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NBS announces 4.23% economic growth, labour disagrees

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Nigeria’s Gross Domestic Product rose by 4.23 per cent year-on-year in real terms in the second quarter of 2025, according to the latest figures released on Monday by the National Bureau of Statistics.

The performance was stronger than the 3.48 per cent growth recorded in the same period of 2024, showing that the economy gained momentum despite persistent structural challenges. The bureau explained that the quarterly estimates followed the rebasing of GDP using 2019 as the base year, allowing comparisons to track the pace of expansion across sectors.

The report read, “Following the rebasing of the Gross Domestic Product using 2019 as the base year, previous quarterly GDP estimates were benchmarked to the rebased annual estimates to align the old series with the new rebased estimates.

“This procedure provided a new quarterly GDP series, which is compared to the 2025 second quarter estimates. Gross Domestic Product grew by 4.23 per cent (year-on-year) in real terms in the second quarter of 2025.

This growth rate is higher than the 3.48 per cent recorded in the second quarter of 2024.”

But senior officials of the Nigeria Labour Congress challenged the credibility of the figures, arguing that they failed to capture the worsening conditions faced by workers and households.

“When we talk about GDP growth, the key question is how it impacts the lives of the people.

If the figure is in doubt, or if it does not translate into better living conditions, then it is meaningless. That is what we call growth without development,” an NLC official, who spoke to one of our correspondents in confidence due to lack of authorisation to speak on the matter, stated.

The official added, “Right now, many people are being manipulated because of upcoming elections. The GDP figures being quoted are based on the 2019 rebasing. But when statistics do not reflect realities on the ground, they are useless to the citizenry. Any economic indicator that fails to capture reality loses credibility.”

The President of the Trade Union Congress, Festus Osifo, did not respond to a request for comment.

Another senior NLC official took aim at Nigeria’s reported unemployment data, which put the jobless rate at about four per cent. “That is a falsehood, a construct of neoliberalism to mask the impact of failed policies being pushed on developing countries,” the official said. “We know unemployment is far higher than four per cent. So as long as these statistics fail to reflect reality, they are useless for economic planning.”

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The union leader added, “Do you see the 4.23 per cent GDP growth in your life? I don’t. Conditions are worsening, workers are suffering, yet officials claim the economy is growing. The economy is not growing. An economy must be managed for the people. When it is not, politicians invent stories to justify their claims, and this is one of them.”

Meanwhile, the NBS report stated that the value of the economy stood at N100.73tn in nominal terms, up from N84.48tn in the second quarter of 2024, representing a 19.23 per cent increase. Much of the growth came from the oil sector, which rebounded on the back of higher crude output.

Average daily production climbed to 1.68 million barrels per day, compared with 1.41 million barrels per day in the same quarter of 2024 and 1.62 million barrels per day in the first quarter of 2025. This lifted the oil sector’s real growth to 20.46 per cent, a sharp turnaround from the 1.87 per cent recorded in the preceding quarter.

Its contribution to the overall economy rose to 4.05 per cent, up from 3.51 per cent a year earlier. Mining and quarrying, which includes crude petroleum, coal, and other minerals, also posted strong numbers, expanding by 20.86 per cent in real terms, with quarrying up by 50.41 per cent and coal mining higher by 32.59 per cent.

Still, the non-oil economy maintained its dominance, accounting for 95.95 per cent of total output. It grew by 3.64 per cent in real terms, compared with 3.26 per cent in the corresponding quarter of 2024 and 3.19 per cent in the first quarter of 2025.

The expansion was driven by agriculture, telecommunications, real estate, finance, trade, construction, and energy-related services. Agriculture grew by 2.82 per cent, a recovery from the marginal 0.07 per cent reported in the first quarter, though its share of the economy slipped to 26.17 per cent from 26.53 per cent a year earlier.

Industry recorded growth of 7.45 per cent, more than double the 3.72 per cent growth posted in the same period last year. Manufacturing, however, slowed to 1.60 per cent and its share of GDP dropped to 7.81 per cent.

Construction expanded by 5.27 per cent but contracted sharply on a quarter-on-quarter basis. The services sector grew by 3.94 per cent, up from 3.83 per cent in the same quarter of 2024.

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Trade contributed 18.28 per cent to the economy, but growth slowed to 1.29 per cent from 1.82 per cent a year ago. Information and communication rose by 6.61 per cent, contributing 11.18 per cent to GDP, while finance and insurance surged by 16.13 per cent, raising its share to 3.23 per cent.

Transportation and storage grew by 22.09 per cent, higher than the 0.56 per cent contribution recorded in the previous year. Electricity, gas, steam, and air conditioning supply also expanded by 11.47 per cent, while water supply, sewerage, waste management, and remediation grew by 10.60 per cent.

Together, they boosted the utilities subsector’s contribution to the wider economy. The latest figures confirm that while oil provided a major lift to overall growth in the second quarter, the non-oil sector continues to anchor the economy.

Earlier in July 2025, the Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Wale Edun, stated that Nigeria needs to achieve at least a seven per cent annual economic growth to significantly improve the lives of its poorest and most vulnerable citizens.

Referring to the country’s GDP, the minister said, “To really help the poorest and most vulnerable, we need to be doing around seven per cent per annum.” In May 2025, Edun charged top management staff of the Federal Ministry of Finance to drive reforms that will accelerate Nigeria’s GDP growth to seven per cent per annum in line with the Renewed Hope Agenda of the Tinubu administration.

Economist and Chief Executive Officer of the Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise, Dr Muda Yusuf, said Nigeria’s economy is on the path of recovery following the latest figures released by the National Bureau of Statistics.

“The GDP numbers point to the fact that the economy is on a recovery path. You can see that there’s an improvement in the GDP figures from what we had in Q1. In Q1, we had a 3.13 per cent GDP. In Q2, we have a 4.23 per cent GDP growth. This is quite remarkable, and it shows that quite a number of the policies of governments are actually on course,” he said.

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OPS reacts

Members of the organised private sector urged the Federal Government to prioritise growth in the real sector of the economy, despite Nigeria’s Gross Domestic Product recording a 4.23 per cent increase in the second quarter of 2025.

They expressed reservations about the implications of these figures in the real-time finances of the consuming public. In separate phone interviews with The PUNCH, private sector operators warned that the figures mask underlying weaknesses in critical areas.

The President of the Association of Small Business Owners, Dr Femi Egbesola, cautioned that macroeconomic growth was not translating into tangible benefits for households and businesses.

Egbesola stated, “GDP is growing and it has been stable for some time now, and it is a sign of hope. However, as much as we have macroeconomic growth, I think it is important to see it reflected in businesses, in households, and in the individual lives of citizens. That is not happening at the moment.”

He described the state of the real sector, especially manufacturing, as a “red flag,” warning that the collapse of smaller businesses could worsen hardship.

He added, “That’s supposed to be the engine that drives the economy. When the manufacturing sector of any economy is challenged, it’s a red flag. If it continues like this, eventually you will see growth in larger corporations, or deaths in small businesses, and suffering in households.”

Egbesola also pointed out that trade had shrunk in the latest report, citing reduced consumer purchasing power and persistent trade barriers as key challenges. He stressed that “government should not just look at the books and become happy and complacent by increasing GDP, but begin to look inward on how they can help average Nigerians and average businesses.”

The National Vice President of the National Association of Small-Scale Industrialists, Segun Kuti-George, said real sector growth remained the critical yardstick for measuring economic progress.

Kuti-George said, “The growth in GDP is a positive development. However, it would have been better if it were in the real sector. Growth in services is very welcome, but what they call real growth is actually in the real sector. So, if that is not growing, more attention should be given to it.”

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Whatsapp to begin charging businesses per message from October 1

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Meta, the parent company of WhatsApp, will begin charging businesses for certain messages sent through the WhatsApp Business Platform from October 1, 2026.

This was disclosed in a WhatsApp Business Platform pricing update in July 2026.

The new charges will be applied to companies using the official WhatsApp Business Platform, formerly known as the WhatsApp Business API, to manage customer conversations at scale.

Banks, fintechs, e-commerce companies, telecoms operators, logistics firms and large retailers that rely on the platform for customer service and transactional communication are among those that could be affected.

However, the development will not affect ordinary WhatsApp users or most small businesses using the standard WhatsApp Business app on their phones.

Under the current system, when a customer sends a message to a business, a 24-hour customer service window opens. During that period, businesses can respond with free-form service messages and certain utility messages without paying Meta.

However, from October 1, Meta will begin charging businesses on a per-message basis for service messages sent during the customer service window.

Meta, in its developer documentation, said, “Effective October 1, 2026, Meta will charge on a per-message basis for all service messages, consistent with how Meta charges for template messages. These messages have not been charged since November 1, 2024.”

The company added, “Effective October 1, 2026, Meta will charge on a per-message basis for utility messages sent in response to users (within an open 24-hour customer service window). These messages have not been charged since July 1, 2025.”

Utility messages include communications such as payment confirmations, order updates and delivery notifications.

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Meta also warned businesses and Solution Providers about the need to add a payment method ahead of the new charges.

It said, “For any Solution Provider or directly-integrated businesses that does not have a payment method on file by September 30, 2026, Meta will stop delivering service messages as of when they become charged on October 1, 2026.”

For Nigerian businesses, a chargeable utility or service message is expected to cost about $0.0101 per message, equivalent to roughly ₦14 based on an exchange rate of about ₦1,340 to the dollar.

Marketing messages are considerably more expensive, at about $0.062 per message, or approximately ₦84 at the same exchange rate.

The charges are Meta’s fees and do not necessarily represent the total amount a business will pay. Companies using Business Solution Providers or third-party platforms to access the WhatsApp Business Platform may incur additional provider charges.

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FG reaffirms partnership with Taraba to unlock economic potential

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The Federal Government has reaffirmed its commitment to working with the Taraba State Government to unlock the state’s vast potential in agriculture, energy, tourism, infrastructure and mineral resources.

The Minister of Information and National Orientation, Mohammed Idris, stated this on Thursday in Jalingo at the Gala night to mark the Taraba State’s 35th anniversary and the official unveiling of the Taraba Regional Development Master Plan.

He described the newly unveiled Taraba Regional Development Master Plan as an important blueprint for sustainable growth.

Idris, who conveyed the greetings of President Bola Tinubu and the Federal Executive Council to the government and people of Taraba State, said the state’s 35th anniversary offered an opportunity not only to celebrate its progress since creation in 1991, but also to define a clear pathway for its future.

He commended Governor Agbu Kefas of Taraba for adopting a long-term development framework, saying the success of the Master Plan would ultimately depend on sustained implementation and its impact on the lives of citizens.

“The success of this Master Plan will not be measured by the ceremony at which it is unveiled, but by the roads built, businesses created, jobs generated, communities connected and lives improved,” the minister said.

Idris described Taraba as one of Nigeria’s most promising economic frontiers, with enormous opportunities in agriculture and agro-processing, livestock, hydropower, tourism, manufacturing and mineral development.

He praised the Kefas Administration for its investments in education, healthcare, infrastructure, security and economic development, particularly its policy of free and compulsory primary and secondary education.

He said the evidence was in the provision of more than N1.8 billion in 2026 to cover NECO, BECE and NABTEB examination registration for public-school students.

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The minister also highlighted the approximately 268 million dollars financing agreements signed between Taraba State and the ECOWAS Bank for Investment and Development for an integrated industrial park, 10,000 hectares of irrigated rice production and processing, and a 50-megawatt solar power plant in Jalingo.

He said the investments represented the kind of initiatives required to convert the state’s natural advantages into production, value addition, employment and sustainable economic growth.

Idris said Tinubu’s administration was complementing the state’s development drive through major federal infrastructure projects.

“These include the Gembu–Mbamnga–Yang (Lip) Road, the Bali–Serti–Gashaka–Gembu Road, interventions on the Jalingo–Mutum Biyu–Tella–Wukari corridor, as well as further work on the Mayo Selbe–Gembu, Mutum Biyu–Garba Chede and Jalingo–Numan roads.

“These are more than roads. They are investments in connectivity, trade, tourism, agriculture, security and the movement of people and goods,” he said.

The minister also reaffirmed the federal government’s commitment to harnessing Taraba’s agricultural, energy and mineral potential, including the strategic Mambilla Hydroelectric Power Project.

On security, Idris said the federal government was advancing reforms toward the establishment of State Police to bring policing closer to communities while ensuring professionalism, accountability and safeguards against abuse.

He said such a framework could be particularly beneficial to Taraba because of its vast terrain and dispersed border communities, where local knowledge, intelligence gathering and rapid response were critical to effective policing.

The minister also cited the establishment of the Nigerian Army’s 10 Division, headquartered in Jalingo, with operational responsibility for Taraba and Adamawa States, as evidence of the federal government’s commitment to strengthening security in the region.

“Security and development must go together. People cannot invest, farmers cannot move their produce, tourists cannot visit and businesses cannot grow where communities feel unsafe,” Idris said.

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He said the federal government’s economic reforms were designed to create a stronger fiscal foundation for development, noting that the removal of petrol subsidy had mobilised N15.8 trillion in additional resources for the Federation between June 2023 and December 2025.

According to him, approximately N5.4 trillion accrued to the federal government while about N10.4 trillion went to states and local governments, providing additional resources for infrastructure, education, healthcare, security and human capital development.

Idris said the federal government remained opposed to a return to the previous subsidy regime, stressing that the priority was to consolidate the gains of reform, protect vulnerable Nigerians and ensure that additional public resources translated into tangible improvements in citizens’ lives.

He emphasised that development must ultimately be people-centred, creating opportunities for young people, expanding women’s economic participation, supporting farmers and small businesses, and connecting communities to markets and public services.

The minister also pledged stronger collaboration between the Federal Ministry of Information and National Orientation and the Taraba State Ministry of Information and Re-Orientation to ensure citizens understand and embrace the objectives of the Master Plan.

“The vision contained in this Master Plan must go beyond government offices. It must reach the farmer, the entrepreneur, the student, the trader and communities across Taraba.

“This is because a plan for Taraba must ultimately be a plan owned by the people of Taraba,” he said.

Idris congratulated Kefas, the government, and the people of Taraba State on the state’s 35th anniversary, describing the occasion as both a celebration of Taraba’s history and a renewed commitment to its future.

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“35 years of history. A new blueprint for the future. And a renewed commitment to building the Taraba we want and the Nigeria we deserve,” the minister said.

In his remarks, Kefas also called for continuity in governance, acknowledging the contributions of former military administrators and elected governors to Taraba State’s development.

He said his administration was committed to building on previous achievements, correcting what needed to be corrected, completing worthy projects and opening new frontiers for future generations.

He stressed that the development of Taraba must remain bigger than any government, political party, ethnic group or individual, urging former leaders to continue contributing their experience and institutional knowledge to the peace, unity and prosperity of the state.

“Government must be a continuum. Development must be cumulative. Taraba is bigger than any government, any administration, any political party, any ethnic group, or any individual,” Kefas said.

He added that the ultimate credit for development belongs to the people of Taraba State.

Present at the event were the former Governor of Taraba State, Rev. Jolly Nyame; Secretary to the Government of Taraba State, Chief G.T. Kataps; Director-General of the Nigerian Television Authority, Salihu Dembos; and  Director-General of the Federal Radio Corporation of Nigeria, Dr Mohammed Bulama.

Others were the Managing Director of the Nigerian Ports Authority, Dr Abubakar Dantsoho; as well as other distinguished government officials, traditional leaders, members of the diplomatic and business communities, and other dignitaries.

NAN

Source: punchng.com

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CBN cuts T-bill rate amid N3.63tn demand

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Investors are increasingly positioning for longer-term returns in Nigeria’s fixed-income market, with the latest treasury bills auction showing an overwhelming preference for the one-year government security.

At the Central Bank of Nigeria’s (CBN) primary market auction on Wednesday, investors submitted N3.63tn for the 364-day T-bill, representing 95.9 per cent of the N3.79tn total bids received across the three maturities.

The demand came despite the CBN lowering the stop rate on the one-year instrument by 44 basis points to 17.15 per cent, from 17.59 per cent at the previous auction.

The auction results point to a significant shift in investor appetite towards longer-dated government securities, even as demand for shorter-tenor instruments remained subdued.

The CBN had offered N700bn across the three maturities, comprising N100bn each for the 91-day and 182-day bills and N500bn for the 364-day bill.

However, total subscriptions reached approximately N3.79tn, more than five times the amount offered.

The PUNCH that the 364-day instrument was the clear outlier at the auction, receiving bids equivalent to 7.26 times the amount offered.

The CBN ultimately allotted N638.19bn, exceeding the N500bn offer by N138.19bn. Despite the additional allotment, only about 17.6 per cent of total bids submitted for the instrument were accepted.

Investors quoted yields between 16.00 per cent and 19.05 per cent, but the CBN settled at 17.15 per cent, suggesting that the level of demand allowed the regulator to reject more expensive bids.

The development is significant because the CBN achieved a lower borrowing rate even after receiving exceptionally strong demand for the security.

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The contrast was stark at the shorter end of the curve. The 91-day bill attracted N103.32bn in subscriptions against N100bn offered. The CBN allotted N89.10bn at an unchanged stop rate of 16.30 per cent.

The 182-day bill performed even more weakly, attracting only N52.93bn against N100bn on offer. The CBN allotted N35.59bn, while the stop rate remained at 16.50 per cent.

Secondary-market yields for the three instruments stood above their respective auction stop rates, at 17.45 per cent for the 91-day bill, 17.05 per cent for the 182-day bill and 17.24 per cent for the 364-day bill.

According to a financial sector analyst, Jimbe Asalor, the concentration of bids in the one-year instrument suggests investors may be placing greater value on locking in relatively attractive yields over a longer period rather than repeatedly rolling over shorter-term securities.

He noted that the latest auction also demonstrates “the CBN’s ability to borrow more cheaply when demand is concentrated around a particular maturity.”

He added that by accepting N638.19bn on the 364-day bill at 17.15 per cent, the CBN borrowed above its initial offer while simultaneously cutting the rate by 44 basis points.

“The nine-basis-point difference between the auction stop rate and the 17.24 per cent secondary-market yield also indicates that the one-year segment is now trading relatively close to market expectations.”

A Lagos-based consultant economist, Chukwunonso Iheoma, said if the preference for longer-dated treasury bills persists, the development could provide further support for a gradual decline in government borrowing costs while strengthening expectations of eventual interest-rate cuts.

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Source: punchng.com

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