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UAE targets Nigeria for multi-billion-dollar investments

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The United Arab Emirates has positioned Nigeria as a major destination for multi-billion-dollar investments spanning agriculture, technology, infrastructure, mining and trade, with the country’s Minister of Investment, Mohamed Alsuwaidi, admitting that Gulf capital is currently underexposed to Africa’s largest economy.

Alsuwaidi said this at the first Investopia Africa event held in Lagos on Monday, where discussions surrounded a wide range of opportunities that could translate into investments running from hundreds of millions to several billions of dollars, depending on sector readiness, regulatory clarity and the availability of credible local partners.

The PUNCH reports that as of 2025, trade relations between the UAE and Nigeria reached $4.3bn for non-oil commodities.

Speaking during a fireside chat with Nigeria’s Minister of Industry, Trade and Investment, Dr Jumoke Oduwole, the UAE minister said, “Opportunities around agriculture. The UAE has big interests in companies like Louis-Dreyfus and Unigroup. So, investment in agricultural land is for the export of products. You know, that’s a couple of hundred million, maybe. I think investment around infrastructure, whether it’s in public transport, utilities, power, water or wastewater recycling, is crucial.

Again, it depends on legislation and opportunities. It could be in the tens of millions if I look at it from that perspective. I think in terms of connectivity and trade facilitation, whether it’s through capital or whether it’s through infrastructure like warehousing or others. A few billion there. I’m throwing out the billions here, just quantifying numbers in my head.

“I think the technology space is huge. We talked about smart metering, fibre-optic laying, small data centres, and cloud solutions. Again, in the billions. You can’t build a data centre for less than $100m today. Then mining. Again, huge opportunity. Requires a lot of infrastructure. I see a lot of opportunity.”

However, he cautioned that the pace at which investment commitments materialise would depend largely on information flow, market familiarity and the ability to identify reliable partners.

“Now, translating that is getting information, being able to find either a private sector or a government to be a partner with a government or private sector on my side,” he said. “Making sure that they have all the information to make the right decision.”

Alsuwaidi trashed the notion that trust was the primary barrier to deeper UAE–Nigeria investment ties, arguing instead that market understanding and partner identification were the real challenges.

“I don’t think trust is an issue. I do think understanding markets is an issue,” he said. “You’re not familiar with the market. You don’t know how to approach it. You don’t know who the partners are.”

He stressed that private-sector engagement would be central to unlocking deals, describing business-to-business interactions as more effective than government-led initiatives.

“I think there are more deals to be done at the private-sector level,” he said. “These events are the most crucial. Because you gather 300 people in a room. You exchange cards. You make some friends. And you have a good dinner. And that leads to a lot of money made with partners.”

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Earlier, the Chief Executive Officer of Investopia, Dr Jean Fares, described the UAE’s role as a global investment and trade hub capable of helping Nigerian producers, exporters and technology firms access markets across Asia, Europe and beyond through its logistics, digital and financial infrastructure.

“When you look at the UAE, its strong suit is the connectivity,” Fares said. “When you look at sea and air, with the carriers and with the ports; when you look at digital infrastructure, some of the fastest high-speed internet, the number of landing cables, the access to capital, and the access to data centres.”

He said the credibility of the UAE’s financial system and regulatory environment was a key attraction for investors.

“The financial services and the credibility of them that we built, both in DIFC and ADGM; the rule of law and the enforcement of that; and the protection of investors,” he said.

Fares added that the UAE had evolved beyond being a regional hub to becoming a global connector linking Africa with Asia and Europe.

“The UAE is becoming a dominant hub in the GCC, but also a connector of places like Africa to Asia and Asia to Africa and Europe,” he said. “If you’re trading with Asia, then you should have some kind of representation in the UAE.”

He noted that while the UAE continued to attract global capital, it was increasingly focused on deploying capital abroad, particularly in under-represented markets such as Nigeria.

“While we want to attract capital into the UAE, we’re also keen on moving capital out,” Fares said. “We’re very conscious that we’re underweighted in Nigeria. And we need your help to identify those opportunities where we can place short-term and long-term capital to grow.”

Oduwole, speaking with journalists after the fireside chat with her UAE counterpart, said, “So key businesses are here; you’ll be hearing from them all through the afternoon. It’s a short, crisp half-day event, and the afternoon is B2B. And then there’ll be follow-up meetings. There’s an Investopia session at the end of March in Abu Dhabi. And then there’s a session in Milan, which is focused on Africa. Nigeria is leading the charge. We’re already talking about it. We listened to the minister, my counterpart, the Minister of Investment from the UAE. He was actually pulling out ballpark figures of where he thinks solid minerals, critical rare earths, lithium, and tin are – areas where Nigeria is really ready to absorb that capital. So, we’ve assured them that we’re here for them. And this is what we’re going to be doing throughout this year.

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“You see the FMITI family behind me. We’re going to be bringing in key investors. We’re going to be pushing out our nano-exports across the region through the UAE as a hub. And so surely the best is yet to come. We are excited. The subnationals are involved.”

The role of states was highlighted, with Lagos State cited as a key example. Oduwole said, “This ministry is an enabler. We work with all arms and levels of government. We’re here today. Investopia has been hosted in Lagos State. It’s a federal thing; you know, a number of other state governments are represented. We put Governor Sanwo-Olu on the infrastructure panel to speak to the UAE audience. We cited the Lagos–Calabar Coastal Road. First Abu Dhabi, a UAE bank, was one of the first to put in capital. And we have the promise of all that the real estate down that corridor will become. So, you look at Abu Dhabi, you look at Dubai, and just imagine what that coast is going to look like in a few years.

“Sub-nationals: every business is domiciled in one state or city or another. And the way FMITI works, whether it’s from small businesses (you have SMEDAN) or from NEXIM, is they’re working across businesses all across the country. So that is what we do. That is who we are. And we’re ready.”

On tracking investment outcomes, officials said Nigeria relies on clear metrics to measure traction. These include public investment announcements, capital inflows recorded by the Central Bank of Nigeria, and data from the National Bureau of Statistics. They added that job creation figures and multiplier effects are also used to assess impact.

Infrastructure projects were cited as clear examples of measurable economic impact. Using the Lagos–Calabar Coastal Road as a case study, the minister said the project has already created livelihoods, generated informal economic activity, and demonstrated the tangible, quantifiable multiplier effect of construction and infrastructure spending.

Oduwole told the UAE minister and investors, “I’m glad to hear you say you’re ready to take the plunge and to deploy that capital. And you’re looking at the African region and Nigeria in particular.”

She assured investors of government support in structuring and executing deals: “We’re here for you. We’re here to take the capital. Every challenge is an opportunity. I’m committing personally on behalf of my president and on behalf of the private sector that we will facilitate these deals to make sure that they’re done properly.”

Lagos State Governor Babajide Sanwo-Olu, who sat on a panel discussion themed ‘Infrastructure and Logistics for Africa’s Next Phase of Trade’, said the state had focused on creating a secure, efficient and business-ready environment capable of absorbing large-scale investments.

“How do we ensure that the environment in which those investments are going to happen is safe and secure and has the ability to receive that capital?” Sanwo-Olu said. “We’re business-ready, we’re safety-ready, and we’re equipped.”

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He highlighted transport, digital and infrastructure projects undertaken to improve mobility and productivity.

“In the last four years, we’ve activated two rail projects. We’ve activated our waterways. Just two weeks ago, we signed a commitment with one of the telecoms that wants to do about 30,000 kilometres of fibre optics in Lagos,” he said.

Sanwo-Olu also noted that the state would soon be unveiling the Lagos International Financial Centre.

“We’ve had extensive conversations around the path of the Lagos International Financial Centre. The Lagos State government is cooperating with EnterpriseNGR. We started this journey about eight months ago. We still have about another eight months to go before finally unveiling it. But the beauty of it is the amount of global support that we have. It’s like we’re trying to put the Abu Dhabi Financial Centre and Dubai Financial Centre, or even the London Financial Centre, apart from the Lagos International Financial Centre. So that’s the level of audacity that we’re bringing.

“We’re trying to learn from all of these various regions to bring about a model that will be a true African model that will work for everyone, but it will also be a Nigerian model. So, I’m here to let you know that we are actually thinking global. We’re thinking about how to remain competitive, how to remain resilient, and how to be able to play on the same level of profit with other big cities and other big markets in the world. So, Lagos is positioning itself, leading the Nigerian competition, and we’re getting tremendous support from the federal government,” he said.

Also speaking, the Managing Director of the Nigerian Ports Authority, Abubakar Dantsoho, said Nigeria’s port infrastructure had not kept pace with its population and economic size but that reforms were underway.

“The biggest economy, with the highest population on every continent, has the biggest seaport,” Dantsoho said. “Nigeria is doing two million TEUs with over 250 million people.”

He said the Federal Government had approved major port modernisation projects to address the gap.

“The Federal Government has given approval for the port modernisation of Tin Can Island and Apapa Port,” he said. “In the near future, Nigerian seaports are going to be number one in Africa, which is where we naturally belong.”

The Investopia Africa event brought together senior government officials, investors and private-sector leaders from Nigeria and the UAE, with participants emphasising that sustained engagement, credible partnerships and project readiness would determine how quickly stated commitments translate into capital deployment.

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US cuts Nigerian crude imports by nearly 50%

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The United States reduced its purchase of Nigerian crude oil sharply in January 2026, with imports dropping by about 47.16 per cent month-on-month, according to the latest data from the U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.

Figures from the U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report indicate that U.S. crude imports from Nigeria fell to 1.664 million barrels in January 2026, down from 3.149 million barrels recorded in December 2025. This represents a decline of 1.485 million barrels within one month, showing a significant contraction in Nigeria’s share of the U.S. crude market.

In value terms, the drop was equally steep. The customs value of Nigerian crude imports declined from $217.36m in December to $115.99m in January, while the cost, insurance, and freight value fell from $223.10m to $118.95m over the same period. The difference between the two measures reflects additional costs such as shipping and insurance included in CIF values, which are excluded from customs valuation.

This means that in January, the CIF value of Nigerian crude was about $2.96m higher than its customs value, compared to a wider gap of about $5.74m in December. The narrowing gap suggests relatively lower freight or insurance costs, or shorter shipping distances within the period.

The contraction comes amid a broader slowdown in total U.S. crude imports, which declined from 198.29 million barrels in December to 188.21 million barrels in January, representing a drop of about 5.1 per cent. Total import value also fell, with customs value decreasing from $11.41bn to $10.56bn, while CIF value dropped from $12.04bn to $11.15bn.

Within Africa, Nigeria lost ground to some peers. While total African crude exports to the U.S. remained flat at 6.933 million barrels, Angola recorded a sharp increase, rising from 575,000 barrels in December to 2.062 million barrels in January.

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Ghana also emerged as a new supplier with 738,000 barrels, having recorded no measurable exports in December. By contrast, Libya saw its exports to the U.S. decline from 2.137 million barrels to 1.086 million barrels over the period.

Nigeria’s share of total U.S. crude imports also weakened. The country accounted for roughly 0.88 per cent of total U.S. crude imports in January, down from about 1.59 per cent in December, reflecting the sharp reduction in volumes.

Further analysis of U.S. trade data shows that crude oil remains the dominant component of Nigeria’s exports to the United States. Total U.S. imports from Nigeria stood at $183m in January 2026, compared to $297m in December 2025.

With crude oil imports valued at $115.99m (customs basis) and $118.95m on a CIF basis, crude accounted for approximately 63.4 per cent to 65.0 per cent of total U.S. imports from Nigeria in January. This compares with about 73.2 per cent in December on a customs basis, indicating a relative moderation in crude dominance as overall imports declined.

The PUNCH further observed that the U.S. recorded a goods trade surplus of $419m with Nigeria in January, up from $84m in December. This was driven by a rise in U.S. exports to Nigeria, which increased from $381m to $602m, even as imports from Nigeria declined.

Across Africa, the U.S. posted a trade deficit of $503m in January, reversing a $174m surplus recorded in December. Total U.S. imports from Africa rose from $2.88bn to $3.54bn, while exports to the region edged slightly lower from $3.05bn to $3.04bn.

The PUNCH earlier reported that Nigeria accounted for about 52 per cent of Africa’s crude oil exports to the United States in 2025. According to the previous report, total U.S. crude imports from Africa stood at 89.371 million barrels in 2025, down from 103.631 million barrels in 2024, representing a decline of 14.26 million barrels or 13.8 per cent.

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Out of the 89.371 million barrels imported from Africa in 2025, Nigeria supplied 46.618 million barrels, compared to 50.793 million barrels in 2024. This was a drop of 4.175 million barrels or 8.2 per cent year on year.

Despite the lower volume, Nigeria’s share of Africa’s crude exports to the U.S. rose. In 2025, Nigeria’s 46.618 million barrels accounted for 52.2 per cent of Africa’s total shipments, up from 49.0 per cent in 2024, when it exported 50.793 million barrels out of the continent’s 103.631 million barrels.

The PUNCH earlier reported that the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited recorded a profit after tax of N385bn in January 2026, even as crude oil and condensate production rose to 1.64 million barrels per day, according to the firm’s latest monthly operational report.

The January 2026 NNPC Monthly Report Summary, released on Monday, showed that the state-owned energy company generated N2.571tn in revenue during the month while remitting N726bn as statutory payments to the Federation.

This means the company recorded a sharp 47 per cent decline in its monthly revenue, which fell from N4.82tn in December 2025 to N2.57tn in January 2026. This contraction occurred despite a marginal increase in the company’s after-tax profit.

It disclosed that Nigeria produced 1.64 million barrels per day, up from 1.55 million barrels per day recorded in December 2025. This represents an increase of 0.09mbpd, or about 5.8 per cent month-on-month.

The PUNCH observed that the decline in crude exports to the U.S. occurred despite higher production. The trade outcomes come against the backdrop of renewed US protectionist rhetoric and tariff-focused trade policies associated with US President Donald Trump, which have influenced sourcing decisions, pricing structures, and trade flows globally.

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Last year, Donald Trump signed an executive order raising Nigeria’s tariff rate from 14 per cent to 15 per cent, with Washington implementing its “reciprocal” tariff regime.

The order, issued in late July, took effect on August 7, 2025. Although crude oil has been exempted in several cases, the higher duty applies directly to a wide range of non-oil Nigerian exports, creating uncertainty for American importers and dampening demand ahead of and after the effective date.

With crude oil exports largely exempted from the new tariff regime, non-oil exports appear to have borne the brunt of the disruption.

A renowned economist and Chief Executive Officer of the Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise, Dr Muda Yusuf, downplayed the impact of the U.S. tariffs on Nigeria.

“Our trade with the US is not that strategic. When anything goes wrong, it is not as if it can have any fundamental effect on our economy. Our trade exposure to them is very limited,” Yusuf explained.

He noted that Nigerian exports to the US are dominated by crude oil and a handful of other commodities, such as fertilisers, making the country’s trade profile narrow and underdeveloped in non-oil areas. Yusuf added that Nigeria’s tariff exposure is relatively moderate compared with other countries.

However, he identified another challenge beyond tariffs: US visa policy. “The bigger challenge for Nigeria’s trade relationship with the US is Washington’s visa policy. Barriers to travel limit business interactions and investment inflows. That is more critical than tariffs in the long run,” he said.

Since its inception, the Trump administration has steadily rolled out a series of visa restrictions and travel bans targeting Nigeria and several other countries.

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NNPC eyes $60bn investment, targets 600tcf in new master plan

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The Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPC) has unveiled plans to grow Nigeria’s gas reserves from 210 trillion cubic feet (tcf) to 600 tcf, while attracting approximately $60 billion in investments into the sector.

According to NNPC’s X handle on Friday, the disclosure came from NNPC’s Executive Vice President for Gas, Power & New Energy, Olalekan Ogunleye, during the CERAWeek energy conference by S&P Global in Houston. Speaking on a panel titled “The New Gas Order: Market Depth and the Reshaping of Global Trade”, Ogunleye emphasized Nigeria’s strategic position in the global gas market.

“With the ongoing Strait of Hormuz shipping constraints stemming from geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, Nigeria is uniquely positioned to become a major supplier of LNG and gas-based industries,” Ogunleye said. “Our abundant gas resources, combined with our proximity to key markets, give Nigeria a competitive advantage in the global energy landscape.”

Ogunleye outlined the key deliverables of the NNPC Gas Master Plan, noting, “We aim to move Nigeria’s validated gas reserves from 210.5 tcf to an estimated potential of 600 tcf.”

“Our goal is to increase gas production volumes from 7.4 billion standard cubic feet per day (bscfd) to 12 bscfd by 2030, exceeding the Federal Government’s mandate for 62% growth.”

“We are committed to attracting $60 billion in additional investments into the gas sector through commercial incentives and strategic partnerships,” Ogunleye averred.

He stressed that the Gas Master Plan is grounded in disciplined execution rather than ambition alone. “This plan is neither aspirational nor theoretical.

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“Its success depends on applying execution discipline to our annual work plans to ensure we meet—and surpass—our gas development growth targets,” the executive vice president for AGS, power & new energy said.

With these strategic moves, Nigeria is positioning itself to play a more significant role in global LNG supply and the gas-based industrial sector, leveraging both its natural resources and geographic advantage.

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Blackouts cost Nigeria N40tn yearly – Report

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Nigeria loses about N40tn annually to poor electricity supply, the Nigerian Independent System Operator, an agency of the Federal Government, has said, warning that unreliable power remains one of the biggest constraints to economic growth, industrial productivity, and job creation in the country.

The system operator noted that persistent outages continue to impose high costs on businesses and households, many of which are forced to generate their own electricity.

According to the organisation, reliable electricity remains one of Nigeria’s most important economic priorities, stressing that power outages cost Nigeria up to $29bn annually.

Converted at the prevailing exchange rate of N1,385 to a dollar, this translates to roughly N40.1tn in yearly losses to the economy. The operator added that the burden extends across all sectors, stating that businesses, manufacturers, and households spend billions each year generating their own electricity.

“Reliable electricity is one of Nigeria’s most important economic priorities. Power outages cost Nigeria an estimated $29bn annually. Businesses, manufacturers, and households spend billions each year generating their own electricity,” the system operator said in its latest industry report.

It emphasised that a stable power supply would unlock economic opportunities, noting that “a stable national grid unlocks economic growth, industrial productivity, and job creation”.

Despite the huge demand, the organisation said Nigeria generates significantly more electricity than is ultimately delivered to consumers due to structural bottlenecks across the value chain.

It disclosed that Nigeria generates approximately 45,000 to 50,000 megawatts of electricity daily, but the grid only takes 5,000 megawatts, which is about 10 per cent of total generation. “Nigeria generates approximately 45-50 GW of electricity daily, far more electricity than the grid can deliver. Yet only about 5GW currently reaches the national grid,” it said.

The operator attributed the shortfall to multiple challenges, saying, “The gap reflects constraints across the value chain, including transmission capacity limitations, distribution network constraints, and gas supply disruption.”

To address these issues, the system operator outlined its responsibilities, noting that NISO’s mandate is to strengthen grid reliability and accountability. It added that its duties include enforcing the national grid code, strengthening system dispatch and reliability, improving sector transparency and accountability, and supporting coordination across the electricity value chain.

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The organisation stressed the urgency of reforms, stating that a stable national grid is essential for Nigeria’s economic future. It also quoted its board chairman, Adesegun Akin-Olugbade, as saying, “Electricity is, after all, a 19th-century technology, and we do not need rocket scientists to fix these problems.”

Making recommendations, the operator said the way forward is to digitalise the grid, strengthen infrastructure, diversify the energy mix, and enforce grid code compliance.

On the feats recorded in the past year of NISO’s creation, the organisation pointed to ongoing improvements in transmission infrastructure, noting that 82 new power transformers were commissioned between 2024 and 2025. It added that 8,500+ MVA additional transformer capacity had been added, while over 30 transmission projects were completed.

According to the operator, the national grid wheeling capacity now stands at approximately 8,700MW. The organisation further disclosed that the grid had recorded operational milestones in recent years, including a 5,802MW all-time peak generation in March 2025, a 129,370MWh record daily energy delivery, and 421 consecutive days without grid collapse during 2022–2023.

“These milestones demonstrate the potential of the system when operating conditions align,” it said.

The agency also highlighted progress in grid digitalisation through the SCADA/EMS programme, stating that there had been a “$1.16bn investment in grid digitalisation,” with over 3,000 kilometres of fibre optic network deployed and more than 100 substations equipped with SCADA technology, adding that the project had reached approximately 69 per cent completion.

It emphasised that improved monitoring would strengthen operations, noting that real-time monitoring enables faster decision-making and improved grid stability. The operator reiterated that bridging the gap between generation and delivery remains critical, stressing that Nigeria generates far more electricity than consumers receive, while transmission, distribution, and gas supply challenges continue to limit the amount of power that reaches the grid.

As Nigerians continue to grapple with widespread power outages blamed on gas constraints since the beginning of the year, the Transmission Company of Nigeria blamed multiple factors for low allocation, including generation companies’ output and requests by the DisCos. TCN said electricity load allocation to distribution companies is determined mainly by their daily requests.

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So far, power generation has fallen far below 4,000MW, limiting the capacity of DisCos to supply electricity to their customers. Our correspondent reports that data from TCN’s distribution load profile as of 25 March 2026 showed that a paltry 2,908 megawatts was allocated to the 11 distribution companies.

While Nigerians experience persistent outages, several distribution companies keep apologising to customers and attributing the situation to reduced generation caused by gas constraints. The Minister of Power, Adebayo Adelabu, also apologised on Tuesday, acknowledging the disruptions and assuring Nigerians that efforts were ongoing to stabilise supply in a few weeks.

The minister attributed current blackouts to gas supply constraints affecting 75 per cent of Nigeria’s gas-fired plants. “Even the best turbines cannot operate without raw materials. Global gas shortages due to the Middle East crisis, local supply obligations, outstanding payments to gas suppliers, and pipeline repairs have all contributed to the recent decline in generation,” he said.

According to him, only two out of 32 power plants currently have firm gas supply contracts, while the rest rely on irregular supplies on a best-effort basis.

Experts speak

A Professor of Energy, Dayo Ayoade of the University of Lagos, blamed corruption and poor governance for the country’s electricity woes. According to him, the economy will continue to lose money and will not develop “provided we don’t take control of the power sector”.

Ayoade said the economy will continue to suffer because self-generation is too costly for the common man and small businesses.

“Until the power sector is put right, the economy will continue to suffer, Nigerians will continue to suffer, and there is no way out of this. Self-generation doesn’t work because it’s inefficient. The kind of resources you need to generate power, like gas, are out of the hands of private individuals or companies. So, it is very important that the government takes the lead on this,” he stated.

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The professor said the way forward is for the government to undertake holistic reforms of the sector, calling for the removal of electricity subsidies.

“That reform requires us to tell one another the truth. Nigerians will have to pay more money for power. Tariffs must reflect the cost of delivering electricity. Also, creating new institutions like GAMCO and others all the time means there is a proliferation of institutions in the sector. We need to streamline the sector; we need to control corruption,” he said.

Ayoade added that governance is key to the power sector. “One of the reasons the sector is not working is poor governance. Billions of dollars were spent on power in the past with no appreciable electricity. We can’t continue down that way. There are too many loopholes and leakages. We have to address this,” he submitted.

The convener of PowerUp, Adetayo Adegbemle, reiterated that the sector is bleeding because bulk power users have exited the grid, making cost recovery a burden. He said operators may not be able to boost power generation in the face of low recovery.

“We have allowed the big consumers to escape the national grid, pushing the load of sustaining it onto residential consumers. The tariff becomes more expensive for them, while producers continue to seek alternatives, albeit more costly. The Federal Government should, as a matter of urgency, reverse this trend to boost power supply,” he said.

Adegbemle also noted that the electricity subsidy is no longer sustainable, saying the government ought to have found a way out of the burden. He emphasised that the subsidy affects the entire value chain, as the Federal Government has failed to fulfil its subsidy obligations.

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