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Consensus, Zoning and Wildcards: Inside Lagos APC 2027 Calculations

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As Lagos gears up for the 2027 governorship election, the race within the APC is shaping up to be a contest of technocratic competence, party loyalty, and strategic zoning, but the party’s consensus model and President Bola Tinubu and the Governor’s Advisory Council’s historical penchant for surprising selections also opens up the possibility of wildcard candidates, writes WALE AKINSELURE

Lagos has long been a fortress of the All Progressives Congress, which has consistently produced the state’s governor since 1999, projecting an image of unshakeable dominance. That grip was first seriously challenged when the APC lost the 2023 presidential election to the Labour Party, a shock that continues to haunt party politicians. APC stakeholders attribute the loss to disunity during the campaign, the ripple effects of the 2020 #EndSARS protests, and the nationwide Obidient wave. Even though the APC comfortably won the Lagos governorship, the unexpected presidential defeat exposed vulnerabilities in the party’s stronghold. Now, for the first time in nearly three decades, the stakes for picking the consensus Lagos APC governorship candidate are higher, with aspirants divided among competing political blocs and the city’s elite bracing for a contest where loyalty, strategy, and ambition collide.

The 2027 mandate

The pain of that loss continues to reverberate, evidenced by the rhetoric of APC politicians ahead of the 2027 election. At every forum, the past is recalled, with politicians vowing to do all it takes to avert a repeat of the 2023 result in Lagos. Chairman, Lagos APC, Cornelius Ojelabi, said reversing the 2023 result would also be a way of appreciating Tinubu, whom he described as a leader who had contributed significantly to the development of Lagos State and Nigeria’s democracy. Ojelabi said, “You are coming on board at a very critical period, a period when we are very close to the emergence of our candidates for the 2027 election. All eyes are on us, and the question they are asking is: are we going to change the narrative? They are asking if we are going to consolidate on the achievements of our party since 1999, and also change the narrative of our performance in the presidential election we witnessed in 2023. That particular question should preoccupy our minds, and it is a task that must be done collectively. So, the rallying call is that of unity among all groups, movements across the 20 local government areas and 37 local council development areas in the state, ahead of the 2027 election.

Ambition in the shadows

For the past months, groups and individuals have continued to lead campaigns for the return of President Bola Tinubu for a second term. Most of these Tinubu for second term campaigns have been led by politicians believed to be eyeing the Lagos governorship seat. While promoting Tinubu, these aspirants subtly promote their own governorship ambitions. Among them is Mr Samuel Ajose from the Badagry division of the state, under the SMA movement, who staged a rally at the Nigeria Police College, Ikeja, to mobilise support for Tinubu’s second term bid. The rally, tagged “SMA Gold Mobilisation for Asiwaju,” attracted over 20,000 persons across the 57 local council areas in the state. In fact, the SMA large-sized billboards rallying support for Tinubu’s second term are visible not only in Lagos but across the other five states of the South-West geopolitical zone. Similarly, the Speaker of the Lagos State House of Assembly, Mudasiru Obasa, also organised an interfaith prayer session in Ikeja, Lagos, to commemorate Tinubu’s 74th birthday. The event organised under the platform of The Mandate Movement featured calls for continuity of Tinubu’s administration beyond 2027 to consolidate the gains of the Renewed Hope Agenda. At the Obasa-organised event, former Lagos State Governor, Mr Akinwunmi Ambode and Mr Tayo Ayinde, the Chief of Staff to Governor Babajide Sanwo-Olu, also a potential candidate, praised Tinubu’s leadership, urging Nigerians to rally behind the president’s re-election bid. At a rally organised by the APC leadership in the Lagos East Senatorial District, held in Ikorodu, Lagos, Senator representing Lagos East, Tokunbo Abiru; lawmaker representing Ikorodu Federal Constituency, Babajimi Benson and Abike Dabiri-Erewa, chairman of the Nigerians in Diaspora Commission, called for support for Tinubu’s second term bid. The decision of some notable politicians to conceal any purported governorship ambition under the banner of promoting Tinubu’s second term bid is in line with the peculiarities of Lagos politics. A party chieftain argued that, given the trajectory of Lagos politics, where the ruling party has never picked anyone whose name is largely in the news or widely speculated, it would be detrimental for anyone to go all out pushing for their candidature. However, he noted, “No two elections are the same.”

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So far, several Lagos politicians have kept their governorship desires at the level of consultations and hushed tones, except for Olajide Adediran, popularly called Jandor, who has formally declared his intention to contest the 2027 Lagos governorship election under the platform of the APC. These consultations are expected to get more intense among stakeholders in the Lagos project, ahead of the commencement of party primaries for the 2027 elections on April 23. Aside from the earlier-mentioned names, others being promoted by APC supporters as potential candidates of the party are the current deputy governor, Obafemi Hamzat; Minister of Education, Tunji Alausa; Chief of Staff to the President, Femi Gbajabiamila; Principal Secretary to the President, Hakeem Muri-Okunola; and the president’s son, Seyi Tinubu. Only a few opposition members have declared their interest in running in the 2027 election. Gbadebo Rhodes-Vivour, who was the governorship candidate of the Labour Party in the 2023 election, has joined the African Democratic Congress and has expressed his desire to run again for governorship in 2027. Similarly, a former House of Representatives candidate, Naheem Balogun, also declared interest. For the PDP, there is also a businessman and entrepreneur, Laja Adeoye.

Fractured fortress?

Since 1999, political parties aligned with Tinubu: the Alliance for Democracy, Action Congress, Action Congress of Nigeria, and now the APC, have consistently produced the state’s governor. Tinubu governed the state from 1999 to 2007; former Governor Babatunde Fashola from 2007 to 2015; ex-Governor Akinwunmi Ambode from 2015 to 2019; and the incumbent, whose tenure began in 2019, is billed to expire on May 29, 2027.

For the first time since 1999, the Labour Party, through Gbadebo Rhodes-Vivour, pushed the Peoples Democratic Party from its constant second position to third place in the 2023 election. The APC candidate, Sanwo-Olu, received 762,134 votes, while the LP candidate received 312,329 votes. Sanwo-Olu (APC) won by a margin of 449,805 votes.

Since 1999, the closest the PDP has been to winning was in 2015, when Akinwunmi Ambode (APC) polled 811,944 votes against Jimi Agbaje (PDP), who scored 659,788 votes—a margin of 152,206. Meanwhile, the largest margin between the winner and the PDP candidate was in 2011, when Babatunde Fashola won by 1,208,663 votes, polling 1,509,113 votes against Shamisideen Adegboye’s 300,450.

Clearly, opposition efforts to dislodge the APC have consistently faltered. Only the PDP and Labour Party have attempted to wrest power from the ruling APC. However, present divisions in both parties suggest they may not match their previous vote counts in Lagos. PDP members in Lagos are split between the Nyesom Wike and Seyi Makinde factions. The LP is also in limbo with internal crises, while Obidients await guidance from former LP presidential candidate Peter Obi. The African Democratic Congress, branded as the new opposition, has not yet shown the capacity to challenge the APC in Lagos. Recent electoral losses further raise doubts about its formidability ahead of 2027. Yet, opposition members continue to assert that the forthcoming general election will be between Nigerians and the APC, on what platform remains unclear.

Head of the Political Science Department, Lagos State University, Dr Moshood Babatunde, decries the bleak state of opposition in Lagos. Babatunde said, “The future of opposition parties still seems bleak in Nigeria. The new African Democratic Party doesn’t have a strong footing in Nigeria, and Lagos specifically. The old Peoples Democratic Party has become a problem unto itself. You can then ask, where is the formidable opposition to wrest power in Lagos come 2027?” He notes that Tinubu will want to consolidate his reach in his base. “This gives further impetus to APC in Lagos and poses a serious threat to any opposition, if one exists,” Babatunde said. He, however, highlights the need for opposition to drive good governance in the state. “People’s opposition is what will count and what will favour any fragments of political parties come 2027,” he added.

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Another political science professor, Sylvester Akhaine, said, “Given the cosmopolitan nature of Lagos, Tinubu has never really had a total grip on the population but control of the political machinery.” He notes, however, that Tinubu may again determine who becomes the next Lagos governor, given the authority he commands as president. Akhaine said, “Currently, he (Tinubu) holds a trump card by virtue of his control of central authority, which could go a long way in determining who wins in Lagos.”

A Lagos APC chieftain simply noted that the real battle lies in who emerges as the APC candidate, while defeating the opposition would be “easy peasy.”

The Tinubu playbook

In Lagos, history favours the emergence of a consensus candidate, around whom other aspirants, party structures, and members are expected to rally to ensure victory. Typically, Tinubu, as head of the Governor’s Advisory Council, mentions some names for scrutiny. The GAC comprises political leaders across state zones, including serving and former governors and deputy governors. After interviews, stakeholder consultations, and meetings with traditional institutions, Lagos leaders, and stakeholders, the GAC recommends one or two names for Tinubu’s approval. Tinubu usually trusts the GAC’s recommendation, after which the candidate emerges.

According to a GAC member, key factors for candidate selection include the ability to “continue Lagos’ development trajectory, implement policies without disruption, show loyalty to party powerbrokers, and work with Lagos elites.” Preference is usually given to technocrats who are seen as more capable of advancing developmental projects than politicians. However, a party chieftain warned that, based on 2023’s experience, a politician who understands Lagos politics’ peculiarities should be chosen. Another noted that, with social media and greater public sophistication, any “abracadabra” that worked in the past may not work this time. Factors considered include competence, past governance or public service performance, appeal to stakeholders from state to ward level, perceived acceptance by Lagosians, ability to mobilise support and fund grassroots outreach, tendency to avoid controversy, and respect for party hierarchy. “The choice is largely influenced by who can protect the interests of Lagos brokers while delivering results acceptable to most Lagosians,” a GAC member said.

Speaking on where things stand, a member of the GAC, Chief Muraina Taiwo, said, “The name Hamzat being mentioned is possible, but the GAC has not reached a consensus on a candidate. At our last meeting, we did not even discuss the Lagos governorship candidate. We discussed the progress of the APC both at the national level and in Lagos. The decision on candidature will be made at the GAC. Hamzat is on the ground and has his leaders, but the issue is that the issue of governorship has not been brought up at the GAC. When we sit, discuss, and there is no objection, and our leader, the President, approves of it, then the candidate would emerge. Other purported aspirants joined the GAC meeting, including ex-governor Akinwunmi Ambode; the deputy governor, Obafemi Hamzat; Senator Tokunbo Abiru; and Femi Gbajabiamila. They were already there with the leader before we arrived.”

Zoning wars

For 2027, there is a clamour for the candidate to emerge from the Lagos East Senatorial District. Advocates argue it is the zone with the fewest years in power. Lagos Central, with Raji Fashola and Babajide Sanwo-Olu, boasts 16 years; Lagos West, with Bola Tinubu, eight years; Lagos East, with Akinwunmi Ambode, four years, the least. Potential Lagos East candidates include Ambode, Hamzat, Alausa, Abiru, Ayinde, and Tokunbo Wahab, Commissioner for Environment and Water Resources.

Ambode has a strong administrative record as governor; though he previously lost support of some stakeholders, he did not rock the boat and maintained party ties with credentials that can be leveraged on if endorsed Party stakeholders however note that the sentiment of being allowed to have a second time like others, having previously had only one term, may not be enough for him to emerge. Hamzat is seen as cerebral, educated, policy-oriented, and experienced, having been in political circles since 1999. He also boasts of strong family ties to the GAC, as his father was a former GAC leader. If he gets the candidature, he would be breaking a jinx in Lagos as no deputy governor has ever become the party’s candidate. Alausa has sufficient public service and corporate background. He fits the technocrat bill with governance experience as minister, but would require broad party rallying to emerge. But a member of the party exco in the state confidently said, “Alausa will get it.” Abiru, a banker with technocratic experience, is seen as a loyal technocrat with strong administrative credentials, appealing to youth and grassroots engagement. Chief of Staff Ayinde boasts of an appreciable administrative background and strong insider influence. Furthermore, the Lagos East push is also fuelled by the calculation that the outgoing governor is from Lagos Central and the party chairman is from Lagos West. However, Lagos West stakeholders argue that they have yet to match Lagos Central. Potential Lagos West candidates include Speaker Obasa, Jandor, Samuel Ajose, and Seyi Tinubu. Obasa, speaker since 2015, is politically experienced and has a strong political network; however may not be strong on the technocrat categorisation. At a constituency event organised by federal lawmaker Wale Ahmed last year, the people of Agege constituency declared that they are Obasa foot soldiers and are simply awaiting the whistle to blow in their leader’s favour for them to go all out in the race. Notably, he was able to raise his head above water when the political waters of impeachment almost drowned him. However, he would require broad party and stakeholder support to overcome those forces that once attempted to drown him, which may still exist. There are permutations that Obasa may be handed a senatorial ticket in place of the governorship push.

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Both Ajose, popularly called SMA and Jandor are pushing the “Badagry lokan” cause. Religious, community, women, youth groups, including traditional rulers, have held various town hall meetings and gatherings in Badagry, urging Tinubu to pick their son, Mawuyon Ajose, as the party’s candidate. They argue that Badagry has never produced a governor and seek to break what they call a historical imbalance. Ajose has been active locally and promoted Tinubu’s second-term bid; Jandor, with Lagos4Lagos, returned to APC after contesting in 2023 under PDP. He declared his bid but promised to subordinate it to party decisions for 2027.

Some groups have held events encouraging Seyi Tinubu to run for the governorship. They downplay the fact that his father is president, urging that Lagosians look at his capabilities. However, there remains speculation that any such bid may be aimed at 2031. A GAC member noted that zoning is not decisive; Lagos politics is fluid, and leaders are chosen for governance competence and continuity. “Merit is important; good governance has nothing to do with religion,” a stakeholder said. Lagos APC spokesperson, Seye Oladejo, said the party is ready to mobilise behind any candidate and dismissed the opposition’s chances in 2027.

Calculating the religious balance

Like zoning, stakeholders downplay religion in candidate selection. Some argue that Governor Sanwo-Olu, a Christian, should be succeeded by a Muslim. Since 1999, Muslims have had 16 years with Tinubu and Fashola, while Christians will have 12 years by 2027 with Ambode and Sanwo-Olu. A party stakeholder said, “If Muslims argue that they should succeed Sanwo-Olu, Christians can make the same calculation. In fact, the three Senators are Muslims: Abiru, Idiat Adebule, and Eshilokun Wasiu. Obasa is Muslim, and the House of Assembly and House of Reps are dominated by Muslims.”

The Wildcard factor

Observers argue that Tinubu is adept at identifying talent, so someone outside the purported aspirants may emerge. A top party stakeholder said, “When you project based on past experiences, I won’t be surprised if none of those names going around emerges. All of them are rallying round the Asiwaju for 2027 project to market themselves, but it doesn’t confer on them being anointed. You hardly ever see it coming. This is buttressed by another party stalwart who said, “No one who has on his own thrown his hand into the ring has ever emerged.” “Fashola was almost a reluctant governor; there was a multitude of people who were also as eminently qualified

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Politics

Traditional rulers face neutrality test as politicians storm palaces ahead of 2027 elections

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As political interests increasingly seek the influence of traditional institutions, Nigeria’s royal fathers face a delicate battle to preserve their neutrality, authority and place above partisan divisions, writes CHIMA AZUBUIKE

When the Emir of Gombe, Abubakar-Shehu Abubakar III, declared that traditional rulers belonged to no political party and would not allow personal considerations to divide the communities entrusted to their care, his message resonated beyond the confines of his palace. Abubakar echoed this imperative when the Chairman of the Independent National Electoral Commission, Prof Joash Amupitan, visited him in his palace last Monday. The visit touched on one of the most delicate questions in Nigeria’s political landscape: whether traditional institutions can remain impartial despite the fact that their positions, privileges and continued relevance are often tied to the political establishment. It was also a timely reminder of the responsibility traditional rulers bear as custodians of community values, mediators in local disputes and influential voices in grassroots political engagement. The visits of political office holders, political office seekers to palaces is bound to increase ahead of the 2027 elections.

Amupitan’s visit was part of INEC’s North-East zonal interactive meeting with electoral officials and stakeholders ahead of the 2027 general election. Beyond seeking royal blessings and prayers, the engagement offered an opportunity to reflect on the influence traditional rulers wield over their subjects and the extent to which that influence can contribute to credible elections.

The emir’s position was unambiguous: traditional rulers must serve everyone, regardless of political affiliation, religious beliefs or social background. He said, “As royal rulers, we recognise that free and peaceful elections are essential to the stability, unity and progress of our country.

“Our task is to ensure that we are in a unique position in this regard. Royal fathers serve all our subjects irrespective of their political affiliation, religious beliefs or social backgrounds.

“We belong to no political party, and we have never allowed our personal considerations to divide the community entrusted to our care. This is a responsibility we take very seriously.”

It was a statement of principle, but one that also raises the question: How can traditional rulers remain politically neutral when the political system within which they operate sometimes rewards loyalty and punishes perceived disloyalty?

Across Nigeria, traditional rulers occupy a complicated position. They are expected to be above partisan politics, yet they operate in an environment where political actors frequently seek their endorsement, blessings and influence. Their palaces are important stops for politicians seeking legitimacy, while their public appearances can be interpreted as signals of political preference.

For many politicians, a royal reception is more than a courtesy call. It is an opportunity to demonstrate acceptance by the community, mobilise grassroots support and communicate political strength to rivals.

Conversely, an absent monarch, a closed palace gate or a reception organised away from the traditional seat of authority can become a political statement in itself.

The emir’s declaration invites a deeper examination of whether traditional rulers can successfully separate their public responsibilities from the political calculations that increasingly shape their relationships with elected officials.

Traditional rulers have long occupied an important place in Nigeria’s community life. Their influence extends beyond ceremonial functions to conflict resolution, cultural preservation, mobilisation for development and mediation between governments and citizens.

In many rural communities, they remain among the most accessible authorities. Their words carry weight because of longstanding cultural relationships, inherited institutions and their familiarity with local grievances. That proximity to the people makes them valuable partners in electoral administration.

While INEC is responsible for organising elections, it cannot independently resolve issues of voter apathy, community tensions, misinformation and resistance to electoral participation. Traditional rulers can easily help bridge that gap. They can explain the importance of voter registration, encourage eligible citizens to collect their Permanent Voter Cards, discourage political violence and urge residents to resolve disagreements through lawful democratic processes. They can also challenge attempts by political actors to exploit ethnic, religious or communal divisions for electoral advantage.

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But the same influence that makes traditional rulers valuable to electoral administration can become problematic when deployed in the service of partisan interests.

Recollections by some Nigerians suggest that the relationship between traditional institutions and political competition has not always matched the ideal of neutrality expressed by the Emir of Gombe.

Samaila Dati, a Gombe resident, recalled an incident in which an emir allegedly shut his palace gates because he feared receiving a governor who was then seeking election.

According to Dati, the experience illustrated the difficulties politicians can encounter when traditional rulers are caught between their responsibility to serve the entire community and their relationship with the incumbent political leadership.

“Today’s Gombe governor tasted that bitter pill during his campaign to one of the emirates in the north. The emir failed to turn up despite being informed about the engagement. It took party loyalists who are members of the emirate to organise a reception in another location to welcome the current governor, who was then a candidate,” he added.

The account, as recalled by Dati, illustrates how a palace can become an arena for political calculations even when the traditional ruler’s public responsibility is to maintain open channels of communication with all political actors.

For a candidate seeking office, access to a traditional ruler can be an opportunity to present campaign promises, discuss community needs and demonstrate respect for local institutions. When that access is denied because of political considerations, the encounter risks sending a message that the community is closed to a particular political interest.

The consequences can extend beyond the immediate political contest. Where residents perceive that a traditional ruler favours one political camp, those who support opposing parties may begin to question whether the palace remains an impartial institution.

Such perceptions can weaken the palace’s ability to mediate disputes after elections, especially when political disagreements spill into family relationships, community associations and local development initiatives.

Dati’s recollection offers a perspective on the political pressures facing traditional rulers, but the circumstances surrounding the incident would require independent verification and a response from the emir concerned.

Dati’s account raises the question: should access to traditional institutions depend on a politician’s relationship with the government of the day, or should every credible political actor be treated with the same measure of courtesy?

For those who believe that traditional rulers must remain impartial, the answer should be straightforward.

Danladi Adamu, a teacher, said that tensions could emerge in the relationship between political officeholders and traditional institutions when monarchs are perceived to be close to politicians opposed to the sitting governor.

Adamu referred to the political disagreements between Governor Muhammadu Yahaya and his predecessor, Governor Danjuma Goje, during which, according to him, some traditional rulers came under pressure.

He said, “Recall Governor Inuwa Yahaya’s political tussle with his former boss, Governor Danjuma Goje. Some emirs were nearly affected, including the Emirs of Gona in Akko Local Government Area and Deba in Yamaltu-Deba LGA, but thank God for how they were resolved.”

The accounts point to the vulnerability of traditional institutions when political disagreements between powerful individuals extend into the structures of customary authority.

Adamu’s recollection does not, on its own, establish the full circumstances of the tensions he described. But it reflects a concern that deserves serious attention: the extent to which political rivalries can expose traditional rulers to pressure and threaten their ability to serve communities impartially.

For Mohammed Ahmed, a civil servant, the problem runs deeper than individual incidents involving palace visits. He believes the process through which traditional rulers are selected, nominated or recognised can influence their willingness to challenge political authorities. Ahmed invoked a popular maxim to explain his position. “He who pays the piper determines the tune,” he said. He argued that traditional rulers would struggle to remain neutral while depending on politicians for their selection and continued security in office.

“Until traditional rulers stop depending on politicians for their selection and nomination, they cannot be neutral; they can’t see something bad and say it. They will continue to be underdogs, busy watching the body language of the governors and chairmen. They will continue to be partisan,” Ahmed added. His argument raises a structural question about the relationship between traditional institutions and democratic governance.

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In Nigeria, traditional institutions are not uniform. Their succession arrangements differ according to local customs, historical practices and the legal frameworks governing chieftaincy matters in individual states.

In some communities, succession involves kingmakers or other customary authorities. State governments may also have formal roles in recognition, approval or the administration of chieftaincy affairs, depending on the applicable law.

Ahmed’s argument is that such dependence can turn traditional rulers into observers of political signals rather than independent voices of community interest.

The visit by Amupitan to the Gombe Emir’s Palace, therefore, carried significance beyond its ceremonial setting. The INEC chairman said the commission was consulting traditional rulers across the country to seek their blessings, prayers and support ahead of the 2027 general elections.

He explained that the North-East was the fourth geopolitical zone visited by the commission as part of its readiness assessment, following similar engagements in the South-West, North-West and South-East.

“We have visited other zones. We started with the South-West. From there, we moved to the North-West, and then to the South-East. Today, we are in the North-East,” he said.

Amupitan acknowledged the importance of traditional rulers in electoral administration, particularly in mobilising voters and promoting peaceful participation.

“Your role cannot be underestimated, most especially in ensuring the success of the 2027 general election. I am delighted to lead my team here today to seek your blessings, prayers and support,” he told the emir.

The chairman said the North-East had approximately 19.96 million registered voters, representing 13.51 per cent of Nigeria’s total registered voters.

The figures underline the region’s significance in the national electoral process and the need to ensure that eligible citizens are able to participate without intimidation, misinformation or avoidable administrative obstacles.

Amupitan appealed to the emir to mobilise eligible voters to collect their Permanent Voter Cards, emphasising that the cards were necessary for exercising their voting rights.

“Collection of PVCs is currently ongoing. It is not a favour anybody is doing the electorate to come out and vote, but you cannot vote without your PVC. We want your Royal Highness to help INEC mobilise the electorate to go out and collect their PVCs so that they can exercise their voting rights,” he said.

He urged the emir to appeal to political leaders to conduct their campaigns peacefully and discourage actions capable of undermining the electoral process.

The INEC chairman also sought the support of traditional rulers in tackling misinformation and disinformation, warning that false reports circulated on social media could cause panic, discourage voter participation and incite violence.

“People will start posting fake news, claiming that there is fighting or killing when it is not true, most of the time. We are appealing to your Royal Highness to help educate our people so that they will not be carried away by fake news and can verify information before it causes panic,” he said.

Amupitan reaffirmed the commission’s commitment to impartiality, assuring Nigerians that INEC would work towards delivering free, fair, inclusive and credible elections.

“INEC is committed, I can assure you, sir, and the good people of Gombe State that under my watch, INEC will remain absolutely impartial. We have no candidate of our own, but we will do everything possible to conduct a free, fair, inclusive and credible election come 2027,” he said.

The parallel between INEC’s commitment and the emir’s declaration is significant. Both institutions must demonstrate impartiality not merely through public statements but through decisions that citizens can observe and evaluate.

For INEC, that means applying electoral rules consistently, providing accurate information and ensuring that eligible voters can participate in accordance with the law.

For traditional rulers, it means opening channels of communication to competing political interests, discouraging violence regardless of who is responsible and resisting pressure to turn customary authority into an instrument of electoral advantage.

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The INEC chairman’s appeal for traditional rulers to combat misinformation is especially relevant. False reports can inflame communal tensions, undermine confidence in electoral procedures and create confusion about where and when citizens can vote.

Traditional rulers can help counter such narratives by communicating verified information through community meetings, religious and cultural gatherings, local networks and other trusted channels.

The Emir of Gombe’s declaration provides a standard against which the conduct of traditional institutions can be assessed as Nigeria approaches another general election.

But it is not enough for a monarch to announce that he belongs to no political party. It must be reflected in how the palace treats competing political actors and how the ruler responds when political interests threaten to divide the community.

A traditional ruler need not pretend to have no personal political opinions. Like other citizens, he may have views about public affairs. The more important distinction is between personal preference and the exercise of public authority.

The responsibility of the office requires that personal sympathies should not determine access to the palace, the distribution of communal attention or the willingness to mediate disputes involving competing political interests.

As the 2027 elections approach, Nigeria’s traditional institutions face an important opportunity to reaffirm their relevance in a changing political environment. Their influence will be most valuable when it is used to strengthen peaceful coexistence, protect civic participation and preserve channels of communication across political divisions.

The challenge is particularly acute in communities where access to public authorities is often mediated through traditional leaders. If a palace closes its doors to political opponents, it risks narrowing the space for democratic engagement. If it welcomes competing interests fairly, it can demonstrate that political disagreement does not have to become social hostility.

The experiences recalled by Dati, Adamu and Ahmed suggest that the question of royal neutrality cannot be resolved through appeals for good conduct alone. It also requires attention to the institutional arrangements and political relationships that may discourage traditional rulers from acting independently.

Governments must respect the distinction between their constitutional responsibilities and the customary authority exercised by traditional institutions. Political parties must recognise that a monarch’s willingness to receive an opponent is not an act of hostility. Traditional rulers, for their part, must resist the temptation to trade impartiality for political favour.

Communities also have a role to play by demanding fairness, encouraging accountability and rejecting attempts to portray political access as a privilege reserved for supporters of those in power.

Ultimately, the credibility of a traditional institution is measured not by the number of politicians who visit its palace but by the confidence people across political divides place in its ability to serve them fairly.

The Emir of Gombe’s declaration that traditional rulers belong to no political party offers a starting point. The more difficult task is ensuring that the principle survives the pressures of electoral competition.

For Nigeria’s democracy to benefit fully from the influence of traditional institutions, the palace must remain a place where political differences can be acknowledged without becoming grounds for exclusion.

The true test of neutrality, therefore, is not whether traditional rulers can avoid wearing party colours. It is whether they can protect the dignity and rights of people who wear different political colours.

As the countdown to 2027 continues, Nigeria needs traditional institutions that can stand above partisan rivalries without standing apart from the concerns of their communities.

The palace should not be a campaign office, an extension of a governor’s political structure or a refuge for one faction against another. It should remain a meeting point for the community in all its diversity. Only then will the declaration that traditional rulers belong to no political party become more than a believable statement.

Source: punchng.com

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Makinde’s commissioner, two aides resign, read why

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Three key appointees of the Oyo State Governor, Seyi Makinde, officially resigned from the state cabinet on Monday.

They were the Commissioner for Budget and Economic Planning, Ayobami Ojo; Special Adviser on Budget and Economic Planning, Adegbola Oyeleke; and a member of the state Independent Electoral Commission, Sunday Falana.

Ojo, who hails from Ago-Are in Atisbo Local Government Area of the state, communicated his resignation in a letter addressed to the governor through the Secretary to the State Government, Prof. Musibau Babatunde.

The PUNCH reports that in October, the governor’s Chief of Staff, Segun Ogunwuyi, resigned after more than five years in office.

His resignation was followed by that of the former Director-General of the state’s Due Process Office, Tara Adefope.

Ogunwuyi, a former member of the House of Representatives, did not publicly disclose his reason for resigning.

Following his departure, Makinde appointed Akinwole Akinwole as his replacement, while Aderonke Adedayo was appointed Director-General of the Due Process Office.

However, Ojo, on Monday, referenced his appointment letter dated June 22, 2026, and said his resignation takes immediate effect.

Ojo, who did not disclose his reason for leaving the state Executive Council, expressed appreciation to Makinde for the confidence reposed in him and the opportunity to serve the state.

Also, a former two-term member of the state House of Assembly and former council chairman, Oyeleke, announced his resignation as Special Adviser on Budget and Economic Planning.

Oyeleke, in his letter dated November 2, 2026, and addressed directly to Makinde, said he was no longer comfortable with the working environment in the administration.

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He added that the circumstances had made it difficult for him to effectively pursue and fulfil the aspirations of his people while serving in the government.

Oyeleke, however, appreciated the governor for his leadership, encouragement, support, as well as the opportunity to contribute to the administration’s policies and development programmes.

He wrote, “I sincerely appreciate Your Excellency’s leadership, encouragement, support and the invaluable experience I have gained during my period of service. I remain grateful for the opportunity to have been part of this administration and to have contributed to its laudable achievements.”

The third official, Falana, who hails from Ogbomoso, also resigned his appointment as a member of OYSIEC.

In a letter dated November 2 and addressed to the governor through the Chief of Staff, Falana announced that his resignation would take immediate effect.

He did not disclose the reason for his decision but thanked Makinde for the opportunity to serve on the state’s electoral management body, describing his experience as “worthwhile.”

When The PUNCH contacted the Director-General, Media and Publicity, Bimbo Adekanmbi Campaign Council, Yinka Oladoyinbo, in Ibadan, the state capital, on Monday, he said, “The resignation will not affect the chances of our candidate (APM) in the next election. This election is not about politicians alone; it’s about the people of Oyo.

“It’s about 7.9 million people of Oyo, and they are the ones that going to decide who become the governor.

“As people are moving out of Allied People’s Movement, we also have people that are moving into APM. Like my principal said this afternoon, this is the moment we call the transfer market in politics; it’s in football. Some people would come, some people would go.

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“But the ultimate power resides with the people. It is the people in the majority who will decide who becomes the governor of Oyo State, and we have the majority on our side.

“So, definitely, politicians moving or resigning will not affect our party’s chances negatively in the next general elections,” Oladoyinbo insisted.

Meanwhile, the latest departures add to the growing list of officials who have left the Makinde administration in recent months.

Other notable officials who had left their positions include former Commissioner of Police and Special Adviser on Security, Fatai Owoseni; former member of the state Advisory Council, Babatunde Oduyoye; and former Senior Special Assistant on Diaspora Matters, Funmi Arulogun.

Also included were the former Chairman of the Governing Board of the College of Agriculture, Igboora, Damilare Gideon Amusan, and former lawmaker, Peter Oyetunji.

Four other appointees — Joshua Olusola Afolabi, Rebecca Oladoja Agbejimi, Noah Adeyanju and Suleiman Adegbola — also resigned their appointments on October 19.

In a related development, the Executive Chairman of Ogbomoso North Local Government, Jimoh Idowu, resigned his membership of the APM.

Idowu announced his decision in a letter addressed to the party’s executives in the local government on Monday, expressing “appreciation for the opportunity to serve and his contributions to grassroots mobilisation and party unity.”

He also promised to hand over party documents, assets and records to the appropriate authorities.

The development comes as the state Independent Electoral Commission prepares for the December 29, 2026 local government elections across the 33 LGAs.

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The commission released its final list of candidates on October 27.

Source: punchng.com

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Politics

Natasha begins re-election campaign in Kogi ahead of 2027 elections

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Senator Natasha Akpoti-Uduaghan on Sunday commenced her re-election campaign across Kogi Central ahead of the February 6, 2027 senatorial election, with her supporters and Peoples Democratic Party candidates joining the campaign engagements.

The campaign featured roadside receptions across communities in Okene and other parts of the district, culminating in a gathering at the senator’s residence in Obeiba, Ihima, Okehi Local Government Area.

Her media aide, Mike Idoko, disclosed this in a statement issued in Abuja on Monday.

The campaign activities attracted party members, community leaders, political stakeholders and supporters, while PDP candidates contesting National Assembly and Kogi State House of Assembly seats in the district also participated.

Akpoti-Uduaghan, accompanied by her husband, Emmanuel Uduaghan, and other political associates, used the engagements to reaffirm her commitment to quality representation, constituency development, and legislative advocacy.

She said her relationship with the people of Kogi Central went beyond elections, adding that their support remained a source of motivation for her public service.

“My relationship with the people of Kogi Central goes beyond elections. These are my people, my family and the very reason I remain committed to public service. I do not need an election season to remember where I come from or who entrusted me with the responsibility of representing them.

“What we witnessed today is a reflection of the bond we have continued to build over time. I am deeply grateful to everyone who came out, not because they were compelled to do so, but because they believe in the journey we have undertaken together. Their love and confidence mean a great deal to me, and I will never take them for granted,” she said.

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The senator also pledged to intensify efforts to attract infrastructure, economic opportunities and other development projects to the district, particularly the Ajaokuta area, whose development concerns she said required sustained attention.

She stressed that effective representation should go beyond occupying public office to include regular engagement with constituents, responsiveness to their needs and purposeful legislative interventions.

Among those who participated in the campaign were PDP candidates for the House of Representatives seats representing Adavi/Okehi, Ajaokuta and Okene/Ogori-Magongo Federal Constituencies, as well as the party’s candidates for the various Kogi State House of Assembly constituencies in Kogi Central.

Their participation provided an opportunity for party members and candidates to strengthen their cooperation ahead of the 2027 general elections.

The statement said thousands of supporters gathered at the senator’s Ihima residence, with many remaining there late into the night.

Kogi Central comprises five local government areas: Adavi, Ajaokuta, Okehi, Okene and Ogori-Magongo.

Source: punchng.com

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