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Naira, stocks drop after Trump’s military threat

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Nigeria’s financial markets began November 2025 on a sour note as the naira and equities weakened sharply following remarks by United States President Donald Trump, who threatened possible military action against Nigeria over alleged religious persecution.

Data from the Central Bank of Nigeria showed that the naira, which had traded at a 2025 peak of N1,421.73/$, depreciated to N1,436.34/$ on Monday, marking a 1.03 per cent decline or N14.61 loss in one day. The currency also weakened at the parallel market to N1,455/$, reflecting increased investor anxiety and foreign-exchange demand pressure.

The sudden depreciation followed a weekend of heightened geopolitical tension after Trump, via his Truth Social platform, labelled Nigeria a “country of particular concern” and directed the US Department of War to prepare for “possible action” should alleged killings of Christians persist.

According to Trump, the move was a response to what he described as a “Christian genocide” in Nigeria — a claim that sparked global debate and uncertainty about diplomatic and economic implications for Africa’s largest economy.

The development quickly rippled through financial markets. At the Nigerian Exchange Limited, bearish trading resumed on Monday as the All-Share Index dropped by 0.25 per cent to close at 153,739.11 points, trimming year-to-date gains to 49.37 per cent. Market capitalisation declined by N245.88 billion, settling at N97.58tn.

The downturn was largely driven by selloffs in Aradel Holdings (-9.21 per cent) and Access Corporation (-3.07 per cent). Investor sentiment remained weak, with 38 stocks declining against 19 gainers. Union Dicon emerged as the top gainer (+9.93 per cent), while Honeywell Flour Mills led the losers (-10.00 per cent).

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Trading activity also slowed sharply, as total volume and value traded plunged 87.94 per cent and 44.64 per cent, respectively, to 627.5 million units worth N25bn. United Bank for Africa dominated the session, accounting for 136.8 million units (21.8 per cent of total volume) valued at N5.5bn (22.2 per cent of total value).

Across sectors, performance was mixed. Oil & Gas (-3.94 per cent), Commodities (-1.85 per cent), Insurance (-1.48 per cent), and Banking (-0.22 per cent) all recorded losses, while Consumer Goods rose slightly by 0.49 per cent. The Industrial sector closed flat.

In the bond market, Cowry Assets Management reported that investor appetite for Nigeria’s Eurobonds weakened on Monday, with average yields rising by 5 basis points to 7.70 per cent. The investment firm attributed this to global risk aversion, macroeconomic uncertainty, and geopolitical concerns.

According to Bloomberg, Nigeria’s dollar-denominated bonds were the worst-performing among emerging markets on Monday, with all ten notes ranking among the global underperformers. Bonds maturing in 2047 fell the most, down 0.6 cents on the dollar to 88.26 cents before paring some losses later in the day.

Despite the turmoil, some analysts described the reaction as temporary. Tilewa Adebajo, Chief Executive Officer of CFG Advisory, told The PUNCH that the market’s reaction was “not sustainable.”

“This appears to be a mere blip,” Adebajo said. “Closing prices in global markets today already reflect recovery. With Nigeria recently removed from the FATF Grey List, the market still offers strong long-term fundamentals.”

However, Dr Musa Yusuf, CEO of the Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise, warned that Trump’s statements could seriously undermine investor confidence.

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“The US President’s threat of military intervention in Nigeria is unwarranted, counterproductive, and economically destabilising,” Yusuf said in a policy brief. “Such remarks send unsettling signals to investors, heighten risk perception, and undermine confidence in Nigeria’s economy.”

He added that while Nigeria must continue to strengthen its internal security and governance, any engagement with foreign powers “should be cooperative, not coercive.”

“Unilateral military action,” Yusuf warned, “would destabilise Nigeria’s economy, threaten regional stability, and worsen humanitarian conditions. The constructive path forward lies in diplomacy, partnership, and mutual respect for sovereignty.”

As markets await clarity on US policy and Nigeria’s diplomatic response, analysts say sustained stability will depend on calm, confidence-building measures, and consistent macroeconomic policy from the Federal Government and the CBN.

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Bank recapitalisation: Local investors provide 72% of N4.6tn

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The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) on Wednesday said domestic investors accounted for the bulk of funds raised under its banking sector recapitalisation programme, contributing 72.55 per cent of the N4.65tn total capital secured by lenders.

The apex bank disclosed this in a statement marking the conclusion of the exercise, which began in March 2024 and saw 33 banks meet the new minimum capital requirements.

The statement was jointly signed by the Director of Banking Supervision, Olubukola Akinwunmi, and the Acting Director of Corporate Communications, Hakama Sidi-Ali.

According to the CBN, Nigerian investors provided about N3.37tn of the total capital raised, underscoring strong domestic confidence in the banking sector, while foreign investors accounted for the remaining 27.45 per cent.

“Over the 24-month period, Nigerian banks raised a total of N4.65tn in new capital, strengthening the resilience of the financial system and enhancing its capacity to support the economy,” the statement said.

Commenting on the outcome, the CBN Governor, Olayemi Cardoso, said, “The recapitalisation programme has strengthened the capital base of Nigerian banks, reinforcing the resilience of the financial system and ensuring it is well-positioned to support economic growth and withstand domestic and external shocks.”

The bank confirmed that 33 lenders had met the revised capital thresholds, while a few others were still undergoing regulatory and judicial processes.

“The CBN confirms that 33 banks have met the revised minimum capital requirements established under the programme,” it stated.

“A limited number of institutions remain subject to ongoing regulatory and judicial processes, which are being addressed through established supervisory and legal frameworks.

“All banks remain fully operational, ensuring continued access to banking services for customers.”

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The regulator stressed that the recapitalisation exercise was completed without disrupting banking operations nationwide, noting that key prudential indicators, particularly capital adequacy ratios, had improved and remained above global Basel benchmarks.

Minimum capital adequacy ratios were pegged at 10 per cent for regional and national banks and 15 per cent for banks with international licences.

The CBN added that the exercise coincided with a gradual exit from regulatory forbearance, a move it said improved asset quality, strengthened balance sheet transparency, and enhanced overall system stability.

To sustain the gains, the apex bank said it had strengthened its risk-based supervision framework, including periodic stress tests and requirements for adequate capital buffers.

It added that supervisory and prudential guidelines would be reviewed regularly to improve governance, risk management, and resilience across the sector.

“The successful completion of the programme establishes a stronger and more resilient banking system, better positioned to support lending, mobilise savings, and withstand domestic and global shocks,” the statement added.

Meanwhile, data from the National Bureau of Statistics showed that foreign capital inflows into the banking sector rose by 93.25 per cent year-on-year to $13.53bn in 2025 from $7.00bn in 2024, reflecting strong investor interest during the recapitalisation drive.

However, the Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise has cautioned that despite the strengthened banking system, credit to small businesses remains weak, warning that the benefits of the reforms are yet to fully impact the real economy.

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Court freezes N448m assets in Keystone Bank debt recovery suit

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The Federal High Court in Lagos has ordered the freezing of funds and assets valued at N448,263,172.41 in a debt recovery suit instituted by Keystone Bank Limited against five defendants.

The order was made on March 26, 2026, by Justice Chukwujekwu Aneke following an ex parte application moved by Keystone Bank’s counsel Mofesomo Tayo-Oyetibo (SAN), against Relic Resources, Olufunmilayo Emmanuella Alabi, Uwadiale Donald Agenmonmen, The Magnificent Multi Services Limited, and Raedial Farms Limited.

In his ruling, Justice Aneke granted a Mareva injunction restraining the defendants, whether by themselves, their agents, privies, or assigns, from withdrawing, transferring, dissipating, or otherwise dealing with funds, shares, dividends, and other financial instruments standing to their credit in any bank or financial institution in Nigeria, up to the sum in dispute.

The court further directed all banks and financial institutions within the jurisdiction to forthwith preserve any funds belonging to the defendants upon being served with the order.

The said institutions were also ordered to depose to affidavits within seven days of service, disclosing the balances in all accounts maintained by the defendants, together with the relevant statements of account.

In addition, the court granted a preservative order restraining the defendants from disposing of, alienating, or otherwise encumbering any movable or immovable property, including any future or contingent interests, up to the value of the alleged indebtedness.

The court also granted leave for substituted service of the originating and other court processes on the second and third defendants by courier delivery to their last known addresses.

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The matter was adjourned to April 9, 2026, for mention.

According to the originating processes before the court, the suit arises from a N500 million overdraft facility granted by the claimant to the first defendant on March 28, 2023, for a tenure of 365 days at an interest rate of 32 per cent per annum.

The claimant averred that the facility, initially secured by a $200,000 cash collateral and subsequently by a mortgaged property located at Itunu City, Epe, Lagos, expired on March 27, 2024, leaving an outstanding indebtedness of N448,263,172.41 as at October 31, 2024.

In the affidavit in support of the application, the claimant alleged that the facility was diverted for personal use by the third defendant and channelled through the fourth and fifth defendant companies.

It further contended that the first defendant is no longer a going concern and has failed, refused, and neglected to liquidate the outstanding indebtedness despite several demands made between May and October 2025.

The claimant also expressed apprehension that the defendants may dissipate or conceal their assets, thereby rendering nugatory any judgment that may be obtained in the suit, and consequently urged the court to grant the reliefs sought in the interest of justice.

After considering the application and submissions of learned silk, Justice Aneke granted all the reliefs sought and adjourned the matter to April 9, 2026, for further proceedings.

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Sanwo-Olu unveils Lagos 2026 economic blueprint, vows inclusive growth

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The Lagos State Governor, Babajide Sanwo-Olu, on Tuesday unveiled the 2026 edition of the Lagos Economic Development Update, reaffirming his administration’s commitment to driving inclusive growth and ensuring that economic progress translates into tangible benefits for all residents of the state.

The unveiling of this year’s outlook, held in Ikeja, provides an in-depth analysis of the state’s economic trajectory, capturing global, national, and local developments shaping Lagos’ growth outlook.

Represented by his deputy, Obafemi Hamzat, the governor described the report as more than a policy document, noting that it serves as a strategic compass for guiding economic direction and strengthening decision-making.

He added that despite global economic headwinds — including post-pandemic recovery challenges, inflationary pressures, and exchange rate fluctuations — the state has remained resilient through deliberate policies, fiscal discipline, and sustained investment in critical infrastructure.

“It is with a deep sense of responsibility and optimism that I join you today to officially launch the third edition of the Lagos Economic Development Update — LEDU 2026.

“This platform has evolved beyond a mere policy document; it has become a compass guiding our economic direction, shaping decisions, and reinforcing our commitment to building a resilient, inclusive, and prosperous Lagos,” he said.

He noted that while the global economic environment has remained unpredictable, Lagos has stayed on course through “clarity, discipline, and foresight,” anchored on the T.H.E.M.E.S+ Agenda.

According to him, the state had strengthened its fiscal framework, improved revenue generation, and invested in infrastructure critical to long-term growth.

Sanwo-Olu further highlighted progress recorded since the inception of LEDU, including the expansion of the state’s economic base driven by innovation, entrepreneurship, and digitalisation; improved efficiency in revenue systems; and sustained infrastructure development spanning roads, ports, energy, and urban planning.

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He added that continued investment in human capital remains central, as “people are the true engine of growth.”

Speaking on the theme of this year’s report, “Consolidating Resilience, Advancing Competitiveness, Delivering Shared Prosperity,” the governor said it reflects Lagos’ current economic priorities.

He explained that consolidating resilience involves strengthening institutions and fiscal discipline, while advancing competitiveness requires boosting productivity, innovation, and investment.

Delivering shared prosperity, he added, means ensuring growth translates into jobs, expanded opportunities, and improved livelihoods for residents.

Looking ahead, he reaffirmed the administration’s commitment to economic diversification, private sector-led growth, data-driven governance, sustainable urban development, and social inclusion.

He also stressed the importance of partnerships with the private sector, development institutions, civil society, and the international community in achieving the state’s development goals.

“As we launch this edition of LEDU, I urge all stakeholders to engage actively, strengthen collaboration, and align with our shared vision.

“We have built resilience; now we must translate it into sustained competitiveness and ensure that growth delivers tangible prosperity for every Lagosian,” he said.

Also speaking, the state Commissioner for Economic Planning and Budget, Ope George, said Lagos has demonstrated remarkable resilience in navigating both global and domestic economic challenges.

“Lagos is not just responding to economic shocks — we are building systems that make us stronger because of them,” he said, noting that deliberate policies, disciplined fiscal management, and strategic investments have reinforced the state’s position as a leading subnational economy in Africa.

He added that the state would continue to prioritise economic diversification, private sector growth, sustainable urban development, and social inclusion, stressing that growth must be measured not only by numbers but also by its impact on people’s lives.

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In his goodwill message, Chief Consultant at B. Adedipe Associates Limited, Biodun Adedipe, described the LEDU initiative as a credible framework for tracking economic performance and refining development strategies.

He noted that Lagos remains central to Nigeria’s economy, adding that its continued growth signals broader national progress.

“If Lagos works, a significant share of Nigeria’s commerce works,” he said, expressing optimism about the state’s economic future.

Meanwhile, the Chief Executive Officer of the Nigerian Economic Summit Group, Tayo Adeloju, urged the state government to prioritise affordable housing as a critical driver of shared prosperity.

He noted that high housing costs could limit upward mobility for low-income earners, stressing that making housing more accessible would enhance living standards and support inclusive growth.

Adeloju added that sustained fiscal discipline, improved service delivery, and a broader productive base would further strengthen Lagos’ position among Africa’s leading megacity economies.

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