly stable at approximately seven per cent, while social protection’s share increased from 1.4 per cent to 4.4 per cent.

The bank said capital expenditure increased significantly, accounting for 61 per cent of state spending, compared with 46 per cent previously.

Transport infrastructure recorded the largest increase, alongside substantial spending on housing, agriculture and other economic investments.

The report quoted Mathew Verghis, the World Bank Country Director for Nigeria, as saying that increased revenues provided the opportunity to improve infrastructure, education, healthcare, and water services.

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He said greater spending efficiency, accountability and improved service delivery were essential to ensuring that additional public resources benefited Nigerians.

The bank acknowledged improvements in states’ fiscal reporting, transparency and internally generated revenue.

It, however, stressed that stronger investment in human capital was necessary to translate economic reforms into sustainable employment and improved living standards.

The report also projected average economic growth of 4.4 per cent between 2026 and 2028, subject to sustained reforms and improved service delivery.

It urged federal and state authorities to ensure that increased public revenues translated into tangible improvements in Nigerians’ welfare.

NAN

Source: punchng.com

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Nigeria promotes investment without building production capacity – UNILAG don

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A professor of Comparative Political Economy at the University of Lagos, Adelaja Odukoya, has asserted that Nigeria’s economic policies promote investment without sufficiently strengthening domestic production.

Odukoya argued that the contradiction had weakened the country’s productive foundations, with policies encouraging investment and entrepreneurship while failing to create the technological capacity, productive employment and processing industries needed to drive sustainable development.

Odukoya spoke at the maiden edition of the Adeleke University Toyin Falola Annual Lecture, held on Thursday at the Performing Arts Theatre, Adeleke University, Ede.

The lecture had as its theme, “History, Power and Accumulation: Reimagining Africa in the Globally Disorderly Order.”

Odukoya identified several contradictions in the way the Nigerian state manages economic activity.

He said, “The state promotes investment without creating conditions for technological transfer. It encourages entrepreneurship without generating sufficient productive employment.

“It expands primary-product exports while leaving processing capacity undeveloped. It constructs infrastructure without establishing strong linkages with domestic production.”

According to him, the contradictions explain why increased economic activity and accumulation do not necessarily translate into development.

“Accumulation is not synonymous with development,” Odukoya stated.

He argued that genuine development should be measured by the expansion of productive, technological, institutional and human capabilities.

“A country could attract investment, export minerals and agricultural commodities and record economic activity while still failing to build the domestic industries and technological capabilities required for long-term development,” he said.

His argument was echoed by Prof Toyin Falola, who said Africa’s vast natural resources would continue to reinforce dependency unless governments developed the industrial, technological and institutional capacity to transform them into productive power.

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Falola said Africa’s resource problem was not simply one of historical exploitation, but also the continent’s failure to convert its resource endowments into power.

“The issue, however, is not just to repeat the history of exploitation. It is more important to know how Africa turns its great resources into power,” Falola said.

He argued that Africa could not afford to remain a spectator as global economic and geopolitical arrangements continued to change, stressing that resource ownership without the capacity to add value would not guarantee influence.

Falola said the continent required a combination of knowledge, government policy and industrial capacity to change its economic position.

“There must be universities that generate new knowledge; there must be governments that translate this knowledge into policies; there must be industries that add value to the continent’s natural resources,” he said.

He added that Africa needed more than improved infrastructure and stronger economies if it wanted to exercise greater influence in the global system.

“The future of the continent will require more than just better infrastructure, improved economies, and more effective political institutions,” Falola said.

Source: punchng.com

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Import waivers, insecurity end two-year agric trade surplus

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Import waivers meant to ease hunger and insecurity on farms have led to a deficit, ending a two-year run of surpluses, as Nigeria’s agricultural trade balance swung from a N740.27bn surplus in the first half of 2025 to a N56.13bn deficit in H1 2026, according to agriculture and trade experts.

Recent foreign trade data from the National Bureau of Statistics showed that agricultural exports fell by 33.28 per cent, or N985.14bn, to N1.98tn in H1 2026 from N2.96tn in H1 2025.

Agricultural imports fell by only 8.50 per cent, or N188.74bn, to N2.03tn from N2.22tn over the same period. The gap between the two movements produced a N796.40bn swing in the trade balance.

Nigeria recorded a N365.74bn deficit in H1 2023, when imports of N926.25bn far exceeded exports of N560.51bn. The balance then turned to a N194.92bn surplus in H1 2024 before it widened to N740.27bn in H1 2025.

In separate phone interviews with The PUNCH, Agribusiness experts, including the Chairman of the Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry’s Agricultural and Allied Group, Tunde Banjoko, explained that recent government policy led to the shift.

Banjoko said, “Some waivers were given for products like palm oil and rice, and the import tariffs were drastically reduced. It became more favourable for people to import than to patronise local producers.”

He said the waivers on food commodities hurt domestic producers, even though lower tariffs on tractors and manufacturing equipment helped them.

According to Banjoko, “The effect is that our imports will rise above our exports. Second, we will discourage local production. Thirdly, we will be reducing employment, because some factories will shut down if they are not able to compete.”

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Banjoko also said weak funding for processors compounds the problem. He said foreign direct investment flows mainly into the capital market rather than into production and processing, so local processors cannot scale.

He urged the Federal Government to speed up the Special Agro-Industrial Processing Zones programme. “We should speed up such projects where we can produce enough for our country and start exporting, not look for shortcuts by reducing prices,” Banjoko added.

Meanwhile, the Chief Executive Officer of the Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise, Dr Muda Yusuf, identified two major factors behind the deficit. He said the first was the Federal Government’s decision to allow some food imports to tackle runaway inflation.

Yusuf said, “The first is the decision of the government to allow for some food imports as a result of the challenges of food inflation, which at a point was getting almost completely out of hand.”

He added that insecurity worsened the supply gap and cut export capacity, stating, “Insecurity led many farmers to leave their farms. Many of them have ended up in IDP camps, and quite a number have completely abandoned farming.”

He added that farmers cannot export without output. Yusuf said, “You can only export when you have the output.”

Yusuf also said high input costs and falling produce prices have discouraged farming. He said, “Most of these inputs are imported, so the exchange rate situation has seriously affected the cost of inputs, and the prices of produce have gone down.”

He urged the Federal Government to cut the cost of fertiliser, agrochemicals, machinery and improved seedlings. He also called for a minimum guaranteed price for agricultural produce.

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Yusuf said, “The government can establish a threshold below which, if prices fall, it will give farmers some compensation. That is the way it is done in many other economies.”

Source: punchng.com

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